82 research outputs found
Immunotoxicity of polystyrene nanoplastics in different hemocyte subpopulations of Mytilus galloprovincialis
- Author
- A Cózar
- A Jemec
- A Katsumiti
- A Verma
- A Wegner
- AE Nel
- AJ Kennedy
- AL Andrady
- AM Booth
- B Jovanović
- C Ciacci
- C Della Torre
- C Détrée
- C Oliveri
- CC Fleischer
- CG Avio
- DN Johnson-Lyles
- E Bergami
- E García-García
- E Uribe-Quero
- F Le Foll
- H Zhao
- I Lynch
- I Marisa
- I Paul-Pont
- J Li
- JE Hose
- JE Ward
- JP da Costa
- K Duis
- L Canesi
- L Canesi
- L Canesi
- L Canesi
- L Lebreton
- M Bergmann
- M Cole
- M Cole
- M Eriksen
- M Sendra
- M Sendra
- M Sendra
- MA Browne
- MN Moore
- MP Monopoli
- O Setälä
- OS Alimi
- P Farrell
- P Kolandhasamy
- Q Chen
- R Prado
- R Sussarellu
- RC Thompson
- S Iwanaga
- S Petrović
- S Stachowski-Haberkorn
- T Balbi
- T Guindulain
- TE Abbott Chalew
- TM Karlsson
- Y Gao
- Publication venue
- 'Springer Science and Business Media LLC'
- Publication date
- 01/01/2020
- Field of study
Plastic represents 60-80% of litter in the ocean. Degradation of plastic to small fragments leads to the formation of microplastics (MPs <5mm) and nanoplastics (NPs <1 mu m). One of the most widely used and representative plastics found in the ocean is polystyrene (PS). Among marine organisms, the immune system of bivalves is recognized as suitable to assess nanomaterial toxicity. Hemocyte subpopulations [R1 (large granular cells), R2 (small semi-granular cells) and R3 (small agranular or hyaline cells)] of Mytilus galloprovincialis are specialized in particular tasks and functions. The authors propose to examine the effects of different sizes (50 nm, 100 nm and 1 mu m) PS NPs on the different immune cells of mussels when they were exposed to (1 and 10mg.L-1) of PS NPs. The most noteworthy results found in this work are: (i) 1 mu m PS NPs provoked higher immunological responses with respect to 50 and 100nm PS NPs, possibly related to the higher stability in size and shape in hemolymph serum, (ii) the R1 subpopulation was the most affected with respect to R2 and R3 concerning immunological responses and (iii) an increase in the release of toxic radicals, apoptotic signals, tracking of lysosomes and a decrease in phagocytic activity was found in R1
Laparoscopy in management of appendicitis in high-, middle-, and low-income countries: a multicenter, prospective, cohort study.
- Author
- Abantanga F
- Abbas M
- Abbo O
- Abd El Galeel A
- Abd El Hameed OS
- Abd El Hamid N
- Abd El Salam Y
- Abd El Slam M
- Abd El-Salam F
- Abd Elrasoul Y
- Abd-Elrasoul Y
- Abdallah E
- Abdel-Wahab NYE
- AbdelFattah I
- Abdelgelil A
- Abdelghany S
- Abdelkader M
- Abdelkareem A
- Abdelraheim M
- Abdelshafy M
- Abdulgawad M
- Abdullah AAN
- Abdullah NAN
- Abebe NS
- Abebe NS
- Aber A
- Abington E
- Aboarab A
- Aboraya M
- Aboraya M
- Abouelnasr A
- Abouzahra A
- Abozaid M
- Abozeid K
- Abozyed MAF
- Abudeeb H
- Abuseif M
- Acharya P
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- Adel A
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- Adeniyi A
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- Publication venue
- 'Springer Science and Business Media LLC'
- Publication date
- 01/01/2018
- Field of study
BACKGROUND: Appendicitis is the most common abdominal surgical emergency worldwide. Differences between high- and low-income settings in the availability of laparoscopic appendectomy, alternative management choices, and outcomes are poorly described. The aim was to identify variation in surgical management and outcomes of appendicitis within low-, middle-, and high-Human Development Index (HDI) countries worldwide. METHODS: This is a multicenter, international prospective cohort study. Consecutive sampling of patients undergoing emergency appendectomy over 6 months was conducted. Follow-up lasted 30 days. RESULTS: 4546 patients from 52 countries underwent appendectomy (2499 high-, 1540 middle-, and 507 low-HDI groups). Surgical site infection (SSI) rates were higher in low-HDI (OR 2.57, 95% CI 1.33-4.99, p = 0.005) but not middle-HDI countries (OR 1.38, 95% CI 0.76-2.52, p = 0.291), compared with high-HDI countries after adjustment. A laparoscopic approach was common in high-HDI countries (1693/2499, 67.7%), but infrequent in low-HDI (41/507, 8.1%) and middle-HDI (132/1540, 8.6%) groups. After accounting for case-mix, laparoscopy was still associated with fewer overall complications (OR 0.55, 95% CI 0.42-0.71, p < 0.001) and SSIs (OR 0.22, 95% CI 0.14-0.33, p < 0.001). In propensity-score matched groups within low-/middle-HDI countries, laparoscopy was still associated with fewer overall complications (OR 0.23 95% CI 0.11-0.44) and SSI (OR 0.21 95% CI 0.09-0.45). CONCLUSION: A laparoscopic approach is associated with better outcomes and availability appears to differ by country HDI. Despite the profound clinical, operational, and financial barriers to its widespread introduction, laparoscopy could significantly improve outcomes for patients in low-resource environments. TRIAL REGISTRATION: NCT02179112
Global economic burden of unmet surgical need for appendicitis
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- Publication venue
- Oxford University Press
- Publication date
- 01/01/2022
- Field of study
Background: There is a substantial gap in provision of adequate surgical care in many low-and middle-income countries. This study aimed to identify the economic burden of unmet surgical need for the common condition of appendicitis. Methods: Data on the incidence of appendicitis from 170 countries and two different approaches were used to estimate numbers of patients who do not receive surgery: as a fixed proportion of the total unmet surgical need per country (approach 1); and based on country income status (approach 2). Indirect costs with current levels of access and local quality, and those if quality were at the standards of high-income countries, were estimated. A human capital approach was applied, focusing on the economic burden resulting from premature death and absenteeism. Results: Excess mortality was 4185 per 100 000 cases of appendicitis using approach 1 and 3448 per 100 000 using approach 2. The economic burden of continuing current levels of access and local quality was US 92492millionusingapproach1and73 141 million using approach 2. The economic burden of not providing surgical care to the standards of high-income countries was 95004millionusingapproach1and75 666 million using approach 2. The largest share of these costs resulted from premature death (97.7 per cent) and lack of access (97.0 per cent) in contrast to lack of quality. Conclusion: For a comparatively non-complex emergency condition such as appendicitis, increasing access to care should be prioritized. Although improving quality of care should not be neglected, increasing provision of care at current standards could reduce societal costs substantially
Effects of hospital facilities on patient outcomes after cancer surgery: an international, prospective, observational study
- Author
- A Yacoub M.
