The Melbourne epidemic thunderstorm asthma event 2016: an investigation of environmental triggers, effect on health services, and patient risk factors.

BACKGROUND: A multidisciplinary collaboration investigated the world's largest, most catastrophic epidemic thunderstorm asthma event that took place in Melbourne, Australia, on Nov 21, 2016, to inform mechanisms and preventive strategies. METHODS: Meteorological and airborne pollen data, satellite-derived vegetation index, ambulance callouts, emergency department presentations, and data on hospital admissions for Nov 21, 2016, as well as leading up to and following the event were collected between Nov 21, 2016, and March 31, 2017, and analysed. We contacted patients who presented during the epidemic thunderstorm asthma event at eight metropolitan health services (each including up to three hospitals) via telephone questionnaire to determine patient characteristics, and investigated outcomes of intensive care unit (ICU) admissions. FINDINGS: Grass pollen concentrations on Nov 21, 2016, were extremely high (>100 grains/m3). At 1800 AEDT, a gust front crossed Melbourne, plunging temperatures 10°C, raising humidity above 70%, and concentrating particulate matter. Within 30 h, there were 3365 (672%) excess respiratory-related presentations to emergency departments, and 476 (992%) excess asthma-related admissions to hospital, especially individuals of Indian or Sri Lankan birth (10% vs 1%, p<0·0001) and south-east Asian birth (8% vs 1%, p<0·0001) compared with previous 3 years. Questionnaire data from 1435 (64%) of 2248 emergency department presentations showed a mean age of 32·0 years (SD 18·6), 56% of whom were male. Only 28% had current doctor-diagnosed asthma. 39% of the presentations were of Asian or Indian ethnicity (25% of the Melbourne population were of this ethnicity according to the 2016 census, relative risk [RR] 1·93, 95% CI 1·74-2·15, p <0·0001). Of ten individuals who died, six were Asian or Indian (RR 4·54, 95% CI 1·28-16·09; p=0·01). 35 individuals were admitted to an intensive care unit, all had asthma, 12 took inhaled preventers, and five died. INTERPRETATION: Convergent environmental factors triggered a thunderstorm asthma epidemic of unprecedented magnitude, tempo, and geographical range and severity on Nov 21, 2016, creating a new benchmark for emergency and health service escalation. Asian or Indian ethnicity and current doctor-diagnosed asthma portended life-threatening exacerbations such as those requiring admission to an ICU. Overall, the findings provide important public health lessons applicable to future event forecasting, health care response coordination, protection of at-risk populations, and medical management of epidemic thunderstorm asthma. FUNDING: None

Thunderstorm asthma: revealing a hidden at-risk population

Background: Epidemic thunderstorm asthma (ETSA) refers to large-scale acute bronchospasm events associated with thunderstorm. The most serious episode ever recorded occurred in Melbourne, Australia, in November 2016, where more than 3500 patients were treated in hospitals and 10 died. Previous work has been focused primarily on patient presentations to emergency departments. The prevalence of individuals with milder, non-emergent symptoms and who may be at risk of more serious episodes in the future has not previously been explored. Aim: To characterise the nature and extent of respiratory symptoms in healthcare workers during the Melbourne ETSA event. Methods: A survey was conducted among staff and volunteers across Eastern Health, distributed on the intranet homepage, by email and by word of mouth. Anonymous survey questions were constructed to assess prior and current diagnoses of relevance, symptoms, and demography. Results: There were 515 participants (80% female, n = 411) of approximately 9000 potential respondents (~6% response rate) who completed the survey; 132 (25.6%) had symptoms suggestive of asthma during the Melbourne ETSA event, the majority of whom did not seek professional medical help. Notably, of those with ETSA-like symptoms, only 58 (43.9%) had a history of asthma, while 97 (73.5%) had a history of allergic rhinitis. Specifically, a history of allergic rhinitis (OR 2.77, P < 0.001), a history of asthma (OR 1.67, P = 0.037) and being of self-identified Asian ethnicity (OR 3.24, P < 0.001) were all strong predictors of ETSA-like symptoms. Being predominantly indoors was not protective. Conclusions: Our study provides evidence of the presence of a large cohort of sufferers during the Melbourne ETSA event of 2016 that did not come to the attention of medical services, implying a potentially hidden and significant susceptible population. Further research should help clarify the true prevalence of vulnerability in the general population, with important public health implications

