Growth in densely populated Asia: implications for primary product exporters

Economic growth and integration in Asia is rapidly increasing the global economic importance of the region. To the extent that this growth continues and is strongest in natural resource-poor Asian economies, it will add to global demand for imports of primary products, to the benefit of (especially nearby) resource-abundant countries. How will global production, consumption and trade patterns change by 2030 in the course of such economic developments and structural changes? We address this question using the GTAP model and Version 8.1 of the 2007 GTAP database, together with supplementary data from a range of sources, to support projections of the global economy from 2007 to 2030 under various scenarios. Factor endowments and real gross domestic product are assumed to grow at exogenous rates, and trade-related policies are kept unchanged to generate a core baseline, which is compared with an alternative slower growth scenario. We also consider the impact of several policy changes aimed at increasing China's agricultural self-sufficiency relative to the 2030 baseline. Policy implications for countries of the Asia-Pacific region are drawn out in the final section

Development of criteria for epilepsy genetic testing in Ontario, Canada

Multiple genes/variants have been implicated in various epileptic conditions. However, there is little general guidance available on the circumstances in which genetic testing is indicated and test selection in order to guide optimal test appropriateness and benefit. This is an account of the development of guidelines for genetic testing in epilepsy, which have been developed in Ontario, Canada. The Genetic Testing Advisory Committee was established in Ontario to review the clinical utility and validity of genetic tests and the provision of genetic testing in Ontario. As part of their mandate, the committee also developed recommendations and guidelines for genetic testing in epilepsy. The recommendations include mandatory prerequisites for an epileptology/geneticist/clinical biochemical geneticist consultation, prerequisite diagnostic procedures, circumstances in which genetic testing is indicated and not indicated and guidance for selection of genetic tests, including their general limitations and considerations. These guidelines represent a step toward the development of evidence-based gene panels for epilepsy in Ontario, the repatriation of genetic testing for epilepsy into Ontario molecular genetic laboratories and public funding of genetic tests for epilepsy in Ontario

Implementation of Epilepsy Multigene Panel Testing in Ontario, Canada

Background: Epilepsy is a common neurological condition that shows a marked genetic predisposition. The advent of next-generation sequencing (NGS) has transformed clinical genetic testing by allowing the rapid screen for causative variants in multiple genes. There are currently no NGS-based multigene panel diagnostic tests available for epilepsy as a licensed clinical diagnostic test in Ontario, Canada. Eligible patient samples are sent out of country for testing by commercial laboratories, which incurs significant cost to the public healthcare system.Objective: An expert Working Group of medical geneticists, pediatric neurologists/epileptologists, biochemical geneticists, and clinical molecular geneticists from Ontario was formed by the Laboratories and Genetics Branch of the Ontario Ministry of Health and Long-Term Care to develop a programmatic approach to implementing epilepsy panel testing as a provincial service.Results: The Working Group made several recommendations for testing to support the clinical delivery of care in Ontario. First, an extension of community healthcare outcomes-based program should be incorporated to inform and educate ordering providers when requesting and interpreting a genetic panel test. Second, any gene panel testing must be evidence-based and takes into account varied clinical indications to reduce the chance of uncertain and secondary results. Finally, an ongoing evaluative process was recommended to ensure continued test improvement for the future.Conclusion: This epilepsy panel testing implementation plan will be a model for genetic care directed toward a specific set of conditions in the province and serve as a prototype for genetic testing for other genetically heterogeneous diseases

Globalization's effects on world agricultural trade, 1960–2050

Recent globalization has been characterized by a decline in the costs of cross-border trade in farm and other products. It has been driven primarily by the information and communication technology revolution and—in the case of farm products—by reductions in governmental distortions to agricultural production, consumption and trade. Both have boosted economic growth and reduced poverty globally, especially in Asia. The first but maybe not the second of these drivers will continue in coming decades. World food prices will depend also on whether (and if so by how much) farm productivity growth continues to outpace demand growth and to what extent diets in emerging economies move towards livestock and horticultural products at the expense of staples. Demand in turn will be driven not only by population and income growth, but also by crude oil prices if they remain at current historically high levels, since that will affect biofuel demand. Climate change mitigation policies and adaptation, water market developments and market access standards particularly for transgenic foods will add to future production, price and trade uncertainties

