Gestión de bosques mixtos de pino y roble en escenarios de incertidumbre climática

The process-based forest growth model 4C (FORESEE - FORESt Ecosystems in a Changing Environment) was used to analyze the growth of a mixed oak-pine stand [Quercus petraea (Mattuschka) Liebl., Pinus sylvestris L.]. The oak-pine stand is typical for the ongoing forest transformation in the north-eastern lowlands. The pine and the oak trees are 104 and 9 years old, respectively. Three different management scenarios (A, B, C) with different thinning grades and a thinning interval of five years were simulated. Every management scenario was simulated under three different climate scenarios (0K, 2K, 3K) compiled by the regional statistical climate model STAR 2.0 (PIK). For each climate scenario 100 different realisations were generated. The realisations of the climate scenarios encompass the period 2036-2060 and exhibit an increase of mean annual temperature of zero, two and three Kelvin until 2060, respectively. We selected 9 model outputs concerning biomass, growth and harvest which were aggregated to a single total performance index (TPI). The TPI was used to assess the management scenarios with regard to three management objectives (carbon sequestration, intermediate, timber yield) under climate change until 2060. We found out that management scenario A led to the highest TPI concerning the carbon sequestration objective and management scenario C performed best concerning the two other objectives. The analysis of variance in the growth related model outputs showed an increase of climate uncertainty with increasing climate warming. Interestingly, the increase of climate induced uncertainty is much higher from 2 to 3 K than from 0 to 2 K.Se ha utilizado un modelo forestal basado en procesos denominado 4C (FORESEE - FORESt Ecosystems in a Changing Environment) para analizar el crecimiento de un masa forestal con mezcla de Quercus petraea y Pinus sylvestris. Ésta es una mezcla típica en las áreas de transformación forestal en las zonas bajas del noreste de Alemania. Los pinos y los robles tienen una edad de 104 y 9 años respectivamente. Se simularon tres escenarios diferentes de manejo (A, B, C) con diferentes grados de claras e intervalos de clara de 5 años. Cada escenario de manejo fue simulado bajo tres escenarios climáticos (0K, 2K, 3K) los cuales se calcularon por el modelo regional climático estadístico STAR 2.0 (PIK). Se generaron 100 diferentes realizaciones para cada escenario climático. Las realizaciones incluyen el período 2036-2060 y presentan un aumento de la temperatura anual de cero, dos y tres grados Kelvin hasta el año 2060, respectivamente. Seleccionamos 9 salidas del modelo relacionadas con la biomasa, crecimiento y rendimiento que se combinaron en un único índice de rendimiento total (TPI, total performance index). El TPI fue analizado para investigar los escenarios de manejo con respecto a tres objetivos de manejo (secuestro de carbono, máximo rendimiento maderero, y un escenario intermedio a ambos) bajo la influencia de cambio climático hasta el año 2060. Nuestros resultados indican que el escenario A muestra el TPI más alto con respecto al secuestro de carbono, y el escenario C tuvo el mejor resultado respecto a los otros dos objetivos. El análisis de varianza en las salidas relativas al crecimiento mostró que mientras más evoluciona el calentamiento global, más crece la incertidumbre climática. Cabe destacar que el aumento de la incertidumbre inducida por el clima es mucho mayor al aumentar de 2 a 3 K que de 0 a 2 K

Ninth air force service command

From page 17: Like all other commands, the IX Air Force Service Command is made up of people -- people whose jobs began long before the invasion, endured right up to H-hour and beyond. There were glider pilots, engineers, clerks, mechanics, cooks, doctors, truck drivers; in fact, every conceivable job necessary for victory was filled by an expert who was willing to subordinate everything to the goal ahead. Take the transport pilots, for instance. Red-eyed, flying seemingly endless hours, they operated on a two-way schedule that carried everything from gasoline and guns and bombs to blood plasma and sulfa drugs into Normandy, then carried wounded men back to England on knock-down cots which made ambulances of the Douglas Skytrains. And they did this on schedules which sent ten planes across the Channel every hour. The achievements of the IX Air Force Service Command are many and varied-it is virtually impossible to enumerate all of them. Perhaps it would be better simply to say that it is the good right arm of the Ninth Air Force. And when service is wanted by the Ninth, it is the Service Command which provides it as quickly as possible.https://digicom.bpl.lib.me.us/ww_reg_his/1118/thumbnail.jp