- A. Adam M.
- A. Nassar M.
- A. Nemer A.
- Aahlin E. K.
- Ab Rahim M. F.
- Abad Gurumeta A.
- Abad-Motos A.
- Abang Jamari D. Z. H.
- Abantanga F.
- Abarca S.
- Abazid E.
- Abbas A.
- Abbas K.
- Abbas M. M.
- Abbasy J.
- Abbosh A.
- Abd B.
- Abd Karim M. F. S.
- Abd Wahab H. H.
- Abdalei A.
- Abdalla Ahmed Elkamel A.
- Abdallah A.
- AbdAllah M. S. M.
- Abdel Malik A. B.
- Abdelhady Mousa H.
- Abdelhady S.
- Abdelhakim A.
- Abdelkader M.
- Abdelkawy S.
- Abdelkhalek M.
- Abdellatif E.
- Abdelmaksoud Tawakel N.
- Abdelmohsen N.
- Abdelmotaleb I.
- Abdelrazek A.
- Abdelsalam I.
- Abdelshakour M.
- Abdelwahed A. M.
- Abdou A.
- Abdou A. O.
- Abdou H.
- Abdul Aziz M. R.
- Abdul Aziz N.
- Abdulgawad Almogy M.
- Abdulla M. A.
- Abdullah M. T.
- Abdullahi L.
- Abdullayev S.
- Abed S.
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- Publication venue
- 'Elsevier BV'
- Publication date
- 01/01/2022
- Field of study
Background Early death after cancer surgery is higher in low-income and middle-income countries (LMICs) compared with in high-income countries, yet the impact of facility characteristics on early postoperative outcomes is unknown. The aim of this study was to examine the association between hospital infrastructure, resource availability, and processes on early outcomes after cancer surgery worldwide.Methods A multimethods analysis was performed as part of the GlobalSurg 3 study-a multicentre, international, prospective cohort study of patients who had surgery for breast, colorectal, or gastric cancer. The primary outcomes were 30-day mortality and 30-day major complication rates. Potentially beneficial hospital facilities were identified by variable selection to select those associated with 30-day mortality. Adjusted outcomes were determined using generalised estimating equations to account for patient characteristics and country-income group, with population stratification by hospital.Findings Between April 1, 2018, and April 23, 2019, facility-level data were collected for 9685 patients across 238 hospitals in 66 countries (91 hospitals in 20 high-income countries; 57 hospitals in 19 upper-middle-income countries; and 90 hospitals in 27 low-income to lower-middle-income countries). The availability of five hospital facilities was inversely associated with mortality: ultrasound, CT scanner, critical care unit, opioid analgesia, and oncologist. After adjustment for case-mix and country income group, hospitals with three or fewer of these facilities (62 hospitals, 1294 patients) had higher mortality compared with those with four or five (adjusted odds ratio [OR] 3.85 [95% CI 2.58-5.75]; p<0.0001), with excess mortality predominantly explained by a limited capacity to rescue following the development of major complications (63.0% vs 82.7%; OR 0.35 [0.23-0.53]; p<0.0001). Across LMICs, improvements in hospital facilities would prevent one to three deaths for every 100 patients undergoing surgery for cancer.Interpretation Hospitals with higher levels of infrastructure and resources have better outcomes after cancer surgery, independent of country income. Without urgent strengthening of hospital infrastructure and resources, the reductions in cancer-associated mortality associated with improved access will not be realised
Pooled analysis of WHO Surgical Safety Checklist use and mortality after emergency laparotomy
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- Aliyu H
- Aliyu M
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- Aljboor K
- Aljiffry M
- Aljiffry M
- Aljohani E
- Aljohani E
- Aljohani S
- Alkaaki A
- Alkammash A
- Alkelani M
- Alkhabbaz D
- Alkhouri M
- Allam M
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- Allegri A
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- Almoflihi A
- Almuallem S
- Almy J
- Alnaby MH
- Alnawam E
- Alnuqaydan SA
- Alnusairat A
- Alomar IN
- Alqahtani E
- Alqahtani S
- Alrahawy M
- Alrajraji M
- Alrifaie A
- AlRowais M
- Alsaggaf M
- Alsaggaf MU
- Alsaggaf MU
- Alser OH
- Alshareef R
- Altaf A
- Altaf A
- Altamimi A
- Altamimi A
- Altamimi A
- Altamimi A
- Altamini A
- Altarayra M
- Althwainy A
- Altibi A
- Altinel Y
- Altinel Y
- Altoe F
- Altwigry AM
- Altwijri A
- Alvarado Jaramillo R
- Alvarez Barreda LM
- Alvi AR
- Alwafai MG
- Aly AK
- Aly MYM
- Alyacoubi S
- Alyahya R
- Alyami R
- Alyami R
- AlYoussef I
- Alzahrani A
- Alzahrani M
- Alzahrani M
- Alzayat T
- Aman NF
- Amandito R
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- Ambrozeviciute V
- Ameen M
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- Amole I
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- Ang YL
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- Appeadu-Mensah W
- Appiah EK
