Onshore–Offshore Trends in the Size-Frequency Distribution of Death Assemblages: Northwestern Gulf of Mexico

The size-frequency distributions of death assemblages were compared at three sites on the inner continental shelf of Texas by means of three descriptor variables, numerical abundance, paleoproduction (biomass at death), and paleoingestion (lifetime ingestion, a measure of energy flow). These death assemblages were then compared with six other death assemblages covering a transect from the estuary (Copano Bay, TX) to the continental slope. Typically, size-frequency distributions are based on abundance and size classes are set proportional to the largest individual in the collection. Restriction to this one analysis would have identified few of the important trends observed in this study. The evaluation of size frequency on the basis of species\u27 maximum size as well as assemblage maximum size and the comparison of a suite of assemblages on the basis of the largest maximum size provide important new inferences into community dynamics. The distribution of measures of energy flow across the size-frequency spectrum provided an additional, valuable source of information on community structure and habitat optimality. Within-habitat variability was consistently less than between-habitat variability. The autochthonous continental slope assemblages were the most diverse in their size-frequency spectra. Comparison between habitats showed that the continental slope assemblages had the largest proportion of adult individuals. The continental shelf assemblages were dominated by juveniles. The chemoautotrophic and heterotrophic assemblages in Copano Bay and on the continental slope were similar in most respects despite substantial differences in their trophic structure. Similarity existed in the proportion of adults, in the tendency toward bimodality, and in the degree to which species reached maximum size. The shapes of the size-frequency spectra were controlled in large measure by (a) the relative loss of juveniles through taphonomy, (b) the degree of survivorship to adulthood, probably predominately determined by predation, (c) the food and space resources present that control species size, and (d) the optimality of the habitat that allowed animals to approach maximum size. The habitats on the continental slope had the highest proportion of individuals near maximum size. The Copano Bay assemblages were also characterized by a large proportion of adult individuals; however, these normally did not reach sizes above 70% of species\u27 maximum size. The largest individuals were found at the petroleum seeps and in the heterotrophic assemblages from Copano Bay. Continental slope habitats should be temporally most stable, and our information supports that expectation. Food supply should be greatest in estuaries and in cold seeps where chemosynthetic processes dominate. Our data support this expectation

Nonlinear complexity analysis of brain fMRI signals in schizophrenia

Peer reviewedPublisher PD

Multi-messenger observations of a binary neutron star merger

On 2017 August 17 a binary neutron star coalescence candidate (later designated GW170817) with merger time 12:41:04 UTC was observed through gravitational waves by the Advanced LIGO and Advanced Virgo detectors. The Fermi Gamma-ray Burst Monitor independently detected a gamma-ray burst (GRB 170817A) with a time delay of ~1.7 s with respect to the merger time. From the gravitational-wave signal, the source was initially localized to a sky region of 31 deg2 at a luminosity distance of 40+8-8 Mpc and with component masses consistent with neutron stars. The component masses were later measured to be in the range 0.86 to 2.26 Mo. An extensive observing campaign was launched across the electromagnetic spectrum leading to the discovery of a bright optical transient (SSS17a, now with the IAU identification of AT 2017gfo) in NGC 4993 (at ~40 Mpc) less than 11 hours after the merger by the One- Meter, Two Hemisphere (1M2H) team using the 1 m Swope Telescope. The optical transient was independently detected by multiple teams within an hour. Subsequent observations targeted the object and its environment. Early ultraviolet observations revealed a blue transient that faded within 48 hours. Optical and infrared observations showed a redward evolution over ~10 days. Following early non-detections, X-ray and radio emission were discovered at the transient’s position ~9 and ~16 days, respectively, after the merger. Both the X-ray and radio emission likely arise from a physical process that is distinct from the one that generates the UV/optical/near-infrared emission. No ultra-high-energy gamma-rays and no neutrino candidates consistent with the source were found in follow-up searches. These observations support the hypothesis that GW170817 was produced by the merger of two neutron stars in NGC4993 followed by a short gamma-ray burst (GRB 170817A) and a kilonova/macronova powered by the radioactive decay of r-process nuclei synthesized in the ejecta

