The 1260, 1290, and 1335 Days: A Response to Futurist Interpretations of Daniel 12

The 1260, 1290, and 1335-day prophecies of Dan. 12 have received considerable attention from Adventist interpreters in recent years. Much of this attention stems from the fact that the traditional Adventist interpretation on these time elements has been challenged by certain futurist interpretations. This paper will seek to respond to futurist claims by presenting a defense of the traditional Adventist vie

Providing for Capable Readers: Beyond the Basal Manual

This study was an attempt to better understand teacher practices for placement in basal reading series, particularly placement of capable readers. The following questions were addressed: 1. On what do teachers base their placement decisions? 2. What do teachers believe will happen to the skill development of capable students who skip basal reading levels? 3. In actual practice would a teacher allow a capable reader to skip levels in a basal reading series

Development of Pedagogical Knowledge Related to Teaching At-Risk Students: How Do Inservice Teachers and Preservice Teachers Compare?

This study examined the development of pedagogical knowledge of preservice and inservice teachers as they implemented newly learned assessment and instructional strategies with at-risk readers in clinical settings. The preservice teachers worked in pairs to tutor children during the regular semester at a university reading clinic; the inservice teachers worked for four days a week for six weeks in a special reading academy. Four stages of development emerged from the examination of the reflective responses of teachers that they wrote after each tutoring sessions with the at-risk readers. The stages identified were: novice, advance beginner, competent, and proficient

Here’s Looking at You: Public- Versus Elite-Driven Models of Presidential Primary Elections

Objective. This study advances the presidential primary literature in two ways. First, since many studies in this literature advocate for more detailed theoretical development, we incorporate an interdisciplinary approach by utilizing social contagion theory from the field of sociology. Second, presidential primaries do not adequately explore what role the public plays during the invisible primary. We thus incorporate Google Trends data into presidential primary models to account for the relative amount of public attention for each presidential primary candidate. Methods. We use fixed effects regression to determine the impact of public attention on a candidate’s share of the contested primary vote (CPV). Results. We find that increased public attention leads to higher levels of support for a candidate in the Iowa caucuses, New Hampshire primary, and CPV. Conclusion. These findings illustrate the extra-voting role the public plays in presidential primary elections and helps us further distinguish how party elites, voters, and candidates uniquely determine the selection of our executive

Life of the Party: Social Networks, Public Attention, and the Importance of Shocks in the Presidential Nomination Process

We examine the effects of shocks on the invisible Presidential primary in the United States. First, we build on existing models using an algorithm simulating social network shocks. Findings show that positive shocks significantly aid the lead candidate’s chances of winning in the invisible primary. Negative shocks, however, are less detrimental to a lead candidate than positive shocks are helpful, as the leader is often able to survive a negative shock and still emerge victorious. Broad empirical tests demonstrate the importance of shocks as well. Beyond the importance of shocks, findings also suggest that Presidential candidate success in the invisible primary owes more to public- than elite-driven factors

Can Your Students Get Jobs? Library Help for Music Students’ Career Prep

Your campus career center may not have the insider knowledge to help music students with their job hunts. Enhance and update your knowledge of industry information, techniques, and resources that support performers, music business professionals, and students pursuing other types of music careers as they enter the job market. Topics covered will include self-promotion for musicians, form contracts, resources for understanding standard contract terms, and locating company profile and industry trend research to identify potential employers and prepare for interviews

Catch Me if You Can: Using a Threshold Model to Simulate Support for Presidential Candidates in the Invisible Primary

The invisible primary is an important time in United States Presidential primary politics as candidates gain momentum for their campaigns before they compete formally in the first state caucus (Iowa) and primaries (e.g. New Hampshire). This critical period has not been possible to observe, hence the name. However, by simulating networks of primary followers, we can explicate hypotheses for how messages travel through networks to affect voter preferences. To do so, we use a threshold model to drive our simulated network analysis testing spread of public support for candidates in invisible primaries. We assign voter thresholds for candidates and vary number of voters, attachment to candidates and decay. We also vary social graph structure and model. Results of the algorithm show effects of size of lead, an unwavering base of support, and information loss

