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Double-shell tank space analysis of Hanford Site operating scenarios
Several operating cases were evaluated to determine the Hanford Site activities that can be supported given two 242-A Evaporator operating assumption: (1) the evaporator does not restart and (2) the evaporator does not restart until December 1990. These cases included variation in production facility operation and Hanford Federal Facility Agreement and Consent Order (Tri-Party Agreement) commitments. The cases that evaluated the no evaporator restart'' operating assumptions determined that even the minimal double-shell tank waste generating activities cannot be supported. For the minimal waste generation rate, double-shell tank space would be depleted by December 1991. The cases that evaluated the evaporator restart would support all production mission with the exception of the plutonium-uranium extraction (PUREX) processing. A delay in the evaporator restart and/or increased waste generation could significantly impact the above conclusions. Actions to reduce waste generation rates, minimize stored volumes in the double-shell tanks, and optimize use of double-shell tanks must be pursued. 1 ref., 8 figs
Empirical Investigation on Agile Methods Usage: Issues Identified from Early Adopters in Malaysia
Agile Methods are a set of software practices that can help to produce products faster and at the same time deliver what customers want. Despite the benefits that Agile methods can deliver, however, we found few studies from the Southeast Asia region, particularly Malaysia. As a result, less empirical evidence can be obtained in the country making its implementation harder. To use a new method, experience from other practitioners is critical, which describes what is important, what is possible and what is not possible concerning Agile. We conducted a qualitative study to understand the issues faced by early adopters in Malaysia where Agile methods are still relatively new. The initial study involves 13 participants including project managers, CEOs, founders and software developers from seven organisations. Our study has shown that social and human aspects are important when using Agile methods. While technical aspects have always been considered to exist in software development, we found these factors to be less important when using Agile methods. The results obtained can serve as guidelines to practitioners in the country and the neighbouring regions
Trends in Global Tropospheric Ozone Inferred from a Composite Record of TOMS/OMI/MLS/OMPS Satellite Measurements and the MERRA-2 GMI Simulation
Past studies have suggested that ozone in the troposphere has increased globally throughout much of the 20th century due to increases in anthropogenic emissions and transport. We show, by combining satellite measurements with a chemical transport model, that during the last four decades tropospheric ozone does indeed indicate increases that are global in nature, yet still highly regional. Satellite ozone measurements from Nimbus-7 and Earth Probe Total Ozone Mapping Spectrometer (TOMS) are merged with ozone measurements from the Aura Ozone Monitoring Instrument/Microwave Limb Sounder (OMI/MLS) to determine trends in tropospheric ozone for 19792016. Both TOMS (19792005) and OMI/MLS (20052016) depict large increases in tropospheric ozone from the Near East to India and East Asia and further eastward over the Pacific Ocean. The 38-year merged satellite record shows total net change over this region of about +6 to +7 Dobson units (DU) (i.e., 15 %20 % of average background ozone), with the largest increase (4 DU) occurring during the 20052016 Aura period. The Global Modeling Initiative (GMI) chemical transport model with time-varying emissions is used to aid in the interpretation of tropospheric ozone trends for 19802016. The GMI simulation for the combined record also depicts the greatest increases of +6 to +7 DU over India and East Asia, very similar to the satellite measurements. In regions of significant increases in tropospheric column ozone (TCO) the trends are a factor of 22.5 larger for the Aura record when compared to the earlier TOMS record; for India and East Asia the trends in TCO for both GMI and satellite measurements are +3 DU decade(exp 1) or greater during 20052016 compared to about +1.2 to +1.4 DU decade(exp 1) for 19792005. The GMI simulation and satellite data also reveal a tropospheric ozone increases in +4 to +5 DU for the 38-year record over central Africa and the tropical Atlantic Ocean. Both the GMI simulation and satellite-measured tropospheric ozone during the latter Aura time period show increases of +3 DU decade1 over the N Atlantic and NE Pacific
Cloud impacts on photochemistry: Building a climatology of photolysis rates from the Atmospheric Tomography mission
Abstract. Measurements from actinic flux spectroradiometers on board the
NASA DC-8 during the Atmospheric Tomography (ATom) mission provide an
extensive set of statistics on how clouds alter photolysis rates (J values)
throughout the remote Pacific and Atlantic Ocean basins. J values control
tropospheric ozone and methane abundances, and thus clouds have been included
for more than three decades in tropospheric chemistry modeling. ATom made
four profiling circumnavigations of the troposphere capturing each of the
seasons during 2016â2018. This work examines J values from the Pacific
Ocean flights of the first deployment, but publishes the complete Atom-1 data
set (29Â July to 23Â August 2016). We compare the observed J values (every 3âs along flight track) with those calculated by nine global
chemistryâclimate/transport models (globally gridded, hourly, for a
mid-August day). To compare these disparate data sets, we build a
commensurate statistical picture of the impact of clouds on J values using
the ratio of J-cloudy (standard, sometimes cloudy conditions) to J-clear
(artificially cleared of clouds). The range of modeled cloud effects is
inconsistently large but they fall into two distinct classes: (1)Â models with
large cloud effects showing mostly enhanced J values aloft and or
diminished at the surface and (2)Â models with small effects having nearly
clear-sky J values much of the time. The ATom-1 measurements generally
favor large cloud effects but are not precise or robust enough to point out
the best cloud-modeling approach. The models here have resolutions of 50â200âkm
and thus reduce the occurrence of clear sky when averaging over grid
cells. In situ measurements also average scattered sunlight over a mixed
cloud field, but only out to scales of tens of kilometers. A primary uncertainty
remains in the role of clouds in chemistry, in particular, how models average
over cloud fields, and how such averages can simulate measurements.
