Projected impact of heat on mortality and labour productivity under climate change in Switzerland

Extreme temperatures have reached unprecedented levels in many regions of the globe due to climate change, and a further increase is expected. Besides other consequences, high temperatures increase the mortality risk and severely affect the labour productivity of workers. We perform a high-resolution spatial analysis to assess the impacts of heat on mortality and labour productivity in Switzerland and project their development under different Representative Concentration Pathway (RCP) scenarios, considering that no socio-economic changes take place. The model is based on the risk framework of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC), which combines the three risk components: hazard, exposure, and vulnerability. We model the two impact categories in the same spatially explicit framework, and we integrate uncertainties into the analysis by a Monte Carlo simulation. We model first that about 658 deaths are associated with heat exposure currently each year in Switzerland. Second, the economic costs caused by losses in labour productivity amount to around CHF 665 million (approx. USD 700 million) per year. Should we remain on an RCP8.5 emissions pathway, these values may double (for mortality) or even triple (for labour productivity) by the end of the century. Under an RCP2.6 scenario impacts are expected to slightly increase and peak around mid-century, when climate is assumed to stop warming. Even though uncertainties in the model are large, the underlying trend in impacts is unequivocal. The results of the study are valuable information for political discussions and allow for a better understanding of the cost of inaction

Ökobilanzanalyse weide- und graslandbasierter Milchproduktionssysteme : Serie Systemvergleich Hohenrain II

Im Rahmen des Projekts «Optimierung von graslandbasierten Milchproduktionssystemen auf Basis von Eingrasen (Hohenrain II)» haben wir die Umweltwirkungen von drei Systemen anhand der Ökobilanzmethode SALCA miteinander verglichen: Vollweide mit saisonaler Abkalbung, sowie zwei Varianten von Eingrasen mit unterschiedlichem Kraftfuttereinsatz (< 500 kg/Kuh/ Jahr und 800–1200 kg/Kuh/Jahr). Systeme mit höherem Kraftfuttereinsatz weisen im Vergleich zu Systemen mit niedrigerem Kraftfuttereinsatz höhere und somit ungünstigere Werte in den Kategorien Kalium-Ressourcenbedarf und Ökotoxizität und teilweise in den Kategorien Phosphor- Ressourcenbedarf sowie Abholzung auf. Beim Treibhauspotenzial, bei der Ozonbildung und bei der Landschaftsästhetik weist das System mit höherem Kraftfuttereinsatz hingegen teilweise günstigere Werte auf als das Vollweide-System. In einigen weiteren Wirkungskategorien sind aufgrund der hohen Variabilität zwischen den untersuchten Betrieben und Jahren keine deutlichen Unterschiede zwischen den Systemen ersichtlich. Die wichtigsten Einflussfaktoren auf die Umweltwirkungen der Milch sind die Futterverwertung (kg Futter/kg energiekorrigierte Milch [ECM]), die Zusammensetzung der Futterration, die Zufuhr von Kraftfutter, die Remontierung von Kühen sowie die Düngung

Digitalization and the Anthropocene

Great claims have been made about the benefits of dematerialization in a digital service economy. However, digitalization has historically increased environmental impacts at local and planetary scales, affecting labor markets, resource use, governance, and power relationships. Here we study the past, present, and future of digitalization through the lens of three interdependent elements of the Anthropocene: (a) planetary boundaries and stability, (b) equity within and between countries, and (c) human agency and governance, mediated via (i) increasing resource efficiency, (ii) accelerating consumption and scale effects, (iii) expanding political and economic control, and (iv) deteriorating social cohesion. While direct environmental impacts matter, the indirect and systemic effects of digitalization are more profoundly reshaping the relationship between humans, technosphere and planet. We develop three scenarios: planetary instability, green but inhumane, and deliberate for the good. We conclude with identifying leverage points that shift human–digital–Earth interactions toward sustainability

Life cycle assessment of grassland-based dairy production systems in Switzerland

The feeding system of dairy cows can strongly influence their environmental impacts. We compared three grassland-based production systems: (A) full-grazing with seasonal calving, and indoor feeding of fresh herbage with (B) reduced concentrate (<500 kg cow-1 yr-1), and (C) standard concentrate (800-1,200 kg cow-1 yr-1) supplementation. The three systems were analysed on 12 pilot farms (PF) (four per strategy) in 2014 as well as on the experimental farm (EF) of the centre for Nature and Nutrition in Hohenrain (2014-16) with the life cycle assessment (LCA) method Swiss Agricultural LCA (SALCA). In terms of environmental impacts, higher concentrate inputs (C) resulted in higher P and K resource use, deforestation and ecotoxicity per kilogram of energy corrected milk (kg ECM). Full grazing tended to a higher global warming potential per kg ECM. However, the differences in environmental impacts per kg ECM were often larger between the single PF and the years than between the three systems. Four main factors influencing the environmental impacts were identified: (1) composition of the feed ration, (2) performance of the system (feed conversion ratio), (3) grazing and manure management, (4) purchase of animals

Applying big data beyond small problems in climate research

ISSN:1758-679