- Aql S
- Aquilino F
- Arachchi PP
- Arachchige LAJJ
- Arafa O
- Arafa S
- Arango MCM
- Arango MCM
- Aranzabal Durand SY
- Araujo R
- Arcudi C
- Ardley R
- Arenas A
- Arevalo Azmitia JR
- Arias Pacheco RD
- Arman S
- Arman S
- Armando ChunguiBravo J
- Armellini A
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- Arnaud AP
- Arnaud AP
- Arnaud AP
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- Asele FA
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- Awad SA
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- Awuku-Asabre J
- Ayad S
- Ayandipo O
- Ayandipo OO
- Aydin MC
- Ayyar S
- Aziz DNA
- Aziz MRA
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- Azizeldine MG
- Azmitia Mendizabal CA
- Azodo IA
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- Azzis O
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- Badenjki MA
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- Balmaceda R
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- Baltrunas R
- Baluch F
- Bamford R
- Bamicha A
- Bamicha A
- Banaitis VJ
- Bandi A
- Bandoh D
- Bani-Sadar A
- Banipal GS
- Baraka H
- Barakat SAE
- Barendegere V
- Barker T
- Barkolias C
- Barmayehvar B
- Barnabas GN
- Barnacle J
- Barneo L
- Barrionuevo Ojeda RR
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- Barrios E
- Barros De Castro Segundo LC
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- Barry J
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- Bassem M
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- Beasley W
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- Bediako-Bowan A
- Behar N
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- Bekhet AH
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- Benevento A
- Benevento A
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- Bennai RM
- Benons N
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- Bertuello I
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- Beuran M
- Beyene R
- Bezerra Morais PA
- Bezzina M
- Bhang A
- Bhangu A
- Bhangu A
- Bhargava A
- Bharj IS
- Bhat S
- Bhatnagar A
- Bhattacharya S
- Bhopal KF
- Bhopal KF
- Bianco F
- Bigaran A
- Billy M
- Bin Adnan A
- Bin Hasnan M
- Bin Ismail MJ
- Bin Mahamood A
- Birindelli A
- Birring A
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- Bjorklund I
- Blacker S
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- Blanco-Colino R
- Blencowe N
- Blencowe N
- Bliksoen M
- Blower E
- Bluelle R
- Blundell R
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- Boal M
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- Bondurri A
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- Borda-Luque G
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- Botes S
- Bottini C
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- Bratu R-M
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- Breitenstein S
- Breslin R
- Brincat SD
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- Brown J
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- Burger S
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- Burns H
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- Cabala Chiong JA
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- Catani M
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- Cecilia T
- Celik S
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- Cengiz Y
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- Chachulski W
- Chai C-A
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- Chambers A
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- Chan XW
- Chan Z
- Chandrakumar C
- Chang K
- Chang KY-C
- Chapman A
- Chapman SJ
- Charles A
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- Chen CY
- Chen KY
- Chen T-L
- Chenn R
- Cheong YJ
- Chetta N
- Cheung YHE
- Chew LS
- Chhabra S
- Chibuye C
- Chidambaram S
- Chiesa D
- Chilton G
- Chin PX
- Chin YR
- Chiu S
- Chiu S
- Chiu SMY
- Choi J
- Choi P
- Chong BFHK
- Chong CL
- Chong CL
- Chong CL
- Chong CS
- Chong H-Y
- Chong HY
- Choudhry A
- Chow CYN
- Chowdhury A
- Chowdhury D
- Chu K
- Chun A
- Chun T
- Chung KJ
- Chung S
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- Clegg-Lamptey J-N
- Clement KD
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- Clerico G
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- Coasaca Huaraya R
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- Currow C
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- D'Amours S
- D'amours SK
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- D'Souza MS
- D'Souza R
- Da Silva LA
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- Dar M
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- Darweesh M
- Darwish AKZ
