1,739 research outputs found
Memory effects in microscopic traffic models and wide scattering in flow-density data
By means of microscopic simulations we show that non-instantaneous adaptation
of the driving behaviour to the traffic situation together with the
conventional measurement method of flow-density data can explain the observed
inverse- shape and the wide scattering of flow-density data in
``synchronized'' congested traffic. We model a memory effect in the response of
drivers to the traffic situation for a wide class of car-following models by
introducing a new dynamical variable describing the adaptation of drivers to
the surrounding traffic situation during the past few minutes (``subjective
level of service'') and couple this internal state to parameters of the
underlying model that are related to the driving style. % For illustration, we
use the intelligent-driver model (IDM) as underlying model, characterize the
level of service solely by the velocity and couple the internal variable to the
IDM parameter ``netto time gap'', modelling an increase of the time gap in
congested traffic (``frustration effect''), that is supported by single-vehicle
data. % We simulate open systems with a bottleneck and obtain flow-density data
by implementing ``virtual detectors''. Both the shape, relative size and
apparent ``stochasticity'' of the region of the scattered data points agree
nearly quantitatively with empirical data. Wide scattering is even observed for
identical vehicles, although the proposed model is a time-continuous,
deterministic, single-lane car-following model with a unique fundamental
diagram.Comment: 8 pages, submitted to Physical Review
Derivation, Properties, and Simulation of a Gas-Kinetic-Based, Non-Local Traffic Model
We derive macroscopic traffic equations from specific gas-kinetic equations,
dropping some of the assumptions and approximations made in previous papers.
The resulting partial differential equations for the vehicle density and
average velocity contain a non-local interaction term which is very favorable
for a fast and robust numerical integration, so that several thousand freeway
kilometers can be simulated in real-time. The model parameters can be easily
calibrated by means of empirical data. They are directly related to the
quantities characterizing individual driver-vehicle behavior, and their optimal
values have the expected order of magnitude. Therefore, they allow to
investigate the influences of varying street and weather conditions or freeway
control measures. Simulation results for realistic model parameters are in good
agreement with the diverse non-linear dynamical phenomena observed in freeway
traffic.Comment: For related work see
http://www.theo2.physik.uni-stuttgart.de/helbing.html and
http://www.theo2.physik.uni-stuttgart.de/treiber.htm
Gas-Kinetic-Based Traffic Model Explaining Observed Hysteretic Phase Transition
Recently, hysteretic transitions to `synchronized traffic' with high values
of both density and traffic flow were observed on German freeways [B. S. Kerner
and H. Rehborn, Phys. Rev. Lett. 79, 4030 (1997)]. We propose a macroscopic
traffic model based on a gas-kinetic approach that can explain this phase
transition. The results suggest a general mechanism for the formation of
probably the most common form of congested traffic.Comment: With corrected formula (3). For related work see
http://www.theo2.physik.uni-stuttgart.de/helbing.htm
Drift- or Fluctuation-Induced Ordering and Self-Organization in Driven Many-Particle Systems
According to empirical observations, some pattern formation phenomena in
driven many-particle systems are more pronounced in the presence of a certain
noise level. We investigate this phenomenon of fluctuation-driven ordering with
a cellular automaton model of interactive motion in space and find an optimal
noise strength, while order breaks down at high(er) fluctuation levels.
Additionally, we discuss the phenomenon of noise- and drift-induced
self-organization in systems that would show disorder in the absence of
fluctuations. In the future, related studies may have applications to the
control of many-particle systems such as the efficient separation of particles.
