2,355 research outputs found
Integrating geospatial, remote sensing, and machine learning for climate-induced forest fire susceptibility mapping in Similipal Tiger Reserve, India
- Publication venue
- Amsterdam [u.a.] : Elsevier Science
- Publication date
- 01/01/2024
- Field of study
Accurately assessing forest fire susceptibility (FFS) in the Similipal Tiger Reserve (STR) is essential for biodiversity conservation, climate change mitigation, and community safety. Most existing studies have primarily focused on climatic and topographical factors, while this research expands the scope by employing a synergistic approach that integrates geographical information systems (GIS), remote sensing (RS), and machine learning (ML) methodologies for identifying and assessing forest fire-prone areas in the STR and their vulnerability to climate change. To achieve this, the study employed a comprehensive dataset of forty-four influencing factors, including topographic, climate-hydrologic, forest health, vegetation indices, radar features, and anthropogenic interference, into ten ML models: neural net (nnet), AdaBag, Extreme Gradient Boosting (XGBTree), Gradient Boosting Machine (GBM), Random Forest (RF), and its hybrid variants with differential evolution algorithm (RF-DEA), Gravitational Based Search (RF-GBS), Grey Wolf Optimization (RF-GWO), Particle Swarm Optimization (RF-PSO), and genetic algorithm (RF-GA). The study revealed high FFS in both the northern and southern portions of the study area, with the nnet and RF-PSO models demonstrating susceptibility percentages of 12.44% and 12.89%, respectively. Conversely, very low FFS zones consistently displayed susceptibility scores of approximately 23.41% and 18.57% for the nnet and RF-PSO models. The robust mapping methodology was validated by impressive AUROC (>0.88) and kappa coefficient (>0.62) scores across all ML validation metrics. Future climate models (ssp245 and ssp585, 2022–2100) indicated high FFS zones along the northern and southern edges of the STR, with the central zone categorized from low to very low susceptibility. Boruta analysis identified actual evapotranspiration (AET) and relative humidity as key factors influencing forest fire ignition. SHAP evaluation reinforced the influence of these factors on FFS, while also highlighting the significant role of distance to road, distance to settlement, dNBR, slope, and humidity in prediction accuracy. These results emphasize the critical importance of the proposed approach for forest fire mapping and provide invaluable insights for firefighting teams, forest management, planning, and qualification strategies to address future fire sustainability
Multifocal myxoid liposarcoma: a rare and controversial entity-case report with literature review
- Publication venue
- 'Medip Academy'
- Publication date
- 19/12/2016
- Field of study
Multifocal soft tissue sarcoma (STS) is a rare and controversial entity, accounting for about 1% of patients with extremity STS and 4.5% of patients with liposarcoma. Multifocal presentation can occur synchronously or metachronously and is defined as the presence of tumor at two or more anatomically separate sites before the manifestation of disease in sites where sarcomas usually metastasize (e.g., lungs, liver, bone). Myxoid liposarcoma is the predominant histological type in multifocal presentation. This matter is debated as to whether this entity represent an unusual pattern of metastasis or multiple separate primary tumors as the differentiation between second primary and metastatic lesions has major clinical consequences. Recent literatures based on molecular biologic analysis of tumor clonal heterogeneity suggest metastatic nature. Multifocal myxoid liposarcoma has an aggressive clinical course with frequent recurrences and poor prognosis. Surgery remains the mainstay of treatment with adjuvant chemo and radiotherapy. Herein we are reporting a case of metachronous multifocal myxoid liposarcoma with multiple tumor sites (bilateral breasts, anterior chest wall, anterior abdominal wall, right shoulder area, left thigh etc.) which developed after one year of lumpectomy of myxoid liposarcoma of left breast. A recent review of literature pertaining to its unusual metastatic character, imaging and pathologic features is made
Recent Progress and Next Steps for the MATHUSLA LLP Detector
- Author
- Alpigiani Cristiano
- Arteaga-Velázquez Juan Carlos
- Ball Austin
- Barak Liron
- Barron Jared
- Batell Brian
- Beacham James
- Benhammo Yan
- Caballero-Mora Karen Salomé
- Camarri Paolo
- Cardarelli Roberto
- Chou John Paul
- Cui Wentao
- Curtin David
- de Roeck Albert
- Di Sciascio Giuseppe
- Di Stante Luigi
- Diamond Miriam
- Dienes Keith R.
- Dougherty Liam Andrew
- Dougherty William
- Drewes Marco
- Essig Rouven
- Etzion Erez
- Evans Jared
- Fischer Oliver
- Freeman Jim
- Gall Jonathan
- Garabaglu Ali
- Garcia-Bellido Aran
- Giagu Stefano
- Gomber Bhawna
- Greenberg Stephen Elliott
- Guida Roberto
- Haas Andy
- Heng Yuekun
- Hernández Mario Iván Martínez
- Hsu Shih-Chieh
- Iaselli Giuseppe
- Johns Ken
- Kvam Audrey
- Lazic Dragoslav
- Li Liang
- Liberti Barbara
- Liu Zhen
- Lubatti Henry
- Luo Lillian
- Marsella Giovanni
- McCullough Matthew
- McKeen David
- Meade Patrick
- Mizrachi Gilad
- Morales-Olivares O. G.
- Morrissey David
- Morvai Ljiljana
- Moshe Meny Raviv
- Muñoz Guillermo Tejeda
- Proffitt Mason
- Ramirez Dennis Cazar
- Reece Matthew
- Robertson Steven H.
- Rodríguez-Cahuantzi Mario
- Roepe Amber
- Ruckman Larry
- Russell Heather
- Russell James John
- Santonico Rinaldo
- Schioppa Marco
- Shelton Jessie
- Shuve Brian
- Silver Yiftah
- Stolarski Daniel
- Strauss Mike
- Strom David
- Stupak John
- Swain Sanjay Kumar
- Tan Chin Lung
- Thayil Steffie Ann
- Thomas Brooks
- Torro Emma
- Tsai Yuhsin
- Téllez Arturo Fernández
- Vasquez Martin A. Subieta
- Watts Gordon
- Xu Zijun
- Young Charles
- Zolkin Igor
- Zurita Jose
- Publication venue
- Publication date
- 29/03/2022
- Field of study
We report on recent progress and next steps in the design of the proposed
MATHUSLA Long Lived Particle (LLP) detector for the HL-LHC as part of the
Snowmass 2021 process. Our understanding of backgrounds has greatly improved,
aided by detailed simulation studies, and significant R&D has been performed on
designing the scintillator detectors and understanding their performance. The
collaboration is on track to complete a Technical Design Report, and there are
many opportunities for interested new members to contribute towards the goal of
designing and constructing MATHUSLA in time for HL-LHC collisions, which would
increase the sensitivity to a large variety of highly motivated LLP signals by
orders of magnitude.Comment: Contribution to Snowmass 2021 (EF09, EF10, IF6, IF9), 18 pages, 12
figures. v2: included additional endorser
Production of He-4 and (4) in Pb-Pb collisions at root(NN)-N-S=2.76 TeV at the LHC
- Author
- Acharya Shreyasi
- Adamova Dagmar
- Adolfsson Jonatan
- Aggarwal Madan Mohan
- Aglieri Rinella Gianluca
- Agnello Michelangelo
- Agrawal Neelima
- Ahammed Zubayer
- Ahn Sang Un
- Aiola Salvatore
- Akindinov Alexander
- Al-turany Mohammad
- Alam Sk Noor
- Alarcon Do Passo Suaide Alexandre
- Aleksandrov Dmitry
- Alessandro Bruno
- Alfaro Molina Jose Ruben
- Ali Yasir
- ALICE Collaboration
- Alici Andrea
- Alkin Anton
- Alme Johan
- Alt Torsten
- Altenkamper Lucas
- Altsybeev Igor
- Alves Garcia Prado Caio
- Andrei Cristian
- Andreou Dimitra
- Andrews Harry Arthur
- Andronic Anton
- Anguelov Venelin
- Anson Christopher Daniel
- Anticic Tome
- Antinori Federico
- Antonioli Pietro
- Aphecetche Laurent Bernard
- Appelshaeuser Harald
- Araujo Silva Figueredo Marcel
- Arcelli Silvia
- Arnaldi Roberta
- Arnold Oliver Werner
- Arsene Ionut Cristian
- Arslandok Mesut
- Audurier Benjamin
- Augustinus Andre
- Averbeck Ralf Peter
- Azmi Mohd Danish
- Badala Angela
- Baek Yong Wook
- Bagnasco Stefano
- Bailhache Raphaelle Marie
- Bala Renu
- Baldisseri Alberto
- Ball Markus
- Baral Rama Chandra
- Barbano Anastasia Maria
- Barbera Roberto
- Barile Francesco
- Barioglio Luca
- Barnafoldi Gergely Gabor
- Barnby Lee Stuart
- Bartalini Paolo
- Barth Klaus
- Bartsch Esther
- Bashir Butt Jamila
- Bastid Nicole
- Basu Sumit
- Batigne Guillaume
- Batyunya Boris
- Batzing Paul Christoph
- Bautista Guzman Irais
- Bazo Alba Jose Luis
- Bearden Ian Gardner
- Beck Hans
- Bedda Cristina
- Behera Nirbhay Kumar
- Belikov Iouri
- Bellini Francesca
- Bello Martinez Hector
- Bellwied Rene
- Belyaev Vladimir
- Bencedi Gyula
- Beole Stefania
- Bercuci Alexandru
- Berdnikov Yaroslav
- Berenyi Daniel
- Bertens Redmer Alexander
- Berzano Dario
- Betev Latchezar
- Bhasin Anju
- Bhat Inayat Rasool
- Bhattacharjee Buddhadeb
- Bhom Jihyun
- Bianchi Antonio
- Bianchi Livio
- Bianchi Nicola
- Bianchin Chiara
- Bielcik Jaroslav
- Bielcikova Jana
- Bilandzic Ante
- Biro Gabor
- Biswas Rathijit
- Biswas Saikat
- Blair Justin Thomas
- Blau Dmitry
- Blume Christoph
- Boca Gianluigi
- Bock Friederike
- Bogdanov Alexey
- Boldizsar Laszlo
- Bombara Marek
- Bonomi Germano
- Bonora Matthias
- Book Julian Heinz
- Borel Herve
- Borissov Alexander
- Borri Marcello
- Botta Elena
- Bourjau Christian
- Bratrud Lars
- Braun-munzinger Peter
- Bregant Marco
- Broker Theo Alexander
- Broz Michal
- Brucken Erik Jens
- Bruna Elena
- Bruno Giuseppe Eugenio
- Budnikov Dmitry
- Buesching Henner
- Bufalino Stefania
- Buhler Paul
- Buncic Predrag
- Busch Oliver
- Buthelezi Edith Zinhle
- Buxton Jesse Thomas
