Fatality rate and predictors of mortality in an Italian cohort of hospitalized COVID-19 patients

Clinical features and natural history of coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) differ widely among different countries and during different phases of the pandemia. Here, we aimed to evaluate the case fatality rate (CFR) and to identify predictors of mortality in a cohort of COVID-19 patients admitted to three hospitals of Northern Italy between March 1 and April 28, 2020. All these patients had a confirmed diagnosis of SARS-CoV-2 infection by molecular methods. During the study period 504/1697 patients died; thus, overall CFR was 29.7%. We looked for predictors of mortality in a subgroup of 486 patients (239 males, 59%; median age 71 years) for whom sufficient clinical data were available at data cut-off. Among the demographic and clinical variables considered, age, a diagnosis of cancer, obesity and current smoking independently predicted mortality. When laboratory data were added to the model in a further subgroup of patients, age, the diagnosis of cancer, and the baseline PaO2/FiO2 ratio were identified as independent predictors of mortality. In conclusion, the CFR of hospitalized patients in Northern Italy during the ascending phase of the COVID-19 pandemic approached 30%. The identification of mortality predictors might contribute to better stratification of individual patient risk

Coupled CFD and 1-D dynamic modeling for the analysis of industrial Regenerative Thermal Oxidizers

The emissions of volatile organic compounds (VOCs) produced in many chemical and manufacturing sectors are strictly regulated. Regenerative thermal oxidizers (RTOs), which employ ceramic masses for heat recovery in a cyclic operation mode, represent a promising technology enabling process intensification, by providing both high efficiencies of VOC removal and energy savings. This study advances a modeling framework which combines a 1-D transient model with 3-D CFD simulations to assist the design of 3-canister RTOs, focusing on the fluid dynamics, thermal and chemical behavior at different instants within the operational cycles. The analysis shows how different inlet-outlet-purge configurations affect the efficiency of VOC removal, which shows a minimum when the central canister is the outlet, as corroborated by experimental data and the analysis of the gas residence time. Some critical conditions of flow and temperature uniformity are investigated, showing that a random packing can be inserted underneath each monolithic block to ensure gas uniformity with only a limited increase in pressure drops. The approach and results reported point towards the establishment of robust criteria for RTO intensification

Numerical Investigation of a Regenerative Thermal Oxidizer for the Abatement of VOCs

Volatile Organic Compounds (VOCs) are dangerous for human health and the environment; hence their emission in the atmosphere is strictly regulated. To treat exhaust gases containing VOCs, thermal oxidizers are commonly used, especially in industrial processes with large volumetric flow rates. In this framework, Regenerative Thermal Oxidizers (RTOs) represent an effective solution, combining high removal efficiency with high energy saving. RTOs employ multiple beds of ceramic media in a cyclic operation mode, to recover the combustion heat from VOC oxidation, thus reducing the consumption of the auxiliary fuel. The objective of the present work is to apply Computational Fluid Dynamics (CFD) techniques to investigate and optimize an industrial 3-canister RTO. The use of CFD for modeling the RTO behavior is partially hindered by the large computational cost, related to the numerous equations needed to describe turbulence, transport/reaction of chemical species as well as heat transfer in a complex 3-dimensional domain. In this framework, transient simulations required by the periodic RTO behavior could be unaffordable. Regenerative Thermal Oxidizers (RTOs) represent a widely accepted technology for the abatement of VOCs, combining high removal efficiency with low operating costs. This work describes a numerical approach for the effective design of an industrial-scale 3-canisters RTOs, coupling a 1-dimensional dynamic model with 3-dimensional CFD simulations. Such a model is validated by using data on pressure drops available from the plant. The model provides a detailed analysis of the thermo-fluid dynamics field at distinct instants within the RTO operation, allowing to explain how different inlet-outlet-purge configurations affect the efficiency of VOCs oxidation

Benchmarking postoperative outcomes after open liver surgery for cirrhotic patients with hepatocellular carcinoma in a national cohort