The rather general formulation of our model in the spirit of game theory may
allow to shed some light on several different kinds of noise-induced ordering
phenomena observed in physical, chemical, biological, and socio-economic
systems (e.g., attractive and repulsive agglomeration, or segregation).Comment: For related work see http://www.helbing.or
Generalized Force Model of Traffic Dynamics
Floating car data of car-following behavior in cities were compared to
existing microsimulation models, after their parameters had been calibrated to
the experimental data. With these parameter values, additional simulations have
been carried out, e.g. of a moving car which approaches a stopped car. It
turned out that, in order to manage such kinds of situations without producing
accidents, improved traffic models are needed. Good results have been obtained
with the proposed generalized force model.Comment: For related work see
http://www.theo2.physik.uni-stuttgart.de/helbing.htm
Structure and Instability of High-Density Equations for Traffic Flow
Similar to the treatment of dense gases, fluid-dynamic equations for the
dynamics of congested vehicular traffic are derived from Enskog-like kinetic
equations. These contain additional terms due to the anisotropic vehicle
interactions. The calculations are carried out up to Navier-Stokes order. A
linear instability analysis indicates an additional kind of instability
compared to previous macroscopic traffic models. The relevance for describing
granular flows is outlined.Comment: For related work see
http://www.theo2.physik.uni-stuttgart.de/helbing.htm
Modeling pedestrian evacuation movement in a swaying ship
With the advance in living standard, cruise travel has been rapidly expanding
around the world in recent years. The transportation of passengers in water has
also made a rapid development. It is expected that ships will be more and more
widely used. Unfortunately, ship disasters occurred in these years caused
serious losses. It raised the concern on effectiveness of passenger evacuation
on ships. The present study thus focuses on pedestrian evacuation features on
ships. On ships, passenger movements are affected by the periodical water
motion and thus are quite different from the characteristic when walking on
static horizontal floor. Taking into consideration of this special feature, an
agent-based pedestrian model is formulized and the effect of ship swaying on
pedestrian evacuation efficiency is investigated. Results indicated that the
proposed model can be used to quantify the special evacuation process on ships.Comment: Traffic and Granular Flow'15, At Delft, the Netherland
Analytical Investigation of Innovation Dynamics Considering Stochasticity in the Evaluation of Fitness
We investigate a selection-mutation model for the dynamics of technological
innovation,a special case of reaction-diffusion equations. Although mutations
are assumed to increase the variety of technologies, not their average success
("fitness"), they are an essential prerequisite for innovation. Together with a
selection of above-average technologies due to imitation behavior, they are the
"driving force" for the continuous increase in fitness. We will give analytical
solutions for the probability distribution of technologies for special cases
and in the limit of large times.
The selection dynamics is modelled by a "proportional imitation" of better
technologies. However, the assessment of a technology's fitness may be
imperfect and, therefore, vary stochastically. We will derive conditions, under
which wrong assessment of fitness can accelerate the innovation dynamics, as it
has been found in some surprising numerical investigations.Comment: For related work see http://www.helbing.or
Coherent Moving States in Highway Traffic (Originally: Moving Like a Solid Block)
Recent advances in multiagent simulations have made possible the study of
realistic traffic patterns and allow to test theories based on driver
behaviour. Such simulations also display various empirical features of traffic
flows, and are used to design traffic controls that maximise the throughput of
vehicles in heavily transited highways. In addition to its intrinsic economic
value, vehicular traffic is of interest because it may throw light on some
social phenomena where diverse individuals competitively try to maximise their
own utilities under certain constraints.
In this paper, we present simulation results that point to the existence of
cooperative, coherent states arising from competitive interactions that lead to
a new phenomenon in heterogeneous highway traffic. As the density of vehicles
increases, their interactions cause a transition into a highly correlated state
in which all vehicles practically move with the same speed, analogous to the
motion of a solid block. This state is associated with a reduced lane changing
rate and a safe, high and stable flow. It disappears as the vehicle density
exceeds a critical value. The effect is observed in recent evaluations of Dutch
traffic data.Comment: Submitted on April 21, 1998. For related work see
http://www.theo2.physik.uni-stuttgart.de/helbing.html and
http://www.parc.xerox.com/dynamics
Evolutionary Dynamics of Populations with Conflicting Interactions: Classification and Analytical Treatment Considering Asymmetry and Power
Evolutionary game theory has been successfully used to investigate the
dynamics of systems, in which many entities have competitive interactions. From
a physics point of view, it is interesting to study conditions under which a
coordination or cooperation of interacting entities will occur, be it spins,
particles, bacteria, animals, or humans. Here, we analyze the case, where the
entities are heterogeneous, particularly the case of two populations with
conflicting interactions and two possible states. For such systems, explicit
mathematical formulas will be determined for the stationary solutions and the
associated eigenvalues, which determine their stability. In this way, four
different types of system dynamics can be classified, and the various kinds of
phase transitions between them will be discussed. While these results are
interesting from a physics point of view, they are also relevant for social,
economic, and biological systems, as they allow one to understand conditions
for (1) the breakdown of cooperation, (2) the coexistence of different
behaviors ("subcultures"), (2) the evolution of commonly shared behaviors
("norms"), and (4) the occurrence of polarization or conflict. We point out
that norms have a similar function in social systems that forces have in
physics
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