12 research outputs found
The European land and inland water CO2, CO, CH4 and N2O balance between 2001 and 2005
Globally, terrestrial ecosystems have absorbed about 30% of anthropogenic greenhouse gas emissions over the period 2000â2007 and inter-hemispheric gradients indicate that a significant fraction of terrestrial carbon sequestration must be north of the Equator. We present a compilation of the CO2, CO, CH4 and N2O balances of Europe following a dual constraint approach in which (1) a landbased
balance derived mainly from ecosystem carbon inventories and (2) a land-based balance derived from flux measurements
are compared to (3) the atmospheric data-based balance derived from inversions constrained by measurements of atmospheric GHG (greenhouse gas) concentrations.
Good agreement between the GHG balances based on fluxes (1294±545 Tg C in CO2-eq yrâ1), inventories (1299±200 Tg C in CO2-eq yrâ1) and inversions (1210±405 Tg C in CO2-eq yrâ1) increases our confidence that the processes underlying the European GHG budget are well understood and reasonably sampled. However, the uncertainty remains large and largely lacks formal estimates. Given that European net land to atmosphere exchanges are determined by a few dominant fluxes, the uncertainty of these key components needs to be formally estimated before efforts could be made to reduce the overall uncertainty. The net land-to-atmosphere flux is a
net source for CO2, CO, CH4 and N2O, because the anthropogenic emissions by far exceed the biogenic sink strength.
The dual-constraint approach confirmed that the European biogenic sink removes as much as 205±72 Tg C yrâ1 from fossil fuel burning from the atmosphere. However, This C is being sequestered in both terrestrial and inland aquatic ecosystems. If the C-cost for ecosystem management is taken into account, the net uptake of ecosystems is estimated to decrease by 45% but still indicates substantial C-sequestration.
However, when the balance is extended from CO2 towards the main GHGs, C-uptake by terrestrial and aquatic ecosystems
is offset by emissions of non-CO2 GHGs. As such, the European ecosystems are unlikely to contribute to mitigating the effects of climate change.JRC.H.2-Air and Climat
Aboveground forest biomass varies across continents, ecological zones and successional stages: refined IPCC default values for tropical and subtropical forests
For monitoring and reporting forest carbon stocks and fluxes, many countries in the tropics and subtropics rely on default values of forest aboveground biomass (AGB) from the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) guidelines for National Greenhouse Gas (GHG) Inventories. Default IPCC forest AGB values originated from 2006, and are relatively crude estimates of average values per continent and ecological zone. The 2006 default values were based on limited plot data available at the time, methods for their derivation were not fully clear, and no distinction between successional stages was made. As part of the 2019 Refinement to the 2006 IPCC Guidelines for GHG Inventories, we updated the default AGB values for tropical and subtropical forests based on AGB data from >25 000 plots in natural forests and a global AGB map where no plot data were available. We calculated refined AGB default values per continent, ecological zone, and successional stage, and provided a measure of uncertainty. AGB in tropical and subtropical forests varies by an order of magnitude across continents, ecological zones, and successional stage. Our refined default values generally reflect the climatic gradients in the tropics, with more AGB in wetter areas. AGB is generally higher in old-growth than in secondary forests, and higher in older secondary (regrowth >20 years old and degraded/logged forests) than in young secondary forests (20 years old). While refined default values for tropical old-growth forest are largely similar to the previous 2006 default values, the new default values are 4.0-7.7-fold lower for young secondary forests. Thus, the refined values will strongly alter estimated carbon stocks and fluxes, and emphasize the critical importance of old-growth forest conservation. We provide a reproducible approach to facilitate future refinements and encourage targeted efforts to establish permanent plots in areas with data gaps
Residual cancer burden after neoadjuvant chemotherapy and long-term survival outcomes in breast cancer: a multicentre pooled analysis of 5161 patients
Genetic sequencing for surveillance of drug resistance in tuberculosis in highly endemic countries: a multi-country population-based surveillance study
BACKGROUND : In many countries, regular monitoring of the emergence of resistance to anti-tuberculosis drugs is
hampered by the limitations of phenotypic testing for drug susceptibility. We therefore evaluated the use of genetic
sequencing for surveillance of drug resistance in tuberculosis. METHODS : Population-level surveys were done in hospitals and clinics in seven countries (Azerbaijan, Bangladesh,
Belarus, Pakistan, Philippines, South Africa, and Ukraine) to evaluate the use of genetic sequencing to estimate the
resistance of Mycobacterium tuberculosis isolates to rifampicin, isoniazid, ofloxacin, moxifloxacin, pyrazinamide,
kanamycin, amikacin, and capreomycin. For each drug, we assessed the accuracy of genetic sequencing by a
comparison of the adjusted prevalence of resistance, measured by genetic sequencing, with the true prevalence of
resistance, determined by phenotypic testing. FINDINGS : Isolates were taken from 7094 patients with tuberculosis who were enrolled in the study between November,
2009, and May, 2014. In all tuberculosis cases, the overall pooled sensitivity values for predicting resistance by genetic
sequencing were 91% (95% CI 87â94) for rpoB (rifampicin resistance), 86% (74â93) for katG, inhA, and fabG promoter
combined (isoniazid resistance), 54% (39â68) for pncA (pyrazinamide resistance), 85% (77â91) for gyrA and gyrB
combined (ofloxacin resistance), and 88% (81â92) for gyrA and gyrB combined (moxifloxacin resistance). For nearly all
drugs and in most settings, there was a large overlap in the estimated prevalence of drug resistance by genetic
sequencing and the estimated prevalence by phenotypic testing.