Background: Benchmark analysis for open liver surgery for cirrhotic patients with hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is still undefined.Methods: Patients were identified from the Italian national registry HE.RC.O.LE.S. The Achievable Benchmark of Care (ABC) method was employed to identify the benchmarks. The outcomes assessed were the rate of complications, major comorbidities, post-operative ascites (POA), post-hepatectomy liver failure (PHLF), 90-day mortality. Benchmarking was stratified for surgical complexity (CP1, CP2 and CP3).Results: A total of 978 of 2698 patients fulfilled the inclusion criteria. 431 (44.1%) patients were treated with CP1 procedures, 239 (24.4%) with CP2 and 308 (31.5%) with CP3 procedures. Patients submitted to CP1 had a worse underlying liver function, while the tumor burden was more severe in CP3 cases. The ABC for complications (13.1%, 19.2% and 28.1% for CP1, CP2 and CP3 respectively), major complications (7.6%, 11.1%, 12.5%) and 90-day mortality (0%, 3.3%, 3.6%) increased with the surgical difficulty, but not POA (4.4%, 3.3% and 2.6% respectively) and PHLF (0% for all groups).Conclusion: We propose benchmarks for open liver resections in HCC cirrhotic patients, stratified for surgical complexity. The difference between the benchmark values and the results obtained during everyday practice reflects the room for potential growth, with the aim to encourage constant improvement among liver surgeons

Perspectives from Italy during the COVID-19 pandemic: nationwide survey-based focus on minimally invasive HPB surgery

The safety of minimally invasive procedures during COVID pandemic remains hotly debated, especially in a country, like Italy, where minimally invasive techniques have progressively and pervasively entered clinical practice, in both the hepatobiliary and pancreatic community. A nationwide snapshot of the management of HPB minimally invasive surgery activity during COVID-19 pandemic is provided: a survey was developed and conducted within AICEP (Italian Association of HepatoBilioPancreatic Surgeons) with the final aim of conveying the experience, knowledge, and opinions into a unitary report enabling more efficient crisis management. Results from the survey (81 respondents) show that, in Italian hospitals, minimally invasive surgery maintains its role despite the COVID-19 pandemic, with the registered reduction of cases being proportional to the overall reduction of the HPB surgical activity. Respondents agree that the switch from minimally invasive to open technique can be considered as a valid option for cases with a high technical complexity. Several issues merit specific attention: screening for virus positivity should be universally performed; only expert surgical teams should operate on positive patients and specific technical measures to lower the biological risk of contamination during surgery must be followed. Future studies specifically designed to establish the true risks in minimally invasive surgery are suggested. Furthermore, a standard and univocal process of prioritization of patients from Regional Healthcare Systems is advisable

Perspectives from Italy during the COVID-19 pandemic: nationwide survey-based focus on minimally invasive HPB surgery

The safety of minimally invasive procedures during COVID pandemic remains hotly debated, especially in a country, like Italy, where minimally invasive techniques have progressively and pervasively entered clinical practice, in both the hepatobiliary and pancreatic community. A nationwide snapshot of the management of HPB minimally invasive surgery activity during COVID-19 pandemic is provided: a survey was developed and conducted within AICEP (Italian Association of HepatoBilioPancreatic Surgeons) with the final aim of conveying the experience, knowledge, and opinions into a unitary report enabling more efficient crisis management. Results from the survey (81 respondents) show that, in Italian hospitals, minimally invasive surgery maintains its role despite the COVID-19 pandemic, with the registered reduction of cases being proportional to the overall reduction of the HPB surgical activity. Respondents agree that the switch from minimally invasive to open technique can be considered as a valid option for cases with a high technical complexity. Several issues merit specific attention: screening for virus positivity should be universally performed; only expert surgical teams should operate on positive patients and specific technical measures to lower the biological risk of contamination during surgery must be followed. Future studies specifically designed to establish the true risks in minimally invasive surgery are suggested. Furthermore, a standard and univocal process of prioritization of patients from Regional Healthcare Systems is advisable

Ten years of Italian mini-invasiveness: the I Go MILS registry as a tool of dissemination, characterization and networking

Purposes of this study are to evaluate the main changes that have occurred in the Italian MILS activity in the last decade in terms of indications, approaches and outcomes as reported in the national registry and to provide specific details on the main areas of development of MILS. Data from patients undergoing minimally invasive liver resections at centers included in the I Go MILS Registry from its start-up (November 2014) to March 2023 were analyzed for the purposes of this study. The registry is intention-to-treat and prospective. Global recruitment trends stratified by indication to surgery and type of approach were analysed. 7413 MILS procedures were performed across all centers (median number of procedures per center: 63). Years (2020-2023) displayed a significantly higher proportion of treated patients diagnosed with hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) (38.2% vs. 28.9% and 33.9%, p < 0.001) and cholangiocarcinoma (6.7% vs. 6.5% and 4.2%, p < 0.001) compared to the preceding triennial periods. Additionally, technical complexity demonstrated an increased prominence in Years (2019-2023) with a significantly higher percentage of grade III cases compared to the earlier periods (39.3% vs. 21.7% and 25.6%, p < 0.001). Annual case trends focusing on laparoscopic and robotic techniques demonstrated a steadily increase in the use of these techniques for complex case mix of indications. Overall, attitude and attention to MILS approach has evolved, so that currently indications to hepatic mini-invasiveness have expanded and surgical technique has been refined: Areas mainly involved in increasing growth trends are hepatocellular carcinoma, possible applications of MILS in transplant setting, intrahepatic cholangiocarcinoma and robotic approach