- Cabala Jan
- Cabanillas Noris Juan Carlos
- Caffarri Davide
- Caines Helen Louise
- Caliva Alberto
- Calvo Villar Ernesto
- Camerini Paolo
- Capon Aaron Allan
- Carena Francesco
- Carena Wisla
- Carnesecchi Francesca
- Castillo Castellanos Javier Ernesto
- Castro Andrew John
- Casula Ester Anna Rita
- Ceballos Sanchez Cesar
- Chandra Sinjini
- Chang Beomsu
- Chang Wan
- Chapeland Sylvain
- Chartier Marielle
- Chattopadhyay Subhasis
- Chattopadhyay Sukalyan
- Chauvin Alex
- Cheshkov Cvetan Valeriev
- Cheynis Brigitte
- Chibante Barroso Vasco Miguel
- Cho Soyeon
- Chochula Peter
- Chojnacki Marek
- Choudhury Subikash
- Chowdhury Tasnuva
- Christakoglou Panagiotis
- Christensen Christian Holm
- Christiansen Peter
- Chujo Tatsuya
- Chung Suh-urk
- Chunhui Zhang
- Cicalo Corrado
- Cifarelli Luisa
- Cindolo Federico
- Cleymans Jean Willy Andre
- Colamaria Fabio Filippo
- Colella Domenico
- Collu Alberto
- Colocci Manuel
- Concas Matteo
- Conesa Balbastre Gustavo
- Conesa Del Valle Zaida
- Contreras Nuno Jesus Guillermo
- Cormier Thomas Michael
- Corrales Morales Yasser
- Correa Zanoli Henrique Jose
- Cortes Maldonado Ismael
- Cortese Pietro
- Cosentino Mauro Rogerio
- Costa Filippo
- Costanza Susanna
- Crkovska Jana
- Crochet Philippe
- Cuautle Flores Eleazar
- Cunqueiro Mendez Leticia
- Dahms Torsten
- Dainese Andrea
- Danisch Meike Charlotte
- Danu Andrea
- Das Debasish
- Das Indranil
- Das Supriya
- Dash Ajay Kumar
- Dash Sadhana
- De Caro Annalisa
- De Cataldo Giacinto
- De Conti Camila
- De Cuveland Jan
- De Falco Alessandro
- De Gruttola Daniele
- De Leone Gay Maria Beatriz
- De Marco Nora
- De Pasquale Salvatore
- De Sudipan
- Deisting Alexander
- Deloff Andrzej
- Deplano Caterina
- Derradi De Souza Rafael
- Dhankher Preeti
- Di Bari Domenico
- Di Mauro Antonio
- Di Nezza Pasquale
- Di Ruzza Benedetto
- Diaz Corchero Miguel Angel
- Dietel Thomas
- Dillenseger Pascal
- Ding Yanchun
- Diozcora Vargas Trevino Aurora
- Divia Roberto
- Djuvsland Oeystein
- Dobrigkeit Chinellato David
- Dobrin Alexandru Florin
- Domenicis Gimenez Diogenes
- Dominguez Rosas Edgar
- Donigus Benjamin
- Dordic Olja
- Duarte Galvan Carlos
- Dubey Anand Kumar
- Dubla Andrea
- Ducroux Laurent
- Dudi Sandeep
- Duggal Ashpreet Kaur
- Dukhishyam Mallick
- Dupieux Pascal
- Ehlers Iii Raymond James
- Elia Domenico
- Endress Eric
- Engel Heiko
- Epple Eliane
- Erazmus Barbara Ewa
- Erhardt Filip
- Espagnon Bruno
- Espinoza Beltran Lucina Gabriela
- Eulisse Giulio
- Eum Jongsik
- Evans David
- Evdokimov Sergey
- Fabbietti Laura
- Faivre Julien
- Fantoni Alessandra
- Fasel Markus
- Feldkamp Linus
- Feliciello Alessandro
- Feofilov Grigorii
- Fernandez Tellez Arturo
- Ferreira Natal Da Luz Pedro Hugo
- Ferretti Alessandro
- Festanti Andrea
- Feuillard Victor Jose Gaston
- Figiel Jan
- Filchagin Sergey
- Finogeev Dmitry
- Fionda Fiorella
- Floris Michele
- Foertsch Siegfried Valentin
- Foka Panagiota
- Fokin Sergey
- Fragiacomo Enrico
- Francescon Andrea
- Francisco Audrey
- Frankenfeld Ulrich Michael
- Franz Degenhardt Hermann
- Fronze Gabriele Gaetano
- Fuchs Ulrich
- Furget Christophe
- Furs Artur
- Fusco Girard Mario
- Gaardhoeje Jens Joergen
- Gagliardi Martino
- Gago Medina Alberto Martin
- Gajdosova Katarina
- Gallio Mauro
- Gameiro Munhoz Marcelo
- Ganoti Paraskevi
- Garabatos Cuadrado Jose
- Garcia-solis Edmundo Javier
- Garg Kunal
- Gargiulo Corrado
- Gasik Piotr Jan
- Gauger Erin Frances
- Germain Marie
- Ghosh Jhuma
- Ghosh Premomoy
- Ghosh Sanjay Kumar
- Gianotti Paola
- Giubellino Paolo
- Giubilato Piero
- Gladysz-dziadus Ewa
- Glassel Peter
- Gomez Coral Diego Mauricio
- Gomez Ramirez Andres
- Gonzalez Ferreiro Elena
- Gonzalez Hernandez Emma
- Gonzalez Zamora Pedro
- Gonzalez Victor
- Gorbunov Sergey
- Gorlich Lidia Maria
- Gotovac Sven
- Grabski Varlen
- Graczykowski Lukasz Kamil
- Graham Katie Leanne
- Greiner Leo Clifford
- Grelli Alessandro
- Grigoras Costin
- Grigoryan Ara
- Grigoryan Smbat
- Grigoryev Vladislav
- Gronefeld Julius Maximilian
- Grosa Fabrizio
- Grosse-oetringhaus Jan Fiete
- Grosso Raffaele
- Guber Fedor
- Guernane Rachid
- Guerzoni Barbara
- Gulbrandsen Kristjan Herlache
- Gunji Taku
- Gupta Anik
- Gupta Ramni
- Haake Rudiger
- Hadjidakis Cynthia Marie
- Hamagaki Hideki
- Hamar Gergoe
- Hamon Julien Charles
- Haque Md Rihan
- Harris John William
- Harton Austin Vincent
- Hassan Hadi
- Hatzifotiadou Despina
- Hayashi Shinichi
- Heckel Stefan Thomas
- Hellbar Ernst
- Helstrup Haavard
- Herghelegiu Andrei Ionut
- Herrera Corral Gerardo Antonio
- Herrmann Florian
- Hess Benjamin Andreas
- Hetland Kristin Fanebust
- Hillemanns Hartmut
- Hills Christopher
- Hippolyte Boris
- Hohlweger Bernhard
- Horak David
- Hornung Sebastian
- Hosokawa Ritsuya
- Hristov Peter Zahariev
- Hughes Charles
- Humanic Thomas
- Hussain Nur
- Hussain Tahir
- Hutter Dirk
- Hwang Dae Sung
- Iga Buitron Sergio Arturo
- Ilkaev Radiy
- Inaba Motoi
- Ippolitov Mikhail
- Islam Md Samsul
- Ivanov Marian
- Ivanov Vladimir
- Izucheev Vladimir
- Jacak Barbara
- Jacazio Nicolo
- Jacobs Peter Martin
- Jadhav Manoj Bhanudas
- Jadlovska Slavka
- Jadlovsky Jan
- Jaelani Syaefudin
- Jahnke Cristiane
- Jakubowska Monika Joanna
- Janik Malgorzata Anna
- Jena Chitrasen
- Jercic Marko
- Jimenez Bustamante Raul Tonatiuh
- Jones Peter Graham
- Jusko Anton
- Kalinak Peter
- Kalweit Alexander Philipp
- Kang Ju Hwan
- Kaplin Vladimir
- Kar Somnath
- Karasu Uysal Ayben
- Karavichev Oleg
- Karavicheva Tatiana
- Karayan Lilit
- Karczmarczyk Przemyslaw
- Karpechev Evgeny
- Kebschull Udo Wolfgang
- Keidel Ralf
- Keijdener Darius Laurens
- Keil Markus
- Ketzer Bernhard Franz
- Khabanova Zhanna
- Khan Mohammed Mohisin
- Khan Palash
- Khan Shuaib Ahmad
- Khanzadeev Alexei
- Kharlov Yury
- Khatun Anisa
- Khuntia Arvind
- Kielbowicz Miroslaw Marek
- Kileng Bjarte
- Kim Byungchul
- Kim Daehyeok
- Kim Dong Jo
- Kim Hyeonjoong
- Kim Jinsook
- Kim Jiyoung
- Kim Minjung
- Kim Se Yong
- Kim Taesoo
- Kirsch Stefan
- Kisel Ivan
- Kiselev Sergey
- Kisiel Adam Ryszard
- Kiss Gabor
- Klay Jennifer Lynn
- Klein Carsten
- Klein Jochen
- Klein-boesing Christian
- Klewin Sebastian
- Kluge Alexander
- Knichel Michael Linus
- Knospe Anders Garritt
- Kobdaj Chinorat
- Kohler Markus Konrad
- Kollegger Thorsten
- Kondratev Valerii
- Kondratyeva Natalia
- Kondratyuk Evgeny
- Konevskikh Artem
- Konyushikhin Maxim
- Kopcik Michal
- Kour Mandeep
- Kouzinopoulos Charalampos
- Kovalenko Oleksandr
- Kovalenko Vladimir
- Kowalski Marek
- Koyithatta Meethaleveedu Greeshma
- Kralik Ivan
- Kravcakova Adela
- Kreis Lukas
- Krivda Marian
- Krizek Filip
- Kryshen Evgeny
- Krzewicki Mikolaj
- Kubera Andrew Michael
- Kucera Vit
- Kuhn Christian Claude
- Kuijer Paulus Gerardus
- Kumar Ajay
- Kumar Jitendra
- Kumar Lokesh
- Kumar Shyam
- Kundu Sourav
- Kurashvili Podist
- Kurepin Alexander
- Kurepin Alexey
- Kuryakin Alexey
- Kushpil Svetlana
- Kweon Min Jung
- Kwon Youngil
- La Pointe Sarah Louise
- La Rocca Paola
- Lagana Fernandes Caio
- Lai Yue Shi
- Lakomov Igor
- Langoy Rune
- Lapidus Kirill
- Lara Martinez Camilo Ernesto
- Lardeux Antoine Xavier
- Lattuca Alessandra
- Laudi Elisa
- Lavicka Roman
- Lea Ramona
- Leardini Lucia
- Lee Seongjoo
- Lehas Fatiha
- Lehner Sebastian
- Lehrbach Johannes
- Lemmon Roy Crawford
- Leogrande Emilia
- Leon Monzon Ildefonso
- Levai Peter
- Li Xiaomei
- Lien Jorgen Andre
- Lietava Roman
- Lim Bong-hwi
- Lindal Svein
- Lindenstruth Volker
- Lindsay Scott William
- Lippmann Christian
- Lisa Michael Annan
- Litichevskyi Vladyslav
- Llope William
- Lodato Davide Francesco
- Loginov Vitaly
- Loizides Constantinos
- Loncar Petra
- Lonne Per-ivar
- Lopez Torres Ernesto
- Lopez Xavier Bernard
- Lowe Andrew John
- Lucio Martinez Jose Antonio
- Luettig Philipp Johannes
- Luhder Jens Robert
- Lunardon Marcello
- Luparello Grazia
- Lupi Matteo
- Lutz Tyler Harrison
- Maevskaya Alla
- Mager Magnus
- Mahmood Sohail Musa
- Maire Antonin
- Majka Richard Daniel
- Mal'kevich Dmitry
- Malaev Mikhail
- Malinina Liudmila
- Malzacher Peter
- Mamonov Alexander
- Manko Vladislav
- Manso Franck
- Manzari Vito
- Mao Yaxian
- Marchisone Massimiliano
- Mares Jiri
- Margagliotti Giacomo Vito
- Margotti Anselmo
- Margutti Jacopo
- Marin Ana Maria
- Markert Christina
- Marquard Marco
- Martin Nicole Alice
- Martinengo Paolo
- Martinez Hernandez Mario Ivan
- Martinez Pedreira Miguel
- Martinez-garcia Gines
- Masciocchi Silvia
- Masera Massimo
- Masoni Alberto
- Masson Erwann
- Mastroserio Annalisa
- Mathis Andreas Michael
- Matyja Adam Tomasz
- Mayer Christoph
- Mazer Joel Anthony
- Mazzilli Marianna
- Mazzoni Alessandra Maria
- Meddi Franco
- Melikyan Yuri
- Menchaca-rocha Arturo Alejandro
- Meninno Elisa
- Mercado-perez Jorge
- Meres Michal
- Mhlanga Sibaliso
- Miake Yasuo
- Mieskolainen Matti Mikael
- Mihaylov Dimitar Lubomirov
- Mikhaylov Konstantin
- Mischke Andre
- Mishra Aditya Nath
- Miskowiec Dariusz Czeslaw
- Mitra Jubin
- Mitu Ciprian Mihai
- Mohammadi Naghmeh
- Mohanty Auro Prasad
- Mohanty Bedangadas
- Montes Prado Esther
- Moreira De Godoy Denise Aparecida
- Moretto Sandra
- Morreale Astrid
- Morsch Andreas
- Muccifora Valeria
- Mudnic Eugen
- Muhlheim Daniel Michael
- Muhuri Sanjib
- Mulligan James Declan
- Munning Konstantin
- Munzer Robert Helmut
- Murakami Hikari
- Murray Sean
- Musa Luciano
- Musinsky Jan
- Myers Corey James
- Myrcha Julian Wojciech
- Nag Dipanjan
- Naik Bharati
- Nair Rahul
- Nandi Basanta Kumar
- Nania Rosario
- Nappi Eugenio
- Narayan Amrendra
- Naru Muhammad Umair
- Nattrass Christine