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Prevalence and predictors of HIV-related stigma among institutional- and community-based caregivers of orphans and vulnerable children living in five less-wealthy countries
<p>Abstract</p> <p>Background</p> <p>In the face of the HIV/AIDS epidemic that has contributed to the dramatic increase in orphans and abandoned children (OAC) worldwide, caregiver attitudes about HIV, and HIV-related stigma, are two attributes that may affect caregiving. Little research has considered the relationship between caregiver attributes and caregiver-reported HIV-related stigma. In light of the paucity of this literature, this paper will describe HIV-related stigma among caregivers of OAC in five less wealthy nations.</p> <p>Methods</p> <p>Baseline data were collected between May 2006 through February 2008. The sample included 1,480 community-based and 192 institution-based caregivers. Characteristics of the community-based and institution-based caregivers are described using means and standard deviations for continuous variables or counts and percentages for categorical variables. We fit logistic regression models, both for the full sample and separately for community-based and institution-based caregivers, to explore predictors of acceptance of HIV.</p> <p>Results</p> <p>Approximately 80% of both community-based and institution-based caregivers were female; and 84% of institution-based caregivers, compared to 66% of community-based caregivers, said that they would be willing to care for a relative with HIV. Similar proportions were reported when caregivers were asked if they were willing to let their child play with an HIV-infected child. In a multivariable model predicting willingness to care for an HIV-infected relative, adjusted for site fixed effects, being an institution-based caregiver was associated with greater willingness (less stigma) than community-based caregivers. Decreased willingness was reported by older respondents, while willingness increased with greater formal education. In the adjusted models predicting willingness to allow one's child to play with an HIV-infected child, female gender and older age was associated with less willingness. However, willingness was positively associated with years of formal education.</p> <p>Conclusions</p> <p>The caregiver-child relationship is central to a child's development. OAC already face stigma as a result of their orphaned or abandoned status; the addition of HIV-related stigma represents a double burden for these children. Further research on the prevalence of HIV-related acceptance and stigma among caregivers and implications of such stigma for child development will be critical as the policy community responds to the global HIV/AIDS orphan crisis.</p
Cloud impacts on photochemistry: building a climatology of photolysis rates from the Atmospheric Tomography mission
Measurements from actinic flux spectroradiometers on board the
NASA DC-8 during the Atmospheric Tomography (ATom) mission provide an
extensive set of statistics on how clouds alter photolysis rates (J values)
throughout the remote Pacific and Atlantic Ocean basins. J values control
tropospheric ozone and methane abundances, and thus clouds have been included
for more than three decades in tropospheric chemistry modeling. ATom made
four profiling circumnavigations of the troposphere capturing each of the
seasons during 2016â2018. This work examines J values from the Pacific
Ocean flights of the first deployment, but publishes the complete Atom-1 data
set (29Â July to 23Â August 2016). We compare the observed J values (every 3 s along flight track) with those calculated by nine global
chemistryâclimate/transport models (globally gridded, hourly, for a
mid-August day). To compare these disparate data sets, we build a
commensurate statistical picture of the impact of clouds on J values using
the ratio of J-cloudy (standard, sometimes cloudy conditions) to J-clear
(artificially cleared of clouds). The range of modeled cloud effects is
inconsistently large but they fall into two distinct classes: (1)Â models with
large cloud effects showing mostly enhanced J values aloft and or
diminished at the surface and (2)Â models with small effects having nearly
clear-sky J values much of the time. The ATom-1 measurements generally
favor large cloud effects but are not precise or robust enough to point out
the best cloud-modeling approach. The models here have resolutions of 50â200 km
and thus reduce the occurrence of clear sky when averaging over grid
cells. In situ measurements also average scattered sunlight over a mixed
cloud field, but only out to scales of tens of kilometers. A primary uncertainty
remains in the role of clouds in chemistry, in particular, how models average
over cloud fields, and how such averages can simulate measurements.</p
Orphans of the AIDS epidemic? The extent, nature and circumstances of child-headed households in South Africa
There is widespread concern that the number of children living in âchild-headed householdsâ is rapidly increasing as a result of AIDS-related adult mortality in much of sub-Saharan Africa. Based on analyses of data from several representative national surveys over the period 2000â2007, this paper examines the extent to which this is the case in South Africa. It explores trends in the number of children living in child-only households and characterises these children relative to children living in households with adults (mixed-generation households). The findings indicate that the proportion of child-only households is relatively small (0.47% in 2006) and does not appear to be increasing. In addition, the vast majority (92.1%) of children resident in child-only households have a living parent. The findings raise critical questions about the circumstances leading to the formation of child-only households and highlight that they cannot for the main part be ascribed to HIV orphaning. Nonetheless, the number of children living in this household form is not insignificant, and their circumstances, when compared with children in mixed-generation households, indicate a range of challenges, including greater economic vulnerability and inadequate service access. We argue that a solitary focus on the HIV epidemic and its related orphaning as the cause of child-only households masks other important issues for consideration in addressing their needs, and risks the development of inappropriate policies, programmes and interventions
