Modified Hatch Score Predicts 6-Month Recurrence of Atrial Fibrillation after Pulmonary Vein Isolation: Data from the University Of Massachusetts Atrial Fibrillation Registry

AIMS: Pre-procedural identification of patients with atrial fibrillation (AF) who will benefit most from pulmonary vein isolation remains challenging. The HATCH score [Hypertension x1 + Age≥75 x1 + Thrombo-embolic event x2, COPD x1, Heart failure x2] has been associated with progression of AF and recently with adverse outcomes after catheter ablation. However, data regarding the HATCH score are limited. This study aimed to evaluate the performance of a modified HATCH scoring system, including pre-procedural obstructive sleep apnea as an additional risk element, compared to the CHADS risk score as a predictor of AF recurrence after an index pulmonary vein isolation procedure for AF. METHODS AND RESULTS: Seventy eight patients (48 men, mean age 60 ± 1.1 years) with paroxysmal or persistent AF underwent an index pulmonary vein isolation procedure between 2010 and 2014 using either radiofrequency (n=64) or cryoballoon (n = 14). Over a 6-month follow-up period, 35 patients had recurrence (44.9%) when monitored using Holter monitoring and in-office ECGs. The modified HATCH score was associated on univariate testing with AF recurrence. In multivariate logistic regression analyses including factors known to be associated with AF recurrence, the modified HATCH score (p: 0.03) was independently associated with AF recurrence and showed superior test characteristics using ROC curve analysis (C statistic = 0.64 for modified HATCH vs. 0.55 for CHADS2). The difference between the modified HATCH and the CHADS2 scores in predicting recurrence was not statistically significant (p = 0.8). CONCLUSIONS: AF recurred in 44% of patients over a 6-month follow-up. A modified HATCH including OSA successfully identified individuals at risk for 6-month recurrence. Further research is needed including larger cohorts of patients undergoing ablation and followed for more extended periods to further validate the performance of the modified HATCH score

Plasma microRNAs are Associated with Atrial Fibrillation (the miRhythm Study) and Change After Catheter-ablation

Background: Atrial fibrillation (AF) is the most common dysrhythmia in the U.S. and Europe. Few biomarkers exist to identify individuals at risk for AF. Cardiac microRNAs (miRNAs) have been implicated in susceptibility to AF and are detectable in the circulation. Nevertheless, data are limited on how circulating levels of miRNAs relate to AF or change over time after catheter- ablation. Methods: In 211 miRhythm participants (112 with paroxysmal or persistent AF; 99 without AF), we quantified plasma expression of 86 miRNAs associated with cardiac remodeling or disease by high-throughput quantitative reverse-transcriptase polymerase chain reaction (qRT-PCR). We used qRT-PCR to examine change in plasma miRNA expression from baseline to 1-month after ablation in 47 participants. We also quantified expression of the 20 most variable miRNAs in atrial tissue in 31 participants undergoing cardiac surgery. Results: The mean age of the miRhythm cohort was 59 years and 58% of participants were men. 21 miRNAs differed significantly between participants with AF and those with no AF in regression models adjusting for known AF risk factors (p value of ≤ 0.0006). Several miRNAs associated with AF, including miR-21, miR-29a, miR-122, miR-150, miR-320, and miR-92a, regulate expression of genes implicated in the pathogenesis of AF. Levels of 33 miRNAs, including 14 associated with AF, changed significantly between baseline and 1-month after catheter ablation (p value of ≤ 0.0006). Although all AF-related plasma miRNAs were expressed in atrial tissue, only miR-21 and miR-411 differed significantly with respect to preoperative AF status. Conclusions: Plasma levels of miRNAs associated with heart disease and cardiac remodeling were related to AF and changed after catheter-ablation. Our study suggests that AF has a unique circulating miRNA profile and that this profile is influenced by catheter-ablation

Recent Trends in the Incidence, Treatment, and Prognosis of Patients With Heart Failure and Atrial Fibrillation (the Worcester Heart Failure Study)