Competitive relations for soil water in an experiment of soil compaction and organic residues in a young ponderosa pine-mixed shrub community

An experiment was established in 1992 in the central Sierra Nevada Mountains of California to assess the effects of high levels of surface organic residues, severely compacted soil, and shrub competition on the development of mixed conifer plantations. This study was conducted in 1997 to determine if selected combinations of soil compaction and organic residues affect: 1) the association of available soil water with mixed shrubs adjacent to saplings of ponderosa pine (Pinus ponderosa Dougl. Ex Laws); and, 2) the growth response of ponderosa pine saplings to neighbor vegetation of mixed shrubs. Soil moisture was determined at 15 and 75 cm below the mineral surface, and adjacent to saplings with a range of neighbor crown cover by mixed shrubs. Determinations were made on April 30, June 17, June 26, July 3, July 9, July 15, and August 5 in 1997. At both soil depths during this period, the association of available water with neighbor shrubs was significantly (p0.0001) dependent on the soil treatment. On average, available water at both soil depths was significantly (p0.05) lower than saplings without neighbor shrubs, except at 15 cm below the mineral surface covered with organic residues. Compared to saplings without neighbor shrubs, the percent change in fifth year stem volume for saplings with neighbor shrubs was -62.8 for the uncompacted without organic residues, -45.2 for the compacted without organic residues, -7.1 for the compacted with heavy amounts of organic residues, and 12.6 for the uncompacted with heavy amounts of organic residues. Both basal area and stem volume was substantially less for saplings with neighbor shrubs for soil treatments without organic residues. Sapling growth during the drought period of 1997 was significantly less (p<0.05) for all soil treatments when neighbor shrubs were present. The results suggest that the soil condition can affect the need to control unwanted vegetation in young plantations of ponderosa pine for the central Sierra Nevada region. In turn, proper management of the soil conditions during harvesting operations may alter the competitive ability of unwanted vegetation

Definitive Management of Failure After Pyeloplasty

Introduction: Failure after pyeloplasty is difficult to manage. We report our experience managing pyeloplasty failures. Methods: We retrospectively reviewed the case log of a single surgeon, from August 1996 to August 2014, to identify all patients undergoing a surgical procedure after failed pyeloplasty. We excluded patients without follow-up exceeding 1 year from initial postpyeloplasty procedure. Failure was defined as a need for additional definitive intervention. Results: Of 247 laparoscopic pyeloplasties, 68 endopyelotomies and 305 simple laparoscopic nephrectomies reviewed, 41 were performed after previous pyeloplasty and had sufficient follow-up. Laparoscopic nephrectomy was performed in nine patients. All three secondary laparoscopic pyeloplasties were successful. Of 29 secondary endopyelotomies, 10 (34%) were successful. Of the 19 failures after secondary endopyelotomy, 12 patients had tertiary pyeloplasty (5 laparoscopic and 7 open surgical), 5 (26%) underwent tertiary endopyelotomy, and 2 (11%) required nephrectomy. Our overall endopyelotomy success rate was 38% (13/34) vs 100% (11/11) for secondary or tertiary pyeloplasty (4 patients lost to follow-up). Median time to failure was 5 months for endopyelotomy. Median follow-up for patients free from intervention was 40.2 months. Conclusions: Secondary pyeloplasty (including both laparoscopic and open surgical approach) is more than twice as successful as endopyelotomy after failed pyeloplasty. Secondary pyeloplasty is an excellent alternative to endopyelotomy in select patients with failure after initial pyeloplasty.Peer Reviewedhttps://deepblue.lib.umich.edu/bitstream/2027.42/140085/1/end.2015.0837.pd