Mutations in PNPLA6 are linked to photoreceptor degeneration and various forms of childhood blindness

Blindness due to retinal degeneration affects millions of people worldwide, but many disease-causing mutations remain unknown. PNPLA6 encodes the patatin-like phospholipase domain containing protein 6, also known as neuropathy target esterase (NTE), which is the target of toxic organophosphates that induce human paralysis due to severe axonopathy of large neurons. Mutations in PNPLA6 also cause human spastic paraplegia characterized by motor neuron degeneration. Here we identify PNPLA6 mutations in childhood blindness in seven families with retinal degeneration, including Leber congenital amaurosis and Oliver McFarlane syndrome. PNPLA6 localizes mostly at the inner segment plasma membrane in photo-receptors and mutations in Drosophila PNPLA6 lead to photoreceptor cell death. We also report that lysophosphatidylcholine and lysophosphatidic acid levels are elevated in mutant Drosophila. These findings show a role for PNPLA6 in photoreceptor survival and identify phospholipid metabolism as a potential therapeutic target for some forms of blindness.Foundation Fighting Blindness CanadaCanadian Institutes of Health ResearchNIHCharles University institutional programmesBIOCEV-Biotechnology and Biomedicine Centre of the Academy of Sciences and Charles University, from the European Regional Development FundMinistry of Health of the Czech RepublicGraduate School of Life Sciences (University of Wuerzburg)Government of Canada through Genome CanadaOntario Genomics InstituteGenome QuebecGenome British ColumbiaMcLaughlin CentreCharles Univ Prague, Inst Inherited Metab Disorders, Fac Med 1, Prague 12000 2, Czech RepublicMcGill Univ, Dept Human Genet, Fac Med, Montreal, PQ H3A 0G1, CanadaGenome Quebec Innovat Ctr, Montreal, PQ H3A 0G1, CanadaClin Res Inst Montreal, Cellular Neurobiol Res Unit, Montreal, PQ H2W 1R7, CanadaMcGill Univ, Montreal, PQ H3A 0G4, CanadaMcGill Univ, Ctr Hlth, Montreal Childrens Hosp, McGill Ocular Genet Lab, Montreal, PQ H3H 1P3, CanadaMcGill Univ, Ctr Hlth, Montreal Childrens Hosp, Dept Paediat Surg, Montreal, PQ H3H 1P3, CanadaMcGill Univ, Ctr Hlth, Montreal Childrens Hosp, Dept Human Genet, Montreal, PQ H3H 1P3, CanadaMcGill Univ, Ctr Hlth, Montreal Childrens Hosp, Dept Ophthalmol, Montreal, PQ H3H 1P3, CanadaUniv Alberta, Royal Alexandra Hosp, Dept Ophthalmol & Visual Sci, Edmonton, AB T5H 3V9, CanadaCharles Univ Prague, Inst Biol & Med Genet, Fac Med 1, Prague 12000 2, Czech RepublicBaylor Coll Med, Dept Mol & Human Genet, Human Genome Sequencing Ctr, Houston, TX 77030 USAUniversidade Federal de São Paulo, Dept Neurol, Div Gen Neurol, BR-04021001 São Paulo, BrazilUniversidade Federal de São Paulo, Dept Neurol, Ataxia Unit, BR-04021001 São Paulo, BrazilNewcastle Univ, Inst Med Genet, Newcastle Upon Tyne NE1 3BZ, Tyne & Wear, EnglandUniversidade Federal de São Paulo, Dept Ophthalmol, BR-04021001 São Paulo, BrazilSo Gen Hosp, Dept Clin Genet, Glasgow G51 4TF, Lanark, ScotlandCardiff Univ, Sch Med, Inst Med Genet, Cardiff CF14 4XN, S Glam, WalesHadassah Hebrew Univ Med Ctr, Dept Ophthalmol, IL-91120 Jerusalem, IsraelOregon Hlth & Sci Univ, Oregon Inst Occupat Hlth Sci, Portland, OR 97239 USAUniv Wurzburg, Lehrstuhl Neurobiol & Genet, D-97074 Wurzburg, GermanyUniv Montreal, Dept Med, Montreal, PQ H3T 1P1, CanadaMcGill Univ, Dept Anat & Cell Biol, Div Expt Med, Montreal, PQ H3A 2B2, CanadaUniversidade Federal de São Paulo, Dept Neurol, Div Gen Neurol, BR-04021001 São Paulo, BrazilUniversidade Federal de São Paulo, Dept Neurol, Ataxia Unit, BR-04021001 São Paulo, BrazilUniversidade Federal de São Paulo, Dept Ophthalmol, BR-04021001 São Paulo, BrazilNIH: EY022356-01NIH: EY018571-05NIH: NS047663-09Charles University institutional programmes: PRVOUK-P24/LF1/3Charles University institutional programmes: UNCE 204011Charles University institutional programmes: SVV2013/266504BIOCEV-Biotechnology and Biomedicine Centre of the Academy of Sciences and Charles University, from the European Regional Development Fund: CZ.1.05/1.1.00/02.0109Ministry of Health of the Czech Republic: NT13116-4/2012Ministry of Health of the Czech Republic: NT14015-3/2013Ontario Genomics Institute: OGI-049Web of Scienc

