Development of an efficient milk production profile of the Irish dairy Industry

End of project reportFluctuation around milk price will be the biggest factor that the dairy industry will experience over the next number of years. This fluctuation is being driven by fluctuation on the world dairy markets. In the past, when intervention was a much bigger feature of the CAP regime, the fluctuation in world markets had little effect on the EU price. This was because the Intervention system bought product from the market when prices were depressed and placed products on the world market when the price rose. This in effect meant that the CAP regime was having a regulatory effect on the world market as well as the EU markets. An example of the type of fluctuation observed on the world market can be gleamed from the Fonterra milk price in 2006-2007 ($4.50/kg (MS) milk solid) versus 2007-2008 ($7.90/kg MS). This corresponds to a 76% increase in price in 1 year. For the Dairy Industry in Ireland to prosper under these conditions all sectors will be required to be as efficient as possible from the farm, processing and marketing sectors. This report deals with; (1) Milk payment (2) Optimum milk production systems and (3) Seasonality of milk supply. (1) Milk payment systems in Ireland currently do not adequately reward high solids quality milk. Virtually all milk payment systems include a positive constant which reward the production of volume rather than the production of protein and fat kilograms. The A+B-C system of milk payment would adequately reward the production of protein and fat while at the same time correcting for the volume related processing costs. (2) Optimum systems of milk production will be built around the maximization of grass utilization in the future. Grazed grass is the cheapest feed that can be fed to dairy cows. Stocking rates nationally are 1.74cows/Ha around the milking platform and therefore when dairy farms are expanding they should do so by increasing stocking rate. The inclusion of supplementary feeds will reduce profitability for the vast majority of dairy farmers and could only possibly lead to increases in profitability when coupled increases in stocking rate. (3) Grass based systems while substantially reducing costs at farm level result in a seasonal milk supply profile. This results in a reduced capacity utilization of the milk processing facilities as well as restricted product port folio. However the production of Winter milk will lead to significant cost increases at farm level and should only be encouraged if the specific product produced would be sufficient to cover the additional costs associated with over winter production. Within spring calving systems milk payment systems should be used to encourage an efficient milk supply profile with a mean compact calving date of mid February.Teagasc acknowledges with gratitude the support of Dairy Levy Funds and EU Structural Funds (FEOGA) in financing the research programme

A New Direction for the Payment of Milk: Technological and Seasonality Considerations in Multiple Component Milk Pricing of Milk (Liquid and Manufacturing) for a Diversifying Dairy Industry

End of project reportThe main objectives of this study were to compare a Multiple Component Pricing system with the current milk pricing practice in Ireland and to estimate the marginal values of the three main milk components (fat, protein and lactose) in the context of the Irish milk processing industry. A representative linear programming model of an average Irish milk processor was developed in order to determine the marginal values of the milk components and to compare the value of milk under the Multiple Component Pricing system with the value under the current milk pricing practice. This study also examined the effect of product mix, milk supply and milk composition on the marginal value of the milk components

Can’t See the Wood for the Trees: The Returns to Farm Forestry in Ireland

working paperThe period 2007-2009 witnessed considerable variability in the price of outputs such as milk and cereals and this was compounded by a high degree of volatility in the price of inputs such as fertilizer, animal feed and energy. Previously, Irish farms have used the returns to off-farm employment as well as agricultural support payments such as the Single Farm Payment (SFP) and the Rural Environmental Protection Scheme (REPS) to protect their living standards against low and uncertain agricultural market returns. However, the downturn in the Irish economy has led to a reduction in the availability of off-farm employment and also the discontinuation of REPS. This may lead to an increase in afforestation on Irish farms, as forestry offers greater certainty through the provision of an annual premium in addition to the SFP. However, the decision to afforest represents a significant long-term investment decision that should not be entered into without careful economic consideration. The aim of this paper is to use the Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) analysis method to calculate the returns to forestry under alternative opportunity costs associated with conventional agricultural activities being superseded. The returns to forestry are calculated using the Forestry Investment Value Estimator (FIVE). These returns were then incorporated in the DCF model along with the returns to five conventional agricultural enterprises, which would potentially be superseded by forestry. This approach allows for the calculation of the Net Present Value (NPV) of three forestry scenarios

