Predictors of progression free survival, overall survival and early cessation of chemotherapy in women with potentially platinum sensitive (PPS) recurrent ovarian cancer (ROC) starting third or subsequent line(> 3) chemotherapy – the GCIG Symptom Benefit Study (SBS)

Background: Potentially platinum sensitive recurrent ovarian cancer (PPS ROC) is defined by a platinum-free interval of >6 months, and usually treated with platinum-based chemotherapy with variable response and benefit in women who have had 3 or more lines of chemotherapy(≥3). We identified baseline characteristics (health-related quality of life[HRQL] and clinicopathological factors), associated with PFS, OS and early progression (within 8 weeks). The goal is to improve patient selection for chemotherapy based on a nomogram predicting PFS. Methods: HRQL was assessed with EORTC QLQ-C30/QLQ-OV28. Associations with PFS and OS were assessed with Cox proportional hazards regression. Variables significant in univariable analysis were included in multivariable analyses using backward elimination to select those significant. Associations with stopping chemotherapy early were assessed with logistic regression. Results: 378 women were enrolled, with median(m)OS and PFS of 16.6 months and 5.3 months, respectively. The majority had ECOGPS 0–1. Chemotherapy was stopped early in 45/378 participants (12%); with mOS 3.4 months (95% CI: 1.7–7.2). Physical function(PF), role function(RF), cognitive function(CF), social function(SF), Global Health Status(GHS) and abdominal/GI symptoms(AGIS) were significant univariable predictors of PFS(p < 0.030). SF remained significant after adjusting for clinicopathological factors; p = 0.03. PF, RF, CF, SF, GHS and AGIS were significant univariable predictors of OS (p < 0.007); PF, RF, SF and GHS remained significant predictors of OS in multivariable models; p < 0.007. Poor baseline PF and GHS were significant univariable predictors of stopping chemotherapy early (p < 0.007) but neither remained significant after adjusting for clinicopathological factors. Conclusion: Baseline HRQL is simple to measure, is predictive of PFS and OS and when used in conjunction with clinicopathological prognostic factors, can assist with clinical decision making and treatment recommendations for women with PPSROC≥3

Measuring what matters MOST: Validation of the Measure of Ovarian Symptoms and Treatment, a patient-reported outcome measure of symptom burden and impact of chemotherapy in recurrent ovarian cancer (ROC)

Purpose: Gynecologic Cancer Intergroup Symptom Benefit Study (GCIG-SBS) Stage 2 aimed to review, revise, and validate a patient-reported outcome measure (PROM), the Measure of Ovarian Symptoms and Treatment concerns (MOST), developed in GCIG-SBS Stage 1 (MOSTv1, 35 items), and document recurrent ovarian cancer (ROC) symptom burden and benefit. Methods: GCIG-SBS Stage 2 recruited patients with platinum-resistant/refractory ROC (PRR-ROC) or potentially platinum-sensitive ROC with ≥ 3 lines of prior chemotherapy (PPS-ROC ≥ 3). Patients completed MOSTv1, QLQ-C30, QLQ-OV28, and FACT-O/FOSI at baseline and before cycle 3 of chemotherapy (pre-C3), and global assessments of change (MOST-Change) pre-C3. Clinicians rated patients’ cancer-related symptoms, performance status, and adverse events. Convergent and divergent validity (Spearman’s correlations), discriminative validity (effect sizes between groups classified by clinician-rated characteristics), and responsiveness (paired t tests in patients expected to experience clinically meaningful change) were assessed. Results: Of 948 recruits, 903 completed PROMs at baseline and 685 pre-C3. Baseline symptom burden was substantial for PRR-ROC and PPS-ROC ≥ 3. MOSTv2 has 24 items and five multi-item scales: abdominal symptoms (MOST-Abdo), disease or treatment-related symptoms (MOST-DorT), chemotherapy-related symptoms (MOST-Chemo), psychological symptoms (MOST-Psych), and MOST-Well-being. Correlations confirmed concurrent and divergent validity. Discriminative validity was confirmed by effect sizes that conformed with a priori hypotheses. MOST-Abdo was responsive to improvements in abdominal symptoms and MOST-Chemo detected the adverse effects of chemotherapy. Conclusions: The MOSTv2 validly quantifies patient-reported symptom burden, adverse effects, and symptom benefit in ROC, and as such is fit-for-purpose for clinical trials of palliative chemotherapy in ROC. Further research is required to assess test–retest reliability