ICDP workshop on the Lake Tanganyika Scientific Drilling Project: a late Miocene–present record of climate, rifting, and ecosystem evolution from the world's oldest tropical lake

The Neogene and Quaternary are characterized by enormous changes in global climate and environments, including global cooling and the establishment of northern high-latitude glaciers. These changes reshaped global ecosystems, including the emergence of tropical dry forests and savannahs that are found in Africa today, which in turn may have influenced the evolution of humans and their ancestors. However, despite decades of research we lack long, continuous, well-resolved records of tropical climate, ecosystem changes, and surface processes necessary to understand their interactions and influences on evolutionary processes. Lake Tanganyika, Africa, contains the most continuous, long continental climate record from the mid-Miocene (∼10 Ma) to the present anywhere in the tropics and has long been recognized as a top-priority site for scientific drilling. The lake is surrounded by the Miombo woodlands, part of the largest dry tropical biome on Earth. Lake Tanganyika also harbors incredibly diverse endemic biota and an entirely unexplored deep microbial biosphere, and it provides textbook examples of rift segmentation, fault behavior, and associated surface processes. To evaluate the interdisciplinary scientific opportunities that an ICDP drilling program at Lake Tanganyika could offer, more than 70 scientists representing 12 countries and a variety of scientific disciplines met in Dar es Salaam, Tanzania, in June 2019. The team developed key research objectives in basin evolution, source-to-sink sedimentology, organismal evolution, geomicrobiology, paleoclimatology, paleolimnology, terrestrial paleoecology, paleoanthropology, and geochronology to be addressed through scientific drilling on Lake Tanganyika. They also identified drilling targets and strategies, logistical challenges, and education and capacity building programs to be carried out through the project. Participants concluded that a drilling program at Lake Tanganyika would produce the first continuous Miocene–present record from the tropics, transforming our understanding of global environmental change, the environmental context of human origins in Africa, and providing a detailed window into the dynamics, tempo and mode of biological diversification and adaptive radiations.© Author(s) 2020. This open access article is distributed under the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License

External validation of prognostic models predicting pre-eclampsia : individual participant data meta-analysis

Abstract Background Pre-eclampsia is a leading cause of maternal and perinatal mortality and morbidity. Early identification of women at risk during pregnancy is required to plan management. Although there are many published prediction models for pre-eclampsia, few have been validated in external data. Our objective was to externally validate published prediction models for pre-eclampsia using individual participant data (IPD) from UK studies, to evaluate whether any of the models can accurately predict the condition when used within the UK healthcare setting. Methods IPD from 11 UK cohort studies (217,415 pregnant women) within the International Prediction of Pregnancy Complications (IPPIC) pre-eclampsia network contributed to external validation of published prediction models, identified by systematic review. Cohorts that measured all predictor variables in at least one of the identified models and reported pre-eclampsia as an outcome were included for validation. We reported the model predictive performance as discrimination (C-statistic), calibration (calibration plots, calibration slope, calibration-in-the-large), and net benefit. Performance measures were estimated separately in each available study and then, where possible, combined across studies in a random-effects meta-analysis. Results Of 131 published models, 67 provided the full model equation and 24 could be validated in 11 UK cohorts. Most of the models showed modest discrimination with summary C-statistics between 0.6 and 0.7. The calibration of the predicted compared to observed risk was generally poor for most models with observed calibration slopes less than 1, indicating that predictions were generally too extreme, although confidence intervals were wide. There was large between-study heterogeneity in each model’s calibration-in-the-large, suggesting poor calibration of the predicted overall risk across populations. In a subset of models, the net benefit of using the models to inform clinical decisions appeared small and limited to probability thresholds between 5 and 7%. Conclusions The evaluated models had modest predictive performance, with key limitations such as poor calibration (likely due to overfitting in the original development datasets), substantial heterogeneity, and small net benefit across settings. The evidence to support the use of these prediction models for pre-eclampsia in clinical decision-making is limited. Any models that we could not validate should be examined in terms of their predictive performance, net benefit, and heterogeneity across multiple UK settings before consideration for use in practice. Trial registration PROSPERO ID: CRD42015029349

