2,263 research outputs found
Changes in the vector of industrial policy and possibilities for the innovative development of the industrial regions
In the present paper, reasons for the increased interest in industrial policy in both developed and developing countries are explained. The systematisation of the results of the development of Russian industry from 1989 to 2014 showed a lack of systematic selection of its priorities, preventing the formation of a strategic vector of industrial policy. The target diversity of the industrial policy is established at the different economic development stages of the country. In the context of economic sanctions against Russia, it is shown that the emergence of a new industrial policy vector is connected to the need for import substitution and concomitant changes in the development model of the domestic economy. The dynamics and characteristics of the industrial development area are shown by the example of a highly developed region like the Central Urals. The total level of organisational innovation activity continues to be low and composes only 12%, although in the manufacturing sector this index is higher than the regional economy index by four absolute percentage points. The industrial policy of the Central Urals is analysed and innovation drivers of the industrial sector of the regional economy are established. The possibilities of the defence, civil engineering, mining, chemical/pharmaceutical and forestry complexes of the Sverdlovsk Region to implement its import substitution policy are explained. The most significant investment projects that will reduce the import dependence of the regional economy are presented. The possibilities of the research sector and created innovation infrastructure of the region in solving this problem are shown. It is necessary to develop the regional laws on the elaboration of industrial policy according to the basic regulations of the Federal Law “On Industrial Policy in the Russian Federation.”This article has been prepared with the support of the Russian Humanitarian Science Foundation Grant 14-02-00331 «Innovative and technological development of the region: assessment, forecasting and ways of achievement.
Development of a Methodology for the Economic Assessment of Managerial Decisions as a Factor of Increased Economic Security
The article notes that the emergence of such a phenomenon as the interdependence of security and development, the so-called security-development nexus, becomes a determinant during the development of strategic documents at all hierarchical levels. It gives relevance to the search for methodological solutions that would on a strategic level take into account any potential threats to economic security, and on a tactical level provide for pragmatic actions that are not in conflict with the strategic development vector of business entities. The authors identify the instability factors that pose a real threat to economic security. They substantiate the expediency of forming a new model of the national economy development with a focal point on new industrialization. The article factors in the most important trends in the development of the global economy that determine the strategic vector of enhancing the economic security in Russia. It is ascertained that in the conditions of new industrialization, the intellectual core of the high-tech economy sector is formed by convergent technologies (NBICS technologies). The authors offer a methodological approach to the economic assessment of managerial decisions in the context of uncertainty. They also identify methodological principles that must be taken into account in developing a modern methodology for the economic assessment of business decisions. The principles include forming a preferred reality, or the so-called “vision of the future,” the priority of network solutions as the basis for the formation of new markets; mass customization and individualization of demands, principal changes in the profile of competences that ensure competitiveness on the labor market, use of the ideology of inclusive development and impact investment that creates common values. The proposed methodology is based on the optimum combination of traditional methods used for the economic assessment of managerial decisions with the method of real options and reflexive assessments with regard to entropy as a measure of uncertainty. The proposed methodological approach has been tested in respect of the Ural mining and metallurgical complex.The article has been prepared with the support of the grant from the Russian Foundation for Basic Research № 16–06–00403 "Modelling the Motivational Potentials of the Multi-subject Industrial Policy in the Context of New Industrialization"
Development Trends and Economic Assessment of the Integration Processes on the Metals Market
In the present paper, reasons for the increased interest in industrial policy in both developed and developing countries are explained. The systematisation of the results of the development of Russian industry from 1989 to 2014 showed a lack of systematic selection of its priorities, preventing the formation of a strategic vector of industrial policy. The target diversity of the industrial policy is established at the different economic development stages of the country. In the context of economic sanctions against Russia, it is shown that the emergence of a new industrial policy vector is connected to the need for import substitution and concomitant changes in the development model of the domestic economy. The dynamics and characteristics of the industrial development area are shown by the example of a highly developed region like the Central Urals. The total level of organisational innovation activity continues to be low and composes only 12%, although in the manufacturing sector this index is higher than the regional economy index by four absolute percentage points. The industrial policy of the Central Urals is analysed and innovation drivers of the industrial sector of the regional economy are established. The possibilities of the defence, civil engineering, mining, chemical/pharmaceutical and forestry complexes of the Sverdlovsk Region to implement its import substitution policy are explained. The most significant investment projects that will reduce the import dependence of the regional economy are presented. The possibilities of the research sector and created innovation infrastructure of the region in solving this problem are shown. It is necessary to develop the regional laws on the elaboration of industrial policy according to the basic regulations of the Federal Law “On Industrial Policy in the Russian Federation.”This article was prepared with support of the Grant of the Russian Foundation for Humanities No. 14-32-01030
X-ray investigation of molten crystal hydrates H2SO4(nH2O) and HNO3(nH2O)
Integral analysis of the intensity of the electron density distribution curve in molten crystal hydrates provided by X-ray analysis, permits the following conclusions on the structure of the complex SO and NO ions, and the short-range order in the structure of the solution. The SO4 ion in the solution has a tetrahedral structure with an S to O distance equal to 1.5 A. For the NO3 in the solution, a planar triangular shape is probable, with an N to O distance equal to 1.2 A. Preferential distances between each of the oxygens of the SO ion and the nearest molecules of water proved near to the corresponding distances in solid crystal hydrates. For an (H2SO4)(H2O) solution, the average number of water molecules surrounding each oxygen atom of the SO4 (--) ion was on the order of 1.3 molecules. Hence the preferential distances between the water molecules and the oxygen atoms of the SO ion, and the preference of their mutual position, correspond to the fixed position of these same elements of the structure in the solid crystal hydrate
Global 3D Simulations of Disc Accretion onto the classical T Tauri Star BP Tauri
The magnetic field of the classical T Tauri star BP Tau can be approximated
as a superposition of dipole and octupole moments with respective strengths of
the polar magnetic fields of 1.2 kG and 1.6 kG (Donati et al. 2008). We adopt
the measured properties of BP Tau and model the disc accretion onto the star.
