Hospitalizations Among Adults With CKD in Public Renal Specialty Practices: A Retrospective Study From Queensland, Australia

RATIONALE & OBJECTIVE: Little is known about hospital admissions in nondialysis patients with chronic kidney disease (CKD) before death or starting kidney replacement therapy (KRT). STUDY DESIGN: Retrospective observational cohort study. SETTING & PARTICIPANTS: Hospitalizations among 7,201 patients with CKD from 10 public renal clinics in Queensland (QLD), enrolled in the CKD.QLD registry starting in May 2011, were followed for 25,496.34 person-years until they started receiving KRT or died, or until June 30, 2018. PREDICTORS: Demographic and clinical characteristics of patients with CKD. OUTCOMES: Hospital admissions. ANALYTICAL APPROACH: We evaluated the association of demographic and clinical features with hospitalizations, length of hospital stay, and cost. RESULTS: Approximately 81.5% of the patients were admitted at least once, with 42,283 admissions, costing Australian dollars (AUD) 231 million. The average number of admissions per person-year was 1.7, and the cost was AUD 9,060, 10 times and 2 times their Australian averages, respectively. Single (1-day) admissions constituted 59.2% of all the hospital episodes, led by neoplasms (largely chemotherapy), anemia, CKD-related conditions and eye conditions (largely cataract extractions), but only 14.8% of the total costs. Approximately 41% of admissions were \u3e1-day admissions, constituting 85.2% of the total costs, with cardiovascular conditions, respiratory conditions, CKD-related conditions, and injuries, fractures, or poisoning being the dominant causes. Readmission within 30 days of discharge constituted \u3e42% of the admissions and 46.8% costs. Admissions not directly related to CKD constituted 90% of the admissions and costs. More than 40% of the admissions and costs were through the emergency department. Approximately 19% of the hospitalized patients and 27% of the admissions did not have kidney disease mentioned as either principal or associate causes. LIMITATIONS: Variable follow-up times because of different dates of consent. CONCLUSIONS: The hospital burden of patients with CKD is mainly driven by complex multiday admissions and readmissions involving comorbid conditions, which may not be directly related to their CKD. Strategies to prevent these complex admissions and readmissions should minimize hospital costs and outcomes. PLAIN-LANGUAGE SUMMARY: We analyzed primary causes, types, and costs of hospitalizations among 7,201 patients with chronic kidney disease (CKD) from renal speciality clinics across Queensland, Australia, over an average follow-up of 3.54 years. The average annual cost per person was $9,060, and was the highest in those with more advanced CKD, higher age, and with diabetes. More than 85% of costs were driven by more complex hospitalizations with longer length of stay. Cardiovascular disease was the single largest contributor for hospitalizations, length of hospital stay, and total costs. Readmission within 30 days of discharge, particularly for the same disorder, and multiday admissions should be the main targets for mitigation of hospital costs in this population

Hospitalizations Among Adults With CKD in Public Renal Specialty Practices: A Retrospective Study From Queensland, Australia

Rationale & Objective: Little is known about hospital admissions in nondialysis patients with chronic kidney disease (CKD) before death or starting kidney replacement therapy (KRT). Study Design: Retrospective observational cohort study. Setting & Participants: Hospitalizations among 7,201 patients with CKD from 10 public renal clinics in Queensland (QLD), enrolled in the CKD.QLD registry starting in May 2011, were followed for 25,496.34 person-years until they started receiving KRT or died, or until June 30, 2018. Predictors: Demographic and clinical characteristics of patients with CKD. Outcomes: Hospital admissions. Analytical Approach: We evaluated the association of demographic and clinical features with hospitalizations, length of hospital stay, and cost. Results: Approximately 81.5% of the patients were admitted at least once, with 42,283 admissions, costing Australian dollars (AUD) 231 million. The average number of admissions per person-year was 1.7, and the cost was AUD 9,060, 10 times and 2 times their Australian averages, respectively. Single (1-day) admissions constituted 59.2% of all the hospital episodes, led by neoplasms (largely chemotherapy), anemia, CKD-related conditions and eye conditions (largely cataract extractions), but only 14.8% of the total costs. Approximately 41% of admissions were >1-day admissions, constituting 85.2% of the total costs, with cardiovascular conditions, respiratory conditions, CKD-related conditions, and injuries, fractures, or poisoning being the dominant causes. Readmission within 30 days of discharge constituted >42% of the admissions and 46.8% costs. Admissions not directly related to CKD constituted 90% of the admissions and costs. More than 40% of the admissions and costs were through the emergency department. Approximately 19% of the hospitalized patients and 27% of the admissions did not have kidney disease mentioned as either principal or associate causes. Limitations: Variable follow-up times because of different dates of consent. Conclusions: The hospital burden of patients with CKD is mainly driven by complex multiday admissions and readmissions involving comorbid conditions, which may not be directly related to their CKD. Strategies to prevent these complex admissions and readmissions should minimize hospital costs and outcomes. Plain-Language Summary: We analyzed primary causes, types, and costs of hospitalizations among 7,201 patients with chronic kidney disease (CKD) from renal speciality clinics across Queensland, Australia, over an average follow-up of 3.54 years. The average annual cost per person was $9,060, and was the highest in those with more advanced CKD, higher age, and with diabetes. More than 85% of costs were driven by more complex hospitalizations with longer length of stay. Cardiovascular disease was the single largest contributor for hospitalizations, length of hospital stay, and total costs. Readmission within 30 days of discharge, particularly for the same disorder, and multiday admissions should be the main targets for mitigation of hospital costs in this population