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- Decker E
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- Dedey F
- Deichsel F
- Del Basso C
- del Pilar Paucar A
- Delforge X
- Dell A
- Dempster E
- Denakpo M
- Denewar A
- Depalma N
- Deputy M
- Der Y
- Dervenis C
- Despotidis V
- Desta S
- Deutschmann P
- Devadasar GH
- Dharamshi HA
- Dhillon D
- Di Franco F
- Di Martino N
- Di Saverio S
- Di Saverio S
- Diab A
- Diaconescu B
- Diaconescu I-B
- Dias S
- Diaz Vico T
- Diaz-Jover P
- Diaz-Zorrilla C
- Dick L
- Dickfos M
- Dickson L
- Dijan E
- Dimech T
- Din F
- Dindyal S
- Dindyal S
- Dione Parreno-Sacdalan M
- Dissanayake T
- Djivoh F
- Domini E
- Domini E
- Donnelly P
- Donoghue D
- Dorani RMNR
- Dorisme A
- dos Santos DV
- Dossou F
- Doughan S
- Doughty J
- Dousset B
- Dragatas D
- Drake TM
- Drake TM
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- Driscoll A
- Drungilas M
- Du Plessis D
- du Plooy F
- Du Toit F
- Duane T
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- Duhoranenayo D
- Duinhouwer L
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- Dwydar A
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- Ebrahim OS
- Eduard P
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- El Dahab AA
- El Deen KN
- El Gendy A
- El Gendy NH
- El Halawany M
- El Jamassi A
- El Kashash A
- El Kholy A
- El Magd AA
- El Mesery S
- El Sayed GS
- El Sayed IM
- El Shoura Y
- El-badawy HA
- El-Dien KS
- El-Dien KS
- El-Din RA
- El-Din SA
- El-Gizawy E
- El-Hamouly AS
- El-Kashef H
- El-Latif NK
- El-Ma'doul AS
- El-Rabaa S
- El-Sagheer N
- El-Sawy A
- El-Sehily A
- El-Shahat NS
- El-Sheemy H
- El-Taher E
- Elabdin HZ
- Elashmawy M
- Elashry R
- Elazab A
- Elazayem AA
- Elazoul M
- Elbanby E
- Elbanby ES
- Elbatahgy A
- Elbe P
- Elbermawy M
- Elbisomy KH
- Eldafrawy M
- Eldamaty L
- Eldeeb AZ
- Eldeen EA
- Eldin MAB
- EldosoukyMohammed A
- Elebute O
- Elebute O
- Elena G
- Elfarargy A
- Elfeki H
- Elfeki H
- Elfiky M
- Elfil M
- Elfouly N
- Elfouly N
- Elfouly Y
- Elfouly Y
- Elgebaly A
- Elgendy AH
- Elgendy FI
- Elgheriany M
- Elhadad A
- Elhadary NM
- Elhadry S
- Elhalawany E
- Elhamouly S
- Elhelbawy MS
- Elhendawy A
- Elhendawy AOA
- Elhoseny G
- Elhusseiny AAE
- Elizabeth Lopez C
- Elkadsh I
- Elkady F
- Elkelany A
- Elkelany A
- Elkelany A
- Elkelany A
- Elkhadrawi M
- Elkhalek EA
- Elkholy A
- Elkholy SS
- Elkolaly SS
- Elkorashy AM
- Ellison Q
- Elmashala A
- Elmasry M
- Elmelegy R
- Elmihy S
- Elnagar A
- Elnajjar MA
- Elnemr AE
- Elrazek AA
- Elsabbagh N
- Elsameea AA
- Elsawahly DME
- Elsawy A
- Elsayed M
- Elsayed M
- Elsayed N
- Elsayed NAR
- Elsayed ZM
- Elsebaaye AO
- Elsehimy M
- Elsemelawy R
- Elshaar M
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- Elshaer M
- Elshaer M
- Elshafay AE
- Elshami M
- Elshanwany S
- Elsharkawy AA
- Elsheikh S
- Elsherbiney S
- Elsherbiny AS
- Elsherif FA
- Elshobary M
- Elsiddig M
- Elsobky S
- Elsorogy DEAA
- Elwaey A
- Elwakil H
- Elwan A
- Elwan A
- Elwy E
- Elzahed N
- Elzayat I
- Elzayat M
- Elzayyat I
- Elzowawi F
- Emadeldin D
- Emadeldin H
- Emara E
- Emile S
- Eng C
- English W
- Esam A
- Escalante Salas MDC
- Espin-Basany E
- Espinoza F
- Essam A
- Essam AA
- Essam M
- Essoun S
- Esteban E
- Estee MM
- Estupinian S
- Etchill E
- Etchill E
- Etienne S
- Etman M
- Etwire V
- Evajelista CV
- Evans D
- Evans E
- Eysa A
- Eyssartier E
- Ezzat E
- Ezzat T
- Faboya O
- Faccincani R
- Fadel A
- Fahiem A
- Fahim M
- Fahmy MAB
- Fahy C
- Fairfield C
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- Falaschi F
- Falco N
- Falzon M
- Farag A
- Farag S
- Farah A
- Farahat MM
- Faraz A
- Fares M
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- Farhangmehr N
- Farinella E
- Farmakis K
- Farooq T
- Farouk SAM
- Farquharson A
- Farrugia A
- Farrugia A
- Faruq A
- Fathy AM
- Fattah AA
- Fatuga A
- Faturoti O
- Faturoti O
- Faure A
- Fautz T
- Favero A
- Fawzy A
- Feidantsis T
- Felipe CO
- Fergany A
- Fergusson SJ
- Fergusson SJ
- Fergusson SJ
- Fergusson SJ
- Fermani C
- Fermani CG
- Fernandes C
- Fernandez C
- Fernandez-Bueno F
- Fernandez-Vega L
- Ferousis C
- Ferrero E
- Fievet L
- Filatau A
- Findlay-Cooper K
- Firdouse M
- Firdouse M
- Firdouse M
- Firwana A
- Fitsum A
- Fitzgerald JE
- Fitzgerald JE
- Florez Farfan ES
- Foco M
- Fok CYJ
- Fontana T
- Foo CC
- Forlin L
- Forno W
- Fouad A
- Fouad D
- Fouad D
- Fourcade L
- Fowler AJ
- Fozard T
- Fozard T
- Frade F
- Fraga GP
- Francisco Roxas M
- Franco H
- Francois P
- Francois-Coridon H
- Francone E
- Freitas AV
- Frey D
- Frisk B
- Fuentes-Rivera L
- Fujii F
- Furqan MM
- Gaafar S
- Gaarder T
- Gad A
- Gad MO
- Gadelkarim M
- Gadhvi V
- Gado A
- Gaignard E
- Gaignard E
- Gaizauskas V
- Gala T
- Gala T