Format and basic geometry of a perspective display of air traffic for the cockpit

The design and implementation of a perspective display of air traffic for the cockpit is discussed. Parameters of the perspective are variable and interactive so that the appearance of the projected image can be widely varied. This approach makes allowances for exploration of perspective parameters and their interactions. The display was initially used to study the cases of horizontal maneuver biases found in experiments involving a plan view air traffic display format. Experiments to determine the effect of perspective geometry on spatial judgements have evolved from the display program. Several scaling techniques and other adjustments to the perspective are used to tailor the geometry for effective presentation of 3-D traffic situations

Bioeconomic modelling of male Holstein-Friesian dairy calf-to-beef production systems on Irish farms

peer-reviewedWith the abolition of milk quota in 2015 and increase in the use of Holstein-Friesian sires in recent years there is predicted to be an increase in the number of male Holstein-Friesian animals available for beef production. In broad terms, farmers have two options for finishing these animals; as bulls or steers. In either case, Irish beef cattle systems are based on maximising lifetime live-weight gain from grass-based diets. Managing the relationship between the supply and demand for grazed grass is complicated in these pasture-based systems due to the seasonal variability in grass growth. The Grange Dairy Beef Systems Model (GDBSM) was used to simulate the relationship between grazed grass supply and demand and then determine the profitability of Holstein-Friesian male animals finished as bulls at 16 (B16), 19 (B19) and 22 (B22) months of age and steers at 24 (S24) months of age. Combinations of these cattle finishing options were also evaluated. The most profitable system was S24. All systems were very sensitive to variations in beef and concentrate prices and less sensitive to calf price changes with fertiliser price changes having very little effect. Bull systems were more sensitive than the steer system to variation in beef, calf and concentrate prices. There was no advantage of combination systems in terms of utilisation of grass grown or net margin

Seasonal water quality monitoring in the Klamath River estuary, 1991-1994

The California Department of Fish and Game's Natural Stocks Assessment Project (NSAP) collected water quality data at high tides on a monthly basis from February 1991 to October 1994, and during low tides from March 1992 to June 1994 in the Klamath River estuary to describe water quality conditions. NSAP collected data on water temperature, dissolved oxygen, salinity, depth of saltwedge, and Klamath River flow. Klamath River flows ranged from 44.5 cubic meters per second (1570 cfs) in August 1994 to 3832.2 cubic meters per second (135,315 cfs) in March 1993. Saltwater was present in the estuary primarily in the summer and early fall and generally extended 2 to 3 miles upstream. Surface water temperatures ranged from 6-8° C in the winter to 20-24° C in the summer. Summer water temperatures within the saltwedge were generally 5 to 8° C cooler than the surface water temperature. Dissolved oxygen in the estuary was generally greater than 6 to 7 ppm year-round. A sand berm formed at the mouth of the river each year in the late summer or early fall which raised the water level in the estuary and reduced tidal fluctuation so that the Klamath estuary became essentially a lagoon. I hypothesize the formation of the sand berm may increase the production of the estuary and help provide favorable conditions for rearing juvenile chinook salmon

