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Threshold quantile autoregressive models
We study in this article threshold quantile autoregressive processes. In particular we propose estimation and inference of the parameters in nonlinear quantile processes when the threshold parameter defining nonlinearities is known for each quantile, and also when the parameter vector is estimated consistently. We derive the asymptotic properties of the nonlinear threshold quantile autoregressive estimator. In addition, we develop hypothesis tests for detecting threshold nonlinearities in the quantile process when the threshold parameter vector is not identified under the null hypothesis. In this case we propose to approximate the asymptotic distribution of the composite test using a p-value transformation. This test contributes to the literature on nonlinearity tests by extending Hansen’s (Econometrica 64, 1996, pp.413-430) methodology for the conditional mean process to the entire quantile process. We apply the proposed methodology to model the dynamics of US unemployment growth after the Second World War. The results show evidence of important heterogeneity associated with unemployment, and strong asymmetric persistence on unemployment growth
Biodiversity, taxonomy and metagenomics
GenBank (Benson et al. 2013) is a database that
contains genetic sequences of species. Godfray
(2007) proposed that metagenomics can replace taxonomy
in identifying specimens. Indeed, giving
names to specimens is not the primary role of taxonomy,
the discipline being devoted to the description
of new species and to reconstruction of
phylogenies, focusing on both genotypes and phenotypes.
So, the use of metagenomics for routinary
species identification is a welcome technological aid
to the study of biodiversity, freeing taxonomists from
the burden of sorting and identifying biological
material
Torsional birefringence in metric-affine Chern-Simons gravity: gravitational waves in late-time cosmology
In the context of the metric-affine Chern-Simons gravity endowed with
projective invariance, we derive analytical solutions for torsion and
nonmetricity in the homogeneous and isotropic cosmological case, described by a
flat Friedmann-Robertson-Walker metric. We describe in some details the general
properties of the cosmological solutions in the presence of a perfect fluid,
such as dynamical stability and the settling of big bounce points, and we
discuss the structure of some specific solutions reproducing de Sitter and
power law behaviours for the scale factor. Then, we focus on first-order
perturbations in the de Sitter scenario, and we study the propagation of
gravitational waves in the adiabatic limit, looking at tensor and scalar
polarizations. In particular, we find that metric tensor modes couple to
torsion tensor components, leading to the appearance, as in the metric version
of Chern-Simons gravity, of birefringence, described by different dispersion
relations for the left and right circularized polarization states. As a result,
the purely tensor part of torsion propagates like a wave, while nonmetricity
decouples and behaves like a harmonic oscillator. Finally, we discuss scalar
modes, outlining as they decay exponentially in time and do not propagate.Comment: References adde
Integrability of Lie systems and some of its applications in physics
The geometric theory of Lie systems will be used to establish integrability
conditions for several systems of differential equations, in particular Riccati
equations and Ermakov systems. Many different integrability criteria in the
literature will be analyzed from this new perspective and some applications in
physics will be given.Comment: 16 page
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