Multi-Decadal Aerosol Variations from 1980 to 2009: A Perspective from Observations and a Global Model
Aerosol variations and trends over different land and ocean regions during 1980-2009 are analyzed with the Goddard Chemistry Aerosol Radiation and Transport (GOCART) model and observations from multiple satellite sensors and ground-based networks. Excluding time periods with large volcanic influences, the tendency of aerosol optical depth (AOD) and surface concentration over polluted land regions is consistent with the anthropogenic emission changes.The largest reduction occurs over Europe, and regions in North America and Russia also exhibit reductions. On the other hand, East Asia and South Asia show AOD increases, although relatively large amount of natural aerosols in Asia makes the total changes less directly connected to the pollutant emission trends. Over major dust source regions, model analysis indicates that the dust emissions over the Sahara and Sahel respond mainly to the near-surface wind speed, but over Central Asia they are largely influenced by ground wetness. The decreasing dust trend in the tropical North Atlantic is most closely associated with the decrease of Sahel dust emission and increase of precipitation over the tropical North Atlantic, likely driven by the sea surface temperature increase. Despite significant regional trends, the model-calculated global annual average AOD shows little changes over land and ocean in the past three decades, because opposite trends in different regions cancel each other in the global average. This highlights the need for regional-scale aerosol assessment, as the global average value conceals regional changes, and thus is not sufficient for assessing changes in aerosol loading
Modelling the implications of stopping vector control for malaria control and elimination
Increasing coverage of malaria vector control interventions globally has led to significant reductions in disease burden. However due to its high recurrent cost, there is a need to determine if and when vector control can be safely scaled back after transmission has been reduced.; A mathematical model of Plasmodium falciparum malaria epidemiology was simulated to determine the impact of scaling back vector control on transmission and disease. A regression analysis of simulation results was conducted to derive predicted probabilities of resurgence, severity of resurgence and time to resurgence under various settings. Results indicate that, in the absence of secular changes in transmission, there are few scenarios where vector control can be removed without high expectation of resurgence. These, potentially safe, scenarios are characterized by low historic entomological inoculation rates, successful vector control programmes that achieve elimination or near elimination, and effective surveillance systems with high coverage and effective treatment of malaria cases.; Programmes and funding agencies considering scaling back or withdrawing vector control from previously malaria endemic areas need to first carefully consider current receptivity and other available interventions in a risk assessment. Surveillance for resurgence needs to be continuously conducted over a long period of time in order to ensure a rapid response should vector control be withdrawn
Deltamethrin Resistance Mechanisms in Aedes aegypti Populations from Three French Overseas Territories Worldwide
BACKGROUND:Aedes aegypti is a cosmopolite mosquito, vector of arboviruses. The worldwide studies of its insecticide resistance have demonstrated a strong loss of susceptibility to pyrethroids, the major class of insecticide used for vector control. French overseas territories such as French Guiana (South America), Guadeloupe islands (Lesser Antilles) as well as New Caledonia (Pacific Ocean), have encountered such resistance. METHODOLOGY/PRINCIPAL FINDINGS:We initiated a research program on the pyrethroid resistance in French Guiana, Guadeloupe and New Caledonia. Aedes aegypti populations were tested for their deltamethrin resistance level then screened by an improved microarray developed to specifically study metabolic resistance mechanisms. Cytochrome P450 genes were implicated in conferring resistance. CYP6BB2, CYP6M11, CYP6N12, CYP9J9, CYP9J10 and CCE3 genes were upregulated in the resistant populations and were common to other populations at a regional scale. The implication of these genes in resistance phenomenon is therefore strongly suggested. Other genes from detoxification pathways were also differentially regulated. Screening for target site mutations on the voltage-gated sodium channel gene demonstrated the presence of I1016 and C1534. CONCLUSION /SIGNIFICANCE:This study highlighted the presence of a common set of differentially up-regulated detoxifying genes, mainly cytochrome P450 genes in all three populations. GUA and GUY populations shared a higher number of those genes compared to CAL. Two kdr mutations well known to be associated to pyrethroid resistance were also detected in those two populations but not in CAL. Different selective pressures and genetic backgrounds can explain such differences. These results are also compared with those obtained from other parts of the world and are discussed in the context of integrative research on vector competence
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