Problemistic Search and International Entrepreneurship

This paper explains the internationalization process of small firms using the theory of performance relative to aspiration levels. The study complements prior theory by explaining why and how small firms are triggered to engage in internationalization despite not reaching maturity in their home market. We outline a model where firms’ internationalization is triggered by problemistic search, following periods of below-aspiration performance. The model is tested on 860 Swedish firms followed during an economic downturn. Results indicate that internationalization activities follow a boundedly rational process characterized by search behavior which is triggered by performance feedback. The study complements prior theories of internationalization and offers a first empirical demonstration of the viability of aspiration-level performance theory in international entrepreneurship research.Entrepreneurship; International Entry; Behavioral Theory of the Firm

Uncertainty-Aware CNNs for Depth Completion: Uncertainty from Beginning to End

The focus in deep learning research has been mostly to push the limits of prediction accuracy. However, this was often achieved at the cost of increased complexity, raising concerns about the interpretability and the reliability of deep networks. Recently, an increasing attention has been given to untangling the complexity of deep networks and quantifying their uncertainty for different computer vision tasks. Differently, the task of depth completion has not received enough attention despite the inherent noisy nature of depth sensors. In this work, we thus focus on modeling the uncertainty of depth data in depth completion starting from the sparse noisy input all the way to the final prediction. We propose a novel approach to identify disturbed measurements in the input by learning an input confidence estimator in a self-supervised manner based on the normalized convolutional neural networks (NCNNs). Further, we propose a probabilistic version of NCNNs that produces a statistically meaningful uncertainty measure for the final prediction. When we evaluate our approach on the KITTI dataset for depth completion, we outperform all the existing Bayesian Deep Learning approaches in terms of prediction accuracy, quality of the uncertainty measure, and the computational efficiency. Moreover, our small network with 670k parameters performs on-par with conventional approaches with millions of parameters. These results give strong evidence that separating the network into parallel uncertainty and prediction streams leads to state-of-the-art performance with accurate uncertainty estimates.Comment: CVPR2020 (8 pages + supplementary

SLAMIt A Sub-Map Based SLAM System : On-line creation of multi-leveled map

In many situations after a big catastrophe such as the one in Fukushima, the disaster area is highly dangerous for humans to enter. It is in such environments that a semi-autonomous robot could limit the risks to humans by exploring and mapping the area on its own. This thesis intends to design and implement a software based SLAM system which has potential to run in real-time using a Kinect 2 sensor as input. The focus of the thesis has been to create a system which allows for efficient storage and representation of the map, in order to be able to explore large environments. This is done by separating the map in different abstraction levels corresponding to local maps connected by a global map. During the implementation, this structure has been kept in mind in order to allow modularity. This makes it possible for each sub-component in the system to be exchanged if needed. The thesis is broad in the sense that it uses techniques from distinct areas to solve the sub-problems that exist. Some examples being, object detection and classification, point-cloud registration and efficient 3D-based occupancy trees.I många situationer efter en stor katastrof, såsom den i Fukushima, är området ytterst farligt för människor att vistas. Det är i sådana miljöer som semi-autonomarobotar kan begränsa risken för människor genom att utforska och kartlägga området på egen hand. Det här exjobbet fokuserar på att designa och implementera ett mjukvarubaserat SLAM system med real-tids potential användandes en Kinect 2 sensor. Exjobbet har fokuserat på att skapa ett system som tillåter effektiv lagring och representering av kartan för att tillåta utforskning utav stora områden. Det görs genom att separera kartan i olika abstraktionsnivåer, vilka korresponderar mot lokala kartor sammankopplade med en global karta. Strukturen av system har tagit hänsyn till under utvecklingen för att tillåta modularitet. Vilket gör det möjligt att byta ut komponenter i systemet. Det här exjobbet är brett i det avseende att det använder tekniker från flera olika områden för att lösa de sub-problem som finns. Några exempel är objektdetektion och klassificering, punkt-molnsregistrering och effektiva 3D-baserade okupationsträd.Después de grandes catástrofes, cómo la reciente en Fukushima, está demasiado peligroso para permitir humanes a entrar. En estás situaciones estaría más preferible entrar con un robot semi-automático que puede explorar, crear un mapa de la ambiente y encontrar los riesgos que hay. Está obra intente de diseñar e implementar un sistema SLAM, con la potencial de crear está mapa en tiempo real, utilizando una camera Kinect 2. En el centro de la tesis está el diseño de una mapa que será eficiente alojar y manejar, para ser utilizado explorando áreas grandes. Se logra esto por la manera de la separación del mapa en distintas niveles de abstracción qué corresponde a mapas métricos locales y una mapa topológica que conecta estas. La estructura del sistema ha sido considerado para permitir utilizar varios tipos de sensores, además que permitir cambiar ciertas partes de la sistema. Esté tesis cobra distintas áreas cómo lo de detección de objetos, estimación de la posición del sistema, registrar nubes de puntos y alojamiento de 3D-mapas

