An Interpretable Machine Learning Model to Predict Cortical Atrophy in Multiple Sclerosis

To date, the relationship between central hallmarks of multiple sclerosis (MS), such as white matter (WM)/cortical demyelinated lesions and cortical gray matter atrophy, remains unclear. We investigated the interplay between cortical atrophy and individual lesion-type patterns that have recently emerged as new radiological markers of MS disease progression. We employed a machine learning model to predict mean cortical thinning in whole-brain and single hemispheres in 150 cortical regions using demographic and lesion-related characteristics, evaluated via an ultrahigh field (7 Tesla) MRI. We found that (i) volume and rimless (i.e., without a "rim" of iron-laden immune cells) WM lesions, patient age, and volume of intracortical lesions have the most predictive power; (ii) WM lesions are more important for prediction when their load is small, while cortical lesion load becomes more important as it increases; (iii) WM lesions play a greater role in the progression of atrophy during the latest stages of the disease. Our results highlight the intricacy of MS pathology across the whole brain. In turn, this calls for multivariate statistical analyses and mechanistic modeling techniques to understand the etiopathogenesis of lesions

An Interpretable Machine Learning Model to Predict Cortical Atrophy in Multiple Sclerosis

To date, the relationship between central hallmarks of multiple sclerosis (MS), such as white matter (WM)/cortical demyelinated lesions and cortical gray matter atrophy, remains unclear. We investigated the interplay between cortical atrophy and individual lesion-type patterns that have recently emerged as new radiological markers of MS disease progression. We employed a machine learning model to predict mean cortical thinning in whole-brain and single hemispheres in 150 cortical regions using demographic and lesion-related characteristics, evaluated via an ultrahigh field (7 Tesla) MRI. We found that (i) volume and rimless (i.e., without a “rim” of iron-laden immune cells) WM lesions, patient age, and volume of intracortical lesions have the most predictive power; (ii) WM lesions are more important for prediction when their load is small, while cortical lesion load becomes more important as it increases; (iii) WM lesions play a greater role in the progression of atrophy during the latest stages of the disease. Our results highlight the intricacy of MS pathology across the whole brain. In turn, this calls for multivariate statistical analyses and mechanistic modeling techniques to understand the etiopathogenesis of lesions

Characterization of thalamic lesions and their correlates in multiple sclerosis by ultra-high-field MRI.

BACKGROUND: Thalamic pathology is a marker for neurodegeneration and multiple sclerosis (MS) disease progression. OBJECTIVE: To characterize (1) the morphology of thalamic lesions, (2) their relation to cortical and white matter (WM) lesions, and (3) clinical measures, and to assess (4) the imaging correlates of thalamic atrophy. METHODS: A total of 90 MS patients and 44 healthy controls underwent acquisition of 7 Tesla images for lesion segmentation and 3 Tesla scans for atrophy evaluation. Thalamic lesions were classified according to the shape and the presence of a central venule. Regression analysis identified the predictors of (1) thalamic atrophy, (2) neurological disability, and (3) information processing speed. RESULTS: Thalamic lesions were mostly ovoid than periventricular, and for the great majority (78%) displayed a central venule. Lesion volume in the thalamus, cortex, and WM did not correlate with each other. Thalamic atrophy was only associated with WM lesion volume (p = 0.002); subpial and WM lesion volumes were associated with neurological disability (p = 0.016; p < 0.001); and WM and thalamic lesion volumes were related with cognitive impairment (p < 0.001; p = 0.03). CONCLUSION: Thalamic lesions are unrelated to those in the cortex and WM, suggesting that they may not share common pathogenic mechanisms and do not contribute to thalamic atrophy. Combined WM, subpial, and thalamic lesion volumes at 7 Tesla contribute to the disease severity

Cortical and phase rim lesions on 7 T MRI as markers of multiple sclerosis disease progression.