- Nayak Kishora
- Nayak Ranjit
- Nayak Tapan Kumar
- Nazarenko Sergey
- Negrao De Oliveira Renato Aparecido
- Nellen Lukas
- Nesbo Simon Voigt
- Ng Fabian
- Nicassio Maria
- Niculescu Mihai
- Niedziela Jeremi
- Nielsen Borge Svane
- Nikolaev Sergey
- Nikulin Sergey
- Nikulin Vladimir
- Noferini Francesco
- Nomokonov Petr
- Nooren Gerardus
- Norman Jaime
- Nyanin Alexander
- Nystrand Joakim Ingemar
- Oeschler Helmut Oskar
- Oh Hoonjung
- Ohlson Alice Elisabeth
- Okubo Tsubasa
- Olah Laszlo
- Oleniacz Janusz
- Oliveira Da Silva Antonio Carlos
- Oliver Michael Henry
- Onderwaater Jacobus
- Oppedisano Chiara
- Orava Risto
- Oravec Matej
- Ortiz Velasquez Antonio
- Oskarsson Anders Nils Erik
- Otwinowski Jacek Tomasz
- Oyama Ken
- Ozelin De Lima Pimentel Lais
- Pachmayer Yvonne Chiara
- Pacik Vojtech
- Pagano Davide
- Pahula Hewage Sandun
- Paic Guy
- Palni Prabhakar
- Pan Jinjin
- Pandey Ashutosh Kumar
- Panebianco Stefano
- Papikyan Vardanush
- Pareek Pooja
- Park Jonghan
- Parmar Sonia
- Passfeld Annika
- Pathak Surya Prakash
- Patra Rajendra Nath
- Paul Biswarup
- Pei Hua
- Peitzmann Thomas
- Peng Xinye
- Pereira Da Costa Hugo Denis Antonio
- Pereira Luis Gustavo
- Peresunko Dmitry Yurevich
- Peretti Pezzi Rafael
- Perez Lezama Edgar
- Perez Moreno Luis Alberto
- Peskov Vladimir
- Pestov Yury
- Petracek Vojtech
- Petrov Viacheslav
- Petrovici Mihai
- Petta Catia
- Piano Stefano
- Pikna Miroslav
- Pillot Philippe
- Pinazza Ombretta
- Pinsky Lawrence
- Piyarathna Danthasinghe
- Planinic Mirko
- Pliquett Fabian
- Ploskon Mateusz Andrzej
- Pluta Jan Marian
- Pochybova Sona
- Podesta Lerma Pedro Luis Manuel
- Poghosyan Martin
- Polishchuk Boris
- Poljak Nikola
- Poonsawat Wanchaloem
- Pop Amalia
- Poppenborg Hendrik
- Porteboeuf Sarah Julie
- Pozdniakov Valeriy
- Prasad Sidharth Kumar
- Preghenella Roberto
- Prino Francesco
- Pruneau Claude Andre
- Pshenichnov Igor
- Puccio Maximiliano
- Punin Valery
- Putschke Jorn Henning
- Raha Sibaji
- Rajput Sonia
- Rak Jan
- Rakotozafindrabe Andry Malala
- Ramello Luciano
- Rami Fouad
- Ramillien Barret Valerie
- Rana Dhan Bahadur
- Raniwala Rashmi
- Raniwala Sudhir
- Rasanen Sami Sakari
- Rascanu Bogdan Theodor
- Rathee Deepika
- Ratza Viktor
- Ravasenga Ivan
- Read Kenneth Francis
- Redlich Krzysztof
- Rehman Attiq Ur
- Reichelt Patrick Simon
- Reidt Felix
- Ren Xiaowen
- Renfordt Rainer Arno Ernst
- Reshetin Andrey
- Reygers Klaus Johannes
- Riabov Viktor
- Richert Tuva Ora Herenui
- Richter Matthias Rudolph
- Riedler Petra
- Riegler Werner
- Riggi Francesco
- Ristea Catalin-lucian
- Rodriguez Cahuantzi Mario
- Roeed Ketil
- Roehrich Dieter
- Rogochaya Elena
- Rohr David Michael
- Rojas Torres Solangel
- Rokita Przemyslaw Stefan
- Ronchetti Federico
- Rosado Navarro Sebastian
- Rosnet Philippe
- Rossi Andrea
- Rotondi Alberto
- Roukoutakis Filimon
- Roy Christelle Sophie
- Roy Pradip Kumar
- Rubio Montero Antonio Juan
- Rui Rinaldo
- Rumyantsev Boris
- Rustamov Anar
- Ryabinkin Evgeny
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- Wilkinson Jeremy John
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- Witt William Edward
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- Zaccolo Valentina
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- Zardoshti Nima
- Zarochentsev Andrey
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- Zbroszczyk Hanna Paulina
- Zhalov Mikhail
- Zhang Haitao
- Zhang Xiaoming
- Zhang Yonghong
- Zhang Zuman
- Zhao Chengxin
- Zhigareva Natalia
- Zhou Daicui
- Zhou You
- Zhou Zhuo
- Zhu Hongsheng
- Zhu Jianhui
- Zhu Ya
- Zichichi Antonino
- Zimmermann Markus Bernhard
- Zinovjev Gennady
- Zmeskal Johann
- Zou Shuguang
- Publication venue
- Publication date
- 01/01/2017
- Field of study
Results on the production of He-4 and (4) nuclei in Pb-Pb collisions at root(NN)-N-S = 2.76 TeV in the rapidity range vertical bar y vertical bar <1, using the ALICE detector, are presented in this paper. The rapidity densities corresponding to 0-10% central events are found to be dN/dy4(He) = (0.8 +/- 0.4 (stat) +/- 0.3 (syst)) x 10(-6) and dN/dy4 = (1.1 +/- 0.4 (stat) +/- 0.2 (syst)) x 10(-6), respectively. This is in agreement with the statistical thermal model expectation assuming the same chemical freeze-out temperature (T-chem = 156 MeV) as for light hadrons. The measured ratio of (4)/He-4 is 1.4 +/- 0.8 (stat) +/- 0.5 (syst). (C) 2018 Published by Elsevier B.V.Peer reviewe
Optimasi Portofolio Resiko Menggunakan Model Markowitz MVO Dikaitkan dengan Keterbatasan Manusia dalam Memprediksi Masa Depan dalam Perspektif Al-Qur`an
- Author
- Aarrestad Thea Klaeboe
- Abbaneo Duccio
- Abbiendi Giovanni
- Abbrescia Marcello
- Abdullin Salavat
- Abdulsalam Abdulla
- Abercrombie Daniel
- Abu Zeid Shimaa
- Ackert Andrew
- Acosta Darin
- Acosta John Gabriel
- Adair Antony
- Adam Wolfgang
- Adams Jordon Rowe
- Adams Mark Raymond
- Adams Todd
- Adzic Petar
- Agapitos Antonis
- Aggleton Robin
- Agram Jean-Laurent
- Ahmad Ashfaq
- Ahmad Muhammad
- Ahmad Muhammad
- Ahmed Ijaz
- Ahuja Sudha
- Akchurin Nural
- Akgun Bora
- Al-bataineh Ayman
- Albergo Sebastiano
- Albert Andreas
- Albrow Michael
- Alcaraz Maestre Juan
- Aldaya Martin Maria
- Alderweireldt Sara
- Aldá Júnior Walter Luiz
- Aleksandrov Aleksandar
- Alexakhin Vadim
- Alexander James
- Alimena Juliette
- Allen Brandon
- Almond John
- Alunni Solestizi Luisa
- Alverson George
- Alves Fábio Lúcio
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- Amapane Nicola
- Amsler Claude
- Anagnostou Georgios
- Anderson Dustin
- Anderson Ian
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- Andrews Michael Benjamin
- Androsov Konstantin
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- Antunovic Zeljko
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- Apollinari Giorgio
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- Northup Michael
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- Yusli Mohd Nizam
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- Zaganidis Nicolas
- Zagoździńska Agnieszka
- Zakaria Mohammed
- Zalewski Piotr
- Zanetti Anna
- Zanetti Marco
- Zarubin Anatoli
- Zeinali Maryam
- Zenoni Florian
- Zenz Seth Conrad
- Zeuner Wolfram Dietrich
- Zevi Della Porta Giovanni
- Zeyrek Mehmet
- Zghiche Amina
- Zhang Fengwangdong
- Zhang Huaqiao
- Zhang Jingyu
- Zhao Jingzhou
- Zhokin Alexander
- Zhu Ren-Yuan
- Zhukov Valery
- Zhukova Victoria
- Zientek Margaret
- Zolkapli Zukhaimira
- Zorbakir Ibrahim Soner
- Zorbilmez Caglar
- Zotto Pierluigi
- Zou David
- Zsigmond Anna Julia
- Zucchetta Alberto
- Zumerle Gianni
- Zuranski Andrzej
- Publication venue
- Sunan Kalijaga State Islamic University
- Publication date
- 01/01/2012
- Field of study
Risk portfolio on modern finance has become increasingly technical, requiring the use of sophisticated mathematical tools in both research and practice. Since companies cannot insure themselves completely against risk, as human incompetence in predicting the future precisely that written in Al-Quran surah Luqman verse 34, they have to manage it to yield an optimal portfolio. The objective here is to minimize the variance among all portfolios, or alternatively, to maximize expected return among all portfolios that has at least a certain expected return. Furthermore, this study focuses on optimizing risk portfolio so called Markowitz MVO (Mean-Variance Optimization). Some theoretical frameworks for analysis are arithmetic mean, geometric mean, variance, covariance, linear programming, and quadratic programming. Moreover, finding a minimum variance portfolio produces a convex quadratic programming, that is minimizing the objective function ðð¥with constraintsð ð 𥠥 ðandð´ð¥ = ð. The outcome of this research is the solution of optimal risk portofolio in some investments that could be finished smoothly using MATLAB R2007b software together with its graphic analysis
Burden of disease scenarios for 204 countries and territories, 2022–2050: a forecasting analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2021
- Author
- Ababneh Hazim S
- Abate Yohannes Habtegiorgis
- Abbafati Cristiana
- Abbasgholizadeh Rouzbeh
- Abbasian Mohammadreza
- Abbastabar Hedayat
- Abd Al Magied Abdallah H A
- Abd ElHafeez Samar
- Abd-Elsalam Sherief
- Abdelkader Atef
- Abdelmasseh Michael
- Abdi Parsa
- Abdollahi Mohammad
- Abdoun Meriem
- Abdullahi Auwal
- Abebe Mesfin
- Abiodun Olumide
- Aboagye Richard Gyan
- Abolhassani Hassan
- Abouzid Mohamed
- Aboye Girma Beressa
- Abreu Lucas Guimarães
- Absalan Abdorrahim
- Abualruz Hasan
- Abubakar Bilyaminu
- Abukhadijah Hana Jihad Jihad
- Addolorato Giovanni
- Adekanmbi Victor
- Adetunji Charles Oluwaseun
- Adetunji Juliana Bunmi
- Adeyeoluwa Temitayo Esther
- Adha Rishan
- Adhikary Ripon Kumar
- Adnani Qorinah Estiningtyas Sakilah
- Adzigbli Leticia Akua
- Afrashteh Fatemeh
- Afzal Muhammad Sohail
- Afzal Saira
- Agbozo Faith
- Agodi Antonella
- Agrawal Anurag
- Agyemang-Duah Williams
- Ahinkorah Bright Opoku
- Ahlstrom Austin J
- Ahmad Aqeel
- Ahmad Firdos
- Ahmad Muayyad M
- Ahmad Sajjad
- Ahmad Shahzaib
- Ahmed Anisuddin
- Ahmed Ayman
- Ahmed Haroon
- Ahmed Safoora
- Ahmed Syed Anees
- Akinosoglou Karolina
- Akkaif Mohammed Ahmed
- Akrami Ashley E
- Akter Ema
- Al Awaidy Salah
- Al Hasan Syed Mahfuz
- Al Mosa Amjad S
- Al Ta'ani Omar
- Al Zaabi Omar Ali Mohammed
- Al-Ajlouni Yazan
- Al-Aly Ziyad
- Al-amer Rasmieh Mustafa
- Al-Gheethi Adel Ali Saeed
- Al-Hanawi Mohammed Khaled
- Al-Ibraheem Akram
- Al-Mekhlafi Hesham M
- Al-Sabah Salman Khalifah
- Al-Tammemi Ala'a B.
