7,855 research outputs found

    Estimating the GARCH Diffusion: Simulated Maximum Likelihood in Continuous Time

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    One-Electron Spectral Functions of the Attractive Hubbard Model for Intermediate Coupling

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    We calculate the one-electron spectral function of the attractive (negative-UU) Hubbard model. We work in the intermediate coupling and low density regime and obtain the self-energy in an approximate analytical form. The excitation spectrum is found to consist of three branches. The results are obtained in a framework, based on the self-consistent T-matrix approximation, which is compatible with the Mermin-Wagner theorem.Comment: 7 pages, revtex, 7 figures in postscript format, submitted to PR

    Simulated Maximum Likelihood Estimation for Latent Diffusion Models

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    In this paper a method is developed and implemented to provide the simulated maximum likelihood estimation of latent diffusions based on discrete data. The method is applicable to diffusions that either have latent elements in the state vector or are only observed at discrete time with a noise. Latent diffusions are very important in practical applications in nancial economics. The proposed approach synthesizes the closed form method of Aït-Sahalia (2008) and the ecient importance sampler of Richard and Zhang (2007). It does not require any inll observations to be introduced and hence is computationally tractable. The Monte Carlo study shows that the method works well in finite sample. The empirical applications illustrate usefulness of the method and find no evidence of infinite variance in the importance sampler.Closed-form approximation; Diusion Model; Ecient importance sampler

    Estimating the GARCH Diffusion: Simulated Maximum Likelihood in Continuous Time

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    A new algorithm is developed to provide a simulated maximum likelihood estimation of the GARCH diffusion model of Nelson (1990) based on return data only. The method combines two accurate approximation procedures, namely, the polynomial expansion of Aït-Sahalia (2008) to approximate the transition probability density of return and volatility, and the Efficient Importance Sampler (EIS) of Richard and Zhang (2007) to integrate out the volatility. The first and second order terms in the polynomial expansion are used to generate a base-line importance density for an EIS algorithm. The higher order terms are included when evaluating the importance weights. Monte Carlo experiments show that the new method works well and the discretization error is well controlled by the polynomial expansion. In the empirical application, we fit the GARCH diffusion to equity data, perform diagnostics on the model fit, and test the finiteness of the importance weights.Ecient importance sampling; GARCH diusion model; Simulated Maximum likelihood; Stochastic volatility

    Stimulated Maximum Likelihood Estimation of Continuous Time Stochastic Volatility Models

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    In this paper we develop and implement a method for maximum simulated likelihood estimation of the continuous time stochastic volatility model with the constant elasticity of volatility. The approach do not require observations on option prices nor volatility. To integrate out latent volatility from the joint density of return and volatility, a modified efficient importance sampling technique is used after the continuous time model is approximated using the Euler-Maruyama scheme. The Monte Carlo studies show that the method works well and the empirical applications illustrate usefulness of the method. Empirical results provide strong evidence against the Heston model.Efficient importance sampler; Constant elasticity of volatility

    One-pot nucleophilic substitution–double click reactions of biazides leading to functionalized bis(1,2,3-triazole) derivatives

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    The nucleophilic substitution of benzylic bromides with sodium azide was combined with a subsequent copper-catalyzed (3 + 2) cycloaddition with terminal alkynes. This one-pot process was developed with a simple model alkyne, but then applied to more complex alkynes bearing enantiopure 1,2-oxazinyl substituents. Hence, the precursor compounds 1,2-, 1,3- or 1,4-bis(bromomethyl)benzene furnished geometrically differing bis(1,2,3-triazole) derivatives. The use of tris[(1-benzyl-1H-1,2,3-triazol-4-yl)methyl]amine (TBTA) as ligand for the click step turned out to be very advantageous. The compounds with 1,2-oxazinyl end groups can potentially serve as precursors of divalent carbohydrate mimetics, but the reductive cleavage of the 1,2-oxazine rings to aminopyran moieties did not proceed cleanly with these compounds

    Modeling agricultural domestic support in China:recent policy reversals and two future scenarios

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    Optional Decomposition and Lagrange Multipliers

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    Let Q be the set of equivalent martingale measures for a given process S, and let X be a process which is a local supermartingale with respect to any measure in Q. The optional decomposition theorem for X states that there exists a predictable integrand ф such that the difference X−ф•S is a decreasing process. In this paper we give a new proof which uses techniques from stochastic calculus rather than functional analysis, and which removes any boundedness assumption
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