INTERPRETATION : Genetic sequencing can be a valuable tool for surveillance of drug resistance, providing new
opportunities to monitor drug resistance in tuberculosis in resource-poor countries. Before its widespread adoption
for surveillance purposes, there is a need to standardise DNA extraction methods, recording and reporting
nomenclature, and data interpretation.The Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation, the United States Agency for International
Development, and the TB Alliance.www.thelancet.com/infectionhttp://www.thelancet.com/infectionam2018Medical Microbiolog
Widespread pesticide distribution in the European atmosphere questions their degradability in air
Risk assessment of pesticide impacts on remote ecosystems makes use of model-estimated degradation in air. Recent studies suggest these degradation rates to be overestimated, questioning current pesticide regulation. Here, we investigated the concentrations of 76 pesticides in Europe at 29 rural, coastal, mountain, and polar sites during the agricultural application season. Overall, 58 pesticides were observed in the European atmosphere. Low spatial variation of 7 pesticides suggests continental-scale atmospheric dispersal. Based on concentrations in free tropospheric air and at Arctic sites, 22 pesticides were identified to be prone to long-range atmospheric transport, which included 15 substances approved for agricultural use in Europe and 7 banned ones. Comparison between concentrations at remote sites and those found at pesticide source areas suggests long atmospheric lifetimes of atrazine, cyprodinil, spiroxamine, tebuconazole, terbuthylazine, and thiacloprid. In general, our findings suggest that atmospheric transport and persistence of pesticides have been underestimated and that their risk assessment needs to be improved
Widespread pesticide distribution in the European atmosphere questions their degradability in air
Risk assessment of pesticide impacts on remote ecosystems makes use of model-estimated degradation in air. Recent studies suggest these degradation rates to be overestimated, questioning current pesticide regulation. Here, we investigated the concentrations of 76 pesticides in Europe at 29 rural, coastal, mountain, and polar sites during the agricultural application season. Overall, 58 pesticides were observed in the European atmosphere. Low spatial variation of 7 pesticides suggests continental-scale atmospheric dispersal. Based on concentrations in free tropospheric air and at Arctic sites, 22 pesticides were identified to be prone to long-range atmospheric transport, which included 15 substances approved for agricultural use in Europe and 7 banned ones. Comparison between concentrations at remote sites and those found at pesticide source areas suggests long atmospheric lifetimes of atrazine, cyprodinil, spiroxamine, tebuconazole, terbuthylazine, and thiacloprid. In general, our findings suggest that atmospheric transport and persistence of pesticides have been underestimated and that their risk assessment needs to be improved
Systematic Review of Arts-Based Interventions to Address Suicide Prevention and Survivorship in Australia, Canada, the United Kingdom, and the United States of America
International audienceStudy Objective. Suicide is a serious health problem that is shaped by a variety of social and mental health factors. A growing body of research connects the arts to positive health outcomes; however, no previous systematic reviews have examined the use of the arts in suicide prevention and survivorship. This review examined how the arts have been used to address suicide prevention and survivorship in nonclinical settings in Australia, Canada, the United Kingdom, and the United States of America. Design and Setting. Ten bibliographic databases, five research repositories, and reference sections of articles were searched to identify published studies. Articles presenting outcomes of interventions conducted between 2014 and 2019 and written in English, were included. Primary Results. Nine studies met inclusion criteria, including qualitative, quantitative randomized controlled trials, quantitative nonrandomized, quantitative descriptive, and mixed-methods studies. The programs studied used film and