- Galiqi G
- Galleano R
- Gallo G
- Galloway S
- Galvez CP
- Gamal D
- Gamal E
- Gamal H
- Gamal S
- Gamaly E
- Gamil D
- Gan C
- Gan YY
- Gani MA
- Garaycochea O
- Garcia Bernardo C
- Garcia Florez LJ
- Garcia Septiem J
- Garcia Torres CP
- Garcia-Florez L
- Garland A
- Gash K
- Gash K
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- Gastaldi P
- Gasteratos K
- Gaujoux S
- Gavagna L
- Gbessi DG
- Gemeah M
- Gemenetzis G
- Gemenetzis G
- George R
- Germanos S
- Germanos S
- Gerosa A
- Gerosa A
- Geuoshy A
- Ghaben A
- Ghandora N
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- Ghanem S
- Ghanem S
- Ghannam M
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- Gheith A
- Ghetia M
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- Ghonaim MA
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- Ghoneim O
- Giacci L
- Giardino FR
- Giavarini L
- Giglio MC
- Gilbert R
- Gilbert RW
- Giles J
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- Giraldo RSR
- Giuliani S
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- Giuriato TF
- Gkiokas G
- Glasbey J
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- Glasbey JC
- GlobalSurg Collaborative
- Glover TE
- Glover-Addy H
- Glynn M
- Gobin N
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- Goh CC
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- Goh W
- Gohar ME-SAM
- Gokani S
- Goldin E
- Golding D
- Gomaa A
- Gomah M
- Gonzales Montejo MS
- Gonzales Stuva JP
- Gonzalez M
- Goodstein M
- Gosling S
- Gosling SG
- Gouda A
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- Gouldthorpe C
- Gouvas N
- Gouws J
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- Graffieille V
- Gran M
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- Grassi V
- Gratton R
- Gravante G
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- Gray D
- Grech N
- Green N
- Grella MG
- Gribauskaite J
- Griffiths E
- Griffiths E
- Griffiths M
- Grima T
- Grisin E
- Grizhja B
- Grobler DC
- Grosos C
- Grossart C
- Gubeli A
- Gudal A
- Gudal A
- Gudal A
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- Guevara Torres S
- Guevara R
- Guglielmo V
- Gui D
- Gul E
- Gulbinas A
- Gulcicek OB
- Gulielmi A
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- Gumar M
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- Gunawan R
- Guner A
- Gunnarsson U
- Guo W
- Gupta A
- Gustafsson U
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- Gyamfi FE
- Gyanchandani N
- Gyedu A
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- Habeeb O
- Habeebullah A
- Hache-Marliere M
- Haddad N
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- Haffreingue A
- Hafiz S
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- Hajeh H
- Hakim H
- Halhouli O
- Halhouli O
- Halicioglu I
- Hall E
- Hall N
- Hall NJ
- Hall TF
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- Hamarshi A
- Hamasaki Hamaguchi JL
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- Publication venue
- Publication date
- 15/10/2018
- Field of study
Background The World Health Organization (WHO) Surgical Safety Checklist has fostered safe practice for 10 years, yet its place in emergency surgery has not been assessed on a global scale. The aim of this study was to evaluate reported checklist use in emergency settings and examine the relationship with perioperative mortality in patients who had emergency laparotomy. Methods In two multinational cohort studies, adults undergoing emergency laparotomy were compared with those having elective gastrointestinal surgery. Relationships between reported checklist use and mortality were determined using multivariable logistic regression and bootstrapped simulation. Results Of 12 296 patients included from 76 countries, 4843 underwent emergency laparotomy. After adjusting for patient and disease factors, checklist use before emergency laparotomy was more common in countries with a high Human Development Index (HDI) (2455 of 2741, 89.6 per cent) compared with that in countries with a middle (753 of 1242, 60.6 per cent; odds ratio (OR) 0.17, 95 per cent c.i. 0.14 to 0.21, P <0001) or low (363 of 860, 422 per cent; OR 008, 007 to 010, P <0.001) HDI. Checklist use was less common in elective surgery than for emergency laparotomy in high-HDI countries (risk difference -94 (95 per cent c.i. -11.9 to -6.9) per cent; P <0001), but the relationship was reversed in low-HDI countries (+121 (+7.0 to +173) per cent; P <0001). In multivariable models, checklist use was associated with a lower 30-day perioperative mortality (OR 0.60, 0.50 to 073; P <0.001). The greatest absolute benefit was seen for emergency surgery in low- and middle-HDI countries. Conclusion Checklist use in emergency laparotomy was associated with a significantly lower perioperative mortality rate. Checklist use in low-HDI countries was half that in high-HDI countries.Peer reviewe
