Linking Mid-century Concentration Targets to Long-Term Climate Change Outcomes

We present a framework that could inform the choice of an interim (mid-21st century) target in the making of climate mitigation policy. The idea of interim targets for greenhouse gas concentration has been proposed previously as a way to bridge short- and long-term climate targets, address concerns about the rate of temperature change, and provide guidance in planning for energy infrastructure while scientific understanding improves and long-term climate goals are negotiated. Our analysis relates a wide range of mid-century equivalent CO2 (eCO2) concentrations to rates of temperature increase as well as total long-term temperature increases, accounts for uncertainties in the carbon cycle and the climate response (including climate sensitivity, ocean diffusivity, and aerosol forcing), and provides a rough measure of the economic feasibility of different emissions pathways. Our results show, for example, that for a roughly 50% likelihood of limiting long-term warming to 20C above the pre-industrial level, and with the constraint that global emissions should not have to be reduced by more than 2.5%/year, the mid-century concentration needs to remain below about 470 ppm eCO2 (including only the Kyoto gases and defined relative to a year 2000 baseline). For a roughly 83% likelihood of achieving the same temperature goal, the mid-century target needs to be about 440 ppm. These targets require that emissions between 2010 and 2050 average to approximately the current level and the 1990 level, respectively. Our framework illustrates how delay in emissions reductions in the near term forecloses options in the long term. Finally, we demonstrate how near-term reductions of CO2 from a particular source, deforestation, can significantly facilitate the achievement of long-term temperature goals

Short-term temporal variation in PM2.5 mass and chemical composition during the Atlanta Supersite Expriment, 1999

Measurements in urban Atlanta of transient aerosol events in which PM2.5 mass concentrations rapidly rise and fall over a period of 3-6 hr are reported. The data are based on new measurement techniques demonstrated at the U.S. Environmental Protection Agency (EPA) Atlanta Supersite Experiment in August 1999. These independent instruments for aerosol chemical speciation of NO3-, SO4(2-), NH4+, and organic and elemental carbon (OC and EC), reconstructed the observed hourly dry PM2.5 mass to within 20% or better. Data from the experiment indicated that transient PM2.5 events were ubiquitous in Atlanta and were typically characterized by a sudden increase of EC (soot) and OC in the early morning or SO4(2-) in the late afternoon. The frequent temporal decoupling of these events provides insights into their origins, suggesting mobile sources in metro Atlanta as the main contributor to early morning PM2.5 and more regionally located point SO2 sources for afternoon PM2.5 events. The transient events may also have health implications. New data suggest that short-term PM2.5 exposures may lead to adverse health effects. Standard integrated filter-based techniques used in PM2.5 compliance monitoring networks and in most past PM2.5 epidemiologic studies collect samples over 24-hr periods and thus are unable to capture these transient events. Moreover, health-effects studies that focus on daily PM2.5 mass alone cannot evaluate the health implications of the unique and variable chemical properties of these episodes

Plântulas de soja 'Tracajá' expostas ao ozônio sob condições controladas

The objective of this work was to assess initial growth, biomass production, gas exchange and antioxidative defenses of soybean 'Tracajá' seedlings, cultivated in the Amazonian region, exposed to ozone under controlled conditions. Seeds germinated in pots were placed in two chambers, one with filtered air (AF) and other with filtered air plus 30 ppb of ozone (AF + O 3). At 10 and 20 days after sowing, gas exchange, growth and biomass were measured; at 20 days after sowing, antioxidative defenses (ascorbic acid and superoxide dismutase) were analyzed. Net photosynthesis, stomatal conductance, transpiration rate, height, leaf area and biomass were 16, 27, 11, 22, 29 and 18% smaller, respectively, in AF + O3 at 10 days after sowing. At 20 days after sowing, besides this parameters, root length, stem diameter and root:shoot ratio were 10, 15 and 12% smaller, respectively, although ascorbic acid concentrations and superoxide dismutase activity increased. Soybean 'Tracajá' seedlings have low tolerance to concentration of 30 ppb of ozone

Absorption cross sections and kinetic considerations of the IO radical as determined by laser flash photolysis/laser absorption spectroscopy

Independent measurements of the absorption cross section of the IO radical for the A/sup 2/II-X/sup 2/II band system are reported. A value of (3.1 +- 0.6) x 10/sup -17/ cm/sup 2/ was observed for the (4,0) bandhead in good agreement with an earlier investigation. Results are also reported for the (5,0), (3,0), (2,0), and (1,0) bands over the wavelength range of 410-470 nm. However, no measurable (.. products (3) has been measured at 760 Torr of N/sub 2/ and 300 K. The measured effective bimolecular rate constant was found to be (6.6 +- 2) x 10/sup -11/ cm/sup 3/ x molecule/sup -1/ x s/sup -1/, in good agreement with recent results by Sander (1986)

Observed and Model-Calculated NO2/NO Ratios in Tropospheric Air Sampled During the NASA GTE/CITE II Field Study

Data gathered during the NASA GTE/CITE 2 airborne field campaign were analyzed and compared with diagnostically derived parameters to study the NOx photostationary state in the troposphere and the processes that control this photostationary state. Our analysis focussed on two sets of NO2/NO ratios derived from the data; these were based on overlapping NO and NO2 measurements made by two independent techniques; i.e., a chemiluminescent technique and a technique based on two-photon, laser-induced-fluorescence. While for any given 6- to 10-min time interval the two observed NO2/NO ratios often exhibited significant discrepancies, these discrepancies appeared to be mostly random rather than systematic, and as a result, the average difference for all time intervals with overlapping NOx measurements was only 12%. One notable exception, however, was the block of data gathered during the last three CITE 2 missions; during these three missions the ratios observed by the chemiluminescent technique were systematically larger than those observed by the laser-induced fluorescence technique by a factor of 1.6. When the data from these three missions were omitted from the analysis, the averages of the observed ratios agreed to within 1%. In contrast to a number of previous studies, the ratios predicted from photochemical model calculations were found to be reasonably consistent with the observed ratios, although on average they tended to fall about 20 – 25% below the observations. This agreement between observations and theory provides strong evidence in support of the importance of peroxy radicals in the fast photochemical cycling of NOx (and the concomitant photochemical production of O3) in both the marine and continental troposphere