Tourism and hotel competitiveness research

Author name used in this publication: Henry Tsai2009-2010 > Academic research: refereed > Publication in refereed journalAccepted ManuscriptPublishe

Tourism demand forecasting : a time varying parameter error correction model

Accepted ManuscriptPublishe

An empirical study of forecast combination in tourism

Author name used in this publication: Kevin F. Wong2008-2009 > Academic research: refereed > Publication in refereed journalAccepted ManuscriptPublishe

Development roadmap for launching online education : a case study of an online graduate certificate course

202208 bcchSelf-funde

Designing an effective hackathon via university-industry collaboration for data science education

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Emergency percutaneous nephrostomy in supine position under local anesthesia

Unmoderated Poster Session 1: UP-01.104The 31st Congress of the Société Internationale d'Urologie (SIU2011), Berlin, Germany, 16-20 October 2011

Tourism Demand Forecasting: A Time Varying Parameter Error Correction Model

The advantages of error correction models (ECMs) and time varying parameter (TVP) models have been discussed in the tourism forecasting literature. These models are now combined to give a new single-equation model, the time varying parameter error correction model (TVP-ECM), which is applied for the first time in the context of tourism demand forecasting. The empirical study focuses on tourism demand, measured by tourism spending per capita, by UK residents for 5 key Western European destinations. Based on the discussion of how the series considered related to most, the empirical results show that the TVP-ECM can be expected to outperform a number of alternative econometric and time series models in forecasting the demand for tourism. By measuring performance in terms of the accuracy of the forecasts of growth (rates of change) and showing that TVP-ECM performs very well for this as well as conventional assessment of the level of demand in this study, it is suggested that forecasters of tourism demand levels and growth rates can feel comfortable using TVP-ECM given that it is expected to perform well.</p

Tourism Demand Forecasting: A Time Varying Parameter Error Correction Model

The advantages of error correction models (ECMs) and time varying parameter (TVP) models have been discussed in the tourism forecasting literature. These models are now combined to give a new single-equation model, the time varying parameter error correction model (TVP-ECM), which is applied for the first time in the context of tourism demand forecasting. The empirical study focuses on tourism demand, measured by tourism spending per capita, by UK residents for 5 key Western European destinations. Based on the discussion of how the series considered related to most, the empirical results show that the TVP-ECM can be expected to outperform a number of alternative econometric and time series models in forecasting the demand for tourism. By measuring performance in terms of the accuracy of the forecasts of growth (rates of change) and showing that TVP-ECM performs very well for this as well as conventional assessment of the level of demand in this study, it is suggested that forecasters of tourism demand levels and growth rates can feel comfortable using TVP-ECM given that it is expected to perform well

Simultaneous antegrade and retrograde approach for complex upper tract stones in modified supine valdivia position: early experience

This journal supplement is proceedings of the CongressModerated Poster Session 10: Stones - MP-10.14INTRODUCTION AND OBJECTIVE: Management of large impacted proximal ureteric stone remains controversial. Stone free rate for ESWL is decreased in stones > 2cm. URSL to impacted upper ureteric stones causes flushing of stone fragments to the kidney. Percutaneous antegrade ureteroscopy is an acceptable first-line treatment for large impacted upper ureteric stones; in combination with renal stone removal; in failure of retrograde access to the stone. Simultaneous antegrade and retrograde approach theoretically brings about the advantages of both approaches. Our objective is ...The 31st Congress of the Société Internationale d'Urologie (SIU2011), Berlin, Germany, 16-20 October 2011. In Urology, 2011, v. 78 n. 3 suppl., p. S106-S107, abstract no. MP-10.1