We observed in simulations that the disc is disrupted by the dipole component
and matter flows towards the star in two funnel streams which form two
accretion spots below the dipole magnetic poles. The octupolar component
becomes dynamically important very close to the star and it redirects the
matter flow to higher latitudes. The spots are meridionally elongated and are
located at higher latitudes, compared with the pure dipole case, where
crescent-shaped, latitudinally elongated spots form at lower latitudes. The
position and shape of the spots are in good agreement with observations. The
disk-magnetosphere interaction leads to the inflation of the field lines and to
the formation of magnetic towers above and below the disk. The magnetic field
of BP Tau is close to the potential only near the star, inside the
magnetospheric surface, where magnetic stress dominates over the matter stress.
A series of simulation runs were performed for different accretion rates. They
show that an accretion rate is lower than obtained in many observations, unless
the disc is truncated close to the star. The torque acting on the star is about
an order of magnitude lower than that which is required for the rotational
equilibrium. We suggest that a star could lose most of its angular momentum at
earlier stages of its evolution.Comment: 11 pages, 13 figures, submitted to MNRA
Global 3D Simulations of Disc Accretion onto the classical T Tauri Star V2129 Oph
The magnetic field of the classical T Tauri star V2129 Oph can be modeled
approximately by superposing slightly tilted dipole and octupole moments, with
polar magnetic field strengths of 0.35kG and 1.2kG respectively (Donati et al.
2007). Here we construct a numerical model of V2129 Oph incorporating this
result and simulate accretion onto the star. Simulations show that the disk is
truncated by the dipole component and matter flows towards the star in two
funnel streams. Closer to the star, the flow is redirected by the octupolar
component, with some of the matter flowing towards the high-latitude poles, and
the rest into the octupolar belts. The shape and position of the spots differ
from those in a pure dipole case, where crescent-shaped spots are observed at
the intermediate latitudes. Simulations show that if the disk is truncated at
the distance of 6.2 R_* which is comparable with the co-rotation radius, 6.8
R_*, then the high-latitude polar spots dominate, but the accretion rate
obtained from the simulations is about an order of magnitude lower than the
observed one. The accretion rate matches the observed one if the disk is
disrupted much closer to the star, at 3.4 R_*. However, the octupolar belt
spots strongly dominate. Better match has been obtained in experiments with a
dipole field twice as strong. The torque on the star from the
disk-magnetosphere interaction is small, and the time-scale of spin evolution,
2 x10^7-10^9 years is longer than the 2x10^6 years age of V2129 Oph. The
external magnetic flux of the star is strongly influenced by the disk: the
field lines connecting the disk and the star inflate and form magnetic towers
above and below the disk. The potential (vacuum) approximation is still valid
inside the Alfv\'en (magnetospheric) surface where the magnetic stress
dominates over the matter stress.Comment: 15 pages, 15 figures, after major revision, added 3 figures, 2
tables. Accepted to MNRA
Boundary Between Stable and Unstable Regimes of Accretion
We investigated the boundary between stable and unstable regimes of accretion
and its dependence on different parameters. Simulations were performed using a
"cubed sphere" code with high grid resolution (244 grid points in the azimuthal
direction), which is twice as high as that used in our earlier studies. We
chose a very low viscosity value, with alpha-parameter alpha=0.02. We observed
from the simulations that the boundary strongly depends on the ratio between
magnetospheric radius r_m (where the magnetic stress in the magnetosphere
matches the matter stress in the disk) and corotation radius r_cor (where the
Keplerian velocity in the disk is equal to the angular velocity of the star).