Validation of the modified Glasgow Prognostic Score (mGPS) in recurrent ovarian cancer (ROC) – Analysis of patients enrolled in the GCIG Symptom Benefit Study (SBS)

Background: Modified Glasgow Prognostic Score (mGPS) is predictive of survival in many advanced cancers, but has not been evaluated in recurrent ovarian cancer (ROC). The aim was to determine validity of mGPS in ROC, investigate its associations with health related quality of life (HRQL) and ECOG performance status (PS). / Methods: mGPS is based on serum C reactive protein (CRP) and albumin, with scores ranging from 0 (least) to 2 (most). HRQL was measured with EORTC QLQ C-30 and OV-28. χ2 tests for trend were used to examine the relationship between HRQL, PS and mGPS. Cox proportional hazards regression was used to assess associations between mGPS, HRQL, clinicopathological factors, and overall survival (OS). / Results: Inflammatory markers were available in 516 of 948 patients in GCIG SBS. 200(39%) had potentially platinum sensitive ROC with ≥ 3 lines of chemotherapy, 316(61%) had platinum resistant ROC. 282(55%), 123(24%), 111(22%) had mGPS of 0, 1, 2, respectively. Median OS (months) was 18.1, 9.6, and 6.6 for mGPS 0, 1, and 2 respectively. mGPS was an independent predictor of OS after adjusting for PS and platinum sensitivity (p < 0.001). mGPS remained a predictor of OS after adjusting for physical function, role function, global health status, abdominal/GI symptoms, and multiple clinicopathologic factors (p = 0.02). Worse PS and higher mGPS were associated with poorer HRQL (p < 0.001). Higher mGPS was associated with worse HRQL, independent of PS. / Conclusion: The mGPS is an independent predictor of OS in ROC after adjusting for HRQL and clinicopathological factors. Higher mGPS is associated with worse HRQL independent of PS. mGPS is simple, inexpensive and may be suitable for clinical practice, clinical trial patient selection and stratification

Performance of four published risk models to predict sentinel lymph-node involvement in Australian women with early breast cancer

Background: Sentinel lymph-node biopsy has reduced the need for extensive axillary surgery for staging. It still exposes women to associated morbidity. Risk models that use clinical and pathology information of the primary tumour to predict sentinel lymph-node metastasis may allow further improvements in care. This study assessed the performance of four published risk models for predicting sentinel lymph-node metastasis in Australian women with early breast cancer; including one model developed in an Australian population. Methods: The Sentinel Node Biopsy Versus Axillary Clearance (SNAC) trial dataset was used to assess model discrimination by calculating the area under the receiver-operating-characteristic curve (AUC) and the false-negative rate for sentinel lymph-node metastasis using model-predicted risk cut-points of 10%, 20%, 30%, and calibration using Hosmer-Lemeshow tests and calibration plots. Results: The sentinel node was positive in 248 of 982 (25.2%) women (158 macrometastasis, 90 micrometastasis). The AUCs of risk models ranged from 0.70 to 0.74 for prediction of any sentinel-node metastasis; 0.72 to 0.75 for macrometastasis. Calibration was poor for the three models developed outside of Australia (lack-of-fit statistics, P < 0.001). For women with a model-predicted risk of sentinel lymph-node metastasis ≤10%, observed risk was 0-13% (three models <10%), false-negative rate 0-9%; 1-17% of women were classified in this range. Conclusion: All four models showed good discrimination for predicting sentinel lymph-node metastasis, in particular for macrometastasis. With further development such risk models could have a role in the provision of reassurance to low risk women with normal nodes sonographicaally for whom no axillary surgery is contemplated.Amira Elmadahm, Sarah J. Lord, H. Malcolm Hudson, Chee K. Lee, Luke Buizen, Gelareh Farshid, Val J. Gebski, P. Grantley Gil

