Background: The HLA genes, located in the MHC region on chromosome 6p21.3, play an important role in many
autoimmune disorders, such as celiac disease (CD), type 1 diabetes (T1D), rheumatoid arthritis, multiple sclerosis, psoriasis
and others. Known HLA variants that confer risk to CD, for example, include DQA1*05/DQB1*02 (DQ2.5) and DQA1*03/
DQB1*0302 (DQ8). To diagnose the majority of CD patients and to study disease susceptibility and progression, typing these
strongly associated HLA risk factors is of utmost importance. However, current genotyping methods for HLA risk factors
involve many reactions, and are complicated and expensive. We sought a simple experimental approach using tagging
SNPs that predict the CD-associated HLA risk factors.
Methodology: Our tagging approach exploits linkage disequilibrium between single nucleotide polymorphism (SNPs) and
the CD-associated HLA risk factors DQ2.5 and DQ8 that indicate direct risk, and DQA1*0201/DQB1*0202 (DQ2.2) and
DQA1*0505/DQB1*0301 (DQ7) that attribute to the risk of DQ2.5 to CD. To evaluate the predictive power of this approach,
we performed an empirical comparison of the predicted DQ types, based on these six tag SNPs, with those executed with
current validated laboratory typing methods of the HLA-DQA1 and -DQB1 genes in three large cohorts. The results were
validated in three European celiac populations.
Conclusion: Using this method, only six SNPs were needed to predict the risk types carried by .95% of CD patients. We
determined that for this tagging approach the sensitivity was .0.991, specificity .0.996 and the predictive value .0.948.
Our results show that this tag SNP method is very accurate an