Mortality of emergency abdominal surgery in high-, middle- and low-income countries
- Author
- A A Ahmed Ata
- A A Ibrahem
- A A Maghrabi
- A A Nasir
- A A Ne'ma Abdullah
- A Abd El Galeel
- A Abdel-Rahman Al-Aarag
- A AbdelFattah
- A Abdelgelil
- A Abdelkareem
- A Abdelmotaleb Ghazy
- A Aber
- A Abo El Magd
- A Abo Elazayem
- A Aboarab
- A Abouelnasr
- A Abouzahra
- A Adebanjo
- A Adekoya
- A Adel
- A Adel
- A Ademuyiwa
- A Adeniyi
- A Adesina
- A Adesuyi
- A Adeyeye
- A Afandy
- A Agarwal
- A Ahmed
- A Al-Mallah
- A Al-Shammari
- A Aldalaq
- A Ali
- A Ali
- A Alkammash
- A Allegri
- A Almallah
- A Almoflihi
- A Alrifaie
- A Altaf
- A Altamimi
- A Althwainy
- A Arenas
- A Ashton
- A Atef Omar
- A Austraite
- A B Zerihun
- A Badr
- A Badwy
- A Baird
- A Bamicha
- A Benevento
- A Bhangu
- A Bhargava
- A Birring
- A Boddy
- A Bondurri
- A Bonnard
- A C Manchego Bautista
- A C Manchego Bautista
- A C Roslani
- A C Snaith
- A Cacurri
- A Chambers
- A Chambers
- A Chapman
- A Chowdhury
- A Chun
- A Daltri Lazzarini Cury
- A Daqeeq
- A Das
- A Diab
- A Driscoll
- A Dubois
- A Dwydar
- A E Ajao
- A E K Musa
- A E Ward
- A Echevarria Rosas Moran
- A El Gendy
- A El Kholy
- A Elbatahgy
- A Elgebaly
- A Elkelany
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- A Jabbar
- A Karim
- A Kenibar
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- A Khan
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- A Kiasat
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- A Kirupagaran
- A Kjellin
- A Kolosov
- A Kyaw Tun
- A L Contreras Vergara
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- A Lasheen
- A Leal
- A Leppäniemi
- A Livesey
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- A M Altwigry
- A M Attia
- A M Elkorashy
- A M Hammad
- A M Mphatsoe
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- A M Shariffuddin
- A M Warwick
- A Macdonald
- A Macfarlane
- A Maffioli
- A Mahdi
- A Maniscalco
- A Marey
- A Martin
- A Mcguigan
- A Mcphee
- A Menshawy
- A Minocha
- A Mirza
- A Mistry
- A Mittal
- A Mohameden
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- A Mohammed
- A Mokhtar
- A Morsi
- A Mosad
- A Munera
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- A Nocito
- A Novak
- A Ogunyemi
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- A Osinowo
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- A Popoola
- A Powell
- A Prabhudesai
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- A Ragab Nayel
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- A Ramadan
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- A Rudzenskaite
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- A Stephen
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- A Tanase
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- A Tarek
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- A Usaityte
- A Vega Carreiro De Freitas
- A Venâncio De Sousa
- A Vlachogiorgos
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- A Watts
- A Williamson
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- A Zardab
- A Zeynel A Balkan
- A Zil-E-Ali
- Abid Bin Mahamood
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- B Cameron
- B F Hon Khi Chong
- B Frisk
- B Magdy
- B Mansour
- B Mijuskovic
- B Nighat
- B Odeyemi
- B Pereira
- B Pereira Silvestre
- B S Kumar
- B Sieda
- B Skelly
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- B Weber
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- C A Azmitia Mendizabal
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- C Diaz-Zorrilla
- C E Lopez
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- C Magee
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- C Milagros Herrera Puma
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- D Mapasse
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- E Abington
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- E Ali Ahmed
- E Aljohani
- E Aljohani
- E Alnawam
- E Alqahtani
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- E Borg
- E Borin
- E Brown
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- E E Howie
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- L Jennings
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- L Marples
- L Mauro
- L Napolitano
- L Nymo
- L Parkinson
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- L Richardson
- L Rodriguez
- L S Chew
- L S García
- L Sabeeh
- L Sarmento Tatagiba
- L Shi Yeo
- L Turati
- L Urbanavicius
- L Yallop
- L-A Mercado Rodriguez
- L-J Anyanwu
- M A Alfarsi
- M A Baky Fahmy