Right or left primary site of colorectal cancer: outcomes from the molecular analysis of the AGITG MAX Trial

Background: For metastatic colorectal cancer, previous reports have described differences in biology and outcome, including response to biologic agents, based on whether the primary tumor is right- or left-sided. We explored the molecular markers from the AGITG MAX trial. Patients and Methods: The AGITG MAX trial was a randomized study comparing capecitabine versus capecitabine + bevacizumab versus capecitabine + bevacizumab + mitomycin C as first-line therapy in advanced colorectal cancer. Patients were classified as having right-sided (caecum to transverse colon) or left-sided (descending colon to rectum) disease according to anatomic location. Baseline characteristics and previously described molecular profiles were compared by side of primary tumor. Survival outcomes were analyzed by the Kaplan-Meier approach and proportional hazards regression modeling. Results: Among the 471 patients, the location of primary tumor was known in 440 patients (93%). Molecular profile was known in 298 patients (63%). Twenty-eight percent had right-sided primary tumors. Major differences between right and left are as follows: female 49% versus 33% (P < .01), BRAF mutant 16% versus 3.5% (P ≤ .001), and phosphatase and tensin homolog (PTEN) loss 27.6% versus 53% (P = .01). There were no differences in RAS mutation, PIK3CA mutation, or high versus low expression of assessed angiogenic markers. Right-sided primary lesion predicted a poor outcome for median overall survival: right-sided disease 13.2 months versus left-sided disease 20 months (P = .001; hazard ratio [HR] = 0.67; 95% confidence interval [CI], 0.53-0.85), but not for progression-free survival (HR 0.96; 95% CI, 0.78-1.20). The relative treatment effect did not differ significantly according to location of primary tumor: right primary tumor HR (bevacizumab containing arm vs. capecitabine monotherapy arm) was 0.82 (95% CI, 0.54-1.22), and left primary HR (bevacizumab containing arm vs. capecitabine monotherapy arm) was 0.51 (95% CI, 0.4-0.63) (interaction P = .10). Conclusion: There are more negative prognostic factors in patients with right-sided primary tumors, in particular high BRAF mutations, and these patients have inferior overall survival compared to those with a left-sided primary tumor. There was no suggestion that side of primary site had any impact on bevacizumab effect on progression-free survival.Gonzalo Tapia Rico, Timothy Price, Niall Tebbutt, Jennifer Hardingham, Chee Lee, Luke Buizen, Kate Wilson, Val Gebski, Amanda Townsen

Relationship of fibroblast growth factor 21 with baseline and new on-study microvascular disease in the Fenofibrate Intervention and Event Lowering in Diabetes study

Aims/hypothesis: Baseline circulating fibroblast growth factor 21 (FGF21) levels can predict total cardiovascular disease events in the Fenofibrate Intervention and Event Lowering in Diabetes (FIELD) study. This paper describes the relationship of baseline FGF21 levels and new on-study microvascular disease in patients with type 2 diabetes from the FIELD study. Methods: Baseline FGF21 levels were measured in plasma by enzyme-linked immunosorbent assay in 9697 study participants. Total microvascular disease was defined as the presence of any nephropathy, retinopathy, neuropathy and/or microvascular amputation. The relationship between FGF21 levels and microvascular disease was assessed by multivariable logistic regression. Results: Higher baseline FGF21 levels were found in patients with baseline total microvascular disease (p < 0.001). The association remained significant after adjusting for potential confounding factors (OR [95% CI] 1.13 [1.08, 1.19] per SD increase in loge-transformed FGF21 levels, p < 0.001). Of 6465 patients without baseline total microvascular disease, 1517 developed new on-study total microvascular disease over 5 years of follow-up. Higher baseline FGF21 levels were associated with a higher risk of new on-study total microvascular disease after adjusting for potential confounding factors (OR [95% CI] 1.09 [1.02, 1.16] per SD increase in loge-transformed FGF21 levels, p = 0.01). Addition of FGF21 levels in a model of new on-study total microvascular disease with established risk factors significantly, but modestly, increased the integrated discrimination improvement and the net reclassification improvement (both p < 0.01). Conclusions/interpretation: Higher baseline FGF21 levels are seen in patients with type 2 diabetes and established microvascular disease, and predict the future development of new microvascular disease