- Al-Tawfiq Jaffar A
- Al-Wardat Mohammad Sami
- Al-Worafi Yaser Mohammed
- Al-Zyoud Walid
- Alahdab Fares
- Alajlani Muaaz M
- Alalalmeh Samer O
- Alam Khurshid
- Alam Noore
- Alam Tahiya
- Alam Zufishan
- Alanezi Fahad Mashhour
- Alanzi Turki M
- Albakri Almaza
- Aldhaleei Wafa A
- Aldridge Robert W
- Alemohammad Seyedeh Yasaman
- Alemu Yihun Mulugeta
- Ali Abid
- Ali Amjad
- Ali Iman
- Ali Mohammed Usman
- Ali Rafat
- Ali Syed Shujait Shujait
- Ali Victor Ekoche
- Ali Waad
- Alicandro Gianfranco
- Alif Sheikh Mohammad
- Aljunid Syed Mohamed
- Alla François
- Almazan Joseph Uy
- Alqutaibi Ahmed Yaseen
- Alrawashdeh Ahmad
- Alrousan Sahel Majed
- Alsabri Mohammed A
- Altaany Zaid
- Altirkawi Khalid A
- Aluh Deborah Oyine
- Alvis-Guzman Nelson
- Aly Hany
- Alyahya Mohammad Sharif
- Alzoubi Karem H
- Amani Reza
- Ameyaw Edward Kwabena
- Amin Tarek Tawfik
- Amindarolzarbi Alireza
- Amiri Sohrab
- Amirzade-Iranaq Mohammad Hosein
- Amu Hubert
- Amugsi Dickson A
- Ancuceanu Robert
- Anderlini Deanna
- Anderson David B
- Andrade Pedro Prata
- Andrei Catalina Liliana
- Andrei Tudorel
- Andrews Erick Adrian
- Anil Abhishek
- Anil Sneha
- Anoushiravani Amir
- Antony Catherine M
- Antriyandarti Ernoiz
- Anuoluwa Boluwatife Stephen
- Anvari Saeid
- Anyasodor Anayochukwu Edward
- Appiah Francis
- Aquilano Michele
- Arab Juan Pablo
- Arabloo Jalal
- Arafa Elshaimaa A
- Arafat Mosab
- Aravkin Aleksandr Y
- Ardekani Ali
- Areda Demelash
- Aregawi Brhane Berhe
- Aremu Abdulfatai
- Ariffin Hany
- Arkew Mesay
- Armani Keivan
- Artamonov Anton A
- Arumugam Ashokan
- Asghari-Jafarabadi Mohammad
- Ashbaugh Charlie
- Astell-Burt Thomas
- Athari Seyyed Shamsadin
- Atorkey Prince
- Atout Maha Moh'd Wahbi
- Aujayeb Avinash
- Ausloos Marcel
- Awad Hamzeh
- Awotidebe Adedapo Wasiu
- Ayatollahi Haleh
- Ayuso-Mateos Jose L
- Azadnajafabad Sina
- Azeez Fahad Khan
- Azevedo Rui M S
- Badar Muhammad
- Baghdadi Soroush
- Bagheri Mahboube
- Bagheri Nasser
- Bai Ruhai
- Baker Jennifer L
- Bako Abdulaziz T
- Balakrishnan Senthilkumar
- Balcha Wondu Feyisa
- Baltatu Ovidiu Constantin
- Barchitta Martina
- Bardideh Erfan
- Barker-Collo Suzanne Lyn
- Barqawi Hiba Jawdat
- Barteit Sandra
- Basiru Afisu
- Basso João Diogo
- Bastan Mohammad-Mahdi
- Basu Sanjay
- Bauckneht Matteo
- Baune Bernhard T
- Bayati Mohsen
- Bayileyegn Nebiyou Simegnew
- Bärnighausen Till Winfried
- Behnoush Amir Hossein
- Behzadi Payam
- Beiranvand Maryam
- Bello Olorunjuwon Omolaja
- Belo Luis
- Beloukas Apostolos
- Bemanalizadeh Maryam
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- Benzian Habib
- Beran Azizullah
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- Bernstein Robert S
- Bettencourt Paulo J G
- Beyene Kebede A
- Beyene Melak Gedamu
- Bhagat Devidas S
- Bhagavathula Akshaya Srikanth
- Bhala Neeraj
- Bhandari Dinesh
- Bharadwaj Ravi
- Bhardwaj Nikha
- Bhardwaj Pankaj
- Bhargava Ashish
- Bhaskar Sonu
- Bhat Vivek
- Bhattacharjee Natalia V
- Bhatti Gurjit Kaur
- Bhatti Jasvinder Singh
- Bhatti Manpreet S
- Bhuiyan Mohiuddin Ahmed
- Bisignano Catherine
- Biswas Bijit
- Bjørge Tone
- Bodolica Virginia
- Bodunrin Aadam Olalekan
- Bonakdar Hashemi Milad
- Bora Basara Berrak
- Borhany Hamed
- Bosoka Samuel Adolf
- Botero Carvajal Alejandro
- Bouaoud Souad
- Boufous Soufiane
- Boxe Christopher
- Boyko Edward J
- Brady Oliver J
- Braithwaite Dejana
- Brauer Michael
- Brazo-Sayavera Javier
- Brenner Hermann
- Brown Colin Stewart
- Browne Annie J
- Brugha Traolach
- Bryazka Dana
- Bulamu Norma B
- Buonsenso Danilo
- Burkart Katrin
- Burns Richard A
- Busse Reinhard
- Bustanji Yasser
- Butt Zahid A
- Caetano dos Santos Florentino Luciano
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- Castaldelli-Maia Joao Mauricio
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- Caye Arthur
- Cárdenas Rosario
- Cegolon Luca
- Cembranel Francieli
- Cenko Edina
- Cerin Ester
- Chadban Steven J
- Chadwick Joshua
- Chakraborty Chiranjib
- Chakraborty Sandip
- Chalek Julian
- Chan Jeffrey Shi Kai
- Chandika Rama Mohan
- Chandy Sara
- Charan Jaykaran
- Chaudhary Anis Ahmad
- Chaurasia Akhilanand
- Chen An-Tian
- Chen Haowei
- Chen Meng Xuan
- Chen Simiao
- Cherbuin Nicolas
- Chi Gerald
- Chichagi Fatemeh
- Chimed-Ochir Odgerel
- Chimoriya Ritesh
- Ching Patrick R
- Chirinos-Caceres Jesus Lorenzo
- Chitheer Abdulaal
- Cho Daniel Youngwhan
- Cho William C S
- Choi Dong-Woo
- Chong Bryan
- Chong Chean Lin
- Chopra Hitesh
- Chu Dinh-Toi
- Chung Eric
- Chutiyami Muhammad
- Clayton Justin T
- Cogen Rebecca M
- Cohen Aaron J
- Columbus Alyssa
- Comfort Haley
- Conde Joao
- Connolly Jon T
- Cooper Ezra E K
- Cortese Samuele
- Cruz-Martins Natália
- Çakmak Barsbay Mehtap
- D'Oria Mario
- da Silva Alanna Gomes
- Dadras Omid
- Dai Xiaochen
- Dai Zhaoli
- Dalton Bronte E
- Damiani Giovanni
- Dandona Lalit
- Dandona Rakhi
- Das Jai K
- Das Saswati
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- Dash Nihar Ranjan
- Davletov Kairat
- De la Hoz Fernando Pio
- De Leo Diego
- Debopadhaya Shayom
- Delgado-Enciso Ivan
- Denova-Gutiérrez Edgar
- Dervenis Nikolaos
- Desai Hardik Dineshbhai
- Devanbu Vinoth Gnana Chellaiyan
- Dewan Syed Masudur Rahman
- Dhama Kuldeep
- Dhane Amol S
- Dhingra Sameer
- Dias da Silva Diana
- Diaz Daniel
- Diaz Luis Antonio
- Diaz Michael J
- Dima Adriana
- Ding Delaney D
- do Prado Camila Bruneli
- Do Thao Huynh Phuong
- Dodangeh Masoud
- Dodangeh Milad
- Doegah Phidelia Theresa
- Dohare Sushil
- Dong Wanyue
- Doshi Rajkumar
- Dowou Robert Kokou
- Dsouza Haneil Larson
- Dsouza Viola
- Dube John
- Dumith Samuel C
- Duncan Bruce B
- Duraes Andre Rodrigues
- Duraisamy Senbagam
- Durojaiye Oyewole Christopher
- Dushpanova Anar
- Dutta Sulagna
- Dzianach Paulina Agnieszka
- Dziedzic Arkadiusz Marian
- Eboreime Ejemai
- Ebrahimi Kalan Mohammad
- Ebrahimi Alireza
- Edinur Hisham Atan
- Efendi Ferry
- Eikemo Terje Andreas
- Eini Ebrahim
- Ekundayo Temitope Cyrus
- El Arab Rabie Adel
- El Sayed Iman
- Elamin Osman
- Elemam Noha Mousaad
- ElGohary Ghada Metwally Tawfik
- Elhadi Muhammed
- Elmeligy Omar Abdelsadek Abdou
- Elmoselhi Adel B
- Elshaer Mohammed
- Elsohaby Ibrahim
- Eltahir Mohd. Elmagzoub
- Emeto Theophilus I
- Eshrati Babak
- Eslami Majid
- Esmaeili Zahra
- Fabin Natalia
- Fagbamigbe Adeniyi Francis
- Fagbule Omotayo Francis
- Falzone Luca
- Fareed Mohammad
- Farinha Carla Sofia e Sá
- Faris MoezAlIslam Ezzat Mahmoud
- Faro Andre
- Fasihi Kiana
- Fatehizadeh Ali
- Fauk Nelsensius Klau
- Fazylov Timur
- Feigin Valery L
- Fekadu Ginenus
- Feng Xiaoqi
- Fereshtehnejad Seyed-Mohammad
- Ferrara Pietro
- Ferreira Nuno
- Firew Belete Sewasew
- Fischer Florian
- Fitriana Ida
- Flavel Joanne
- Flor Luisa S
- Folayan Morenike Oluwatoyin
- Foley Kristen Marie
- Fonzo Marco
- Force Lisa M
- Foschi Matteo
- Freitas Alberto
- Fridayani Ni Kadek Yuni
- Fukutaki Kai Glenn
- Furtado João M
- Fux Blima
- Gaal Peter Andras
- Gadanya Muktar A
- Gallus Silvano
- Ganesan Balasankar
- Ganiyani Mohammad Arfat
- Gautam Rupesh K
- Gebi Tilaye Gebru
- Gebregergis Miglas W
- Gebrehiwot Mesfin
- Getacher Lemma
- Getahun Genanew K A
- Gething Peter W
- Ghadimi Delaram J
- Ghadirian Fataneh
- Ghafarian Sadegh
- Ghailan Khalid Yaser
- Ghasemi MohammadReza
- Ghasempour Dabaghi Ghazal
- Ghazy Ramy Mohamed
- Ghoba Sama
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- Gholizadeh Nasim
- Ghorbani Vajargah Pooyan
- Ghorbani Mahsa
- Ghotbi Elena
- Gil Artyom Urievich
- Gill Tiffany K
- Girmay Alem
- Glasbey James C
- Glushkova Ekaterina Vladimirovna
- Gnedovskaya Elena V
- Goldust Mohamad
- Goleij Pouya
- Golinelli Davide
- Gopalani Sameer Vali
- Goulart Alessandra C
- Gouravani Mahdi
- Goyal Anmol
- Göbölös Laszlo
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- Hadi Najah R
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- Yiğit Arzu
- Yiğit Vahit
- Yin Dehui
- Yip Paul
- Yonemoto Naohiro
- You Yuyi
- Younis Mustafa Z
- Yu Chuanhua
- Yu Elaine A
- Yu Yong
- Yuan Chun-Wei
- Yusuf Hadiza
- Zafar Uzma
- Zafari Nima
- Zahid Mondal Hasan
- Zakham Fathiah
- Zaki Nazar
- Zerfu Taddese Alemu
- Zhang Haijun
- Zhang Jingya
- Zhang Liqun
- Zhang Yunquan
- Zhang Zhiqiang
- Zhao Xiu-Ju George
- Zhao Yang
- Zhao Zhongyi
- Zhong Chenwen
- Zhou Bolun
- Zhou Juexiao
- Zhou Shangcheng
- Zhu Bin
- Zhumagaliuly Abzal
- Zielińska Magdalena
- Zoghi Ghazal
- Zumla Alimuddin
- Zyoud Sa'ed H
- Zyoud Samer H
- Publication venue
- Publication date
- 01/01/2024
- Field of study
Background: Future trends in disease burden and drivers of health are of great interest to policy makers and the public at large. This information can be used for policy and long-term health investment, planning, and prioritisation. We have expanded and improved upon previous forecasts produced as part of the Global Burden of Diseases, Injuries, and Risk Factors Study (GBD) and provide a reference forecast (the most likely future), and alternative scenarios assessing disease burden trajectories if selected sets of risk factors were eliminated from current levels by 2050. Methods: Using forecasts of major drivers of health such as the Socio-demographic Index (SDI; a composite measure of lag-distributed income per capita, mean years of education, and total fertility under 25 years of age) and the full set of risk factor exposures captured by GBD, we provide cause-specific forecasts of mortality, years of life lost (YLLs), years lived with disability (YLDs), and disability-adjusted life-years (DALYs) by age and sex from 2022 to 2050 for 204 countries and territories, 21 GBD regions, seven super-regions, and the world. All analyses were done at the cause-specific level so that only risk factors deemed causal by the GBD comparative risk assessment influenced future trajectories of mortality for each disease. Cause-specific mortality was modelled using mixed-effects models with SDI and time as the main covariates, and the combined impact of causal risk factors as an offset in the model. At the all-cause mortality level, we captured unexplained variation by modelling residuals with an autoregressive integrated moving average model with drift attenuation. These all-cause forecasts constrained the cause-specific forecasts at successively deeper levels of the GBD cause hierarchy using cascading mortality models, thus ensuring a robust estimate of cause-specific mortality. For non-fatal measures (eg, low back pain), incidence and prevalence were forecasted from mixed-effects models with SDI as the main covariate, and YLDs were computed from the resulting prevalence forecasts and average disability weights from GBD. Alternative future scenarios were constructed by replacing appropriate reference trajectories for risk factors with hypothetical trajectories of gradual elimination of risk factor exposure from current levels to 2050. The scenarios were constructed from various sets of risk factors: environmental risks (Safer Environment scenario), risks associated with communicable, maternal, neonatal, and nutritional diseases (CMNNs; Improved Childhood Nutrition and Vaccination scenario), risks associated with major non-communicable diseases (NCDs; Improved Behavioural and Metabolic Risks scenario), and the combined effects of these three scenarios. Using the Shared Socioeconomic Pathways climate scenarios SSP2-4.5 as reference and SSP1-1.9 as an optimistic alternative in the Safer Environment scenario, we accounted for climate change impact on health by using the most recent Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change temperature forecasts and published trajectories of ambient air pollution for the same two scenarios. Life expectancy and healthy life expectancy were computed using standard methods. The forecasting framework includes computing the age-sex-specific future population for each location and separately for each scenario. 