Priority questions in multidisciplinary drought research

Addressing timely and relevant questions across a multitude of spatio-temporal scales, state-of-the-art interdisciplinary drought research will likely increase in importance under projected climate change. Given the complexity of the various direct and indirect causes and consequences of a drier world, scientific tasks need to be coordinated efficiently. Drought-related research endeavors ranging from individual projects to global initiatives therefore require prioritization. Here, we present 60 priority questions for optimizing future drought research. This topical catalogue reflects the experience of 65 scholars from 21 countries and almost 20 fields of research in both natural sciences and the humanities. The set of drought-related questions primarily covers drought monitoring, impacts, forecasting, climatology, adaptation, as well as planning and policy. The questions highlight the increasingly important role of remote sensing techniques in drought monitoring, importance of drought forecasting and understanding the relationships between drought parameters and drought impacts, but also challenges of drought adaptation and preparedness policies

The Spatial and Temporal Dynamics of Remotely-sensed Vegetation Phenology in Central Asia in the 1982-2011 Period

An understanding of present and past vegetation dynamics is essential to future reaction strategies to climate change, especially in developing regions. This study seeks to widen such knowledge by utilizing remotely-sensed normalized difference vegetation index (NDVI) data to compute phenology metrics for Central Asia in the 1982-2011 period. Spatial and temporal analysis was performed for nine phenological metrics and for subregions with consistent vegetation dynamics. A general increase of biomass was disclosed, except in bare deserts, and the growing season appears to be starting earlier. Despite of the dominant greening trend, deserts show inverse dynamics, possibly a sign of rising aridity

Systematic stability-analysis method for analog circuits

Analyzing the stability of an analog circuit is an important part of the circuit design. Several commercial simulators are equipped with special stability analysis techniques. Problems arise when your design kit does not support such simulator. Another issue is when the designer wants to get insight into the sources of the instability to propose a stabilization. This can be done through analyzing the open-loop or the closed-loop transfer function of the circuit. The aim of this paper is to propose an automated analysis method which identifies the nodes to be considered for stabilization. The method does not need to break feedback loops or to manipulate netlists. It only uses AC simulations and does not require the full modified nodal equations. The method is illustrated on 3 design examples: a Voltage Controlled Oscillator (VCO), a reference bias circuit and the common-mode feedback network in a gm-C filter. 1

European temperature records of the past five centuries based on documentary/instrumental information compared to climate simulations

Two European temperature reconstructions for the past half-millennium, January-to-April air temperature for Stockholm (Sweden) and seasonal temperature for a Central European region, both derived from the analysis of documentary sources and long instrumental records, are compared with the output of climate simulations with the model ECHO-G. The analysis is complemented by comparisons with the long (early)-instrumental record of Central England Temperature (CET). Both approaches to study past climates (simulations and reconstructions) are burdened with uncertainties. The main objective of this comparative analysis is to identify robust features and weaknesses in each method which may help to improve models and reconstruction methods. The results indicate a general agreement between simulations obtained with temporally changing external forcings and the reconstructed Stockholm and CET records for the multi-centennial temperature trend over the recent centuries, which is not reproduced in a control simulation. This trend is likely due to the long-term change in external forcing. Additionally, the Stockholm reconstruction and the CET record also show a clear multi-decadal warm episode peaking around AD 1730, which is absent in the simulations. Neither the reconstruction uncertainties nor the model internal climate variability can easily explain this difference. Regarding the interannual variability, the Stockholm series displays, in some periods, higher amplitudes than the simulations but these differences are within the statistical uncertainty and further decrease if output from a regional model driven by the global model is used. The long-term trend of the CET series agrees less well with the simulations. The reconstructed temperature displays, for all seasons, a smaller difference between the present climate and past centuries than is seen in the simulations. Possible reasons for these differences may be related to a limitation of the traditional 'indexing' technique for converting documentary evidence to temperature values to capture long-term climate changes, because the documents often reflect temperatures relative to the contemporary authors' own perception of what constituted 'normal' conditions. By contrast, the amplitude of the simulated and reconstructed inter-annual variability agrees rather well.</p