Five-Year Trajectories of Prescription Opioid Use

Importance: There are known risks of using opioids for extended periods. However, less is known about the long-term trajectories of opioid use following initiation. Objective: To identify 5-year trajectories of prescription opioid use, and to examine the characteristics of each trajectory group. Design, Setting, and Participants: This population-based cohort study conducted in New South Wales, Australia, linked national pharmaceutical claims data to 10 national and state data sets to determine sociodemographic characteristics, clinical characteristics, drug use, and health services use. The cohort included adult residents (aged ≥18 years) of New South Wales who initiated a prescription opioid between July 1, 2003, and December 31, 2018. Statistical analyses were conducted from February to September 2022. Exposure: Dispensing of a prescription opioid, with no evidence of opioid dispensing in the preceding 365 days, identified from pharmaceutical claims data. Main Outcomes and Measures: The main outcome was the trajectories of monthly opioid use over 60 months from opioid initiation. Group-based trajectory modeling was used to classify these trajectories. Linked health care data sets were used to examine characteristics of individuals in different trajectory groups. Results: Among 3474490 individuals who initiated a prescription opioid (1831230 females [52.7%]; mean [SD] age, 49.7 [19.3] years), 5 trajectories of long-term opioid use were identified: very low use (75.4%), low use (16.6%), moderate decreasing to low use (2.6%), low increasing to moderate use (2.6%), and sustained use (2.8%). Compared with individuals in the very low use trajectory group, those in the sustained use trajectory group were older (age ≥65 years: 22.0% vs 58.4%); had more comorbidities, including cancer (4.1% vs 22.2%); had increased health services contact, including hospital admissions (36.9% vs 51.6%); had higher use of psychotropic (16.4% vs 42.4%) and other analgesic drugs (22.9% vs 47.3%) prior to opioid initiation, and were initiated on stronger opioids (20.0% vs 50.2%). Conclusions and relevance: Results of this cohort study suggest that most individuals commencing treatment with prescription opioids had relatively low and time-limited exposure to opioids over a 5-year period. The small proportion of individuals with sustained or increasing use was older with more comorbidities and use of psychotropic and other analgesic drugs, likely reflecting a higher prevalence of pain and treatment needs in these individuals.

Reducing Uncertainty: Predictors of Stopping Chemotherapy Early and Shortened Survival Time in Platinum Resistant/Refractory Ovarian Cancer-The GCIG Symptom Benefit Study

Background. Clinicians and patients often overestimate the benefits of chemotherapy, and overall survival (OS), in platinum resistant/refractory ovarian cancer (PRROC). This study sought to determine aspects of health‐related quality of life and clinicopathological characteristics before starting chemotherapy that were associated with stopping chemotherapy early, shortened survival, and death within 30 days of chemotherapy. / Materials and Methods. This study enrolled women with PRROC before starting palliative chemotherapy. Health‐related quality of life was measured with EORTC QLQ‐C30/QLQ‐OV28. Chemotherapy stopped within 8 weeks of starting was defined as stopping early. Logistic regression was used to assess univariable and multivariable associations with stopping chemotherapy early and death within 30 days of chemotherapy; Cox proportional hazards regression was used to assess associations with progression‐free and OS. / Results. Low baseline global health status (GHS), role function (RF), physical function (PF), and high abdominal/gastrointestinal symptom (AGIS) were associated with stopping chemotherapy early (all p < .007); low PF and RF remained significant after adjusting for clinicopathological factors (both p < .0401). Most who stopped chemotherapy early had Eastern Cooperative Oncology Group Performance Score 0–1 at baseline (79%); PF, RF, and GHS remained independently significant predictors of stopping chemotherapy early in this subgroup. Death within 30 days of chemotherapy occurred in 14%. Low GHS, RF, and PF remained significantly associated with death within 30 days of chemotherapy after adjusting for clinicopathological factors (all p < .012). / Conclusion. Women with low GHS, RF, or PF before starting chemotherapy were more likely to stop chemotherapy early, with short OS. Self‐ratings of GHS, RF, and PF could improve patient‐clinician communication regarding prognosis and help decision‐making in women considering chemotherapy for PRROC. / Implications for Practice. Measuring aspects of health‐related quality of life when considering further chemotherapy in platinum resistant/refractory ovarian cancer (PRROC) could help identify women with a particularly poor prognosis who are unlikely to benefit from chemotherapy and could therefore be spared unnecessary treatment and toxicity in their last months of life. Self‐ratings of global health status, role function, and physical function could improve patient‐clinician communication regarding prognosis and help decision‐making in women considering chemotherapy for PRROC

