Circulating plasma NT-proBNP predicts subclinical coronary atherosclerosis on CT angiography among older adults in Uganda

Abstract Objective Phenotypes and mechanisms of cardiovascular disease (CVD) may differ across global populations. In sub-Saharan Africa (SSA), distinct environmental determinants may influence development and progression of atherosclerotic coronary artery disease (CAD). Methods We investigated associations between 6 established markers of myocardial stress and subsequent subclinical CAD (sCAD), defined as presence of any atherosclerosis on coronary CT angiography (CCTA) in a 2-year prospective cohort of Ugandan adults enriched for cardiometabolic risk factors (RFs) and HIV. Six plasma biomarkers were measured baseline among 200 participants (50% with HIV) aged ≥ 45 years with ≥ 1 cardiovascular RF. At 2-year follow-up, 132 participants (52% with HIV) who returned underwent coronary CCTA. Results In logistic regression models adjusted for cardiovascular RFs (age, diabetes, hypertension, hyperlipidemia, smoking, obesity) and non-traditional RFs (HIV, chronic kidney disease), only NT-proBNP predicted subsequent subclinical CAD (p < 0.008, Bonferroni correction for multiple testing). In sensitivity analyses adjusted for ASCVD risk category (instead of individual RFs) in the baseline cohort with multiple imputation applied to missing year 2 CCTA data (n = 200), NT-proBNP remained significantly associated with subsequent CAD (p < 0.008). Conclusions NT-proBNP consistently predicted subclinical CAD in Uganda in the absence of such an association among other markers of myocardial stress, suggesting a role for NT-proBNP in atherosclerosis independently of coronary microvascular dysfunction

Global Burden of Cardiovascular Diseases and Risk Factors, 1990-2019: Update From the GBD 2019 Study

Cardiovascular diseases (CVDs), principally ischemic heart disease (IHD) and stroke, are the leading cause of global mortality and a major contributor to disability. This paper reviews the magnitude of total CVD burden, including 13 underlying causes of cardiovascular death and 9 related risk factors, using estimates from the Global Burden of Disease (GBD) Study 2019. GBD, an ongoing multinational collaboration to provide comparable and consistent estimates of population health over time, used all available population-level data sources on incidence, prevalence, case fatality, mortality, and health risks to produce estimates for 204 countries and territories from 1990 to 2019. Prevalent cases of total CVD nearly doubled from 271 million (95% uncertainty interval [UI]: 257 to 285 million) in 1990 to 523 million (95% UI: 497 to 550 million) in 2019, and the number of CVD deaths steadily increased from 12.1 million (95% UI:11.4 to 12.6 million) in 1990, reaching 18.6 million (95% UI: 17.1 to 19.7 million) in 2019. The global trends for disability-adjusted life years (DALYs) and years of life lost also increased significantly, and years lived with disability doubled from 17.7 million (95% UI: 12.9 to 22.5 million) to 34.4 million (95% UI:24.9 to 43.6 million) over that period. The total number of DALYs due to IHD has risen steadily since 1990, reaching 182 million (95% UI: 170 to 194 million) DALYs, 9.14 million (95% UI: 8.40 to 9.74 million) deaths in the year 2019, and 197 million (95% UI: 178 to 220 million) prevalent cases of IHD in 2019. The total number of DALYs due to stroke has risen steadily since 1990, reaching 143 million (95% UI: 133 to 153 million) DALYs, 6.55 million (95% UI: 6.00 to 7.02 million) deaths in the year 2019, and 101 million (95% UI: 93.2 to 111 million) prevalent cases of stroke in 2019. Cardiovascular diseases remain the leading cause of disease burden in the world. CVD burden continues its decades-long rise for almost all countries outside high-income countries, and alarmingly, the age-standardized rate of CVD has begun to rise in some locations where it was previously declining in high-income countries. There is an urgent need to focus on implementing existing cost-effective policies and interventions if the world is to meet the targets for Sustainable Development Goal 3 and achieve a 30% reduction in premature mortality due to noncommunicable diseases