Transfers and the transition from socialism : key tradeoffs

The old days in the now transition societies were characterized by stagnant incomes, rationed goods, and few civil liberties, but a high degree of income security. The early days of reform have brought crashing incomes, more goods, civil liberties, and rising insecurity. Most countries are set on a course toward some form of capitalism, which by definition means greater risk-taking, less security, and almost certainly greater inequality in income distribution. Should transfers be used to compensate for increasing insecurity and poverty? The short-run drop in incomes, the heritage of cradle-to-grave state protection, and the Western European vision of the welfare state provide compelling motivation for using transfers. But, argue the authors, there are significant tradeoffs between moving to a welfare state and shifting to dynamic, growing economies. The transition economies do not have the real levels of productivity or the tax bases needed to sustain the kind of tax effort a large-scale system of transfers would require. Short-run gains in security could in the long run mean insufficient private and public capital accumulation and lack of competitiveness. The result could be financial collapse (as witnessed in Ukraine) or an extreme form of Eurosclerosis (a possibility for Hungary or Poland). Under either scenario, those whom the transfers are supposed to protect - the old, the poor, the disabled, and the unemployed - are most likely to suffer disproportionately over the medium to long term, and probably even in the short term. In any viable scenario, transfers are likely to be important for both welfare and political reasons. Some options for providing transfers are more likely to be consistent with macroeconomic imperatives and to have relatively low adverse-incentive effects - for example, flat-rate (or flatter) pensions at quite low replacement rates, and local rather than general (income-tested) social assistance. The authors recommend using intrisically temporary measures - such as temporary employment schemes - in the transition. This avoids a permanent transfer burden while recognizing the severity of the interim transition period. In sum, the alternative of less reliance on comprehensive transfers puts more pressure on private coping mechanisms and will, in the short run, increase risk. But it may be the price of a viable transition to the growth that is essential to success.Environmental Economics&Policies,Banks&Banking Reform,Economic Theory&Research,Services&Transfers to Poor,Safety Nets and Transfers

The construction and validation of a performance-based battery of English language progress tests.

In 2 vols. For computer programe accompanying this thesis please apply direct to issuing universitySIGLEAvailable from British Library Document Supply Centre- DSC:DX187852 / BLDSC - British Library Document Supply CentreGBUnited Kingdo

Cyber attacks and cyber (mis)information operations during a pandemic

Marko Milanovic and Michael N. Schmitt explain that the COVID-19 pandemic has starkly highlighted the need to further international cyber law discourse amongst states. Malicious cyber operations directed against medical facilities and capabilities and campaigns of misinformation have interfered with states’ abilities to effectively fight the virus and treat their populations. These acts can be qualified as violations of international law, at time violating the state sovereignty, intervening in state internal affairs, and even amounting to wrongful use of force. At the same time, states have a duty under human rights law to combat harmful cyber operations and misinformation campaigns by states and non-state actors alike. All states, human rights courts, human rights monitoring bodies, the academy, the private sector and NGOs must take up the challenge presented by this tragic pandemic to move the law governing cyberspace in the right direction

Metamodels and Transformations for Software and Data Integration

Metamodels define a foundation for describing software system interfaces which can be used during software or data integration processes. The report is part of the BIZYCLE project, which examines applicability of model-based methods, technologies and tools to the large-scale industrial software and data integration scenarios. The developed metamodels are thus part of the overall BIZYCLE process, comprising of semantic, structural, communication, behavior and property analysis, aiming at facilitating and improving standard integration practice. Therefore, the project framework will be briefly introduced first, followed by the detailed metamodel and transformation description as well as motivation/illustration scenarios

Differential requirements for the canonical NF-κB transcription factors c-REL and RELA during the generation and activation of mature B cells

Signaling through the canonical nuclear factor‐κB (NF‐κB) pathway is critical for the generation and maintenance of mature B cells and for antigen‐dependent B‐cell activation. c‐REL (rel) and RELA (rela) are the downstream transcriptional activators of the canonical NF‐κB pathway. Studies of B cells derived from constitutional rel knockout mice and chimeric mice repopulated with rela–/– fetal liver cells provided evidence that the subunits can have distinct roles during B‐cell development. However, the B cell‐intrinsic functions of c‐REL and RELA during B‐cell generation and antigen‐dependent B‐cell activation have not been determined in vivo. To clarify this issue, we crossed mice with conditional rel and rela alleles individually or in combination to mice that express Cre‐recombinase in B cells. We here report that, whereas single deletion of rel or rela did not impair mature B‐cell generation and maintenance, their simultaneous deletion led to a dramatic reduction of follicular and marginal zone B cells. Upon T cell‐dependent immunization, B cell‐specific deletion of the c‐REL subunit alone abrogated the formation of germinal centers (GCs), whereas rela deletion did not affect GC formation. T‐independent responses were strongly impaired in mice with B cell‐specific deletion of rel, and only modestly in mice with RELA‐deficient B cells. Our findings identify differential requirements for the canonical NF‐κB subunits c‐REL and RELA at distinct stages of mature B‐cell development. The subunits are jointly required for the generation of mature B cells. During antigen‐dependent B‐cell activation, c‐REL is the critical subunit required for the initiation of the GC reaction and for optimal T‐independent antibody responses, with RELA being largely dispensable at this stage

Trusting Intelligent Machines: Deepening Trust Within Socio-Technical Systems

Intelligent machines have reached capabilities that go beyond a level that a human being can fully comprehend without sufficiently detailed understanding of the underlying mechanisms. The choice of moves in the game Go (generated by Deep Mind?s Alpha Go Zero [1]) are an impressive example of an artificial intelligence system calculating results that even a human expert for the game can hardly retrace [2]. But this is, quite literally, a toy example. In reality, intelligent algorithms are encroaching more and more into our everyday lives, be it through algorithms that recommend products for us to buy, or whole systems such as driverless vehicles. We are delegating ever more aspects of our daily routines to machines, and this trend looks set to continue in the future. Indeed, continued economic growth is set to depend on it. The nature of human-computer interaction in the world that the digital transformation is creating will require (mutual) trust between humans and intelligent, or seemingly intelligent, machines. But what does it mean to trust an intelligent machine? How can trust be established between human societies and intelligent machines

The social dimension of globalization: A review of the literature

With globalization affecting so many inter-connected areas, it is difficult to grasp its full impact. This literature review of over 120 sources considers the impact of globalization on wages and taxes, poverty, inequality, insecurity, child labour, gender, and migration. Opening with some stylized facts concerning globalization in 1985-2002, the authors then highlight recent findings on these areas, reporting on controversies and on emerging consensus where it exists. There follows a review of national and international policy responses designed to make globalization more sustainable and equitable and to deliver decent jobs, security and a voice in decision-making