Increase in tumour PD-L1 expression in non-small cell lung cancer following bronchoscopic thermal vapour ablation

Limited early evidence indicates thermal ablation of non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC) may induce alterations to the immune response that could enhance the efficacy of immunotherapy with immune checkpoint inhibitor therapy. This study reports pilot data demonstrating increased programmed death-ligand 1 (PD-L1) expression on tumour cells in response to bronchoscopic thermal vapour ablation. Five patients underwent bronchoscopic thermal vapour ablation under a treat-and-resect protocol, as part of a clinical safety and feasibility study, with lobectomy performed five days after thermal vapour ablation. PD-L1 (clone SP263) immunohistochemistry (IHC) tumour proportion score (TPS) was assessed on both baseline diagnostic biopsy specimens, and post-ablation resection specimens in five patients with stage I NSCLC. Two areas of the resection sample defined as viable tumour and injured tumour were examined. All tumours demonstrated 0% PD-L1 TPS at baseline. Three of five (60%) patients demonstrated an increase in PD-L1 TPS in areas of injured tumour to 20%, 30% and 50%. One patient demonstrated an increase in PD-L1 expression in an area of viable tumour to 5%. Changes in PD-L1 expression did not correlate with measures of systemic inflammation. Our findings comprise the first evidence that thermal ablation of NSCLC may induce PD-L1 expression. Further investigation is required to determine the extent of an adaptive immune response, and confirm the potential for augmentation of clinical response to immune check point inhibitor therapy in NSCLC

Integrating endobronchial ultrasound bronchoscopy with molecular testing of immunotherapy biomarkers in non-small cell lung cancer

Immunotherapy has transformed treatment of advanced non-small-cell lung cancer (NSCLC) patients leading to remarkable long-term survival benefit. However, only about 20% of advanced NSCLC patients typically respond to immune checkpoint inhibitors (ICIs) that target the PD-1/PD-L1 pathway. The only validated biomarker for ICI therapy is the PD-L1 immunohistochemistry (IHC) test, which is considered an imperfect assay due to several variables including availability and integrity of tumour tissue, variability in staining/scoring techniques and heterogeneity in PD-L1 protein expression within and across tumour biopsies. Herein, we discuss integrating minimally invasive EBUS bronchoscopy procedures with novel molecular approaches to improve accuracy and sensitivity of PD-L1 testing. EBUS guided bronchoscopy facilitates repeated sampling of tumour tissue to increase the probability of detecting PD-L1 positive tumours. Since intra-tumoural PD-L1 (CD274) copy number is reported to be less heterogeneous than PD-L1 protein detection, quantifying PD-L1 transcript levels may increase detection of PD-L1 positive tumours. PD-L1 transcript levels show excellent concordance with PD-L1 IHC scoring and multiplex digital droplet PCR (ddPCR) assays that quantify absolute PD-L1 transcript copy number have been developed. ddPCR can also be automated for high throughput detection of low abundant variants with excellent sensitivity and accuracy to improve the broader application of diagnostic cut-off values. Optimizing diagnostic workflows that integrate optimal EBUS bronchoscopy procedures with emerging molecular ICI biomarker assays may improve the selection criteria for ICI therapy benefit

Thermal ablation in non-small cell lung cancer: a review of treatment modalities and the evidence for combination with immune checkpoint inhibitors

Lung cancer is the leading cause of cancer death worldwide, with approximately 1.6 million cancer related deaths each year. Prognosis is best in patients with early stage disease, though even then five-year survival is only 55% in some groups. Median survival for advanced non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC) is 8-12 months with conventional treatment. Immune checkpoint inhibitor (ICI) therapy has revolutionised the treatment of NSCLC with significant long-term improvements in survival demonstrated in some patients with advanced NSCLC. However, only a small proportion of patients respond to ICI, suggesting the need for further techniques to harness the potential of ICI therapy. Thermal ablation utilizes the extremes of temperature to cause tumour destruction. Commonly used modalities are radiofrequency ablation (RFA), cryoablation and microwave ablation (MWA). At present thermal ablation is reserved for curative-intent therapy in patients with localized NSCLC who are unable to undergo surgical resection or stereotactic ablative body radiotherapy (SABR). Limited evidence suggests that thermal ablative modalities can upregulate an anticancer immune response in NSCLC. It is postulated that thermal ablation can increase tumour antigen release, which would initiate and upregulated steps in the cancer immunity cycle required to elicit an anticancer immune response. This article will review the current thermal ablative techniques and their ability to modulate an anti-cancer immune response with a view of using thermal ablation in conjunction with ICI therapy