- M A E H Mohamed
- M A Fathi Abozyed
- M Abbas
- M Abd El Slam
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- M Abdelraheim
- M Abdelshafy
- M Abdulgawad
- M Abdulkhalek Habeeb
- M Abo Raya
- M Aboraya
- M Abozaid
- M Abuseif
- M Afzal
- M Agius
- M Aguilera
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- M Aledrisy
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- M Ali Yavuz
- M Aljiffry
- M Alkhouri
- M Allam
- M Alrahawy
- M Alrajraji
- M AlRowais
- M Alsaggaf
- M Alzahrani
- M Alzahrani
- M Ameen
- M Amer
- M Ammar
- M Amreia
- M Angel Paludi
- M Asal
- M Ashur Sherif
- M Attard
- M Baheeg
- M Bakhaidar
- M Baldacchino
- M Benger
- M Beuran
- M Bezzina
- M Boal
- M Boijsen
- M Boshnaq
- M Bukari
- M C Mendoza Arango
- M C Mendoza Arango
- M C Mendoza Arango
- M Carlucci
- M Cassa Careta
- M Castro Mollo
- M Contreras Urquizu
- M Dablouk
- M Dal Canto
- M Dar
- M Darweesh
- M Deputy
- M Dickfos
- M Edye
- M Elashmawy
- M Elazoul
- M Elbermawy
- M Elfil
- M Elkhadrawi
- M Elsayed
- M Elsayed
- M Elsehimy
- M Elshaer
- M Elshobary
- M Elsiddig
- M Elzayat
- M Etman
- M F Leung
- M Farhad
- M Farid Hosh
- M Firdouse
- M Gamal Mohamad Hamad
- M Gemeah
- M Ghassan Alwafai
- M Ghetia
- M Ghetia
- M Ghoneem
- M Gillespie
- M Gimzewska
- M Gomah
- M Goodstein
- M Griffiths
- M Gumar
- M Habib Ibrahim
- M Hache-Marliere
- M Hafez
- M Hampton
- M Hanafy
- M Hanrahan
- M Hanrahan
- M Hanrahan
- M Hashish
- M Hassan
- M Hassanain
- M Hemmila
- M Hjertberg
- M Hogea
- M Hussain
- M Husseini
- M I Villegas
- M Ismail
- M Jacobe
- M Jarmin
- M Jawaid
- M Jha
- M Jokubauskas
- M K Kang
- M Karakahya
- M Karkeet
- M Kennedy
- M Kesinger
- M Khajanchi
- M Khalili
- M Kimaro
- M Kontos
- M L Pimenta
- M Leal
- M Linares Delgado
- M Livingston
- M Lopez
- M M Furqan
- M M Hassan Mohammed
- M M Metwally
- M M Palliyil
- M Machaca
- M Mahmoud
- M Makinde
- M Marta Modolo
- M Mayasari
- M Mccarthy
- M Mccarthy
- M Mendez
- M Mesalam
- M Mezeil Telfah
- M Mlotshwa
- M Moamen Mohamed
- M Mohan
- M Monteleone
- M Montrimaite
- M Moron Munhoz
- M Morsi
- M Mousa
- M Mustafa
- M Mustafa
- M Nasr
- M Nirumal Kumar
- M O Dablouk
- M O'Neill
- M Oludara
- M Orchard
- M Osman
- M Othman
- M Pasini
- M Peycelon
- M Puttick
- M Puttick
- M Rabie
- M Radic
- M Ramcharn
- M Rangarajan
- M Rashad
- M Rashid
- M Rashid Minhas Qadir
- M Rodriguez Castro
- M S Ali Muhammad Gohar
- M S J Wilson
- M S J Wilson
- M S Weinstein
- M Saad
- M Sabry Ammar
- M Saeed
- M Saeed
- M Salama
- M Salma
- M Scott
- M Seif
- M Seisa
- M Shaalan
- M Shawki
- M Siguantay
- M Sion
- M Spurr
- M Stoddart
- M Sund
- M Swaroop
- M Sykes
- M Taher
- M Tun
- M Turner
- M Utter
- M Varcada
- M Vartic
- M Vella-Baldacchino
- M Wagener
- M Warda
- M Worku
- M Young-Han Kim
- M Zakir
- M Zalabia
- M Zapata Ponze De Leon
- M Zapata Ponze De Leon
- M Zidan
- M Zikry
- M Zuber
- N A Nik Abdullah
- N Abd El Hamid
- N Ahmed Attallah
- N Akeel
- N Badwi
- N Behar
- N Benons
- N Blencowe
- N Botto
- N Bugaev
- N D'aguzan
- N Elfouly
- N Elsayed
- N F Watson
- N Ghandora
- N Gobin
- N Gouvas
- N Green
- N Gyanchandani
- N Hall
- N Harrison
- N Herrera
- N J Hall
- N J Smart
- N J Wright
- N Kaselis
- N Limaye
- N M Urbina Rojas
- N Maple
- N Mcintyre
- N Mendez
- N Muralha
- N Ngayu
- N Nikoloudis
- N Osman
- N Panait
- N Pezelj
- N Phillips
- N R Kosai
- N Robertson
- N S Abebe
- N S Mitroudis
- N Sadig
- N Seyoum Abebe
- N Sishuba
- N Soltani
- N Soubhy El-Shahat
- N Starr
- N Yosri Elsayed Abdel-Wahab
- N Zanini
- O Abbo
- O Adesanya
- O Aguilera
- O Al-Obaedi
- O Alahmady
- O Algohary
- O Azzam
- O Bouali
- O Elebute
- O Faturoti
- O Garaycochea
- O Javed
- O Javed
- O Komolafe
- O Mohamed
- O Mosalum
- O Nasher
- O O Ayandipo
- O Oshodi
- O Osman
- O Saadeldeen Ebrahim
- O Salah
- O Seifelnasr
- O Sherief Abd El Hameed
- O Taiwo
- O Todd
- O Warren
- O Wiliams
- O Ziff
- P A Assouto
- P Acharya
- P Alves Bezerra Morais
- P C Munipalle
- P Capleton
- P Danelli
- P De Bono
- P Eduard
- P Harbord
- P Harrison
- P Holton
- P J Lim
- P Jackson
- P Jain
- P Karumnas
- P Kielty
- P Labib
- P Malik
- P Mentula
- P Paolo Grandinetti
- P Patel
- P Pitigala Arachchi
- P Ramazzini
- P Sarmah
- P Silvani
- P Singh
- P Sodde
- P Stassen
- P Sutton
- P Sutton
- P Thomson
- P Ugalde
- P Weber
- P Weber
- P Witherspoon
- P-O Lundgren
- Q Alimi
- Q Alimi
- R Adams
- R Allott
- R Alvarado Jaramillo
- R Alyami
- R Alyami
- R Amandito
- R Anderson
- R Araujo
- R Ardley
- R Balmaceda
- R Barrionuevo Ojeda
- R Beyene
- R Blundell
- R Bowe
- R Bugeja
- R Cahill
- R Camacho
- R Chenn
- R Cirocchi
- R Coasaca Huaraya
- R Coomber
- R D Obute
- R D S Omara
- R D'cruz
- R Darío Arias Pacheco
- R Davenport
- R Dean