Chronic kidney disease in public renal practices in Queensland, Australia, 2011–2018

Aim: To describe adults with (non-dialysis) chronic kidney disease (CKD) in nine public renal practice sites in the Australian state of Queensland. Methods: 7,060 persons were recruited to a CKD Registry in May 2011 and until start of kidney replacement therapy (KRT), death without KRT or June 2018, for a median period of 3.4 years. Results: The cohort comprised 7,060 persons, 52% males, with a median age of 68 yr; 85% had CKD stages 3A to 5, 45.4% were diabetic, 24.6% had diabetic nephropathy, and 51.7% were obese. Younger persons mostly had glomerulonephritis or genetic renal disease, while older persons mostly had diabetic nephropathy, renovascular disease and multiple diagnoses. Proportions of specific renal diagnoses varied >2-fold across sites. Over the first year, eGFR fell in 24% but was stable or improved in 76%. Over follow up, 10% started KRT, at a median age of 62 yr, most with CKD stages 4 and 5 at consent, while 18.8% died without KRT, at a median age of 80 yr. Indigenous people were younger at consent and more often had diabetes and diabetic kidney disease and had higher incidence rates of KRT. Conclusion: The spectrum of characteristics in CKD patients in renal practices is much broader than represented by the minority who ultimately start KRT. Variation in CKD by causes, age, site and Indigenous status, the prevalence of obesity, relative stability of kidney function in many persons over the short term, and differences between those who KRT and die without KRT are all important to explore

CMIP5 Historical Simulations (1850-2012) with GISS ModelE2

Observations of climate change during the CMIP5 extended historical period (1850-2012) are compared to trends simulated by six versions of the NASA Goddard Institute for Space Studies ModelE2 Earth System Model. The six models are constructed from three versions of the ModelE2 atmospheric general circulation model, distinguished by their treatment of atmospheric composition and the aerosol indirect effect, combined with two ocean general circulation models, HYCOM and Russell. Forcings that perturb the model climate during the historical period are described. Five-member ensemble averages from each of the six versions of ModelE2 simulate trends of surface air temperature, atmospheric temperature, sea ice and ocean heat content that are in general agreement with observed trends, although simulated warming is slightly excessive within the past decade. Only simulations that include increasing concentrations of long-lived greenhouse gases match the warming observed during the twentieth century. Differences in twentieth-century warming among the six model versions can be attributed to differences in climate sensitivity, aerosol and ozone forcing, and heat uptake by the deep ocean. Coupled models with HYCOM export less heat to the deep ocean, associated with reduced surface warming in regions of deepwater formation, but greater warming elsewhere at high latitudes along with reduced sea ice. All ensembles show twentieth-century annular trends toward reduced surface pressure at southern high latitudes and a poleward shift of the midlatitude westerlies, consistent with observations

Nanopore-based kinetics analysis of individual antibody-channel and antibody-antigen interactions

<p>Abstract</p> <p>Background</p> <p>The UNO/RIC Nanopore Detector provides a new way to study the binding and conformational changes of individual antibodies. Many critical questions regarding antibody function are still unresolved, questions that can be approached in a new way with the nanopore detector.</p> <p>Results</p> <p>We present evidence that different forms of channel blockade can be associated with the same antibody, we associate these different blockades with different orientations of "capture" of an antibody in the detector's nanometer-scale channel. We directly detect the presence of antibodies via reductions in channel current. Changes to blockade patterns upon addition of antigen suggest indirect detection of antibody/antigen binding. Similarly, DNA-hairpin anchored antibodies have been studied, where the DNA linkage is to the carboxy-terminus at the base of the antibody's Fc region, with significantly fewer types of (lengthy) capture blockades than was observed for free (un-bound) IgG antibody. The introduction of chaotropic agents and its effects on protein-protein interactions have also been observed.</p> <p>Conclusion</p> <p>Nanopore-based approaches may eventually provide a direct analysis of the complex conformational "negotiations" that occur upon binding between proteins.</p

