Evaluation of Two Methods to Estimate and Monitor Bird Populations

Background: Effective management depends upon accurately estimating trends in abundance of bird populations over time, and in some cases estimating abundance. Two population estimation methods, double observer (DO) and double sampling (DS), have been advocated for avian population studies and the relative merits and short-comings of these methods remain an area of debate. Methodology/Principal Findings: We used simulations to evaluate the performances of these two population estimation methods under a range of realistic scenarios. For three hypothetical populations with different levels of clustering, we generated DO and DS population size estimates for a range of detection probabilities and survey proportions. Population estimates for both methods were centered on the true population size for all levels of population clustering and survey proportions when detection probabilities were greater than 20%. The DO method underestimated the population at detection probabilities less than 30 % whereas the DS method remained essentially unbiased. The coverage probability of 95 % confidence intervals for population estimates was slightly less than the nominal level for the DS method but was substantially below the nominal level for the DO method at high detection probabilities. Differences in observer detection probabilities did not affect the accuracy and precision of population estimates of the DO method. Population estimates for the DS method remained unbiased as the proportion of units intensively surveyed changed, but the variance of th

Correlation of agespecificphenylalanine levels with intellectual outcome in patients with phenylketonuria.

Patients with treated phenylketonuria (PKU) can have subtle deficits in intellect, academic skills, and executive functioning. This study evaluates the relationship between intellectual outcome and concentration/variation in blood phenylalanine (Phe) during specific developmental periods (0-6 years, 7-12 years, \u3e12 years) in our patients with PKU. Verbal comprehension, perceptual reasoning, and processing speed were used as measures of intelligence. Data were collected from 55 patients receiving treatment at the University of Utah Metabolic Clinic. Yearly median Phe levels increased and mean number of blood Phe samples decreased as patients aged. Yearly median blood Phe from 0-6 and 7-12 years were inversely associated with perceptual reasoning abilities using linear regression. Additionally, increased blood Phe concentration negatively impacted specific areas of verbal comprehension abilities for those 0-6 years of age (p = 0.001). Variation of Phe levels around the mean (assessed as standard deviation) in each patient was associated with diagnostic (highest pretreatment) Phe levels and yearly median Phe levels (p \u3c 0.001 for both), but did not significantly impact intelligence in our group of patients. Frequent blood Phe monitoring from 7-12 years significantly reduced the probability of yearly median Phe exceeding 360 μM (p = 0.005). Our data show that compliance with treatment in patients with PKU affects both the concentration and variation of blood Phe levels, and may have a greater impact on verbal comprehension and perceptual reasoning skills during the first 12 years of life when compared the influence beyond 12 years