The Interpersonal Hot Hand Fallacy: How Similarity With Previous Winners Increases Subjective Probability of Winning

Organizers of promotional or state lotteries often feature a recent winner in their advertisements, depicted by a photograph and some personal information. We show that potential participants estimate they have higher odds of winning the next drawing when featured previous winners are similar to them (on age, gender or educational background). This effect, referred to herein as the "Interpersonal Hot Hand" fallacy, then increases their participation likelihood. It disappears when respondents are given objective information on their probability of winning-rare information in the context of real-world lotteries. We identify moderating variables

Sketching Research in Education through Academic Journals (In French)

This contribution aims at coming up with serious grounds for an evaluation of French research published in scientific journals in the field of Education Science. A reliable method consists in criss-crossing the various databases which play an authoritative part – those of the ISI (Institute for Scientific Information) and others -, in listing the titles of journals they retrieve, and in asking the scientific community what its position is. Hence the scientificity of a journal: a journal is scientific when considered as such by the scientists of its community. In this contribution, a case study is built in Education Science. Some major journals are studied and some conclusions raised.Educational Research, Evaluation, France, Psychology, Sociology, Sociology of Science, Scientific Journals, Scientometrics

Título: Middle East Librarians Commmitee. Papers.

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