SLAMIt A Sub-Map Based SLAM System : On-line creation of multi-leveled map

In many situations after a big catastrophe such as the one in Fukushima, the disaster area is highly dangerous for humans to enter. It is in such environments that a semi-autonomous robot could limit the risks to humans by exploring and mapping the area on its own. This thesis intends to design and implement a software based SLAM system which has potential to run in real-time using a Kinect 2 sensor as input. The focus of the thesis has been to create a system which allows for efficient storage and representation of the map, in order to be able to explore large environments. This is done by separating the map in different abstraction levels corresponding to local maps connected by a global map. During the implementation, this structure has been kept in mind in order to allow modularity. This makes it possible for each sub-component in the system to be exchanged if needed. The thesis is broad in the sense that it uses techniques from distinct areas to solve the sub-problems that exist. Some examples being, object detection and classification, point-cloud registration and efficient 3D-based occupancy trees.I många situationer efter en stor katastrof, såsom den i Fukushima, är området ytterst farligt för människor att vistas. Det är i sådana miljöer som semi-autonomarobotar kan begränsa risken för människor genom att utforska och kartlägga området på egen hand. Det här exjobbet fokuserar på att designa och implementera ett mjukvarubaserat SLAM system med real-tids potential användandes en Kinect 2 sensor. Exjobbet har fokuserat på att skapa ett system som tillåter effektiv lagring och representering av kartan för att tillåta utforskning utav stora områden. Det görs genom att separera kartan i olika abstraktionsnivåer, vilka korresponderar mot lokala kartor sammankopplade med en global karta. Strukturen av system har tagit hänsyn till under utvecklingen för att tillåta modularitet. Vilket gör det möjligt att byta ut komponenter i systemet. Det här exjobbet är brett i det avseende att det använder tekniker från flera olika områden för att lösa de sub-problem som finns. Några exempel är objektdetektion och klassificering, punkt-molnsregistrering och effektiva 3D-baserade okupationsträd.Después de grandes catástrofes, cómo la reciente en Fukushima, está demasiado peligroso para permitir humanes a entrar. En estás situaciones estaría más preferible entrar con un robot semi-automático que puede explorar, crear un mapa de la ambiente y encontrar los riesgos que hay. Está obra intente de diseñar e implementar un sistema SLAM, con la potencial de crear está mapa en tiempo real, utilizando una camera Kinect 2. En el centro de la tesis está el diseño de una mapa que será eficiente alojar y manejar, para ser utilizado explorando áreas grandes. Se logra esto por la manera de la separación del mapa en distintas niveles de abstracción qué corresponde a mapas métricos locales y una mapa topológica que conecta estas. La estructura del sistema ha sido considerado para permitir utilizar varios tipos de sensores, además que permitir cambiar ciertas partes de la sistema. Esté tesis cobra distintas áreas cómo lo de detección de objetos, estimación de la posición del sistema, registrar nubes de puntos y alojamiento de 3D-mapas