Multi-messenger Observations of a Binary Neutron Star Merger

On 2017 August 17 a binary neutron star coalescence candidate (later designated GW170817) with merger time 12:41:04 UTC was observed through gravitational waves by the Advanced LIGO and Advanced Virgo detectors. The Fermi Gamma-ray Burst Monitor independently detected a gamma-ray burst (GRB 170817A) with a time delay of ∼ 1.7 {{s}} with respect to the merger time. From the gravitational-wave signal, the source was initially localized to a sky region of 31 deg2 at a luminosity distance of {40}-8+8 Mpc and with component masses consistent with neutron stars. The component masses were later measured to be in the range 0.86 to 2.26 {M}ȯ . An extensive observing campaign was launched across the electromagnetic spectrum leading to the discovery of a bright optical transient (SSS17a, now with the IAU identification of AT 2017gfo) in NGC 4993 (at ∼ 40 {{Mpc}}) less than 11 hours after the merger by the One-Meter, Two Hemisphere (1M2H) team using the 1 m Swope Telescope. The optical transient was independently detected by multiple teams within an hour. Subsequent observations targeted the object and its environment. Early ultraviolet observations revealed a blue transient that faded within 48 hours. Optical and infrared observations showed a redward evolution over ∼10 days. Following early non-detections, X-ray and radio emission were discovered at the transient’s position ∼ 9 and ∼ 16 days, respectively, after the merger. Both the X-ray and radio emission likely arise from a physical process that is distinct from the one that generates the UV/optical/near-infrared emission. No ultra-high-energy gamma-rays and no neutrino candidates consistent with the source were found in follow-up searches. These observations support the hypothesis that GW170817 was produced by the merger of two neutron stars in NGC 4993 followed by a short gamma-ray burst (GRB 170817A) and a kilonova/macronova powered by the radioactive decay of r-process nuclei synthesized in the ejecta.</p

Dimethyl fumarate in patients admitted to hospital with COVID-19 (RECOVERY): a randomised, controlled, open-label, platform trial

Dimethyl fumarate (DMF) inhibits inflammasome-mediated inflammation and has been proposed as a treatment for patients hospitalised with COVID-19. This randomised, controlled, open-label platform trial (Randomised Evaluation of COVID-19 Therapy [RECOVERY]), is assessing multiple treatments in patients hospitalised for COVID-19 (NCT04381936, ISRCTN50189673). In this assessment of DMF performed at 27 UK hospitals, adults were randomly allocated (1:1) to either usual standard of care alone or usual standard of care plus DMF. The primary outcome was clinical status on day 5 measured on a seven-point ordinal scale. Secondary outcomes were time to sustained improvement in clinical status, time to discharge, day 5 peripheral blood oxygenation, day 5 C-reactive protein, and improvement in day 10 clinical status. Between 2 March 2021 and 18 November 2021, 713 patients were enroled in the DMF evaluation, of whom 356 were randomly allocated to receive usual care plus DMF, and 357 to usual care alone. 95% of patients received corticosteroids as part of routine care. There was no evidence of a beneficial effect of DMF on clinical status at day 5 (common odds ratio of unfavourable outcome 1.12; 95% CI 0.86-1.47; p = 0.40). There was no significant effect of DMF on any secondary outcome

Onshore–Offshore Trends in the Size-Frequency Distribution of Death Assemblages: Northwestern Gulf of Mexico