95% uncertainty intervals (UIs) for each individual future estimate were derived from the 2·5th and 97·5th percentiles of distributions generated from propagating 500 draws through the multistage computational pipeline. Findings: In the reference scenario forecast, global and super-regional life expectancy increased from 2022 to 2050, but improvement was at a slower pace than in the three decades preceding the COVID-19 pandemic (beginning in 2020). Gains in future life expectancy were forecasted to be greatest in super-regions with comparatively low life expectancies (such as sub-Saharan Africa) compared with super-regions with higher life expectancies (such as the high-income super-region), leading to a trend towards convergence in life expectancy across locations between now and 2050. At the super-region level, forecasted healthy life expectancy patterns were similar to those of life expectancies. Forecasts for the reference scenario found that health will improve in the coming decades, with all-cause age-standardised DALY rates decreasing in every GBD super-region. The total DALY burden measured in counts, however, will increase in every super-region, largely a function of population ageing and growth. We also forecasted that both DALY counts and age-standardised DALY rates will continue to shift from CMNNs to NCDs, with the most pronounced shifts occurring in sub-Saharan Africa (60·1% [95% UI 56·8–63·1] of DALYs were from CMNNs in 2022 compared with 35·8% [31·0–45·0] in 2050) and south Asia (31·7% [29·2–34·1] to 15·5% [13·7–17·5]). This shift is reflected in the leading global causes of DALYs, with the top four causes in 2050 being ischaemic heart disease, stroke, diabetes, and chronic obstructive pulmonary disease, compared with 2022, with ischaemic heart disease, neonatal disorders, stroke, and lower respiratory infections at the top. The global proportion of DALYs due to YLDs likewise increased from 33·8% (27·4–40·3) to 41·1% (33·9–48·1) from 2022 to 2050, demonstrating an important shift in overall disease burden towards morbidity and away from premature death. The largest shift of this kind was forecasted for sub-Saharan Africa, from 20·1% (15·6–25·3) of DALYs due to YLDs in 2022 to 35·6% (26·5–43·0) in 2050. In the assessment of alternative future scenarios, the combined effects of the scenarios (Safer Environment, Improved Childhood Nutrition and Vaccination, and Improved Behavioural and Metabolic Risks scenarios) demonstrated an important decrease in the global burden of DALYs in 2050 of 15·4% (13·5–17·5) compared with the reference scenario, with decreases across super-regions ranging from 10·4% (9·7–11·3) in the high-income super-region to 23·9% (20·7–27·3) in north Africa and the Middle East. The Safer Environment scenario had its largest decrease in sub-Saharan Africa (5·2% [3·5–6·8]), the Improved Behavioural and Metabolic Risks scenario in north Africa and the Middle East (23·2% [20·2–26·5]), and the Improved Nutrition and Vaccination scenario in sub-Saharan Africa (2·0% [–0·6 to 3·6]). Interpretation: Globally, life expectancy and age-standardised disease burden were forecasted to improve between 2022 and 2050, with the majority of the burden continuing to shift from CMNNs to NCDs. That said, continued progress on reducing the CMNN disease burden will be dependent on maintaining investment in and policy emphasis on CMNN disease prevention and treatment. Mostly due to growth and ageing of populations, the number of deaths and DALYs due to all causes combined will generally increase. By constructing alternative future scenarios wherein certain risk exposures are eliminated by 2050, we have shown that opportunities exist to substantially improve health outcomes in the future through concerted efforts to prevent exposure to well established risk factors and to expand access to key health interventions
Differential cross section measurements for the production of a W boson in association with jets in proton–proton collisions at √s = 7 TeV
- Author
- Abbaneo Duccio
- Abbiendi Giovanni
- Abbrescia Marcello
- Abdullin Salavat
- Abdulsalam Abdulla
- Acosta Darin
- Acosta John Gabriel
- Adair Antony
- Adam Wolfgang
- Adams Mark Raymond
- Adams Todd
- Adiguzel Aytul
- Adler Volker
- Adzic Petar
- Agram Jean-Laurent
- Ahmad Ashfaq
- Ahmad Muhammad
- Ahuja Sudha
- Akchurin Nural
- Akgun Bora
- Akin Ilina Vasileva
- Alagoz Enver
- Albajar Carmen
- Albayrak Elif Asli
- Albergo Sebastiano
- Albrow Michael
- Alcaraz Maestre Juan
- Aldaya Martin Maria
- Alderweireldt Sara
- Aldá Júnior Walter Luiz
- Aleksandrov Aleksandar
- Alexander James
- Alimena Juliette
- Alverson George
- Alves Gilvan
- Amapane Nicola
- Amsler Claude
- Anagnostou Georgios
- Anderson Jacob
- Andrea Jeremy
- Andreev Vladimir
- Andreev Yuri
- Andrews Warren
- Androsov Konstantin
- Antonelli Louis
- Antunovic Zeljko
- Apanasevich Leonard
- Apollinari Giorgio
- Appelt Eric
- Apresyan Artur
- Apyan Aram
- Arcidiacono Roberta
- Arenton Michael Wayne
- Argiro Stefano
- Arneodo Michele
- Arora Sanjay
- Asavapibhop Burin
- Asawatangtrakuldee Chayanit
- Asin Ivan
- Askew Andrew
- Aslanoglou Xenofon
- Assran Yasser
- Ata Metin
- Attikis Alexandros
- Aubin Alexandre
- Auffray Etiennette
- Autermann Christian
- Auzinger Georg
- Avdeeva Ekaterina
- Avery Paul
- Avetisyan Aram
- Avila Carlos
- Azarkin Maksim
- Azhgirey Igor
- Aziz Tariq
- Azzi Patrizia
- Azzolini Virginia
- Azzurri Paolo
- Baarmand Marc M
- Babb John
- Baber Mark
- Bacchetta Nicola
- Bachmair Felix
- Bachtis Michail
- Baden Drew
- Baffioni Stephanie
- Bagliesi Giuseppe
- Bahtiyar Hüseyin
- Baillon Paul
- Bainbridge Robert
- Bakhshiansohi Hamed
- Bakirci Mustafa Numan
- Ball Austin
- Ban Yong
- Banerjee Sudeshna
- Banerjee Sunanda
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- Bansal Sunil
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- Barberis Emanuela
- Barbieri Richard
- Barbone Lucia
- Barfuss Anne-Fleur
- Bargassa Pedrame
- Barge Derek
- Baringer Philip
- Barker Anthony
- Barlas Esra
- Barnes Virgil E
- Barnett Bruce Arnold
- Barney David
- Barone Luciano
- Barth Christian
- Bartosik Nazar
- Basegmez Suzan
- Battilana Carlo
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- Bauerdick Lothar AT
- Baumgartel Darin
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- Bazterra Victor Eduardo
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- Belknap Donald
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- Belyaev Andrey
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- Bencze Gyorgy
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- Beni Noemi
- Benitez Jose F
- Benucci Leonardo
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- Breedon Richard
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- Brigliadori Luca
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- Brinkerhoff Andrew
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- Broccolo Giuseppe
- Brochero Cifuentes Javier Andres
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- Brownson Eric
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- Chabert Eric Christian
- Chakaberia Irakli
- Chamizo Llatas Maria
- Chan Kwok Ming
- Chan Matthew
- Chang Paoti
- Chang Sunghyun
- Chang You-Hao
- Chang Yu-Wei
- Chanon Nicolas
- Chao Yuan
- Chaparro Sierra Luisa Fernanda
- Charaf Otman
- Charlot Claude
- Chasco Matthew
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- Chatterjee Avishek
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- Claes Daniel R
- Clare Robert
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- De Moraes Gregores Eduardo
- De Oliveira Martins Carley
- De Palma Mauro
- De Roeck Albert
- de Trocóniz Jorge F
- De Visscher Simon
- De Wolf Eddi A
- Degano Alessandro
- Deisher Amanda
- Deiters Konrad
- Dejardin Marc
- Del Re Daniele
- Delaere Christophe
- Delannoy Andrés G
- Delgado Peris Antonio
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- Hartl Christian
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- Hauser Jay
- Hauth Thomas
- Haytmyradov Maksat
- Heath Greg P
- Heath Helen F
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- Heilman Jesse
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- Hellwig Gregor
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- Hernandez Jose M
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- Hirosky Robert
- Hirschauer James
- Hits Dmitry
- Hobson Peter R
- Hoehle Felix
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- Hong Byung-Sik
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- Hoorani Hafeez R
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- Newbold Dave M
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- Ratnikov Fedor
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- Sirunyan Albert M
- Skatchkov Nikolai
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- Skinnari Louise
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- Smirnov Igor
- Smirnov Vitaly
- Smith Geoffrey
- Smith James
- Smith John
- Smith Vincent J
- Smith Wesley H
- Snigirev Alexander
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- Snowball Matthew
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- Spalding William J
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- Surat Ugur Emrah
- Suwonjandee Narumon
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- Tonelli Manganote Edmilson José
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- Tonjes Marguerite
- Tonwar Suresh C
- Topakli Huseyin
- Topkar Anita
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- Wagner-Kuhr Jeannine
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- Wallny Rainer
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- Waltenberger Wolfgang
- Wang Dayong
- Wang Fuqiang
- Wang Jian
- Wang Quan
- Wang Xianyou
- Wang Zheng
- Wardle Nicholas
- Wayand Stefan
- Wayne Mitchell
- Weber Hannsjoerg Artur
- Weber Hendrik
- Weber Martin
- Weber Matthias
- Weiler Thomas
- Weinberg Marc
- Welke Charles
- Wendland Lauri
- Weng Yao
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- West Christopher
- Wetzel James
- Whitbeck Andrew
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- Wickramage Nadeesha
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- Williams Thomas
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- Winn Dave
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- Won Steven
- Wood Darien
- Wood Jeffrey Scott
- Wood John
- Woodard Anna
- Woods Nathaniel
- Worm Steven
- Wright Douglas
- Wulsin Howard Wells
- Wulz Claudia-Elisabeth
- Wyslouch Bolek
- Wöhri Hermine Katharina
- Würthwein Frank
- Xiao Hong
- Xie Si
- Xie Wei
- Xu Lingshan
- Yagil Avraham
- Yalvac Metin
- Yang Fan
- Yang Mingming
- Yang Yong
- Yazgan Efe
- Yelton John
- Yetkin Taylan
- Yi Kai
- Yilmaz Yetkin
- Yohay Rachel
- Yoo Hwi Dong
- Yoo Jaehyeok
- York Andrew
- Yu Intae
- Yu Shin-Shan
- Yumiceva Francisco
- Yücel Mete
- Zabel James
- Zabi Alexandre
- Zablocki Jakub
- Zaganidis Nicolas
- Zakaria Mohammed
- Zalewski Piotr
- Zanetti Anna
- Zanetti Marco
- Zarubin Anatoli
- Zeinali Maryam
- Zenz Seth Conrad
- Zeuner Wolfram Dietrich
- Zeyrek Mehmet
- Zhang Jinzhong
- Zhang Linlin
- Zheng Yu
- Zhokin Alexander
- Zhu Ren-Yuan
- Zhukov Valery
- Zhukova Victoria
- Zito Giuseppe
- Zou Wei
- Zsigmond Anna Julia
- Zucchetta Alberto
- Zumerle Gianni
- Zuranski Andrzej
- Publication venue
- 'Elsevier BV'
- Publication date
- 01/01/2014
- Field of study
Measurements are reported of differential cross sections for the production of a W boson, which decays into a muon and a neutrino, in association with jets, as a function of several variables, including the transverse momenta (pT) and pseudorapidities of the four leading jets, the scalar sum of jet transverse momenta (HT), and the difference in azimuthal angle between the directions of each jet and the muon. The data sample of pp collisions at a centre-of-mass energy of 7 TeV was collected with the CMS detector at the LHC and corresponds to an integrated luminosity of 5.0 fb[superscript −1]. The measured cross sections are compared to predictions from Monte Carlo generators, MadGraph + pythia and sherpa, and to next-to-leading-order calculations from BlackHat + sherpa. The differential cross sections are found to be in agreement with the predictions, apart from the pT distributions of the leading jets at high pT values, the distributions of the HT at high-HT and low jet multiplicity, and the distribution of the difference in azimuthal angle between the leading jet and the muon at low values.United States. Dept. of EnergyNational Science Foundation (U.S.)Alfred P. Sloan Foundatio
Global incidence, prevalence, years lived with disability (YLDs), disability-adjusted life-years (DALYs), and healthy life expectancy (HALE) for 371 diseases and injuries in 204 countries and territories and 811 subnational locations, 1990–2021: a systematic analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2021
- Author
- Aali Amirali
- Abate Yohannes Habtegiorgis
- Abbafati Cristiana
- Abbastabar Hedayat
- Abd ElHafeez Samar
- Abd-Elsalam Sherief
- Abdelmasseh Michael
- Abdollahi Arash
- Abdullahi Auwal
- Abegaz Kedir Hussein
- Abeldaño Zuñiga Roberto Ariel
- Aboagye Richard Gyan
- Abolhassani Hassan
- Abreu Lucas Guimarães
- Abu-Gharbieh Eman
