Hepatitis B Surface Antigen Declines and Clearance During Long-Term Tenofovir Therapy in Patients Coinfected With HBV and HIV

Background. The kinetics of hepatitis B surface antigen (HBsAg) are predictive in HBV-infected patients treated with pegylated interferon. Knowledge about the value of HBsAg levels in patients coinfected with HBV and human immunodeficiency virus (HIV) is lacking. Methods. We quantified serum HBsAg in a Dutch multicenter cohort of 104 patients coinfected with HIV and HBV who were treated with tenofovir disoproxil fumarate (TDF) as part of highly active antiretroviral therapy. The median duration of therapy was 57 months (interquartile range, 34-72 months). Results. Hepatitis B e antigen (HBeAg)-positive patients achieved a decline of 2.2 log IU/mL in HBsAg, whereas HBeAg-negative patients only achieved a decline of 0.6 log IU/mL during 6 years of TDF therapy. Declines in HBsAg at months 6 and 12 correlated with CD4 cell count for HBeAg-positive patients. Five HBeAg-positive patients (8%) and 3 HBeAg-negative patients (8%) cleared HBsAg. HBeAg-negative patients who cleared HBsAg had lower baseline HBsAg as compared to patients who remained HBsAg positive. The majority of patients who cleared HBsAg achieved this end point within the first year. In HBeAg-positive patients, decline in HBsAg at month 6 was predictive of achieving HBsAg seroclearance. Conclusions. Receipt of TDF therapy by HIV/HBV-coinfected patients for up to 6 years led to a significant decrease in HBsAg in the HBeAg-positive population. HBsAg kinetics early during treatment were predictive of HBsAg seroclearance and correlated with an increased CD4 cell count, underlining the importance of immune restoration in HBV clearanc

Validation and update of a prediction model for risk of relapse after cessation of anti-TNF treatment in Crohn's disease

BACKGROUND: Anti-tumor necrosis factor (TNF) therapy is effective for the treatment of Crohn's disease. Cessation may be considered in patients with a low risk of relapse. We aimed to externally validate and update our previously developed prediction model to estimate the risk of relapse after cessation of anti-TNF therapy. METHODS: We performed a retrospective cohort study in 17 Dutch hospitals. Crohn's disease patients in clinical, biochemical or endoscopic remission were included after anti-TNF cessation. Primary outcome was a relapse necessitating treatment. Discrimination and calibration of the previously developed model were assessed. After external validation, the model was updated. The performance of the updated prediction model was assessed in internal-external validation and by using decision curve analysis. RESULTS: 486 patients were included with a median follow-up of 1.7 years. Relapse rates were 35 and 54% after 1 and 2 years. At external validation, the discriminative ability of the prediction model was equal to that found at the development of the model [c-statistic 0.58 (95% confidence interval (CI) 0.54-0.62)], though the model was not well-calibrated on our cohort [calibration slope: 0.52 (0.28-0.76)]. After an update, a c-statistic of 0.60 (0.58-0.63) and calibration slope of 0.89 (0.69-1.09) were reported in internal-external validation. CONCLUSION: Our previously developed and updated prediction model for the risk of relapse after cessation of anti-TNF in Crohn's disease shows reasonable performance. The use of the model may support clinical decision-making to optimize patient selection in whom anti-TNF can be withdrawn. Clinical validation is ongoing in a prospective randomized trial