television (n = 3), mixed-arts (n = 3), theatre (n = 2), and quilting (n = 1). All nine interventions used the arts to elicit emotional involvement, while seven also used the arts to encourage engagement with themes of health. Study outcomes included increased self-efficacy, awareness of mental health issues, and likelihood for taking action to prevent suicide, as well as decreases in suicidal risk and self-harming behaviors. Conclusions. Factors that influence suicide risk and survivorship may be effectively addressed through arts-based interventions. While the current evidence is promising with regard to the potential for arts programs to positively affect suicide prevention and survivorship, this evidence needs to be supplemented to inform recommendations for evidence-based arts interventions
The Use of Comparative Genomic Analysis for the Development of Subspecies-Specific PCR Assays for Mycobacterium abscessus
Mycobacterium abscessus complex (MABC) is an important pathogen of immunocompromised patients. Accurate and rapid determination of MABC at the subspecies level is vital for optimal antibiotic therapy. Here we have used comparative genomics to design MABC subspecies-specific PCR assays. Analysis of single nucleotide polymorphisms and core genome multilocus sequence typing showed clustering of genomes into three distinct clusters representing the MABC subspecies M. abscessus, M. bolletii and M. massiliense. Pangenome analysis of 318 MABC genomes from the three subspecies allowed for the identification of 15 MABC subspecies-specific genes. In silico testing of primer sets against 1,663 publicly available MABC genomes and 66 other closely related Mycobacterium genomes showed that all assays had >97% sensitivity and >98% specificity. Subsequent experimental validation of two subspecies-specific genes each showed the PCR assays worked well in individual and multiplex format with no false-positivity with 5 other mycobacteria of clinical importance. In conclusion, we have developed a rapid, accurate, multiplex PCR-assay for discriminating MABC subspecies that could improve their detection, diagnosis and inform correct treatment choice
MDR M. tuberculosis outbreak clone in Eswatini missed by Xpert has elevated bedaquiline resistance dated to the pre-treatment era
BACKGROUND: Multidrug-resistant (MDR) Mycobacterium tuberculosis complex strains not detected by commercial
molecular drug susceptibility testing (mDST) assays due to the RpoB I491F resistance mutation are threatening the
control of MDR tuberculosis (MDR-TB) in Eswatini.
METHODS: We investigate the evolution and spread of MDR strains in Eswatini with a focus on bedaquiline (BDQ)
and clofazimine (CFZ) resistance using whole-genome sequencing in two collections ((1) national drug resistance
survey, 2009â2010; (2) MDR strains from the Nhlangano region, 2014â2017).
RESULTS: MDR strains in collection 1 had a high cluster rate (95%, 117/123 MDR strains) with 55% grouped into the
two largest clusters (gCL3, n = 28; gCL10, n = 40). All gCL10 isolates, which likely emerged around 1993 (95%
highest posterior density 1987â1998), carried the mutation RpoB I491F that is missed by commercial mDST assays.
In addition, 21 (53%) gCL10 isolates shared a Rv0678 M146T mutation that correlated with elevated minimum
inhibitory concentrations (MICs) to BDQ and CFZ compared to wild type isolates. gCL10 isolates with the Rv0678
M146T mutation were also detected in collection 2.
CONCLUSION: The high clustering rate suggests that transmission has been driving the MDR-TB epidemic in Eswatini
for three decades. The presence of MDR strains in Eswatini that are not detected by commercial mDST assays and
have elevated MICs to BDQ and CFZ potentially jeopardizes the successful implementation of new MDR-TB
treatment guidelines. Measures to limit the spread of these outbreak isolates need to be implemented urgently.The European Union TB-PAN-NET (FP7-223681) project, by MĂ©decins Sans FrontiĂšres-Switzerland, and by German Center for Infection Research, Deutsche Forschungsgemeinschaft (DFG, German Research Foundation) under Germanys Excellence Strategy â EXC 2167, and Leibniz Science Campus Evolutionary Medicine of the LUNG (EvoLUNG).http://genomemedicine.compm2021Medical Microbiolog