Benchmarking postoperative outcomes after open liver surgery for cirrhotic patients with hepatocellular carcinoma in a national cohort

Background: Benchmark analysis for open liver surgery for cirrhotic patients with hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is still undefined. Methods: Patients were identified from the Italian national registry HE.RC.O.LE.S. The Achievable Benchmark of Care(ABC) method was employed to identify the benchmarks. The outcomes assessed were the rate of complications, major comorbidities, post-operative ascites(POA), post-hepatectomy liver failure(PHLF), 90-day mortality, rate of R0 and the length of stay. Benchmarking was stratified for surgical complexity(CP1, CP2 and CP3). Results: A total of 978 of 2698 patients fulfilled the inclusion criteria. 431(44.1%) patients were treated with CP1 procedures, 239(24.4%) with CP2 and 308(31.5%) with CP3 procedures. Patients submitted to CP1 had a worse underlying liver function, while the tumor burden was more severe in CP3 cases. The ABC for complications(13.1%, 19.2% and 28.1% for CP1, CP2 and CP3 respectively), major complications(7.6%, 11.1%, 12.5%) and 90-day mortality (0%, 3.3%, 3.6%) increased with the surgical difficulty, but not POA (4.4%, 3.3% and 2.6% respectively) and PHLF (0% for all groups). Conclusions: We propose benchmarks for open liver resections in HCC cirrhotic patients, stratified for surgical complexity. The difference between the benchmark values and the results obtained during everyday practice reflects the room for potential growth, with the aim to encourage constant improvement among liver surgeons

Performance of Comprehensive Complication Index and Clavien-Dindo Complication Scoring System in Liver Surgery for Hepatocellular Carcinoma

Simple SummaryThe comprehensive complication index (CCI) and the Clavien-Dindo Complication (CDC) scoring system are two metrics designed to quantify the burden of postoperative morbidity. We performed a retrospective study retrieving data from a multi-institutional Italian register. The aim was to compare the performance of the two metrics in predicting excessive length of hospital stay (e-LOS) of patients who underwent liver resections for hepatocellular carcinoma. A total of 2669 patients were analyzed. A derivation (n = 1345) and validation sets (n = 1324) were created to test the strength of results. In both cohorts, the analysis showed that CCI was slightly superior in predicting e-LOS in complicated patients. The accuracy of CCI was even better when considering a subgroup of patients who experienced at least two complications. The results of this population-specific analysis suggest that CCI is preferable in weighting postoperative morbidity burden.Background: We aimed to assess the ability of comprehensive complication index (CCI) and Clavien-Dindo complication (CDC) scale to predict excessive length of hospital stay (e-LOS) in patients undergoing liver resection for hepatocellular carcinoma. Methods: Patients were identified from an Italian multi-institutional database and randomly selected to be included in either a derivation or validation set. Multivariate logistic regression models and ROC curve analysis including either CCI or CDC as predictors of e-LOS were fitted to compare predictive performance. E-LOS was defined as a LOS longer than the 75th percentile among patients with at least one complication. Results: A total of 2669 patients were analyzed (1345 for derivation and 1324 for validation). The odds ratio (OR) was 5.590 (95%CI 4.201; 7.438) for CCI and 5.507 (4.152; 7.304) for CDC. The AUC was 0.964 for CCI and 0.893 for CDC in the derivation set and 0.962 vs. 0.890 in the validation set, respectively. In patients with at least two complications, the OR was 2.793 (1.896; 4.115) for CCI and 2.439 (1.666; 3.570) for CDC with an AUC of 0.850 and 0.673, respectively in the derivation cohort. The AUC was 0.806 for CCI and 0.658 for CDC in the validation set. Conclusions: When reporting postoperative morbidity in liver surgery, CCI is a preferable scale