Optoelectronic study of InGaN/GaN LEDs

The quality of light emitting diodes (LEDs) has increased to a point where solid state lighting is becoming fairly common. Despite this, greater understanding of the effect of the device structure and the electric fields within them is helpful to continue improving device efficiency and uniformity and in reducing costs. In this thesis the optical and electronic properties of InGaN/GaN LEDs have been studied with a combination of luminescence spectroscopy, microscopy, conductivity mapping and efficiency measurements.A study was made of the effects of the various electric fields, and the interplay between them, on LED luminescence and conductivity. Cathodoluminescence (CL) mapping shows die to die variation across large wafers revealing the powerful effects of a induced electric field on spectral intensity/position/width, in uncontacted devices. Micron scale spots in the LED material, lower in luminescence intensity and which trap charge, were revealed by CL/EBIC mapping with the origin attributed to cluster point defects in the active region. Depth resolved CL and CL under bias reveal the extent of asymmetry in carrier transport in the p/n type GaN around the active region. LEDs grown with different active region temperature profiles were studied. Devices exposed to high temperature after quantum well growth (2T) were found to have a uniform spatial luminescence and a peak efficiency that is higher and occurs at a lower current density (0.1 W/A @ 1 Acm¯²). By contrast those with a low temperature cap (Q2T) exhibit dark spots in the luminescence, and a lower peak efficiency at a higher current density (0.04 W/A @ 10 Acm¯²). The effect of improvement in LED design and material quality on the device efficiency, uniformity and spectral characteristics was studied. The addition of an Al₀.₂₃Ga.₇₇N electron blocking layer (EBL) was found to reduce the size and strength of the dark spots by about a factor of 2, while an additional In₀.₀₅Ga₀.₉₅N underlayer (UL) removed the dark spots entirely and shifted the luminescence peak by around 100 meV. The effect on the electroluminescence efficiency of the reduction in template dislocation density was found to depend strongly on the drive current density, with defect non-radiative recombination more important at low currents. Overall device efficiency was shown to be improved with an EBL and UL. The most efficient devices were those with the 2T type growth but the relative improvements are larger in LEDs grown with the Q2T method.Together, the results present a number of factors limiting the performance of current LEDs and suggest potential routes for improvement and optimisation.The quality of light emitting diodes (LEDs) has increased to a point where solid state lighting is becoming fairly common. Despite this, greater understanding of the effect of the device structure and the electric fields within them is helpful to continue improving device efficiency and uniformity and in reducing costs. In this thesis the optical and electronic properties of InGaN/GaN LEDs have been studied with a combination of luminescence spectroscopy, microscopy, conductivity mapping and efficiency measurements.A study was made of the effects of the various electric fields, and the interplay between them, on LED luminescence and conductivity. Cathodoluminescence (CL) mapping shows die to die variation across large wafers revealing the powerful effects of a induced electric field on spectral intensity/position/width, in uncontacted devices. Micron scale spots in the LED material, lower in luminescence intensity and which trap charge, were revealed by CL/EBIC mapping with the origin attributed to cluster point defects in the active region. Depth resolved CL and CL under bias reveal the extent of asymmetry in carrier transport in the p/n type GaN around the active region. LEDs grown with different active region temperature profiles were studied. Devices exposed to high temperature after quantum well growth (2T) were found to have a uniform spatial luminescence and a peak efficiency that is higher and occurs at a lower current density (0.1 W/A @ 1 Acm¯²). By contrast those with a low temperature cap (Q2T) exhibit dark spots in the luminescence, and a lower peak efficiency at a higher current density (0.04 W/A @ 10 Acm¯²). The effect of improvement in LED design and material quality on the device efficiency, uniformity and spectral characteristics was studied. The addition of an Al₀.₂₃Ga.₇₇N electron blocking layer (EBL) was found to reduce the size and strength of the dark spots by about a factor of 2, while an additional In₀.₀₅Ga₀.₉₅N underlayer (UL) removed the dark spots entirely and shifted the luminescence peak by around 100 meV. The effect on the electroluminescence efficiency of the reduction in template dislocation density was found to depend strongly on the drive current density, with defect non-radiative recombination more important at low currents. Overall device efficiency was shown to be improved with an EBL and UL. The most efficient devices were those with the 2T type growth but the relative improvements are larger in LEDs grown with the Q2T method.Together, the results present a number of factors limiting the performance of current LEDs and suggest potential routes for improvement and optimisation