Risk of a first clinical diagnosis of central nervous system demyelination in relation to human herpesviruses in the context of Epstein–Barr virus

OnlinePublBackground and purpose: Epstein–Barr virus (EBV) is implicated in multiple sclerosis (MS) risk; evidence for other herpesviruses is inconsistent. Here, we test blood markers of infection with human herpesvirus 6 (HHV-6), varicella zoster virus (VZV), and cytomegalovirus (CMV) as risk factors for a first clinical diagnosis of central nervous system demyelination (FCD) in the context of markers of EBV infection. Methods: In the Ausimmune case–control study, cases had an FCD, and population controls were matched on age, sex, and study region. We quantified HHV-6- and VZVDNA load in whole blood and HHV-6, VZV, and CMV antibodies in serum. Conditional logistic regression tested associations with FCD risk, adjusting for Epstein–Barr nuclear antigen (EBNA) IgG, EBV-DNA load, and other covariates. Results: In 204 FCD cases and 215 matched controls, only HHV-6-DNA load (positive vs. negative) was associated with FCD risk (adjusted odds ratio = 2.20, 95% confidence interval = 1.08–4.46, p= 0.03). Only EBNA IgG and HHV-6-DNA positivity were retained in a predictive model of FCD risk; the combination had a stronger association than either alone. CMV-specific IgG concentration modified the association between an MS riskrelated human leucocyte antigen gene and FCD risk. Six cases and one control had very high HHV-6-DNA load (>1.0 × 106 copies/mL). Conclusions: HHV-6-DNA positivity and high load (possibly due to inherited HHV-6 chromosomal integration) were associated with increased FCD risk, particularly in association with markers of EBV infection. With growing interest in prevention/ management of MS through EBV-related pathways, there should be additional consideration of the role of HHV-6 infection.Robyn M. Lucas, Meav-Lang J. Lay, James Grant, Nicolas Cherbuin, Cheryl S. Toi, Keith Dear, Bruce V. Taylor, Dominic E. Dwyer, Ausimmune Investigator Group, Anne-Louise Ponsonb