- Abu-Rmeileh Niveen ME
- Abualruz Hasan
- Ackerman Ilana N
- Addo Isaac Yeboah
- Addolorato Giovanni
- Adebiyi Akindele Olupelumi
- Adepoju Abiola Victor
- Adewuyi Habeeb Omoponle
- Afyouni Shadi
- Afzal Saira
- Afzal Sina
- Agodi Antonella
- Ahmad Aqeel
- Ahmad Danish
- Ahmad Firdos
- Ahmad Shahzaib
- Ahmed Ali
- Ahmed Luai A
- Ahmed Muktar Beshir
- Ajami Marjan
- Akinosoglou Karolina
- Akkaif Mohammed Ahmed
- Al Hasan Syed Mahfuz
- Al-Aly Ziyad
- Al-Gheethi Adel Ali Saeed
- Al-Marwani Sabah
- Al-Omari Basem
- Al-Wardat Mohammad Sami
- Al-Worafi Yaser Mohammed
- Alalalmeh Samer O
- Albashtawy Mohammed
- Aldridge Robert W
- Alemu Meseret Desalegn
- Alemu Yihun Mulugeta
- Alene Kefyalew Addis
- Alharrasi Maryam
- Alhassan Robert Kaba
- Ali Mohammed Usman
- Ali Rafat
- Ali Syed Shujait Shujait
- Alif Sheikh Mohammad
- Aljunid Syed Mohamed
- Almazan Joseph Uy
- Alomari Mahmoud A
- Altaany Zaid
- Alvis-Guzman Nelson
- Alvis-Zakzuk Nelson J
- Alwafi Hassan
- Aly Safwat
- Alzoubi Karem H
- Amare Azmeraw T
- Amegbor Prince M
- Ameyaw Edward Kwabena
- Amin Tarek Tawfik
- Amindarolzarbi Alireza
- Amiri Sohrab
- Amugsi Dickson A
- Ancuceanu Robert
- Anderlini Deanna
- Anderson David B
- Andrade Pedro Prata
- Andrei Catalina Liliana
- Ansari Hossein
- Antony Catherine M
- Anwar Saleha
- Anwar Sumadi Lukman
- Anwer Razique
- Anyanwu Philip Emeka
- Arab Juan Pablo
- Arabloo Jalal
- Arafat Mosab
- Araki Daniel T
- Aravkin Aleksandr Y
- Arkew Mesay
- Armocida Benedetta
- Arndt Michael Benjamin
- Arooj Mahwish
- Artamonov Anton A
- Aruleba Raphael Taiwo
- Arumugam Ashokan
- Ashbaugh Charlie
- Ashemo Mubarek Yesse
- Ashraf Muhammad
- Asika Marvellous O
- Askari Elaheh
- Astell-Burt Thomas
- Athari Seyyed Shamsadin
- Atorkey Prince
- Atout Maha Moh'd Wahbi
- Atreya Alok
- Aujayeb Avinash
- Ausloos Marcel
- Avan Abolfazl
- Awotidebe Adedapo Wasiu
- Awuviry-Newton Kofi
- Ayala Quintanilla Beatriz Paulina
- Ayuso-Mateos Jose L
- Azadnajafabad Sina
- Azevedo Rui M S
- Babu Abraham Samuel
- Badar Muhammad
- Badiye Ashish D
- Baghdadi Soroush
- Bagheri Nasser
- Bah Sulaiman
- Bai Ruhai
- Baker Jennifer L
- Bakkannavar Shankar M
- Bako Abdulaziz T
- Balakrishnan Senthilkumar
- Bam Kiran
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- Barua Lingkan
- Bashiri Aliabadi Somaye
- Basiru Afisu
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- Basu Saurav
- Bathini Prapthi Persis
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- Baune Bernhard T
- Bayileyegn Nebiyou Simegnew
- Behnam Babak
- Behnoush Amir Hossein
- Beiranvand Maryam
- Bejarano Ramirez Diana Fernanda
- Bell Michelle L
- Bello Olorunjuwon Omolaja
- Beloukas Apostolos
- Bensenor Isabela M
- Berezvai Zombor
- Bernabe Eduardo
- Bernstein Robert S
- Bettencourt Paulo J G
- Bhagavathula Akshaya Srikanth
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- Bhandari Dinesh
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- Bhatti Manpreet S
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- Bora Basara Berrak
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- Cerin Ester
- Chakraborty Promit Ananyo
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- Chan Raymond N C
- Chandika Rama Mohan
- Chandrasekar Eeshwar K
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- Chatzimavridou-Grigoriadou Victoria
- Chen An-Tian
- Chen Angela W
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- Chimed-Ochir Odgerel
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- Claassens Mareli M
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- Dhingra Sameer
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- Diaz Michael J
- Dima Adriana
- Ding Delaney D
- Dirac M Ashworth
- do Prado Camila Bruneli
- Do Thao Huynh Phuong
- Dohare Sushil
- Dominguez Regina-Mae Villanueva
- Dong Wanyue
- Dongarwar Deepa
- Dorsey E Ray
- Doshmangir Leila
- Dowou Robert Kokou
- Driscoll Tim Robert
- Dsouza Haneil Larson
- Dsouza Viola
- Dube John
- Dumith Samuel C
- Duncan Bruce B
- Duraes Andre Rodrigues
- Duraisamy Senbagam
- Durojaiye Oyewole Christopher
- Dzianach Paulina Agnieszka
- Dziedzic Arkadiusz Marian
- Eboreime Ejemai
- Ebrahimi Alireza
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- Edvardsson David
- Eikemo Terje Andreas
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- El Sayed Iman
- El Tantawi Maha
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- Elhadi Muhammed
- Elmeligy Omar Abdelsadek Abdou
- ELNahas Gihan
- Elshaer Mohammed
- Elsohaby Ibrahim
- Engelbert Bain Luchuo
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- Eshrati Babak
- Estep Kara
- Fabin Natalia
- Fagbamigbe Adeniyi Francis
- Falzone Luca
- Fareed Mohammad
- Farinha Carla Sofia e Sá
- Faris MoezAlIslam Ezzat Mahmoud
- Faro Andre
- Farrokhi Pegah
- Fatehizadeh Ali
- Fauk Nelsensius Klau
- Feigin Valery L
- Feng Xiaoqi
- Fereshtehnejad Seyed-Mohammad
- Feroze Abdullah Hamid
- Ferrari Alize J
- Ferreira Nuno
- Ferreira Paulo H
- Fischer Florian
- Flavel Joanne
- Flood David
- Flor Luisa S
- Foigt Nataliya A
- Folayan Morenike Oluwatoyin
- Force Lisa M
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- Freitas Alberto
- Fukumoto Takeshi
- Furtado João M
- Gaal Peter Andras
- Gadanya Muktar A
- Gaidhane Abhay Motiramji
- Gaihre Santosh
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- Ganbat Mandukhai
- Gandhi Aravind P
- Ganesan Balasankar
- Ganie Mohd Ashraf
- Ganiyani Mohammad Arfat
- Gardner William M
- Gebi Tilaye Gebru
- Gebregergis Miglas W
- Gebrehiwot Mesfin
- Gebremariam Tesfay B B
- Gebremeskel Teferi Gebru
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- Georgescu Simona Roxana
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- Ghasempour Dabaghi Ghazal
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- Ghazy Ramy Mohamed
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- Ghorbani Mahsa
- Ghotbi Elena
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- Gill Tiffany K
- Ginindza Themba G
- Girmay Alem
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- Godinho Myron Anthony
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- Goldust Mohamad
- Golechha Mahaveer
- Goleij Pouya
- Gona Philimon N
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- Goulart Alessandra C
- Göbölös Laszlo
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- Gutiérrez Reyna Alma
- Habibzadeh Farrokh
- Habibzadeh Parham
- Haddadi Rasool
- Hadi Najah R
- Haep Nils
- Hafezi-Nejad Nima
- Hafiz Abdul
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- Haque Md Nuruzzaman
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- Huynh Chantal K
- Huynh Hong-Han
- Hwang Bing-Fang
- Iannucci Vincent C
- Ihler Audrey L
- Ikiroma Adalia I
- Ikuta Kevin S
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- Ilic Irena M
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- Kanmanthareddy Arun R
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- Kantar Rami S
- Karaye Ibraheem M
- Karim Asima
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- Kasraei Hengameh
- Kassel Molly B
- Kauppila Joonas H
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- Kerr Jessica A
- Keshtkar Kamyab
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- Khater Amir M
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- Kisa Adnan
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- Larijani Bagher
- Larsson Anders O
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- Xu Yvonne Yiru
- Yadav Lalit
- Yadollahpour Ali
- Yaghoubi Sajad
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- Yang Lin
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- Yao Yao
- Yaribeygi Habib
- Yazdanpanah Mohammad Hosein
- Ye Pengpeng
- Yehualashet Sisay Shewasinad
- Yesuf Subah Abderehim
- Yezli Saber
- Yigzaw Zeamanuel Anteneh
- Yiğit Arzu
- Yiğit Vahit
- Yismaw Yazachew
- Yon Dong Keon
- Yonemoto Naohiro
- Younis Mustafa Z
- Yu Chuanhua
- Yu Yong
- Yusuf Hadiza
- Zahid Mondal Hasan
- Zakham Fathiah
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- Zaman Burhan Abdullah
- Zamora Nelson
- Zand Ramin
- Zandieh Ghazal G Z
- Zar Heather J
- Zarrintan Armin
- Zastrozhin Mikhail Sergeevich
- Zhang Haijun
- Zhang Ning
- Zhang Yunquan
- Zhao Hanqing
- Zhong Chenwen
- Zhong Panliang
- Zhou Juexiao
- Zhu Zhaohua
- Ziafati Makan
- Zielińska Magdalena
- Zimsen Stephanie R M
- Zoladl Mohammad
- Zumla Alimuddin
- Zyoud Samer H
- Publication venue
- Publication date
- 01/01/2024
- Field of study
Background: Detailed, comprehensive, and timely reporting on population health by underlying causes of disability and premature death is crucial to understanding and responding to complex patterns of disease and injury burden over time and across age groups, sexes, and locations. The availability of disease burden estimates can promote evidence-based interventions that enable public health researchers, policy makers, and other professionals to implement strategies that can mitigate diseases. It can also facilitate more rigorous monitoring of progress towards national and international health targets, such as the Sustainable Development Goals. For three decades, the Global Burden of Diseases, Injuries, and Risk Factors Study (GBD) has filled that need. A global network of collaborators contributed to the production of GBD 2021 by providing, reviewing, and analysing all available data. GBD estimates are updated routinely with additional data and refined analytical methods. GBD 2021 presents, for the first time, estimates of health loss due to the COVID-19 pandemic. Methods: The GBD 2021 disease and injury burden analysis estimated years lived with disability (YLDs), years of life lost (YLLs), disability-adjusted life-years (DALYs), and healthy life expectancy (HALE) for 371 diseases and injuries using 100 983 data sources. Data were extracted from vital registration systems, verbal autopsies, censuses, household surveys, disease-specific registries, health service contact data, and other sources. YLDs were calculated by multiplying cause-age-sex-location-year-specific prevalence of sequelae by their respective disability weights, for each disease and injury. YLLs were calculated by multiplying cause-age-sex-location-year-specific deaths by the standard life expectancy at the age that death occurred. DALYs were calculated by summing YLDs and YLLs. HALE estimates were produced using YLDs per capita and age-specific mortality rates by location, age, sex, year, and cause. 95% uncertainty intervals (UIs) were generated for all final estimates as the 2·5th and 97·5th percentiles values of 500 draws. Uncertainty was propagated at each step of the estimation process. Counts and age-standardised rates were calculated globally, for seven super-regions, 21 regions, 204 countries and territories (including 21 countries with subnational locations), and 811 subnational locations, from 1990 to 2021. Here we report data for 2010 to 2021 to highlight trends in disease burden over the past decade and through the first 2 years of the COVID-19 pandemic. Findings: Global DALYs increased from 2·63 billion (95% UI 2·44–2·85) in 2010 to 2·88 billion (2·64–3·15) in 2021 for all causes combined. Much of this increase in the number of DALYs was due to population growth and ageing, as indicated by a decrease in global age-standardised all-cause DALY rates of 14·2% (95% UI 10·7–17·3) between 2010 and 2019. Notably, however, this decrease in rates reversed during the first 2 years of the COVID-19 pandemic, with increases in global age-standardised all-cause DALY rates since 2019 of 4·1% (1·8–6·3) in 2020 and 7·2% (4·7–10·0) in 2021. In 2021, COVID-19 was the leading cause of DALYs globally (212·0 million [198·0–234·5] DALYs), followed by ischaemic heart disease (188·3 million [176·7–198·3]), neonatal disorders (186·3 million [162·3–214·9]), and stroke (160·4 million [148·0–171·7]). However, notable health gains were seen among other leading communicable, maternal, neonatal, and nutritional (CMNN) diseases. Globally between 2010 and 2021, the age-standardised DALY rates for HIV/AIDS decreased by 47·8% (43·3–51·7) and for diarrhoeal diseases decreased by 47·0% (39·9–52·9). Non-communicable diseases contributed 1·73 billion (95% UI 1·54–1·94) DALYs in 2021, with a decrease in age-standardised DALY rates since 2010 of 6·4% (95% UI 3·5–9·5). Between 2010 and 2021, among the 25 leading Level 3 causes, age-standardised DALY rates increased most substantially for anxiety disorders (16·7% [14·0–19·8]), depressive disorders (16·4% [11·9–21·3]), and diabetes (14·0% [10·0–17·4]). Age-standardised DALY rates due to injuries decreased globally by 24·0% (20·7–27·2) between 2010 and 2021, although improvements were not uniform across locations, ages, and sexes. Globally, HALE at birth improved slightly, from 61·3 years (58·6–63·6) in 2010 to 62·2 years (59·4–64·7) in 2021. However, despite this overall increase, HALE decreased by 2·2% (1·6–2·9) between 2019 and 2021. Interpretation: Putting the COVID-19 pandemic in the context of a mutually exclusive and collectively exhaustive list of causes of health loss is crucial to understanding its impact and ensuring that health funding and policy address needs at both local and global levels through cost-effective and evidence-based interventions. A global epidemiological transition remains underway. Our findings suggest that prioritising non-communicable disease prevention and treatment policies, as well as strengthening health systems, continues to be crucially important. The progress on reducing the burden of CMNN diseases must not stall; although global trends are improving, the burden of CMNN diseases remains unacceptably high. Evidence-based interventions will help save the lives of young children and mothers and improve the overall health and economic conditions of societies across the world. Governments and multilateral organisations should prioritise pandemic preparedness planning alongside efforts to reduce the burden of diseases and injuries that will strain resources in the coming decades. Funding: Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation
