Retail Dairy Prices Fluctuate with the Farm Value of Milk

Abstract

Farm milk prices tend to be volatile. Dairy farmers, industry pundits, and policymakers further tend to react to price volatility with alarm. One point of concern is the response of retail prices. This study investigates farm-to-retail price transmission in the 2000s for whole milk and cheddar cheese. Results show that price shocks at the farm gate are transmitted with delay and asymmetry to retail. Differences in the nature of price transmission for whole milk and cheddar cheese prices are also identified.asymmetric price transmission, cointegration, dairy prices, error correction models, Demand and Price Analysis, Livestock Production/Industries,