4 research outputs found
The last millennium climate change in Northern Poland derived from well temperature profiles, tree-rings and instrumental data
In order to reconstruct the air temperature variations in Northern Poland for the last millennium observational and proxy (tree-ring widths) data were used. For the first time the ground surface temperature (GST) for Northern Poland was reconstructed based on geothermal data (well temperature profiles). A general warming trend is observed for both the GSTH (GST Histories) derived from geothermal data and instrumental data, in particular, for the last 200 years
Temperature changes in Poland from the 16th to the 20th centuries
A standardized tree-ring width chronology of the Scots pine (Pinus sylvestris L.) along with different types of documentary evidence (e.g. annals, chronicles, diaries, private correspondence, records of public administration, early newspapers) have been used to reconstruct air temperature in Poland. The ground surface temperature (GST) history has been reconstructed based on the continuous temperature logs from 13 wells, using a new method developed recently by Harris and Chapman (1998; Journal of Geophysical Research 103: 7371–7383) which is compared with the functional space inversion (FSI)
method applied to all available Polish temperature–depth profiles analysed before.
Response function calculations conducted for trees growing in Poland (except in mountainous regions) reveal a statistically significant correlation between the annual ring widths of the Scots pine and the monthly mean air temperatures, particularly from February and March, but also from January and April. Therefore, it was only possible to reconstruct the mean January–April air temperature.
The following periods featured a warm late winter/early spring: 1530–90, 1656–70 (the warmest period), 1820–50, 1910–40, and after 1985. On the other hand, a cold January–April occurred in the following periods: 1600–50, 1760–75, 1800–15, 1880–1900, and 1950–80.
Reconstructions of thermal conditions using documentary evidence were carried out for winter (December–February) and summer (June–August) from 1501 to 1840 and, therefore, their results cannot be directly compared with reconstructions based on tree-ring widths. Winter temperatures in this period were colder than air temperature in the 20th century. On the other hand, ‘historical’ summers were generally warmer than those occurring in the 20th century. Such situations dominated in the 16th and 17th centuries, as well as at the turn of the 18th and 19th centuries. Throughout almost the entire period from 1501 to 1840, the thermal continentality of the climate in Poland was greater than in the 20th century.
GST reconstructions show that its average pre-instrumental level (1500–1778) is about 0.9–1.5 °C lower than the mean air temperature for the period 1951–81. Lower amplitude of GST warming (0.9 ± 0.1 °C) results from the individual and simultaneous inversions of well temperature data using the FSI method. A very good correspondence of the results has been found between series of annual mean GSTs from the FSI method and mean seasonal air temperatures reconstructed using documentary evidence
Tree rings of Scots pine (Pinus sylvestris L.) as a source of information about past climate in northern Poland
Scots pine (Pinus sylvestris) is a very common tree in Polish forests, and therefore was widely used as timber. A relatively large amount of available wood allowed a long-term chronology to be built up and used as a source of information about past climate. The analysis of reconstructed indexed values of mean temperature in 51-year moving intervals allowed the recognition of the coldest periods in the years 1207–1346, 1383–1425, 1455–1482, 1533–1574, 1627–1646, and 1694–1785. The analysis of extreme wide and narrow rings forms a complementary method of examining climatic data within tree rings. The tree ring widths, early wood and late wood widths of 16 samples were assessed during the period 1581–1676. The most apparent effect is noted in the dry summer of 1616. According to previous research and our findings, temperature from February to March seems to be one of the most stable climatic factors which influenced pine growth in Poland. Correlation coefficients in the calibration and validation procedure gave promising results for temperature reconstruction from the pine chronology