An investigation of the RWPE prostate derived family of cell lines using FTIR spectroscopy

Interest in developing robust, quicker and easier diagnostic tests for cancer has lead to an increased use of Fourier transform infrared (FTIR) spectroscopy to meet that need. In this study we present the use of different experimental modes of infrared spectroscopy to investigate the RWPE human prostate epithelial cell line family which are derived from the same source but differ in their mode of transformation and their mode of invasive phenotype. Importantly, analysis of the infrared spectra obtained using different experimental modes of infrared spectroscopy produces similar results. The RWPE family of cell lines can be separated into groups based upon the method of cell transformation rather than the resulting invasiveness/aggressiveness of the cell line. The study also demonstrates the possibility of using a genetic algorithm as a possible standardised pre-processing step and raises the important question of the usefulness of cell lines to create a biochemical model of prostate cancer progression

Children, family and the state : revisiting public and private realms

The state is often viewed as part of the impersonal public sphere in opposition to the private family as a locus of warmth and intimacy. In recent years this modernist dichotomy has been challenged by theoretical and institutional trends which have altered the relationship between state and family. This paper explores changes to both elements of the dichotomy that challenge this relationship: a more fragmented family structure and more individualised and networked support for children. It will also examine two new elements that further disrupt any clear mapping between state/family and public/private dichotomies: the third party role of the child in family/state affairs and children's application of virtual technology that locates the private within new cultural and social spaces. The paper concludes by examining the rise of the 'individual child' hitherto hidden within the family/state dichotomy and the implications this has for intergenerational relations at personal and institutional levels

Christopher Lasch's the culture of narcissism the failure of a critique of psychological politics

Christopher Lasch's bestseller The Culture of Narcissism had, beyond doubt, a significant impact-it was even read in the White House. Today it is not only still frequently taught and referenced, there are also still empirical studies conducted which try to verify Lasch's assertion of the preponderance of the narcissistic personality. This paper re-reads the book as a critique of psychologization processes, and this allows us to discern, besides the flaws in Lasch's approach, a fundamental insight which goes largely unnoticed by both Lasch's opponents and his proponents. Following this, the article will situate subjectivity within the matrix of psychology, science, psychoanalysis, and politics. In this way a critique of contemporary forms of psychologization-psychologization under globalization, as it were-is made possible

From ‘Young Women’ to ‘Female Adolescents’:Dutch Advice Literature during the Long Nineteenth Century

In late eighteenth-century Europe, there was a rapid expansion in the publication of advice books directed at young adult women. Based on an examination of conduct books published in the Netherlands, this chapter traces the changing format of the genre from the last quarter of the eighteenth century through to the early decades of the twentieth century. It explores how women pedagogues in the nineteenth century developed new ways of advising young women that gave readers greater control over their life choices. In the early twentieth century, the emerging social sciences drew attention to the physical and emotional changes involved in female adolescence, prescribing for the young woman strict forms of behaviour

Anti-Nirvana: crime, culture and instrumentalism in the age of insecurity

‘Anti-Nirvana’ explores the relationship between consumer culture, media and criminal motivations. It has appeared consistently on the list of the top-ten most-read articles in this award-winning international journal, and it mounts a serious neo-Freudian challenge to the predominant naturalistic notion of ‘resistance’ at the heart of liberal criminology and media studies. It is also cited in the Oxford Handbook of Criminology and other criminology texts as a persuasive argument in support of the theory that criminality amongst young people is strongly linked to the acquisitive values of consumerism and the images of possessive individualism that dominate mass media