Atrial fibrillation (AF) and heart failure (HF) are common cardiovascular diseases and the co-occurrence of AF and HF has been associated with reduced survival. Data are needed on the potentially changing trends in the characteristics, treatment, and prognosis of patients with acute decompensated HF (ADHF) and AF. The study population consisted of 9,748 patients hospitalized with ADHF at 11 hospitals in the Worcester, Massachusetts, metropolitan area during 4 study years (1995, 2000, 2002, and 2004). Of the 9,748 patients admitted with ADHF, 3,868 (39.7%) had a history of AF and 449 (4.6%) developed new-onset AF during hospitalization. The rates of new-onset AF remained stable (4.9% in 1995; 5.0% in 2004), but the proportion of patients with pre-existing AF (34.5% in 1995; 41.6% in 2004) increased over time. New-onset and pre-existing AF were associated with older age, but pre-existing AF was more closely linked to a greater co-morbid disease burden. The use of HF therapies did not differ greatly by AF status. Despite this, new-onset AF was associated with a longer length of stay (7.5 vs 6.1 days) and greater in-hospital death rates (11.4% vs 6.6%). In contrast, pre-existing AF was associated with lower rates of postdischarge survival compared to patients with no AF (p In conclusion, AF was common among patients with ADHF, and the proportion of ADHF patients with co-occurring AF increased during the study period. Despite improving trends in survival, patients with ADHF and AF are at increased risk of in-hospital and postdischarge mortality

Association of left atrial strain by cardiovascular magnetic resonance with recurrence of atrial fibrillation following catheter ablation

Abstract Background Atrial fibrillation (AF) is a progressive condition, which is characterized by inflammation/fibrosis of left atrial (LA) wall, an increase in the LA size/volumes, and decrease in LA function. We sought to investigate the relationship of anatomical and functional parameters obtained by cardiovascular magnetic resonance (CMR), with AF recurrence in paroxysmal AF (pAF) patients after catheter ablation. Methods We studied 80 consecutive pAF patients referred for ablation, between January 2014 and December 2019, who underwent pre- and post-ablation CMR while in sinus rhythm. LA volumes were measured using the area–length method and included maximum, minimum, and pre-atrial-contraction volumes. CMR-derived LA reservoir strain (ℇR), conduit strain (ℇCD), and contractile strain (ℇCT) were measured by computer assisted manual planimetry. We used a multivariate logistical regression to estimate the independent predictors of AF recurrence after ablation. Results Mean age was 58.6 ± 9.4 years, 75% men, mean CHA2DS2-VASc score was 1.7, 36% had prior cardioversion and 51% were taking antiarrhythmic drugs. Patients were followed for a median of 4 years (Q1–Q3 = 2.5–6.2 years). Of the 80 patients, 21 (26.3%) patients had AF recurrence after ablation. There were no significant differences between AF recurrence vs. no recurrence groups in age, gender, CHA2DS2-VASc score, or baseline comorbidities. At baseline, patients with AF recurrence compared to without recurrence had lower LV end systolic volume index (32 ± 7 vs 37 ± 11 mL/m2; p = 0.045) and lower ℇCT (7.1 ± 4.6 vs 9.1 ± 3.7; p = 0.05). Post-ablation, patients with AF recurrence had higher LA minimum volume (68 ± 32 vs 55 ± 23; p = 0.05), right atrial volume index (62 ± 20 vs 52 ± 19 mL/m2; p = 0.04) and lower LA active ejection fraction (24 ± 8 vs 29 ± 11; p = 0.05), LA total ejection fraction (39 ± 14 vs 46 ± 12; p = 0.02), LA expansion index (73.6 ± 37.5 vs 94.7 ± 37.1; p = 0.03) and ℇCT (6.2 ± 2.9 vs 7.3 ± 1.7; p = 0.04). Adjusting for clinical variables in the multivariate logistic regression model, post-ablation minimum LA volume (OR 1.09; CI 1.02–1.16), LA expansion index (OR 0.98; CI 0.96–0.99), and baseline ℇR (OR 0.92; CI 0.85–0.99) were independently associated with AF recurrence. Conclusion Significant changes in LA volumes and strain parameters occur after AF ablation. CMR derived baseline ℇR, post-ablation minimum LAV, and expansion index are independently associated with AF recurrence