Penilaian Kinerja Keuangan Koperasi di Kabupaten Pelalawan
- Author
- Abbaneo Duccio
- Abbiendi Giovanni
- Abbrescia Marcello
- Abdelalim Ahmed Ali
- Abdullin Salavat
- Abdulsalam Abdulla
- Acosta Darin
- Acosta John Gabriel
- Adair Antony
- Adam Wolfgang
- Adams Mark Raymond
- Adams Todd
- Adiguzel Aytul
- Adler Volker
- Adzic Petar
- Afanasiev Serguei
- Agram Jean-Laurent
- Aguilar-Benitez Manuel
- Ahmad Muhammad
- Ahuja Sudha
- Akchurin Nural
- Akgun Bora
- Akgun Ugur
- Akin Ilina Vasileva
- Alagoz Enver
- Albajar Carmen
- Albayrak Elif Asli
- Albergo Sebastiano
- Albrow Michael
- Alcaraz Maestre Juan
- Aldaya Martin Maria
- Alderweireldt Sara
- Aldá Júnior Walter Luiz
- Alexander James
- Aliev Takhmasib
- Alimena Juliette
- Almeida Nuno
- Alverson George
- Alves Gilvan
- Amapane Nicola
- Amsler Claude
- Anagnostou Georgios
- Anastassov Anton
- Anderson Jacob
- Andrea Jeremy
- Andreev Valeri
- Andreev Vladimir
- Andreev Yuri
- Andrews Warren
- Androsov Konstantin
- Antonelli Louis
- Antunovic Zeljko
- Apanasevich Leonard
- Apollinari Giorgio
- Appelt Eric
- Apresyan Artur
- Apyan Aram
- Arcidiacono Roberta
- Arenton Michael Wayne
- Arfaei Hessamaddin
- Argiro Stefano
- Arneodo Michele
- Arora Sanjay
- Asavapibhop Burin
- Asawatangtrakuldee Chayanit
- Asghar Muhammad Irfan
- Asin Ivan
- Askew Andrew
- Aslanoglou Xenofon
- Assran Yasser
- Ata Metin
- Attikis Alexandros
- Auffray Etiennette
- Autermann Christian Tobias
- Auzinger Georg
- Avdeeva Ekaterina
- Avery Paul
- Avetisyan Aram
- Avila Carlos
- Azarkin Maksim
- Azhgirey Igor
- Aziz Tariq
- Azzi Patrizia
- Azzolini Virginia
- Azzurri Paolo
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- Yoo Hwi Dong
- Yoo Jaehyeok
- Yoon Sungho
- York Andrew
- Yu Intae
- Yu Shin-Shan
- Yumiceva Francisco
- Yun Jae Chul
- Yücel Mete
- Zabel James
- Zabi Alexandre
- Zablocki Jakub
- Zaganidis Nicolas
- Zakaria Mohammed
- Zalewski Piotr
- Zanetti Anna
- Zanetti Marco
- Zarubin Anatoli
- Zeinali Maryam
- Zeise Manuel
- Zenz Seth Conrad
- Zeuner Wolfram Dietrich
- Zeyrek Mehmet
- Zhang Jinzhong
- Zhang Linlin
- Zheng Yu
- Zhokin Alexander
- Zhu Ren-Yuan
- Zhukov Valery
- Zhukova Victoria
- Zielinski Marek
- Zito Giuseppe
- Zotto Pierluigi
- Zou Wei
- Zsigmond Anna Julia
- Zucchetta Alberto
- Zumerle Gianni
- Zuranski Andrzej
- Publication venue
- Riau University
- Publication date
- 01/01/2009
- Field of study
This paper describe development and financial performance of cooperative in District Pelalawan among 2007 - 2008. Studies on primary and secondary cooperative in 12 sub-districts. Method in this stady use performance measuring of productivity, efficiency, growth, liquidity, and solvability of cooperative. Productivity of cooperative in Pelalawan was highly but efficiency still low. Profit and income were highly, even liquidity of cooperative very high, and solvability was good
Global age-sex-specific mortality, life expectancy, and population estimates in 204 countries and territories and 811 subnational locations, 1950–2021, and the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic: a comprehensive demographic analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2021
- Author
- Aali Amirali
- Abbafati Cristiana
- Abbas Jaffar
- Abbasgholizadeh Rouzbeh
- Abbasi Madineh Akram
- Abbasian Mohammadreza
- Abd ElHafeez Samar
- Abd-Elsalam Sherief
- Abdelmasseh Michael
- Abdelwahab Ahmed
- Abdollahi Mohammad
- Abdoun Meriem
- Abdullahi Auwal
- Abdurehman Ame Mehadi
- Abebe Mesfin
- Abedi Aidin
- Abedi Armita
- Abegaz Tadesse M
- Abeldaño Zuñiga Roberto Ariel
- Abhilash E S
- Abiodun Olugbenga Olusola
- Aboagye Richard Gyan
- Abolhassani Hassan
- Abouzid Mohamed
- Abreu Lucas Guimarães
- Abrha Woldu Aberhe
- Abrigo Michael R M
- Abtahi Dariush
- Abu Rumeileh Samir
- Abu-Rmeileh Niveen ME
- Abu-Zaid Ahmed
- Aburuz Salahdein
- Acuna Juan Manuel
- Adair Tim
- Addo Isaac Yeboah
- Adebayo Oladimeji M
- Adegboye Oyelola A
- Adekanmbi Victor
- Aden Bashir
- Adepoju Abiola Victor
- Adetunji Charles Oluwaseun
- Adeyeoluwa Temitayo Esther
- Adeyomoye Olorunsola Israel
- Adha Rishan
- Adibi Amin
- Adikusuma Wirawan
- Adnani Qorinah Estiningtyas Sakilah
- Adra Saryia
- Afework Abel
- Afolabi Aanuoluwapo Adeyimika
- Afraz Ali
- Afyouni Shadi
- Afzal Saira
- Agasthi Pradyumna
- Aghamiri Shahin
- Agodi Antonella
- Agyemang-Duah Williams
- Ahinkorah Bright Opoku
- Ahmad Aqeel
- Ahmad Danish
- Ahmad Firdos
- Ahmad Muayyad M
- Ahmad Tauseef
- Ahmadi Keivan
- Ahmadzade Amir Mahmoud
- Ahmadzade Mohadese
- Ahmed Ayman
- Ahmed Haroon
- Ahmed Luai A
- Ahmed Muktar Beshir
- Ahmed Syed Anees
- Ajami Marjan
- Aji Budi
- Ajumobi Olufemi
- Akalu Gizachew Taddesse
- Akara Essona Matatom
- Akinosoglou Karolina
- Akkala Sreelatha
- Akyirem Samuel
- Al Hamad Hanadi
- Al Hasan Syed Mahfuz
- Al Homsi Ammar
- Al Qadire Mohammad
- AL-Ahdal Tareq Mohammed Ali
- Al-Aly Ziyad
- Al-amer Rasmieh Mustafa
- Al-Eyadhy Ayman
- Al-Gheethi Adel Ali Saeed
- Al-Hanawi Mohammed Khaled
- Al-Jumaily Adel
- Al-Marwani Sabah
- Al-Maweri Sadeq Ali Ali
- Al-Mekhlafi Hesham M
- Al-Sabah Salman Khalifah
- Al-Tawfiq Jaffar A
- Al-Worafi Yaser Mohammed
- Ala Moein
- Aladelusi Timothy Olukunle
- Alalalmeh Samer O
- Alam Khurshid
- Alam Manjurul
- Alam Zufishan
- Alanezi Fahad Mashhour
- Alanzi Turki M
- Albashtawy Mohammed
- AlBataineh Mohammad T
- Aldridge Robert W
- Alemi Sharifullah
- Alhabib Khalid F
- Alhalaiqa Fadwa Alhalaiqa Naji
- Ali Abid
- Ali Akhtar
- Ali Beriwan Abdulqadir
- Ali Hassam
- Ali Mohammed Usman
- Ali Rafat
- Ali Syed Shujait Shujait
- Ali Zahid
- Alian Samakkhah Shohreh
- Alicandro Gianfranco
- Alif Sheikh Mohammad
- Aligol Mohammad
- Alimi Rasoul
- Aliyi Ahmednur Adem
- Aljunid Syed Mohamed
- Almahmeed Wael
- Almazan Joseph Uy
- Almidani Omar
- Alomari Mahmoud A
- Alonso Nivaldo
- Alqahtani Jaber S
- Alqutaibi Ahmed Yaseen
- Altaf Awais
- Altirkawi Khalid A
- Alvi Farrukh Jawad
- Alwafi Hassan
- Aly Hany
- Alzoubi Karem H
- Amare Azmeraw T
- Ameyaw Edward Kwabena
- Amhare Abebe Feyissa
- Amin Tarek Tawfik
- Amindarolzarbi Alireza
- Aminian Dehkordi Javad
- Amiri Sohrab
- Amu Hubert
- Amugsi Dickson A
- Amzat Jimoh
- Ancuceanu Robert
- Anderlini Deanna
- Andrade Pedro Prata
- Andrei Catalina Liliana
- Andrei Tudorel
- Angappan Dhanalakshmi
- Anil Abhishek
- Anjum Afifa
- Antony Catherine M
- Antriyandarti Ernoiz
- Anuoluwa Iyadunni Adesola
- Anwar Sumadi Lukman
- Anyasodor Anayochukwu Edward
- Appiah Seth Christopher Yaw
- Aqeel Muhammad
- Arab-Zozani Morteza
- Arabloo Jalal
- Arabzadeh Bahri Razman
- Arafat Mosab
- Araújo Ana Margarida
- Aravkin Aleksandr Y
- Aremu Abdulfatai
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- Aripov Timur
- Armocida Benedetta
- Arooj Mahwish
- Artamonov Anton A
- Artanti Kurnia Dwi
- Arulappan Judie
- Aruleba Idowu Thomas
- Aruleba Raphael Taiwo
- Arumugam Ashokan
- Asaad Malke
- Asgary Saeed
- Ashemo Mubarek Yesse
- Ashraf Muhammad
- Asika Marvellous O
- Athari Seyyed Shamsadin
- Atout Maha Moh'd Wahbi
- Atreya Alok
- Attia Sameh
- Aujayeb Avinash
- Avan Abolfazl
- Awotidebe Adedapo Wasiu
- Ayala Quintanilla Beatriz Paulina
- Ayanore Martin Amogre
- Ayele Getnet Melaku
- Ayuso-Mateos Jose L
- Ayyoubzadeh Seyed Mohammad
- Azadnajafabad Sina
- Azhar Gulrez Shah
- Aziz Shahkaar
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- Badar Muhammad
- Badawi Alaa
- Badiye Ashish D
- Baghdadi Soroush
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- Bai Jianjun
- Bai Ruhai
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- Baltatu Ovidiu Constantin
- Bam Kiran
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- Banik Palash Chandra
- Bansal Hansi
- Barati Shirin
- Barchitta Martina
- Bardhan Mainak
- Barker-Collo Suzanne Lyn
- Barone-Adesi Francesco
- Barqawi Hiba Jawdat
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- Basharat Zarrin
- Bashir Asma'u I J
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- Bayati Mohsen
- Bayileyegn Nebiyou Simegnew
- Beaney Thomas
- Bedi Neeraj
- Begum Tahmina
- Behboudi Emad
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- Beiranvand Maryam
- Bejarano Ramirez Diana Fernanda
- Belgaumi Uzma Iqbal
- Bell Michelle L
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- Bello Muhammad Bashir
- Bello Olorunjuwon Omolaja
- Belo Luis
- Beloukas Apostolos
- Bendak Salaheddine
- Bennett Derrick A
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- Benzian Habib
- Berezvai Zombor
- Berman Adam E
- Bermudez Amiel Nazer C
- Bettencourt Paulo J G
- Beyene Habtamu B
- Beyene Kebede A
- Bhagat Devidas S
- Bhagavathula Akshaya Srikanth
- Bhala Neeraj
- Bhalla Ashish
- Bhandari Dinesh
- Bhardwaj Nikha
- Bhardwaj Pankaj
- Bhardwaj Prarthna V
- Bhargava Ashish
- Bhaskar Sonu
- Bhat Vivek
- Bhatti Gurjit Kaur
- Bhatti Jasvinder Singh
- Bhatti Manpreet S
- Bhatti Rajbir
- Bhutta Zulfiqar A
- Bikbov Boris
- Binmadi Nada
- Bintoro Bagas Suryo
- Biondi Antonio
- Bisignano Catherine
- Bisulli Francesca
- Biswas Atanu
- Biswas Raaj Kishore
- Bitaraf Saeid
- Bjørge Tone
- Bleyer Archie
- Boampong Mary Sefa
- Bodolica Virginia
- Bodunrin Aadam Olalekan
- Bolarinwa Obasanjo Afolabi
- Bonakdar Hashemi Milad
- Bonny Aime
- Bora Basara Berrak
- Bora Kaustubh
- Borodo Safiya Bala
- Borschmann Rohan
- Botero Carvajal Alejandro
- Bouaoud Souad
- Boudalia Sofiane
- Boyko Edward J
- Bragazzi Nicola Luigi
- Braithwaite Dejana
- Brenner Hermann
- Britton Gabrielle
- Browne Annie J
- Brunoni Andre R
- Bulamu Norma B
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- Buonsenso Danilo
- Burkart Katrin
- Burns Richard A
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- Butt Zahid A
- Caetano dos Santos Florentino Luciano
- Cai Tianji
- Calina Daniela
- Campos Luciana Aparecida
- Campos-Nonato Ismael R
- Cao Chao
- Cardenas Carlos Alberto
- Carr Sinclair
- Carreras Giulia
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- Carvalho Márcia
- Castaldelli-Maia Joao Mauricio
- Castañeda-Orjuela Carlos A
- Castelpietra Giulio
- Catalá-López Ferrán
- Catapano Alberico L
- Cattaruzza Maria Sofia
- Caye Arthur
- Cámera Luis Alberto
- Cárdenas Rosario
- Cederroth Christopher R
- Cembranel Francieli
- Cenderadewi Muthia
- Cercy Kelly M
- Cerin Ester
- Cevik Muge
- Chacón-Uscamaita Pamela R Uscamaita
- Chahine Yaacoub
- Chakraborty Chiranjib
- Chan Jeffrey Shi Kai
- Chang Chin-Kuo
- Charalampous Periklis
- Charan Jaykaran
- Chattu Vijay Kumar
- Chatzimavridou-Grigoriadou Victoria
- Chavula Malizgani Paul
- Cheema Huzaifa Ahmad
- Chen An-Tian
- Chen Haowei
- Chen Lingxiao
- Chen Meng Xuan
- Chen Simiao
- Cherbuin Nicolas
- Chew Derek S
- Chi Gerald
- Chirinos-Caceres Jesus Lorenzo
- Chitheer Abdulaal
- Cho So Mi Jemma
- Cho William C S
- Chong Bryan
- Chopra Hitesh
- Choudhary Rahul
- Chowdhury Rajiv
- Chu Dinh-Toi
- Chukwu Isaac Sunday
- Chung Eric
- Chung Eunice
- Chung Sheng-Chia
- Cini Karly I
- Clark Cain C T
- Coberly Kaleb
- Columbus Alyssa
- Comfort Haley
- Conde Joao
- Conti Sara
- Cortesi Paolo Angelo
- Costa Vera Marisa
- Cousin Ewerton
- Cowden Richard G
