57 research outputs found
Multicriticality of the (2+1)-dimensional gonihedric model: A realization of the (d,m)=(3,2) Lifshitz point
Multicriticality of the gonihedric model in 2+1 dimensions is investigated
numerically. The gonihedric model is a fully frustrated Ising magnet with the
finely tuned plaquette-type (four-body and plaquette-diagonal) interactions,
which cancel out the domain-wall surface tension. Because the
quantum-mechanical fluctuation along the imaginary-time direction is simply
ferromagnetic, the criticality of the (2+1)-dimensional gonihedric model should
be an anisotropic one; that is, the respective critical indices of real-space
(\perp) and imaginary-time (\parallel) sectors do not coincide. Extending the
parameter space to control the domain-wall surface tension, we analyze the
criticality in terms of the crossover (multicritical) scaling theory. By means
of the numerical diagonalization for the clusters with N\le 28 spins, we
obtained the correlation-length critical indices
(\nu_\perp,\nu_\parallel)=(0.45(10),1.04(27)), and the crossover exponent
\phi=0.7(2). Our results are comparable to
(\nu_{\perp},\nu_{\parallel})=(0.482,1.230), and \phi=0.688 obtained by Diehl
and Shpot for the (d,m)=(3,2) Lifshitz point with the \epsilon-expansion method
up to O(\epsilon^2)
African Program for Onchocerciasis Control 1995–2010: Impact of Annual Ivermectin Mass Treatment on Off-Target Infectious Diseases
Since its initiation in 1995, the African Program for Onchocerciasis Control (APOC) has had a substantial impact on the prevalence and burden of onchocerciasis through annual ivermectin mass treatment. Ivermectin is a broad-spectrum anti-parasitic agent that also has an impact on other co-endemic parasitic infections. In this study, we roughly assessed the additional impact of APOC activities on the burden of the most important off-target infections: soil-transmitted helminthiases (STH; ascariasis, trichuriasis, hookworm, and strongyloidiasis), lymphatic filariasis (LF), and scabies. Based on a literature review, we formulated assumptions about the impact of ivermectin treatment on the disease burden of these off-target infections. Using data on the number of ivermectin treatments in APOC regions and the latest estimates of the burden of disease, we then calculated the impact of APOC activities on off-target infections in terms of disability-adjusted life years (DALYs) averted. We conservatively estimated that between 1995 and 2010, annual ivermectin mass treatment has cumulatively averted about 500 thousand DALYs from co-endemic STH infections, LF, and scabies. This impact comprised approximately an additional 5.5% relative to the total burden averted from onchocerciasis (8.9 million DALYs) and indicates that the overall cost-effectiveness of APOC is even higher than previously reported
African regional progress and status of the programme to eliminate lymphatic filariasis: 2000–2020
To eliminate lymphatic filariasis (LF) by 2020, the World Health Organization (WHO) has launched a campaign against the disease. Since the launch in 2000, significant progress has been made to achieve this ambitious goal. In this article we review the progress and status of the LF programme in Africa through the WHO neglected tropical diseases preventive chemotherapy databank, the Expanded Special Project for Elimination of Neglected Tropical Diseases (ESPEN) portal and other publications. In the African Region there are 35 countries endemic for LF. The Gambia was reclassified as not requiring preventive chemotherapy in 2015, while Togo and Malawi eliminated LF as a public health problem in 2017 and 2020, respectively. Cameroon discontinued mass drug administration (MDA) and transitioned to post-MDA surveillance to validate elimination. The trajectory of coverage continues to accelerate; treatment coverage increased from 0.1% in 2000 to 62.1% in 2018. Geographical coverage has also significantly increased, from 62.7% in 2015 to 78.5% in 2018. In 2019, 23 of 31 countries requiring MDA achieved 100% geographic coverage. Although much remains to be done, morbidity management and disability prevention services have steadily increased in recent years. Vector control interventions conducted by other programmes, particularly malaria vector control, have had a profound effect in stopping transmission in some endemic countries in the region. In conclusion, significant progress has been made in the LF programme in the region while we identify the key remaining challenges in achieving an Africa free of LF
Ising Universality in Three Dimensions: A Monte Carlo Study
We investigate three Ising models on the simple cubic lattice by means of
Monte Carlo methods and finite-size scaling. These models are the spin-1/2
Ising model with nearest-neighbor interactions, a spin-1/2 model with
nearest-neighbor and third-neighbor interactions, and a spin-1 model with
nearest-neighbor interactions. The results are in accurate agreement with the
hypothesis of universality. Analysis of the finite-size scaling behavior
reveals corrections beyond those caused by the leading irrelevant scaling
field. We find that the correction-to-scaling amplitudes are strongly dependent
on the introduction of further-neighbor interactions or a third spin state. In
a spin-1 Ising model, these corrections appear to be very small. This is very
helpful for the determination of the universal constants of the Ising model.
