8 research outputs found

    Building Learning Health Systems to Accelerate Research and Improve Outcomes of Clinical Care in Low- and Middle-Income Countries.

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    Mike English and colleagues argue that as efforts are made towards achieving universal health coverage it is also important to build capacity to develop regionally relevant evidence to improve healthcare

    The Cosmological Probability Density Function for Bianchi Class A Models in Quantum Supergravity

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    Nicolai's theorem suggests a simple stochastic interpetation for supersymmetric Euclidean quantum theories, without requiring any inner product to be defined on the space of states. In order to apply this idea to supergravity, we first reduce to a one-dimensional theory with local supersymmetry by the imposition of homogeneity conditions. We then make the supersymmetry rigid by imposing gauge conditions, and quantise to obtain the evolution equation for a time-dependent wave function. Owing to the inclusion of a certain boundary term in the classical action, and a careful treatment of the initial conditions, the evolution equation has the form of a Fokker-Planck equation. Of particular interest is the static solution, as this satisfies all the standard quantum constraints. This is naturally interpreted as a cosmological probability density function, and is found to coincide with the square of the magnitude of the conventional wave function for the wormhole state.Comment: 22 pages, Late

    Some mathematical problems in inhomogeneous cosmology

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    grantor: University of TorontoThis thesis deals with two main topics: Matchings of certain space-times in general relativity, and searching for new, exact solutions of Einstein's field equations by using the intrinsic symmetries approach. In the first part of this thesis we investigate the matchings of Friedmann-Lemaître-Robertson-Walker (FLRW) space-times with a Kasner vacuum region. It is already known that a spatially flat FLRW space-time can be joined smoothly to a Kasner vacuum space-time. We extend this result to an open FLRW metric, by explicitly constructing a matching across a three-dimensional hypersurface using the Darmois junction conditions. We then introduce a non-zero cosmological constant and show that its presence has no significant effect on the matchings. We also prove that it is possible to match a certain class of Szekeres solutions to a closed FLRW space-time. This might not be intuitively obvious, since Szekeres's space-times have no symmetry (no Killing vectors), while FLRW space-times are highly symmetrical. In the second part of this thesis we apply the idea of intrinsic symmetries (symmetries operating on three-dimensional submanifolds of space-time rather than on the space-time itself) to search for new inhomogeneous solutions to the field equations. We consider metrics which posses 'a priori' planar symmetries on three-dimensional time-like hypersurfaces. In the vacuum case no new solutions were found, the only solution being the Minkowski space-time. In the non-vacuum case we assume a perfect fluid matter content and a fluid flow orthogonal to the three-spaces 't' = const., and obtain two exact inhomogeneous classes of solutions belonging to the Szekeres-Szafron family of solutions. In addition, we also present coordinate transformations for obtaining an open FLRW metric in a plane symmetric form.Ph.D

    Effects of hospital facilities on patient outcomes after cancer surgery: an international, prospective, observational study

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    © 2022 The Author(s). Published by Elsevier Ltd. This is an Open Access article under the CC BY 4.0 licenseBackground: Early death after cancer surgery is higher in low-income and middle-income countries (LMICs) compared with in high-income countries, yet the impact of facility characteristics on early postoperative outcomes is unknown. The aim of this study was to examine the association between hospital infrastructure, resource availability, and processes on early outcomes after cancer surgery worldwide. Methods: A multimethods analysis was performed as part of the GlobalSurg 3 study—a multicentre, international, prospective cohort study of patients who had surgery for breast, colorectal, or gastric cancer. The primary outcomes were 30-day mortality and 30-day major complication rates. Potentially beneficial hospital facilities were identified by variable selection to select those associated with 30-day mortality. Adjusted outcomes were determined using generalised estimating equations to account for patient characteristics and country-income group, with population stratification by hospital. Findings: Between April 1, 2018, and April 23, 2019, facility-level data were collected for 9685 patients across 238 hospitals in 66 countries (91 hospitals in 20 high-income countries; 57 hospitals in 19 upper-middle-income countries; and 90 hospitals in 27 low-income to lower-middle-income countries). The availability of five hospital facilities was inversely associated with mortality: ultrasound, CT scanner, critical care unit, opioid analgesia, and oncologist. After adjustment for case-mix and country income group, hospitals with three or fewer of these facilities (62 hospitals, 1294 patients) had higher mortality compared with those with four or five (adjusted odds ratio [OR] 3·85 [95% CI 2·58–5·75]; p<0·0001), with excess mortality predominantly explained by a limited capacity to rescue following the development of major complications (63·0% vs 82·7%; OR 0·35 [0·23–0·53]; p<0·0001). Across LMICs, improvements in hospital facilities would prevent one to three deaths for every 100 patients undergoing surgery for cancer. Interpretation: Hospitals with higher levels of infrastructure and resources have better outcomes after cancer surgery, independent of country income. Without urgent strengthening of hospital infrastructure and resources, the reductions in cancer-associated mortality associated with improved access will not be realised. Funding: National Institute for Health and Care Research

    Global variation in postoperative mortality and complications after cancer surgery: a multicentre, prospective cohort study in 82 countries

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    © 2021 The Author(s). Published by Elsevier Ltd. This is an Open Access article under the CC BY-NC-ND 4.0 licenseBackground: 80% of individuals with cancer will require a surgical procedure, yet little comparative data exist on early outcomes in low-income and middle-income countries (LMICs). We compared postoperative outcomes in breast, colorectal, and gastric cancer surgery in hospitals worldwide, focusing on the effect of disease stage and complications on postoperative mortality. Methods: This was a multicentre, international prospective cohort study of consecutive adult patients undergoing surgery for primary breast, colorectal, or gastric cancer requiring a skin incision done under general or neuraxial anaesthesia. The primary outcome was death or major complication within 30 days of surgery. Multilevel logistic regression determined relationships within three-level nested models of patients within hospitals and countries. Hospital-level infrastructure effects were explored with three-way mediation analyses. This study was registered with ClinicalTrials.gov, NCT03471494. Findings: Between April 1, 2018, and Jan 31, 2019, we enrolled 15 958 patients from 428 hospitals in 82 countries (high income 9106 patients, 31 countries; upper-middle income 2721 patients, 23 countries; or lower-middle income 4131 patients, 28 countries). Patients in LMICs presented with more advanced disease compared with patients in high-income countries. 30-day mortality was higher for gastric cancer in low-income or lower-middle-income countries (adjusted odds ratio 3·72, 95% CI 1·70–8·16) and for colorectal cancer in low-income or lower-middle-income countries (4·59, 2·39–8·80) and upper-middle-income countries (2·06, 1·11–3·83). No difference in 30-day mortality was seen in breast cancer. The proportion of patients who died after a major complication was greatest in low-income or lower-middle-income countries (6·15, 3·26–11·59) and upper-middle-income countries (3·89, 2·08–7·29). Postoperative death after complications was partly explained by patient factors (60%) and partly by hospital or country (40%). The absence of consistently available postoperative care facilities was associated with seven to 10 more deaths per 100 major complications in LMICs. Cancer stage alone explained little of the early variation in mortality or postoperative complications. Interpretation: Higher levels of mortality after cancer surgery in LMICs was not fully explained by later presentation of disease. The capacity to rescue patients from surgical complications is a tangible opportunity for meaningful intervention. Early death after cancer surgery might be reduced by policies focusing on strengthening perioperative care systems to detect and intervene in common complications. Funding: National Institute for Health Research Global Health Research Unit
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