Prediction models for diagnosis and prognosis of covid-19: : systematic review and critical appraisal

Readers’ note This article is a living systematic review that will be updated to reflect emerging evidence. Updates may occur for up to two years from the date of original publication. This version is update 3 of the original article published on 7 April 2020 (BMJ 2020;369:m1328). Previous updates can be found as data supplements (https://www.bmj.com/content/369/bmj.m1328/related#datasupp). When citing this paper please consider adding the update number and date of access for clarity. Funding: LW, BVC, LH, and MDV acknowledge specific funding for this work from Internal Funds KU Leuven, KOOR, and the COVID-19 Fund. LW is a postdoctoral fellow of Research Foundation-Flanders (FWO) and receives support from ZonMw (grant 10430012010001). BVC received support from FWO (grant G0B4716N) and Internal Funds KU Leuven (grant C24/15/037). TPAD acknowledges financial support from the Netherlands Organisation for Health Research and Development (grant 91617050). VMTdJ was supported by the European Union Horizon 2020 Research and Innovation Programme under ReCoDID grant agreement 825746. KGMM and JAAD acknowledge financial support from Cochrane Collaboration (SMF 2018). KIES is funded by the National Institute for Health Research (NIHR) School for Primary Care Research. The views expressed are those of the author(s) and not necessarily those of the NHS, the NIHR, or the Department of Health and Social Care. GSC was supported by the NIHR Biomedical Research Centre, Oxford, and Cancer Research UK (programme grant C49297/A27294). JM was supported by the Cancer Research UK (programme grant C49297/A27294). PD was supported by the NIHR Biomedical Research Centre, Oxford. MOH is supported by the National Heart, Lung, and Blood Institute of the United States National Institutes of Health (grant R00 HL141678). ICCvDH and BCTvB received funding from Euregio Meuse-Rhine (grant Covid Data Platform (coDaP) interref EMR187). The funders played no role in study design, data collection, data analysis, data interpretation, or reporting.Peer reviewedPublisher PD

Towards a Pharmacophore for Amyloid

Diagnosing and treating Alzheimer's and other diseases associated with amyloid fibers remains a great challenge despite intensive research. To aid in this effort, we present atomic structures of fiber-forming segments of proteins involved in Alzheimer's disease in complex with small molecule binders, determined by X-ray microcrystallography. The fiber-like complexes consist of pairs of β-sheets, with small molecules binding between the sheets, roughly parallel to the fiber axis. The structures suggest that apolar molecules drift along the fiber, consistent with the observation of nonspecific binding to a variety of amyloid proteins. In contrast, negatively charged orange-G binds specifically to lysine side chains of adjacent sheets. These structures provide molecular frameworks for the design of diagnostics and drugs for protein aggregation diseases

The phenotype of Floating-Harbor syndrome: Clinical characterization of 52 individuals with mutations in exon 34 of SRCAP

Background: Floating-Harbor syndrome (FHS) is a rare condition characterized by short stature, delays in expressive language, and a distinctive facial appearance. Recently, heterozygous truncating mutations in SRCAP were determined to be disease-causing. With the availability of a DNA based confirmatory test, we set forth to define the clinical features of this syndrome. Methods and results. Clinical information on fifty-two individuals with SRCAP mutations was collected using standardized questionnaires. Twenty-four males and twenty-eight females were studied with ages ranging from