The effect of renal replacement therapy and antibiotic dose on antibiotic concentrations in critically ill patients: data from the multinational Sampling Antibiotics in Renal Replacement Therapy Study

Background: The optimal dosing of antibiotics in critically ill patients receiving renal replacement therapy (RRT) remains unclear. In this study, we describe the variability in RRT techniques and antibiotic dosing in critically ill patients receiving RRT and to relate observed trough antibiotic concentrations to optimal targets. Methods: We performed a prospective, observational, multi-national, pharmacokinetic study in 29 intensive care units from 14 countries. We collected demographic, clinical and RRT data. We measured trough antibiotic concentrations of meropenem, piperacillin-tazobactam and vancomycin and related them to high and low target trough concentrations. Results: We studied 381 patients and obtained 508 trough antibiotic concentrations. There was wide variability (4-8 fold) in antibiotic dosing regimens; RRT prescription, and estimated endogenous renal function. The overall median estimated total renal clearance (eTRCL) was 50 mL/min (interquartile range [IQR] 35-65) and higher eTRCL was associated with lower trough concentrations for all antibiotics (p<0.05). The median (IQR) trough concentration for meropenem was 12.1 mg/L (7.9-18.8), piperacillin 78.6 mg/L (49.5-127.3), tazobactam 9.5 mg/L (6.3-14.2) and vancomycin 14.3 mg/L (11.6-21.8). Trough concentrations failed to meet optimal higher limits in 26%, 36%, 72%, and optimal lower limits in 4%, 4%, and 55% of patients for meropenem, piperacillin and vancomycin respectively. Conclusions: In critically ill patients treated with RRT, antibiotic dosing regimens, RRT prescription and eTRCL varied markedly and resulted in highly variable antibiotic concentrations that failed to meet therapeutic targets in many patients.Jason A. Roberts … Sandra L. Peake … Michael S. Roberts … Mahipal Sinnollareddy … John Turnidge … Tricia Williams … et al. on behalf of the SMARRT Study Collaborators and the ANZICS Clinical Trials Grou

The Effect of Renal Replacement Therapy and Antibiotic Dose on Antibiotic Concentrations in Critically Ill Patients: Data From the Multinational Sampling Antibiotics in Renal Replacement Therapy Study

The optimal dosing of antibiotics in critically ill patients receiving renal replacement therapy (RRT) remains unclear. In this study, we describe the variability in RRT techniques and antibiotic dosing in critically ill patients receiving RRT and to relate observed trough antibiotic concentrations to optimal targets.We performed a prospective, observational, multi-national, pharmacokinetic study in 29 intensive care units from 14 countries. We collected demographic, clinical and RRT data. We measured trough antibiotic concentrations of meropenem, piperacillin-tazobactam and vancomycin and related them to high and low target trough concentrations.We studied 381 patients and obtained 508 trough antibiotic concentrations. There was wide variability (4-8 fold) in antibiotic dosing regimens; RRT prescription, and estimated endogenous renal function. The overall median estimated total renal clearance (eTRCL) was 50 mL/min (interquartile range [IQR] 35-65) and higher eTRCL was associated with lower trough concentrations for all antibiotics (