Probabilistic models to evaluate effectiveness of steel bridge weld fatigue retrofitting by peening

The purpose of this study was to evaluate, with two probabilistic analytical models, the effectiveness of several alternative fatigue management strategies for steel bridge welds. The investigated strategies employed, in various combinations, magnetic particle inspection, gouging and rewelding, and postweld treatment by peening. The analytical models included a probabilistic strain-based fracture mechanics model and a Markov chain model. For comparing the results obtained with the two models, the fatigue life was divided into a small, fixed number of condition states based on crack depth, similar to those often used by bridge management systems to model deterioration due to other processes, such as corrosion and road surface wear. The probabilistic strain-based fracture mechanics model was verified first by comparison with design S-N curves and test data for untreated welds. Next, the verified model was used to determine the probability that untreated and treated welds would be in each condition state in a given year; the probabilities were then used to calibrate transition probabilities for a much simpler Markov chain fatigue model. Then both models were used to simulate a number of fatigue management strategies. From the results of these simulations, the performance of the different strategies was compared, and the accuracy of the simpler Markov chain fatigue model was evaluated. In general, peening was more effective if preceded by inspection of the weld. The Markov chain fatigue model did a reasonable job of predicting the general trends and relative effectiveness of the different investigated strategies

Residual Infrarenal Aortic Neck following Endovascular and Open Aneurysm Repair

AbstractBackgroundThe effectiveness of open and endovascular aneurysm repair of aortic abdominal aneurysms (AAAs) can be jeopardised by deterioration of the residual infrarenal neck of the aneurysm.ObjectiveThe study aims to determine the length of the residual infrarenal aortic segment after endovascular and open aneurysm repair.MethodsIn a multicentre randomised controlled trial comparing open and endovascular AAA repair, 165 patients were discharged after open AAA repair (OR) and 169 after endovascular repair (EVAR). Immediately after the operation, surgeons were asked to enter in the case record form whether the level of their anastomosis after open repair was within or beyond 10 mm of the caudal renal artery. Postoperative computed tomography (CT) scans that were obtained within 6 months after surgery were used for comparative analysis. The distance between the caudal renal artery and the proximal anastomosis of the (endo-) graft was measured using axial CT slices and a standardised protocol. CT images were available and suitable for analysis in 156 (95%) of 165 OR patients and in 160 (95%) of 169 EVAR patients. Data are presented as median (range). Differences were analysed using the Mann–Whitney test.ResultsThe distance from the caudal renal artery to the proximal anastomosis was 24 mm (16–30 mm) in the OR group versus 0 mm (0–6 mm) in the EVAR group (p < 0.0001, Mann–Whitney). In 140 of 156 (90%) patients, at least 1 cm of untreated infrarenal neck persisted after OR and in 17 of 160 (10%) after EVAR. In 84 of the 156 open repair patients (54%), the surgeon had indicated that the proximal anastomosis was within 10 mm of the caudal renal artery. Only five surgeons (6%) were accurate in this respect.ConclusionAfter open repair, a longer segment of the infrarenal aortic neck is left untreated compared with endovascular repair and this length is underestimated by most surgeons. Long-term studies are required to determine the consequences of this difference

Factor Structure and Correlates of the Dissociative Experiences Scale in a Large Offender Sample

The authors examined the psychometric properties, factor structure, and construct validity of the Dissociative Experiences Scale (DES) in a large offender sample (N = 1,515). Although the DES is widely used with community and clinical samples, minimal work has examined offender samples. Participants were administered self-report and interview measures, and a subsample was followed longitudinally to determine criminal and violent recidivism. The DES exhibited good psychometric properties, but an identified three-factor structure was of questionable replicability. Moreover, the DES factors displayed no evidence of differential correlates. DES total scores were correlated with trauma-related variables even after controlling for negative affectivity. Total scores were related to measures of antisocial behavior and aggression but did not predict recidivism. These findings support the reliability and construct validity of the DES in offenders but raise questions regarding the clinical utility of the DES factor scores above and beyond that of the total score