Addition of B-Type Natriuretic Peptide to Existing Clinical Risk Scores Enhances Identification of Patients at Risk for Atrial Fibrillation Recurrence After Pulmonary Vein Isolation

INTRODUCTION: Predicting which patients will be free from atrial fibrillation (AF) after pulmonary vein isolation (PVI) remains challenging. Clinical risk prediction scores show modest ability to identify patients at risk for AF recurrence after PVI. B-type natriuretic peptide (BNP) is associated with risk for incident and recurrent AF but is not currently included in existing AF risk scores. We sought to evaluate the incremental benefit of adding preoperative BNP to existing risk scores for predicting AF recurrence during the 6 months after PVI. METHODS: One hundred sixty-one patients with paroxysmal or persistent AF underwent an index PVI procedure between 2010 and 2013; 77 patients (48%) had late AF recurrence after PVI ( \u3e 3 months post-PVI) over the 6-month follow-up period. RESULTS: A BNP greater than or equal to 100 pg/dL (P = 0.01) and AF recurrence within 3 months after PVI (P \u3c 0.001) were associated with late AF recurrence in multivariate analyses. Addition of BNP to existing clinical risk scores significantly improved the areas under the curve for each score, with an integrated discrimination improvement of 0.08 (P = 0.001) and a net reclassification improvement of 60% (P = 0.001) for all risk scores. CONCLUSIONS: Circulating BNP levels are independently associated with late AF recurrence after PVI. Inclusion of BNP significantly improves the discriminative ability of CHADS2, CHA2DS2-VASc, R2CHADS2, and the HATCH score in predicting clinically significant, late AF recurrence after PVI and should be incorporated in decision-making algorithms for management of AF. B-R2CHADS2 is the best score model for prediction of late AF recurrence

Impact of late gadolinium enhancement extent, location, and pattern on ventricular tachycardia and major adverse cardiac events in patients with ischemic vs. non-ischemic cardiomyopathy.

BACKGROUND: Left ventricular late gadolinium enhancement (LGE) by cardiac magnetic resonance (CMR) has been associated with increased risk for life-threatening ventricular tachyarrhythmias. The differences in association between LGE characteristics and prognosis in patients with ischemic (ICM) vs. non-ischemic (NICM) cardiomyopathy is incompletely understood. METHODS: A total of 168 consecutive patients who underwent CMR imaging with either ICM or NICM were included in our study. LGE extent, location and pattern were examined for association to the primary endpoint of ventricular tachycardia (VT) and secondary endpoint of major adverse cardiac events (MACE). RESULTS: Of 68 (41%) patients with ICM and 97 (59%) patients with NICM, median LGE mass was 15% (IQR 9-28) for the ICM group and 10% (IQR 6-15) for the NICM group. On multivariate analysis for both groups, LGE characteristics were prognostic while LVEF was not. In patients with ICM, septal and apical segment LGE, and involvement of multiple walls predicted both endpoints on multivariate analysis. LGE extent (≥median) and inferior wall LGE independently predicted the primary endpoint. In patients with NICM, anterior, inferior and apical segment LGE, and involvement of multiple walls predicted both endpoints on multivariate analysis. LGE extent (≥median, number of LGE segments, LGE stratified per 5% increase) and midwall LGE were independent predictors of the primary endpoint. CONCLUSIONS: Although LGE was an independent predictor of prognosis in both groups, LGE extent, location, and pattern characteristics were more powerful correlates to worse outcomes in patients with NICM than ICM