A novel, fast, HMM-with-Duration implementation – for application with a new, pattern recognition informed, nanopore detector

<p>Abstract</p> <p>Background</p> <p>Hidden Markov Models (HMMs) provide an excellent means for structure identification and feature extraction on stochastic sequential data. An HMM-with-Duration (HMMwD) is an HMM that can also exactly model the hidden-label length (recurrence) distributions – while the regular HMM will impose a best-fit geometric distribution in its modeling/representation.</p> <p>Results</p> <p>A Novel, Fast, HMM-with-Duration (HMMwD) Implementation is presented, and experimental results are shown that demonstrate its performance on two-state synthetic data designed to model Nanopore Detector Data. The HMMwD experimental results are compared to (i) the ideal model and to (ii) the conventional HMM. Its accuracy is clearly an improvement over the standard HMM, and matches that of the ideal solution in many cases where the standard HMM does not. Computationally, the new HMMwD has all the speed advantages of the conventional (simpler) HMM implementation. In preliminary work shown here, HMM feature extraction is then used to establish the first pattern recognition-informed (PRI) sampling control of a Nanopore Detector Device (on a "live" data-stream).</p> <p>Conclusion</p> <p>The improved accuracy of the new HMMwD implementation, at the same order of computational cost as the standard HMM, is an important augmentation for applications in gene structure identification and channel current analysis, especially PRI sampling control, for example, where speed is essential. The PRI experiment was designed to inherit the high accuracy of the well characterized and distinctive blockades of the DNA hairpin molecules used as controls (or blockade "test-probes"). For this test set, the accuracy inherited is 99.9%.</p

Living Well with Diabetes: a randomized controlled trial of a telephone-delivered intervention for maintenance of weight loss, physical activity and glycaemic control in adults with type 2 diabetes

Background By 2025, it is estimated that approximately 1.8 million Australian adults (approximately 8.4% of the adult population) will have diabetes, with the majority having type 2 diabetes. Weight management via improved physical activity and diet is the cornerstone of type 2 diabetes management. However, the majority of weight loss trials in diabetes have evaluated short-term, intensive clinic-based interventions that, while producing short-term outcomes, have failed to address issues of maintenance and broad population reach. Telephone-delivered interventions have the potential to address these gaps. Methods/Design Using a two-arm randomised controlled design, this study will evaluate an 18-month, telephone-delivered, behavioural weight loss intervention focussing on physical activity, diet and behavioural therapy, versus usual care, with follow-up at 24 months. Three-hundred adult participants, aged 20-75 years, with type 2 diabetes, will be recruited from 10 general practices via electronic medical records search. The Social-Cognitive Theory driven intervention involves a six-month intensive phase (4 weekly calls and 11 fortnightly calls) and a 12-month maintenance phase (one call per month). Primary outcomes, assessed at 6, 18 and 24 months, are: weight loss, physical activity, and glycaemic control (HbA1c), with weight loss and physical activity also measured at 12 months. Incremental cost-effectiveness will also be examined. Study recruitment began in February 2009, with final data collection expected by February 2013. Discussion This is the first study to evaluate the telephone as the primary method of delivering a behavioural weight loss intervention in type 2 diabetes. The evaluation of maintenance outcomes (6 months following the end of intervention), the use of accelerometers to objectively measure physical activity, and the inclusion of a cost-effectiveness analysis will advance the science of broad reach approaches to weight control and health behaviour change, and will build the evidence base needed to advocate for the translation of this work into population health practice

Roadmap on holography

From its inception holography has proven an extremely productive and attractive area of research. While specific technical applications give rise to 'hot topics', and three-dimensional (3D) visualisation comes in and out of fashion, the core principals involved continue to lead to exciting innovations in a wide range of areas. We humbly submit that it is impossible, in any journal document of this type, to fully reflect current and potential activity; however, our valiant contributors have produced a series of documents that go no small way to neatly capture progress across a wide range of core activities. As editors we have attempted to spread our net wide in order to illustrate the breadth of international activity. In relation to this we believe we have been at least partially successful.This work was supported by Ministerio de Economía, Industria y Competitividad (Spain) under projects FIS2017-82919-R (MINECO/AEI/FEDER, UE) and FIS2015-66570-P (MINECO/FEDER), and by Generalitat Valenciana (Spain) under project PROMETEO II/2015/015