In multiple sclerosis, individual lesion-type patterns on magnetic resonance imaging might be valuable for predicting clinical outcome and monitoring treatment effects. Neuropathological and imaging studies consistently show that cortical lesions contribute to disease progression. The presence of chronic active white matter lesions harbouring a paramagnetic rim on susceptibility-weighted magnetic resonance imaging has also been associated with an aggressive form of multiple sclerosis. It is, however, still uncertain how these two types of lesions relate to each other, or which one plays a greater role in disability progression. In this prospective, longitudinal study in 100 multiple sclerosis patients (74 relapsing-remitting, 26 secondary progressive), we used ultra-high field 7-T susceptibility imaging to characterize cortical and rim lesion presence and evolution. Clinical evaluations were obtained over a mean period of 3.2 years in 71 patients, 46 of which had a follow-up magnetic resonance imaging. At baseline, cortical and rim lesions were identified in 96% and 63% of patients, respectively. Rim lesion prevalence was similar across disease stages. Patients with rim lesions had higher cortical and overall white matter lesion load than subjects without rim lesions (P = 0.018-0.05). Altogether, cortical lesions increased by both count and volume (P = 0.004) over time, while rim lesions expanded their volume (P = 0.023) whilst lacking new rim lesions; rimless white matter lesions increased their count but decreased their volume (P = 0.016). We used a modern machine learning algorithm based on extreme gradient boosting techniques to assess the cumulative power as well as the individual importance of cortical and rim lesion types in predicting disease stage and disability progression, alongside with more traditional imaging markers. The most influential imaging features that discriminated between multiple sclerosis stages (area under the curve±standard deviation = 0.82 ± 0.08) included, as expected, the normalized white matter and thalamic volume, white matter lesion volume, but also leukocortical lesion volume. Subarachnoid cerebrospinal fluid and leukocortical lesion volumes, along with rim lesion volume were the most important predictors of Expanded Disability Status Scale progression (area under the curve±standard deviation = 0.69 ± 0.12). Taken together, these results indicate that while cortical lesions are extremely frequent in multiple sclerosis, rim lesion development occurs only in a subset of patients. Both, however, persist over time and relate to disease progression. Their combined assessment is needed to improve the ability of identifying multiple sclerosis patients at risk of progressing disease

Quantitative 7-Tesla Imaging of Cortical Myelin Changes in Early Multiple Sclerosis

Cortical demyelination occurs early in multiple sclerosis (MS) and relates to disease outcome. The brain cortex has endogenous propensity for remyelination as proven from histopathology study. In this study, we aimed at characterizing cortical microstructural abnormalities related to myelin content by applying a novel quantitative MRI technique in early MS. A combined myelin estimation (CME) cortical map was obtained from quantitative 7-Tesla (7T) T [Formula: see text] and T(1) acquisitions in 25 patients with early MS and 19 healthy volunteers. Cortical lesions in MS patients were classified based on their myelin content by comparison with CME values in healthy controls as demyelinated, partially demyelinated, or non-demyelinated. At follow-up, we registered changes in cortical lesions as increased, decreased, or stable CME. Vertex-wise analysis compared cortical CME in the normal-appearing cortex in 25 MS patients vs. 19 healthy controls at baseline and investigated longitudinal changes at 1 year in 10 MS patients. Measurements from the neurite orientation dispersion and density imaging (NODDI) diffusion model were obtained to account for cortical neurite/dendrite loss at baseline and follow-up. Finally, CME maps were correlated with clinical metrics. CME was overall low in cortical lesions (p = 0.03) and several normal-appearing cortical areas (p < 0.05) in the absence of NODDI abnormalities. Individual cortical lesion analysis revealed, however, heterogeneous CME patterns from extensive to partial or absent demyelination. At follow-up, CME overall decreased in cortical lesions and non-lesioned cortex, with few areas showing an increase (p < 0.05). Cortical CME maps correlated with processing speed in several areas across the cortex. In conclusion, CME allows detection of cortical microstructural changes related to coexisting demyelination and remyelination since the early phases of MS, and shows to be more sensitive than NODDI and relates to cognitive performance

Cortical and phase rim lesions on 7 T MRI as markers of multiple sclerosis disease progression