Data-Driven Robot Perception in the Wild

As technology continues to advance, the interest in the relief of humans from tedious or dangerous tasks through automation increases. Some of the tasks that have received increasing attention are autonomous driving, disaster relief, and forestry inspection. Developing and deploying an autonomous robotic system to this type of unconstrained environments —in a safe way— is highly challenging. The system requires precise control and high-level decision making. Both of which require a robust and reliable perception system to understand the surroundings correctly.  The main purpose of perception is to extract meaningful information from the environment, be it in the form of 3D maps, dense classification of the type of object and surfaces, or high-level information about the position and direction of moving objects. Depending on the limitations and application of the system, various types of sensors can be used: lidars, to collect sparse depth information; cameras, to collect dense information for different parts of the visual spectra, of-ten the red-green-blue (RGB) bands; Inertial Measurements Units (IMUs), to estimate the ego motion; microphones, to interact and respond to humans; GPS receivers, to get global position information; just to mention a few.  This thesis investigates some of the necessities to approach the requirements of this type of system. Specifically, focusing on data-driven approaches, that is, machine learning, which has been shown time and again to be the main competitor for high-performance perception tasks in recent years. Although precision requirements might be high in industrial production plants, the environment is relatively controlled and the task is fixed. Instead, this thesis is studying some of the aspects necessary for complex, unconstrained environments, primarily outdoors and potentially near humans or other systems. The term in the wild refers exactly to the unconstrained nature of these environments, where the system can easily encounter something previously unseen and where the system might interact with unknowing humans. Some examples of environments are: city traffic, disaster relief scenarios, and dense forests.  This thesis will mainly focus on the following three key aspects necessary to handle the types of tasks and situations that could occur in the wild: 1) generalizing to a new environment, 2) adapting to new tasks and requirements, and 3) modeling uncertainty in the perception system.  First, a robotic system should be able to generalize to new environments and still function reliably. Papers B and G address this by using an intermediate representation to allow the system to handle much more diverse types of environment than otherwise possible. Paper B also investigates how robust the proposed autonomous driving system was to incorrect predictions, which is one of the likely results of changing the environment.  Second, a robot should be sufficiently adaptive to allow it to learn new tasks without forgetting the previous ones. Paper E proposed a way to allow incrementally adding new semantic classes to a trained model without access to the previous training data. The approach is based on utilizing the uncertainty in the predictions to model the unknown classes, marked as background.  Finally, the perception system will always be partially flawed, either because of the lack of modeling capabilities or because of ambiguities in the sensor data. To properly take this into account, it is fundamental that the system has the ability to estimate the certainty in the predictions. Paper F proposed a method for predicting the uncertainty in the model predictions when interpolating sparse data. Paper G addresses the ambiguities that exist when estimating the 3D pose of a human from a single camera image. Allt eftersom tekniken utvecklas ökar intresset av att underlätta för människan genom att automatisera vissa farliga eller slitsamma uppgifter. Några av de områden som har potential för att automatisera är: transporter, genom självkörande bilar; räddningsarbete i samband med katastrofer; samt inventering av skog och liknande. Den här typen av komplicerade och potentiellt farliga miljöer kräver avancerade beslutssystem samt precisa kontrollsystem. Båda dessa delar kräver en robust och tillförlitlig perception av omgivningen. Perceptionens huvudsyfte är att extrahera meningsfull information från omgivning som kan underlätta för planering och utförande av olika typer av uppgifter. Informationen som sådan kan vara i form av 3D kartor, detaljerad information om typ av underlag samt information om enstaka objekt i form av deras position samt rörelser. Ett autonomt system kan vara konstruerat på flera sätt men några av de vanliga sensorerna som används är: lidar, för att samla in glesa 3D mätningar om underlag och hinder; kameror, för att samla in färg- eller temperaturinformation från objekt i omgivningen; IMU, för att skatta hur systemet förflyttar sig; samt GPS för att kunna positionera systemet utomhus i ett globalt koordinatsystem. Den här avhandlingen undersöker en del av de komponenter som krävs för att uppfylla de krav på perception som finns. Fokuset i avhandlingen är på maskininlärning, vilket har påvisats kunna hantera många avancerade uppgifter på ett robust sätt. Avhandlingen fokuserar inte på de högprecisionskrav vilka finns inom industriell tillverkningsindustri, utan fokuset är på att kunna hantera de komplicerade och utmanande miljöerna som klassas som in the wild. Några exempel på den här typen av miljöer är: stadstrafik, katastrofområden, samt täta skogar. Tre aspekter av problemet avhandlas i den här avhandlingen: 1) generaliserande till andra miljöer, 2) anpassning till nya uppgifter samt miljöer, och 3) modellera eventuella osäkerheter. Ett autonomt system ska helst inte vara begränsad till en typ av miljö, till exempel ska inte en självkörande bil bara kunna hantera skinande sol på motorvägar i bra skick. Artikel B och G adresserar detta till viss del genom att separera uppgiften i två delproblem, där den första genererar input data till den andra delen. Träningsdatan för delproblem ett är lättare att samla från varierande miljöer, vilket gör den mer generell än om all enbart träningsdata för hela problem är tillgängligt. Artikel B undersöker även hur felkällor i den här representationen påverkar systemet som helhet. Ett autonomt system bör även vara designat för att kunna anpassas till nya uppgifter på ett effektivt sätt. Artikel E undersökte det här problemet från perspektivet att kunna utöka den mängd av kända klasser som systemet känner till, utan att träna om det helt och hållet. Slutligen behöver man acceptera att perceptionen aldrig kommer kunna bli perfekt i alla typer av miljöer utan det kommer alltid finnas viss osäkerhet. Den här osäkerheten kan dels komma från modellen som sådan, men det är också möjligt att sensor data inte räcker till för att kunna avgöra vilken av flera möjligheter som är den sanna. Artikel F designade ett system för att kunna skatta osäkerheten i dess estimat medan artikel G fokuserar på hur man kan hantera osäkerheten kring hur en människa står om en del av kroppen är skymd.  Funding agencies: the European Union's Horizon 2020 Program; Sweden´s Innovation Agency (Vinnova); the Swedish Research Council (VR); and the Swedish Foundation for Strategic Research (SSF).</p

