12 research outputs found
How should milk be priced in the future?
Milk pricing will continue to change.
Clearly, the dairy industry will continue the
trend toward MCP. The federal dairy price
support program will terminate at the end of
1999. Changes will occur in federal order
pricing. The FAIR ACT of 1996 requires some
changes. Pricing provisions must be market
oriented. The U.S. dairy industry must be
competitive internationally. Federal order
provisions must provide less rather than more
regulation. Federal order prices must be minimum
prices allowing for industry pricing above
those prices. Markets are national. Hence,
California should be a part of the same pricing
system. Compacts such as the Northeast Interstate
Compact should not be allowed
Futures contracts for milk: how will they work?
The two new milk futures contracts offer
dairy farmers and other buyers and sellers of
milk and dairy products additional opportunities
to manage price risk in an increasingly
volatile milk price environment. The availability
of these risk management tools is especially
important given the market-oriented
direction of federal dairy policy.
The CSCE and CME contracts differ somewhat
in their specifications. Potential hedgers
will need to evaluate which offers the best
opportunity to lock in prices. Hedgers also
should look at the cheese and nonfat dry milk
contracts in determining the most appropriate
risk management strategy. Strategies may
involve using more than one futures market.
Key in any hedging decision is the basis,
especially the predictability of the relationship
between cash and futures prices. Hedgers
should compare the alternative contracts in
terms of which yields the most predictable
basis given the type of hedge and the specific
market conditions affecting their business