The size-frequency distributions of death assemblages were compared at three sites on the inner continental shelf of Texas by means of three descriptor variables, numerical abundance, paleoproduction (biomass at death), and paleoingestion (lifetime ingestion, a measure of energy flow). These death assemblages were then compared with six other death assemblages covering a transect from the estuary (Copano Bay, TX) to the continental slope. Typically, size-frequency distributions are based on abundance and size classes are set proportional to the largest individual in the collection. Restriction to this one analysis would have identified few of the important trends observed in this study. The evaluation of size frequency on the basis of species\u27 maximum size as well as assemblage maximum size and the comparison of a suite of assemblages on the basis of the largest maximum size provide important new inferences into community dynamics. The distribution of measures of energy flow across the size-frequency spectrum provided an additional, valuable source of information on community structure and habitat optimality. Within-habitat variability was consistently less than between-habitat variability. The autochthonous continental slope assemblages were the most diverse in their size-frequency spectra. Comparison between habitats showed that the continental slope assemblages had the largest proportion of adult individuals. The continental shelf assemblages were dominated by juveniles. The chemoautotrophic and heterotrophic assemblages in Copano Bay and on the continental slope were similar in most respects despite substantial differences in their trophic structure. Similarity existed in the proportion of adults, in the tendency toward bimodality, and in the degree to which species reached maximum size. The shapes of the size-frequency spectra were controlled in large measure by (a) the relative loss of juveniles through taphonomy, (b) the degree of survivorship to adulthood, probably predominately determined by predation, (c) the food and space resources present that control species size, and (d) the optimality of the habitat that allowed animals to approach maximum size. The habitats on the continental slope had the highest proportion of individuals near maximum size. The Copano Bay assemblages were also characterized by a large proportion of adult individuals; however, these normally did not reach sizes above 70% of species\u27 maximum size. The largest individuals were found at the petroleum seeps and in the heterotrophic assemblages from Copano Bay. Continental slope habitats should be temporally most stable, and our information supports that expectation. Food supply should be greatest in estuaries and in cold seeps where chemosynthetic processes dominate. Our data support this expectation

Rates of Burial and Disturbance of Experimentally-Deployed Molluscs: Implications for Preservation Potential

Rates of burial and transport of molluscan remains are essentially unknown for deeper continental shelf and slope environments, especially over periods of years. An understanding of the rates of taphonomic loss are critical to paleoecological analyses and to paleoenvironmental studies in general. The post-depositional history of organic remains is highly dependent on the length of time the material remains at or near the sediment/water interface. In order to measure these rates, 100 gastropod and bivalve shells were scattered over a marked area of sea bottom at 21 sites in seven environments of deposition (EOD\u27s) in the Gulf of Mexico and at five EOD\u27s on the Bahamas platform edge. A total of over 2600 shells were deployed. Each site was thoroughly documented with video photography. After one year in the Bahamas and after two years in both the Gulf of Mexico and Bahamas, these sites were re-photographed and video-taped to measure rates of burial and movement of shells. Shell condition (e.g., articulation, encrustation, and color loss) for those shells that remained exposed was also determined. Shells deployed in Gulf of Mexico petroleum seep sites, on the open continental shelf, and on the continental slope experienced high rates of burial (0.5-3.0 cm) within two years. Shells at these sites generally were not transported or disturbed, and disarticulation rates were low. In the Bahamas, shells on the platform shelf were completely buried within one year. On the steep platform edge from 70 to 300 m, shells on hardground ledges remained exposed, whereas shells in carbonate sands were buried by up to 3.5 cm of sediment. Transport was more common on the steep slopes of the platform edge. Net sedimentation rates for the outer continental shelf and slope of 0.01-0.06 cm yr-1 are well below our observed burial rates of 31 cm yr (super -1) . Thus, burial rate may be somewhat independent of sedimentation rate due to local reworking of sediments by storms at shallower depths and mechanisms such as deep bottom currents or bioturbation at deeper sites. Therefore, the potential for fossil preservation in offshore areas with low sedimentation rates may be much greater than previously assumed