A New Channel for the Detection of Planetary Systems Through Microlensing: II. Repeating Events

In the companion paper we began the task of systematically studying the detection of planets in wide orbits ($a > 1.5 R_E$) via microlensing surveys. In this paper we continue, focusing on repeating events. We find that, if all planetary systems are similar to our own Solar System, reasonable extensions of the present observing strategies would allow us to detect 3-6 repeating events per year along the direction to the Bulge. Indeed, if planetary systems with multiple planets are common, then future monitoring programs which lead to the discovery of thousands of stellar-lens events will likely discover events in which several different planets within a single system serve as lenses, with light curves exhibiting multiple repetitions. In this paper we discuss observing strategies to maximize the discovery of all wide-orbit planet-lens events. We also compare the likely detection rates of planets in wide orbits to those of planets located in the zone for resonant lensing. We find that, depending on the values of the planet masses and stellar radii of the lensed sources (which determine whether or not finite source size is important), and also on the sensitivity of the photometry used by observers, the detection of planets in wide orbits may be the primary route to the discovery of planets via microlensing. We also discuss how the combination of resonant and wide-orbit events can help us to learn about the distribution of planetary system properties (S 6.1). In addition, by determining the fraction of short-duration events due to planets, we indirectly derive information about the fraction of all short-duration events that may be due to low-mass MACHOs (S 6.2).Comment: 51 pages, 7 figures. To be published in the Astrophysical Journal, 20 February 1999. This completes the introduction to the discovery of planets in wide orbits begun in astro-ph/9808075, also to appear in ApJ on 20 February 199

A New Channel for the Detection of Planetary Systems Through Microlensing: I. Isolated Events Due to Planet Lenses

We propose and evaluate the feasibility of a new strategy to search for planets via microlensing. This new strategy is designed to detect planets in "wide" orbits, i.e., with orbital separation, $a$ greater than $\sim 1.5 R_E$. Planets in wide orbits may provide the dominant channel for the microlensing discovery of planets, particularly low-mass (e.g., Earth-mass) planets. This paper concentrates on events in which a single planet serves as a lens, leading to an isolated event of short duration. We point out that a distribution of events due to lensing by stars with wide-orbit planets is necessarily accompanied by a distribution of shorter- duration events. The fraction of events in the latter distribution is proportional to the average value of $\sqrt{q}$, where $q$ is the ratio between \pl and stellar masses. The position of the peak or peaks also provides a measure of the mass ratios typical of planetary systems. We study detection strategies that can optimize our ability to discover isolated short-duration events due to lensing by planets, and find that monitoring employing sensitive photometry is particularly useful. If planetary systems similar to our own are common, even modest changes in detection strategy should lead to the discovery of a few isolated events of short duration every year. We therefore also address the issue of the contamination due to stellar populations of any microlensing signal due to low-mass MACHOs. We describe how, even for isolated events of short duration, it will be possible to test the hypothesis that the lens was a planet instead of a low-mass MACHO, if the central star of the planetary system contributes a measurable fraction of the baseline flux.Comment: 37 pages, 6 figure. To be published in the Astrophysical Journal. This is part one of a series of papers on microlensing by planetary systems containing wide-orbit planets; the series represents a reorganization and extension of astro-ph/971101

Evaluating megaprojects: from the “iron triangle” to network mapping

Evaluation literature has paid relatively little attention to the specific needs of evaluating large, complex industrial and infrastructure projects, often called ‘megaprojects’. The abundant megaproject governance literature, in turn, has largely focused on the so-called ‘megaproject pathologies’, i.e. the chronic budget overruns, and failure of such projects to keep to timetables and deliver the expected social and economic benefits. This article draws on these two strands of literature, identifies shortcomings, and suggests potential pathways towards an improved evaluation of megaprojects. To counterbalance the current overemphasis on relatively narrowly defined accountability as the main function of megaproject evaluation, and the narrow definition of project success in megaproject evaluation, the article argues that conceptualizing megaprojects as dynamic and evolving networks would provide a useful basis for the design of an evaluation approach better able to promote learning and to address the socio economic aspects of megaprojects. A modified version of ‘network mapping’ is suggested as a possible framework for megaproject evaluation, with the exploration of the multiple accountability relationships as a central evaluation task, designed to reconcile learning and accountability as the central evaluation functions. The article highlights the role of evaluation as an ‘emergent’ property of spontaneous megaproject ‘governing’, and explores the challenges that this poses to the role of the evaluator

Types sérologiques de Pasteurella multocida rencontrés en France chez le lapin et la poule

Perreau Pierre, Renault Lucien, Vallée A. Types sérologiques de Pasteurella multocida rencontrés en France chez le lapin et la poule. In: Bulletin de l'Académie Vétérinaire de France tome 115 n°8, 1962. pp. 295-298

Infections colibacillaires des veaux : Étude sérologique (groupes O) de souches d'Escherichia coli isolées en France

318 souches d'Escherichia coli isolées de veaux atteints, pour la plupart, de septicémie, ont été classées dans 62 groupes O différents dont 27 n’étaient représentés que par une seule souche. L’importance réelle de chacun des groupes (dont certains n’avaient pas encore été signalés en France) ne sera connue qu’après l’étude d’un nombre de souches plus significatif. L’étude sérologique et la lysotypie doivent faciliter l’épidémiologie des colibacilloses. Sur le plan de la prophylaxie l’administration aux veaux de mélanges de bactériophages judicieusement sélectionnés pourrait compléter l’action de la vaccination des mères

Probing Red Giant Atmospheres with Gravitational Microlensing

Gravitational microlensing provides a new technique for studying the surfaces of distant stars. Microlensing events are detected in real time and can be followed up with precision photometry and spectroscopy. This method is particularly adequate for studying red giants in the Galactic bulge. Recently we developed an efficient method capable of computing the lensing effect for thousands of frequencies in a high-resolution stellar spectrum. Here we demonstrate the effects of microlensing on synthesized optical spectra of red giant model atmospheres. We show that different properties of the stellar surface can be recovered from time-dependent photometry and spectroscopy of a point-mass microlensing event with a small impact parameter. In this study we concentrate on center-to-limb variation of spectral features. Measuring such variations can reveal the depth structure of the atmosphere of the source star.Comment: 23 pages with 11 Postscript figures, submitted to ApJ; Section 2 expanded, references added, text revise