In multiple sclerosis, individual lesion-type patterns on magnetic resonance imaging might be valuable for predicting clinical outcome and monitoring treatment effects. Neuropathological and imaging studies consistently show that cortical lesions contribute to disease progression. The presence of chronic active white matter lesions harbouring a paramagnetic rim on susceptibility-weighted magnetic resonance imaging has also been associated with an aggressive form of multiple sclerosis. It is, however, still uncertain how these two types of lesions relate to each other, or which one plays a greater role in disability progression. In this prospective, longitudinal study in 100 multiple sclerosis patients (74 relapsing-remitting, 26 secondary progressive), we used ultra-high field 7-T susceptibility imaging to characterize cortical and rim lesion presence and evolution. Clinical evaluations were obtained over a mean period of 3.2 years in 71 patients, 46 of which had a follow-up magnetic resonance imaging. At baseline, cortical and rim lesions were identified in 96% and 63% of patients, respectively. Rim lesion prevalence was similar across disease stages. Patients with rim lesions had higher cortical and overall white matter lesion load than subjects without rim lesions (P = 0.018-0.05). Altogether, cortical lesions increased by both count and volume (P = 0.004) over time, while rim lesions expanded their volume (P = 0.023) whilst lacking new rim lesions; rimless white matter lesions increased their count but decreased their volume (P = 0.016). We used a modern machine learning algorithm based on extreme gradient boosting techniques to assess the cumulative power as well as the individual importance of cortical and rim lesion types in predicting disease stage and disability progression, alongside with more traditional imaging markers. The most influential imaging features that discriminated between multiple sclerosis stages (area under the curve +/- standard deviation = 0.82 +/- 0.08) included, as expected

7 T imaging reveals a gradient in spinal cord lesion distribution in multiple sclerosis

We used 7 T MRI to: (i) characterize the grey and white matter pathology in the cervical spinal cord of patients with early relapsing-remitting and secondary progressive multiple sclerosis; (ii) assess the spinal cord lesion spatial distribution and the hypothesis of an outside-in pathological process possibly driven by CSF-mediated immune cytotoxic factors; and (iii) evaluate the association of spinal cord pathology with brain burden and its contribution to neurological disability. We prospectively recruited 20 relapsing-remitting, 15 secondary progressive multiple sclerosis participants and 11 age-matched healthy control subjects to undergo 7 T imaging of the cervical spinal cord and brain as well as conventional 3 T brain acquisition. Cervical spinal cord imaging at 7 T was used to segment grey and white matter, including lesions therein. Brain imaging at 7 T was used to segment cortical and white matter lesions and 3 T imaging for cortical thickness estimation. Cervical spinal cord lesions were mapped voxel-wise as a function of distance from the inner central canal CSF pool to the outer subpial surface. Similarly, brain white matter lesions were mapped voxel-wise as a function of distance from the ventricular system. Subjects with relapsing-remitting multiple sclerosis showed a greater predominance of spinal cord lesions nearer the outer subpial surface compared to secondary progressive cases. Inversely, secondary progressive participants presented with more centrally located lesions. Within the brain, there was a strong gradient of lesion formation nearest the ventricular system that was most evident in participants with secondary progressive multiple sclerosis. Lesion fractions within the spinal cord grey and white matter were related to the lesion fraction in cerebral white matter. Cortical thinning was the primary determinant of the Expanded Disability Status Scale, white matter lesion fractions in the spinal cord and brain of the 9-Hole Peg Test and cortical thickness and spinal cord grey matter cross-sectional area of the Timed 25-Foot Walk. Spinal cord lesions were localized nearest the subpial surfaces for those with relapsing-remitting and the central canal CSF surface in progressive disease, possibly implying CSF-mediated pathogenic mechanisms in lesion development that may differ between multiple sclerosis subtypes. These findings show that spinal cord lesions involve both grey and white matter from the early multiple sclerosis stages and occur mostly independent from brain pathology. Despite the prevalence of cervical spinal cord lesions and atrophy, brain pathology seems more strongly related to physical disability as measured by the Expanded Disability Status Scale