- Criqui Michael H
- Cruz-Martins Natália
- Culbreth Garland T
- Cullen Patricia
- Cunningham Matthew
- D'Amico Emanuele
- da Silva e Silva Daniel
- Dadana Sriharsha
- Dadras Omid
- Dai Zhaoli
- Dalal Koustuv
- Dalli Lachlan L
- Damiani Giovanni
- Daneshvar Sara
- Darwesh Aso Mohammad
- Das Jai K
- Das Saswati
- Dash Nihar Ranjan
- Dashti Mohsen
- Davis Weaver Nicole
- Davletov Kairat
- Dávila-Cervantes Claudio Alberto
- De Leo Diego
- Debele Aklilu Tamire
- Degenhardt Louisa
- Dehbandi Reza
- Deitesfeld Lee
- Delgado-Enciso Ivan
- Delgado-Ortiz Laura
- Demant Daniel
- Demessa Berecha Hundessa
- Demetriades Andreas K
- Deng Xinlei
- Denova-Gutiérrez Edgar
- Deribe Kebede
- Dervenis Nikolaos
- Des Jarlais Don C
- Desai Hardik Dineshbhai
- Desai Rupak
- Deuba Keshab
- Devanbu Vinoth Gnana Chellaiyan
- Dey Sourav
- Dhali Arkadeep
- Dhama Kuldeep
- Dhimal Mandira Lamichhane
- Dhimal Meghnath
- Dhingra Sameer
- Dias da Silva Diana
- Diaz Daniel
- Dima Adriana
- Ding Delaney D
- Dirac M Ashworth
- Dixit Abhinav
- Dixit Shilpi Gupta
- do Prado Camila Bruneli
- Do Thanh Chi
- Do Thao Huynh Phuong
- Dodangeh Masoud
- Dokova Klara Georgieva
- Dolecek Christiane
- Dorsey E Ray
- dos Santos Wendel Mombaque
- Doshi Rajkumar
- Doshmangir Leila
- Douiri Abdel
- Dowou Robert Kokou
- Driscoll Tim Robert
- Dsouza Haneil Larson
- Dube John
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- Dunachie Susanna J
- Duncan Bruce B
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- Duraisamy Senbagam
- Durojaiye Oyewole Christopher
- Dutta Sulagna
- Dzianach Paulina Agnieszka
- Dziedzic Arkadiusz Marian
- Ebenezer Oluwakemi
- Eboreime Ejemai
- Ebrahimi Alireza
- Echieh Chidiebere Peter
- Ed-Dra Abdelaziz
- Edinur Hisham Atan
- Edvardsson David
- Edvardsson Kristina
- Efendi Defi
- Efendi Ferry
- Eghdami Shayan
- Eikemo Terje Andreas
- Eini Ebrahim
- Ekholuenetale Michael
- Ekpor Emmanuel
- Ekundayo Temitope Cyrus
- El Arab Rabie Adel
- El Morsi Doaa Abdel Wahab
- El Sayed Zaki Maysaa
- El Tantawi Maha
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- Elhadi Muhammed
- Elmeligy Omar Abdelsadek Abdou
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- Elsohaby Ibrahim
- Emami Zeydi Amir
- Emamverdi Mehdi
- Emeto Theophilus I
- Engelbert Bain Luchuo
- Erkhembayar Ryenchindorj
- Eshetie Tesfahun C
- Eskandarieh Sharareh
- Espinosa-Montero Juan
- Estep Kara
- Etaee Farshid
- Eze Ugochukwu Anthony
- Fabin Natalia
- Fadaka Adewale Oluwaseun
- Fagbamigbe Adeniyi Francis
- Fahimi Saman
- Falzone Luca
- Farinha Carla Sofia e Sá
- Faris MoezAlIslam Ezzat Mahmoud
- Farjoud Kouhanjani Mohsen
- Faro Andre
- Farrokhpour Hossein
- Fatehizadeh Ali
- Fattahi Hamed
- Fauk Nelsensius Klau
- Fazeli Pooria
- Feigin Valery L
- Fekadu Ginenus
- Fereshtehnejad Seyed-Mohammad
- Feroze Abdullah Hamid
- Ferrante Daniela
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- Ferreira Nuno
- Fetensa Getahun
- Filip Irina
- Fischer Florian
- Flavel Joanne
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- Gaipov Abduzhappar
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- Galehdar Nasrin
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- Ganesan Balasankar
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- Gautam Prem
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- Gazzelloni Federica
- Gebregergis Miglas W
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- Gerema Urge
- Getachew Motuma Erena
- Getachew Tamirat
- Gething Peter W
- Ghafourifard Mansour
- Ghahramani Sulmaz
- Ghailan Khalid Yaser
- Ghajar Alireza
- Ghanbarnia Mohammad Javad
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- Ghassemi Fariba
- Ghazy Ramy Mohamed
- Ghimire Sailaja
- Gholamian Asadollah
- Gholamrezanezhad Ali
- Ghorbani Vajargah Pooyan
- Ghozali Ghozali
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- Gupta Veer Bala
- Gupta Vijai Kumar
- Gupta Vivek Kumar
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- Hosseinzadeh Hassan
- Hosseinzadeh Mehdi
- Hostiuc Mihaela
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- Hsairi Mohamed
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- Hu Chengxi
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- Kaambwa Billingsley
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- Kayibanda Jeanne Françoise
- Kayode Gbenga A
- Kazemi Foad
- Kazemian Sina
- Kazeminia sara
- Keikavoosi-Arani Leila
- Keller Cathleen
- Kempen John H
- Kerr Jessica A
- Kesse-Guyot Emmanuelle
- Keykhaei Mohammad
- Khadembashiri Mohamad Mehdi
- Khadembashiri Mohammad Amin
- Khafaie Morteza Abdullatif
- Khajuria Himanshu
- Khalafi Mohammad
- Khalaji Amirmohammad
- Khalid Nauman
- Khalil Ibrahim A
- Khamesipour Faham
- Khan suheb Mahammed Ziauddin
- Khan Asaduzzaman
- Khan Gulfaraz
- Khan Ikramullah
- Khan Imteyaz A
- Khan Maseer
- Khan Moien AB
- Khan Taimoor
- Khanmohammadi Shaghayegh
- Khatab Khaled
- Khatami Fatemeh
- Khavandegar Armin
- Khayat Kashani Hamid Reza
- Kheirallah Khalid A
- Khidri Feriha Fatima
- Khodadoust Elaheh
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- Westerman Ronny
- Wickramasinghe Dakshitha Praneeth
- Wickramasinghe Nuwan Darshana
- Wijeratne Tissa
- Wilson Shadrach
- Wojewodzic Marcin W
- Wool Eve E
- Woolf Anthony D
- Wu Dongze
- Wulandari Ratna Dwi
- Xiao Hong
- Xu Bin
- Xu Xiaoyue
- Yadav Lalit
- Yaghoubi Sajad
- Yang Lin
- Yano Yuichiro
- Yao Yao
- Ye Pengpeng
- Yesera Gesila Endashaw
- Yesodharan Renjulal
- Yesuf Subah Abderehim
- Yiğit Arzu
- Yiğit Vahit
- Yip Paul
- Yon Dong Keon
- Yonemoto Naohiro
- You Yuyi
- Younis Mustafa Z
- Yu Chuanhua
- Zadey Siddhesh
- Zadnik Vesna
- Zafari Nima
- Zahedi Mohammad
- Zahid Muhammad Nauman
- Zahir Mazyar
- Zakham Fathiah
- Zaki Nazar
- Zakzuk Josefina
- Zamagni Giulia
- Zaman Burhan Abdullah
- Zaman Sojib Bin
- Zamora Nelson
- Zand Ramin
- Zandi Milad
- Zandieh Ghazal G Z
- Zanghì Aurora
- Zare Iman
- Zastrozhin Mikhail Sergeevich
- Zeariya Mohammed G M
- Zeng Youjie
- Zhai Chunxia
- Zhang Chen
- Zhang Haijun
- Zhang Hongwei
- Zhang Yunquan
- Zhang Zhaofeng
- Zhang Zhenyu
- Zhao Hanqing
- Zhao Yang
- Zhao Yong
- Zheng Peng
- Zhong Chenwen
- Zhou Juexiao
- Zhu Bin
- Zhu Zhaohua
- Ziaeefar Pardis
- Zielińska Magdalena
- Zou Zhiyong
- Zumla Alimuddin
- Zweck Elric
- Zyoud Samer H
- Publication venue
- Publication date
- 01/01/2024
- Field of study
Background: Estimates of demographic metrics are crucial to assess levels and trends of population health outcomes. The profound impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on populations worldwide has underscored the need for timely estimates to understand this unprecedented event within the context of long-term population health trends. The Global Burden of Diseases, Injuries, and Risk Factors Study (GBD) 2021 provides new demographic estimates for 204 countries and territories and 811 additional subnational locations from 1950 to 2021, with a particular emphasis on changes in mortality and life expectancy that occurred during the 2020–21 COVID-19 pandemic period. Methods: 22 223 data sources from vital registration, sample registration, surveys, censuses, and other sources were used to estimate mortality, with a subset of these sources used exclusively to estimate excess mortality due to the COVID-19 pandemic. 2026 data sources were used for population estimation. Additional sources were used to estimate migration; the effects of the HIV epidemic; and demographic discontinuities due to conflicts, famines, natural disasters, and pandemics, which are used as inputs for estimating mortality and population. Spatiotemporal Gaussian process regression (ST-GPR) was used to generate under-5 mortality rates, which synthesised 30 763 location-years of vital registration and sample registration data, 1365 surveys and censuses, and 80 other sources. ST-GPR was also used to estimate adult mortality (between ages 15 and 59 years) based on information from 31 642 location-years of vital registration and sample registration data, 355 surveys and censuses, and 24 other sources. Estimates of child and adult mortality rates were then used to generate life tables with a relational model life table system. For countries with large HIV epidemics, life tables were adjusted using independent estimates of HIV-specific mortality generated via an epidemiological analysis of HIV prevalence surveys, antenatal clinic serosurveillance, and other data sources. Excess mortality due to the COVID-19 pandemic in 2020 and 2021 was determined by subtracting observed all-cause mortality (adjusted for late registration and mortality anomalies) from the mortality expected in the absence of the pandemic. Expected mortality was calculated based on historical trends using an ensemble of models. In location-years where all-cause mortality data were unavailable, we estimated excess mortality rates using a regression model with covariates pertaining to the pandemic. Population size was computed using a Bayesian hierarchical cohort component model. Life expectancy was calculated using age-specific mortality rates and standard demographic methods. Uncertainty intervals (UIs) were calculated for every metric using the 25th and 975th ordered values from a 1000-draw posterior distribution. Findings: Global all-cause mortality followed two distinct patterns over the study period: age-standardised mortality rates declined between 1950 and 2019 (a 62·8% [95% UI 60·5–65·1] decline), and increased during the COVID-19 pandemic period (2020–21; 5·1% [0·9–9·6] increase). In contrast with the overall reverse in mortality trends during the pandemic period, child mortality continued to decline, with 4·66 million (3·98–5·50) global deaths in children younger than 5 years in 2021 compared with 5·21 million (4·50–6·01) in 2019. An estimated 131 million (126–137) people died globally from all causes in 2020 and 2021 combined, of which 15·9 million (14·7–17·2) were due to the COVID-19 pandemic (measured by excess mortality, which includes deaths directly due to SARS-CoV-2 infection and those indirectly due to other social, economic, or behavioural changes associated with the pandemic). Excess mortality rates exceeded 150 deaths per 100 000 population during at least one year of the pandemic in 80 countries and territories, whereas 20 nations had a negative excess mortality rate in 2020 or 2021, indicating that all-cause mortality in these countries was lower during the pandemic than expected based on historical trends. Between 1950 and 2021, global life expectancy at birth increased by 22·7 years (20·8–24·8), from 49·0 years (46·7–51·3) to 71·7 years (70·9–72·5). Global life expectancy at birth declined by 1·6 years (1·0–2·2) between 2019 and 2021, reversing historical trends. An increase in life expectancy was only observed in 32 (15·7%) of 204 countries and territories between 2019 and 2021. The global population reached 7·89 billion (7·67–8·13) people in 2021, by which time 56 of 204 countries and territories had peaked and subsequently populations have declined. The largest proportion of population growth between 2020 and 2021 was in sub-Saharan Africa (39·5% [28·4–52·7]) and south Asia (26·3% [9·0–44·7]). From 2000 to 2021, the ratio of the population aged 65 years and older to the population aged younger than 15 years increased in 188 (92·2%) of 204 nations. Interpretation: Global adult mortality rates markedly increased during the COVID-19 pandemic in 2020 and 2021, reversing past decreasing trends, while child mortality rates continued to decline, albeit more slowly than in earlier years. Although COVID-19 had a substantial impact on many demographic indicators during the first 2 years of the pandemic, overall global health progress over the 72 years evaluated has been profound, with considerable improvements in mortality and life expectancy. Additionally, we observed a deceleration of global population growth since 2017, despite steady or increasing growth in lower-income countries, combined with a continued global shift of population age structures towards older ages. These demographic changes will likely present future challenges to health systems, economies, and societies. The comprehensive demographic estimates reported here will enable researchers, policy makers, health practitioners, and other key stakeholders to better understand and address the profound changes that have occurred in the global health landscape following the first 2 years of the COVID-19 pandemic, and longer-term trends beyond the pandemic
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