Problemistic search and international entrepreneurship

Summary This paper explains the internationalization process of small firms using the theory of performance relative to aspiration levels. The study complements prior theory by explaining why and how small firms are triggered to engage in internationalization despite not reaching maturity in their home market. We outline a model where firms' internationalization is triggered by problemistic search, following periods of below-aspiration performance. The model is tested on 860 Swedish firms followed during an economic downturn. Results indicate that internationalization activities follow a bounded rational process characterized by search behavior which is triggered by performance feedback. The study complements prior theories of internationalization and offers a first empirical demonstration of the viability of aspiration-level performance theory in international entrepreneurship research.Internationalization Problemistic search Aspiration levels Behavioral theory of the firm

Evidential Deep Learning for Class-Incremental Semantic Segmentation

Class-Incremental Learning is a challenging problem in machine learning that aims to extend previously trained neural networks with new classes. This is especially useful if the system is able to classify new objects despite the original training data being unavailable. Although the semantic segmentation problem has received less attention than classification, it poses distinct problems and challenges, since previous and future target classes can be unlabeled in the images of a single increment. In this case, the background, past and future classes are correlated and there exists a background-shift. In this paper, we address the problem of how to model unlabeled classes while avoiding spurious feature clustering of future uncorrelated classes. We propose to use Evidential Deep Learning to model the evidence of the classes as a Dirichlet distribution. Our method factorizes the problem into a separate foreground class probability, calculated by the expected value of the Dirichlet distribution, and an unknown class (background) probability corresponding to the uncertainty of the estimate. In our novel formulation, the background probability is implicitly modeled, avoiding the feature space clustering that comes from forcing the model to output a high background score for pixels that are not labeled as objects. Experiments on the incremental Pascal VOC and ADE20k benchmarks show that our method is superior to the state of the art, especially when repeatedly learning new classes with increasing number of increments

Computing a Collision-Free Path using the monogenic scale space

Mobile robots have been used for various purposes with different functionalities which require them to freely move in environments containing both static and dynamic obstacles to accomplish given tasks. One of the most relevant capabilities in terms of navigating a mobile robot in such an environment is to find a safe path to a goal position. This paper shows that there exists an accurate solution to the Laplace equation which allows finding a collision-free path and that it can be efficiently calculated for a rectangular bounded domain such as a map which is represented as an image. This is accomplished by the use of the monogenic scale space resulting in a vector field which describes the attracting and repelling forces from the obstacles and the goal. The method is shown to work in reasonably convex domains and by the use of tessellation of the environment map for non-convex environments.Funding agencies:This work was founded by the European Union's Horizon 2020 Programme under grant agreement 644839 (CEN-TAURO).</p