Supplementary Material for: Safety and Feasibility of a Novel Externally Cooled Bronchoscopic Radiofrequency Ablation Catheter for Ablation of Peripheral Lung Tumours: A First-In-Human Dose Escalation Study

Background: Radiofrequency ablation (RFA) is an established modality for percutaneous ablation of non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC) in medically inoperable patients but is underutilized clinically due to side effects. We have developed a novel, completely endobronchial RFA catheter with an externally cooled electrode. Objectives: The objective of this study was to establish the safety and feasibility of bronchoscopic RFA using a novel, externally cooled catheter for ablation of peripheral NSCLC. Methods: Patients with stage I biopsy-confirmed NSCLC underwent bronchoscopic RFA of tumour 7 days prior to lobectomy. The RFA catheter was delivered bronchoscopically to peripheral NSCLC lesions, guided by radial endobronchial ultrasound, with positioning confirmed using intra-procedural cone beam CT. Pre-operative CT chest and histologic examination of resected specimens were used to establish distribution/uniformity of ablation and efficacy of tumour ablation. Results: RFA in the first patient was complicated by dispersal of heated saline due to cough, resulting in ICU admission. The patient recovered fully and underwent uncomplicated lobectomy. Subsequently, the protocol was altered to mandate neuromuscular blockade with a pre-determined dose escalation, with algorithm-restricted energy (kJ) and irrigated saline volume (mL) constraints. A further 10 patients consented and seven underwent successful bronchoscopic RFA of peripheral NSCLC. No significant adverse events were noted. Ablation zone included tumour in all cases (proportion of tumour ablated ranged 8–72%), with uniform necrosis of tissue within ablation zones observed at higher energy levels. Ablation zone diameter correlated with RFA energy delivered (R2 = 0.553), with maximum long axis diameter of ablation zone 3.1 cm (22.9 kJ). Conclusion: Bronchoscopic RFA using an externally cooled catheter is feasible, appears safe, and achieves uniform ablation within the treatment zone. Uncontrolled escape of heated saline poses a major safety risk but can be prevented procedurally through neuromuscular blockade and by limiting irrigation

The 2016 Melbourne thunderstorm asthma epidemic: Risk factors for severe attacks requiring hospital admission

BACKGROUND: The world's most catastrophic and deadly thunderstorm asthma epidemic struck Melbourne, Australia, on November 21, 2016. OBJECTIVE: Among thunderstorm-affected patients presenting to emergency rooms (ERs), we investigated risk factors predicting severe attacks requiring admission to hospital. METHODS: Thunderstorm-affected patients were identified from ER records at the eight major Melbourne health services and interviewed by telephone. Risk factors for hospital admission were analyzed. RESULTS: We interviewed 1435/2248 (64%) of thunderstorm-affected patients, of whom 164 (11.4%) required hospital admission. Overall, rhinitis was present in 87%, and current asthma was present in 28%. Odds for hospital admission were higher with increasing age (odds ratio 1.010, 95% CI 1.002, 1.019) and among individuals with current asthma (adjusted odds ratio [aOR] 1.87, 95% CI 1.26, 2.78). Prior hospitalization for asthma in the previous 12 months further increased the odds for hospital admission (aOR 3.16, 95% CI 1.63, 6.12). Among patients of Asian ethnicity, the odds for hospital admission were lower than for non-Asian patients (aOR 0.59, 95% CI 0.38, 0.94), but higher if born in Australia (OR = 5.42, 95% CI 1.56, 18.83). CONCLUSIONS: In epidemic thunderstorm asthma patients who presented to the ER, higher odds for hospital admission among patients with known asthma were further amplified by recent asthma admission, highlighting the vulnerability conferred by suboptimal disease control. Odds for hospital admission were lower in Asian patients born overseas, but higher in Asian patients born locally, than in non-Asian patients; these observations suggest susceptibility to severe thunderstorm asthma may be enhanced by gene-environment interactions