The renormalization exponents of the Ising model are determined as y_t = 1.587
(2), y_h = 2.4815 (15) and y_i = -0.82 (6). The universal ratio Q =
^2/ is equal to 0.6233 (4) for periodic systems with cubic symmetry.
The critical point of the nearest-neighbor spin-1/2 model is K_c=0.2216546
(10).Comment: 25 pages, uuencoded compressed PostScript file (to appear in Journal
of Physics A
Baseline mapping of neglected tropical diseases in Africa: the accelerated WHO/AFRO mapping project
Mapping is a prerequisite for effective implementation of interventions against neglected tropical diseases (NTDs). Before the accelerated World Health Organization (WHO)/Regional Office for Africa (AFRO) NTD Mapping Project was initiated in 2014, mapping efforts in many countries were frequently carried out in an ad hoc and nonstandardized fashion. In 2013, there were at least 2,200 different districts (of the 4,851 districts in the WHO African region) that still required mapping, and in many of these districts, more than one disease needed to be mapped. During its 3-year duration from January 2014 through the end of 2016, the project carried out mapping surveys for one or more NTDs in at least 2,500 districts in 37 African countries. At the end of 2016, most (90%) of the 4,851 districts had completed the WHO-required mapping surveys for the five targeted Preventive Chemotherapy (PC)-NTDs, and the impact of this accelerated WHO/AFRO NTD Mapping Project proved to be much greater than just the detailed mapping results themselves. Indeed, the AFRO Mapping Project dramatically energized and empowered national NTD programs, attracted donor support for expanding these programs, and developed both a robust NTD mapping database and data portal. By clarifying the prevalence and burden of NTDs, the project provided not only the metrics and technical framework for guiding and tracking program implementation and success but also the research opportunities for developing improved diagnostic and epidemiologic sampling tools for all 5 PC-NTDs-lymphatic filariasis, onchocerciasis, schistosomiasis, soil-transmitted helminthiasis, and trachoma
Model-based geostatistical mapping of the prevalence of onchocerca volvulus in West Africa.
Background:
The initial endemicity (pre-control prevalence) of onchocerciasis has been shown to be an important determinant of the feasibility of elimination by mass ivermectin distribution. We present the first geostatistical map of microfilarial prevalence in the former Onchocerciasis Control Programme in West Africa (OCP) before commencement of antivectorial and antiparasitic interventions.
Methods and Findings:
Pre-control microfilarial prevalence data from 737 villages across the 11 constituent countries in the OCP epidemiological database were used as ground-truth data. These 737 data points, plus a set of statistically selected environmental covariates, were used in a Bayesian model-based geostatistical (B-MBG) approach to generate a continuous surface (at pixel resolution of 5 km x 5km) of microfilarial prevalence in West Africa prior to the commencement of the OCP. Uncertainty in model predictions was measured using a suite of validation statistics, performed on bootstrap samples of held-out validation data. The mean Pearson’s correlation between observed and estimated prevalence at validation locations was 0.693; the mean prediction error (average difference between observed and estimated values) was 0.77%, and the mean absolute prediction error (average magnitude of difference between observed and estimated values) was 12.2%. Within OCP boundaries, 17.8 million people were deemed to have been at risk, 7.55 million to have been infected, and mean microfilarial prevalence to have been 45% (range: 2–90%) in 1975.
Conclusions and Significance:
This is the first map of initial onchocerciasis prevalence in West Africa using B-MBG. Important environmental predictors of infection prevalence were identified and used in a model out-performing those without spatial random effects or environmental covariates. Results may be compared with recent epidemiological mapping efforts to find areas of persisting transmission. These methods may be extended to areas where data are sparse, and may be used to help inform the feasibility of elimination with current and novel tools
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