3 research outputs found

    Regional demographics and structural housing demand at a county level. ESRI Research Series 111 December 2020.

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    The ESRI published a report, funded by the Department of Housing, Local Heritage and Government, which provides estimates of the amount of housing needed based on projected population growth at a local authority level out to 2040

    Dynamic tax revenue buoyancy estimates for a panel of OECD countries. ESRI WP592, March 2018

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    In this paper we provide short- and long-run tax buoyancy estimates for a panel of OECD countries. Our results indicate that total tax revenue estimates are not different from unity, corporate income tax buoyancies exceed unity both in the long- and the short-run, while personal income tax buoyancies are smaller than unity; these results are robust to controlling for changes in the respective tax rates. Moreover, after taking into account the fluctuations of the business cycle, we observe that CIT estimates are larger during periods of contraction rather than periods of economic expansion; these results hold both for the whole panel and the Irish economy. Moreover, we examine the effects of using GNP instead of GDP as a base of economic activity for the Irish economy. Although the results are qualitatively the same, the differences need to be taken into account, especially form an economic policy point of view

    A micro-macro economic analysis of pension auto-enrolment options. ESRI WP640, October 2019

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    Like many other countries, Ireland faces challenges in relation to the adequacy and sustainability of pensions. These challenges have been examined in detail in a series of reports (Government of Ireland, 2007; OECD, 2014; Government of Ireland, 2018a). All of these reports identify pension coverage in the private sector as a key issue. Burke and Gilhawley (2018) estimate that only 30% of the private sector in Ireland had a supplementary pension1 in 2017. As the State Contributory Pension (SCP) is paid at a flat rate, almost 70% of private sector workers are therefore set to retire without an earnings-related pension. For many of them, this will result in a sharp fall in living standards, as confirmed in our analysis. With the ageing of the Irish population, over time, pensioners will account for a greater proportion of the population and such income losses would represent a further macroeconomic risk of a fall in aggregate consumer spending (Government of Ireland, 2018a, p. 15)
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