For a small misalignment angle of the dipole field, Theta=5 degrees, accretion
is unstable if r_cor/r_m>1.35, and is stable otherwise. In cases of a larger
misalignment angle of the dipole, Theta=20 degrees, instability occurs at
slightly larger values, r_cor/r_m>1.41.Comment: 4 pages, 4 figures, conference proceedings: "Physics at the
Magnetospheric Boundary", Geneva, Switzerland, 25-28 June, 201
The impact of the global distribution of bats on mortality in COVID-19 patients
Severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) originated in November 2019 in China and quickly spread throughout the world causing a disease named COVID-19. An analysis of the epidemiological data on morbidity and mortality caused by SARS-CoV-2 shows that, in some countries, namely Belgium, UK, France, Italy, the Netherlands, and Spain, an increased case fatality rate (CFR) was noticed compared to the rest of the world. The CFR, calculated as the number of deaths from the total number of the cases, ranges in these countries from 10.22% to 15.8% according to the Center for Evidence-Based Medicine (CEBM). At the same time, in the countries of Central and Northern Europe, this parameter varies between 3.78% and 4.94%. This significant heterogeneity in CFR between countries has not been given a convincing explanation yet. It was found that the precursor of SARS-CoV-2 is a virus circulating in bats in China. The mutations that occurred in this virus altered its receptor specificity, thereby enabling viral infection in humans. Bats are highly resistant to viral infections due to their robust interferon system and a reduced level of inflammatory reactions. Viruses replicate in these animals up to high titers without any substantial harm to their health. As a result, bats represent a large reservoir of viruses with the potential to infect other animals, including humans. The infection of people with bat (or human) betacoronaviruses can lead to the formation of memory B-cells that provide an accelerated antibody response to cross-reactive epitopes upon subsequent infection. The early emergence of neutralizing antibodies in SARS-CoV-2 patients correlates with the severity of the disease and the likelihood of a fatal outcome. The antibodydependent enhancement (ADE) of infection/disease known for various viruses, including SARS-CoV-1 and MERS-CoV, may be a possible cause of this phenomenon. In this article, we suggest a close connection between the distribution areas of bats carrying SARS-CoV-1-like viruses and the CFR from COVID-19.Severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) originated in November 2019 in China and quickly spread throughout the world causing a disease named COVID-19. An analysis of the epidemiological data on morbidity and mortality caused by SARS-CoV-2 shows that, in some countries, namely Belgium, UK, France, Italy, the Netherlands, and Spain, an increased case fatality rate (CFR) was noticed compared to the rest of the world. The CFR, calculated as the number of deaths from the total number of the cases, ranges in these countries from 10.22% to 15.8% according to the Center for Evidence-Based Medicine (CEBM). At the same time, in the countries of Central and Northern Europe, this parameter varies between 3.78% and 4.94%. This significant heterogeneity in CFR between countries has not been given a convincing explanation yet. It was found that the precursor of SARS-CoV-2 is a virus circulating in bats in China. The mutations that occurred in this virus altered its receptor specificity, thereby enabling viral infection in humans. Bats are highly resistant to viral infections due to their robust interferon system and a reduced level of inflammatory reactions. Viruses replicate in these animals up to high titers without any substantial harm to their health. As a result, bats represent a large reservoir of viruses with the potential to infect other animals, including humans. The infection of people with bat (or human) betacoronaviruses can lead to the formation of memory B-cells that provide an accelerated antibody response to cross-reactive epitopes upon subsequent infection. The early emergence of neutralizing antibodies in SARS-CoV-2 patients correlates with the severity of the disease and the likelihood of a fatal outcome. The antibodydependent enhancement (ADE) of infection/disease known for various viruses, including SARS-CoV-1 and MERS-CoV, may be a possible cause of this phenomenon. In this article, we suggest a close connection between the distribution areas of bats carrying SARS-CoV-1-like viruses and the CFR from COVID-19
Russia-EU energy efficiency cooperation in the Baltic region: the untapped potential
A stereotypical understanding of EU-Russia energy relations is often reduced to trade in oil and natural gas, which downplays the importance of energy efficiency cooperation. Such cooperation is promoted within the Energy Charter and its Treaty, Partnership and Cooperation Agreement, Energy Dialogue, Common Economic Space, Partnership for Modernisation. However, it lacks practical development, which relates to the instability of the legal environment in Russia, insufficient mechanisms of financial support for energy conservation projects and poor political support. Nevertheless, energy efficiency cooperation is capable of changing Russia-EU energy cooperation qualitatively: it offers a cheaper way to meet the needs of the EU, redefines interdependence between the parties, and introduces new elements of equality between them. Energy efficiency cooperation also transforms the patterns of the EU-Russia legal harmonization, creates new conditions for the convergence of regulations and the development of the middle class in Russia. Due to its specific features, cooperation in the Baltic Sea region becomes a locomotive of the Russia-EU energy efficiency cooperation, and, as a result, is capable of changing the quality of relations between the partners
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