- R Elmelegy
- R F Staerkle
- R Faccincani
- R Fakher
- R George
- R Gilbert
- R Goh Ern Tze
- R Gratton
- R Guevara
- R Harrison
- R K M Jawad Al-Hasani
- R Kamil
- R Karlo
- R Kennedy
- R Kerley
- R King
- R Lages Simoes
- R Lawther
- R Lilford
- R M H Balila
- R Macchiavello
- R Mcdonald
- R Mcintosh
- R Mcintyre
- R Melo
- R Moore
- R Morton
- R Osuoji
- R Oumer
- R Pranevicius
- R Rackauskas
- R Rajan
- R Rakauskas
- R Riauka
- R Rivas
- R Rodríguez-Uría
- R Sakr
- R Satoskar
- R Schmid
- R Shah
- R Shaker
- R Shaker
- R Slade
- R Soley
- R Som
- R Spence
- R Thurairaja
- R Tyler
- R Villa
- R W Gilbert
- R Zilinskiene
- R-M Bratu
- S A Alnuqaydan
- S A Durand
- S Abd Elmageed Barakat
- S Abdelghany
- S Abdoun Ishag Idris
- S Ahlqvist
- S Al Awwad
- S Al-Nahrawi
- S Aldhafeeri
- S Aljohani
- S Almuallem
- S Altaf Naqvi
- S Anderson Khouri Ferreira
- S Antar
- S Aql
- S Arman
- S Ayad
- S Ayyar
- S B Shu Yip
- S Basson
- S Batista Lemaire
- S Bhat
- S Bhattacharya
- S Binna Kim
- S Bokhari
- S Botes
- S Bradulskis
- S Braungart
- S Breitenstein
- S Chhabra
- S Chidambaram
- S Chiu
- S Chung
- S Corro-Diaz Gonzalez
- S Cucumazzo
- S Das
- S Desta
- S Di Saverio
- S Dias
- S Dindyal
- S Doughan
- S El Mesery
- S El-Rabaa
- S Elshanwany
- S Elsheikh
- S Elsobky
- S Estupinian
- S F Ashraf
- S Fergusson
- S G Gosling
- S Galloway
- S Germanos
- S Ghanem
- S Giuliani
- S Gokani
- S Gosling
- S Hafiz
- S Haines
- S Hallam
- S Hassan
- S Highcock
- S Hossaini
- S Hussein
- S Irtan
- S Itopa Suleiman
- S J Chapman
- S J Lim
- S Juciute
- S K D'amours
- S K Pitt
- S Karandikar
- S Khan
- S Kharsa
- S King
- S Koh
- S Kruspi
- S Kumar
- S Kushwaha
- S Limache
- S Loizides
- S M Contreras Mérida
- S M Lakhani
- S M Sundstrom
- S Magdy Ahmed
- S Mahdi
- S Man Yeng Chiu
- S Mcaleer
- S Mehrez
- S Mikalauskas
- S Mitrasinovic
- S Mouttalib
- S Nadkarni
- S Ng
- S Nigo
- S O'Neill
- S Olori
- S Pai
- S Parthiban
- S Ramzi
- S Ray
- S Rayne
- S Razmdjou
- S Roncali
- S Roy
- S S Prasad
- S Saad
- S Said Elkolaly
- S Samy
- S Sani Ali
- S Sarsik
- S Sarwary
- S Satoskar
- S Shaikh
- S Shehata
- S Sheth
- S Shu
- S Sierra
- S Singh
- S Sinha
- S Sivaganesh
- S Stock
- S Tabiri
- S Talukder
- S Talukder
- S Tewari
- S Tharmalingam
- S Tou
- S V Kinnera
- S Vivekanantham
- S Ward
- S Wondimu
- S Zegarra
- S Zeidan
- S-H Kim
- S-P Hosein
- T A M Malik
- T Akeem Lawal
- T Alzayat
- T Arulampalam
- T B Wold
- T Barker
- T Boyce
- T Brogden
- T Chun
- T Clark
- T E Glover
- T Ebogo Ngwa
- T F Jones
- T Falconer Hall
- T Farooq
- T Fautz
- T Fernandes Giuriato
- T Fozard
- T Fozard
- T Khan
- T Kumar
- T M Drake
- T Mak
- T Muhammad Yaseen
- T Naqvi
- T Newton
- T Nouh
- T O'Connor
- T Pezas
- T Poskus
- T Razek B Marinkovic
- T S Hettiarachchi
- T Sherman
- T Stasinou
- T Urbonas
- T W Tilston
- T White
- T Xerri
- T Yaseen
- U Alamoudi
- U Gunnarsson
- U Gustafsson
- U Hantour
- U Karabacak
- U Walsh
- V Ambrozeviciute
- V Beisa
- V D Palomino Castillo
- V Despotidis
- V Gadhvi
- V Graffeille
- V Graffieille
- V Grassi
- V J P Nsengimana
- V Jennings
- V Jotautas
- V K Proctor
- V Kong
- V M Quintero Riaza
- V Parent
- V Patel
- V Punja
- V Sallinen
- V Shatkar
- V Summerour
- V Thanusan
- W Adham
- W Anwer
- W Beasley
- W C Ho
- W C Soon
- W Chachulski
- W Forno
- W Guo
- W Hawkins
- W Ho
- W Hutch
- W J Lossius
- W L Messa Aguilar
- W L Messa Aguilar
- W Milligan
- W Milligan
- W Pino
- W S Li
- W S M Kithsiri Janakantha Senanayake
- Y Abd El Salam
- Y Abd Elrasoul
- Y Abd-Elrasoul
- Y Aigrain
- Y Cengiz
- Y El Shoura
- Y Elfouly
- Y Hegazy
- Y Ibrahim
- Y Imorou Souaibou
- Y Macchitella
- Y N Neo
- Y P Mogan
- Y Rajjoub
- Y Reddy
- Y Salama
- Y Sinha
- Z Chan
- Z Dambrauskas
- Z Hassan
- Z Iftikhar
- Z Jaffry
- Z Mikwar
- Z Oof
- Z Urniezius
- Z Zhang
- Publication venue
- 'Wiley'
- Publication date
- 01/01/2016
- Field of study
Background: Surgical mortality data are collected routinely in high-income countries, yet virtually no low- or middle-income countries have outcome surveillance in place. The aim was prospectively to collect worldwide mortality data following emergency abdominal surgery, comparing findings across countries with a low, middle or high Human Development Index (HDI).
Methods: This was a prospective, multicentre, cohort study. Self-selected hospitals performing emergency surgery submitted prespecified data for consecutive patients from at least one 2-week interval during July to December 2014. Postoperative mortality was analysed by hierarchical multivariable logistic regression.
Results: Data were obtained for 10 745 patients from 357 centres in 58 countries; 6538 were from high-, 2889 from middle- and 1318 from low-HDI settings. The overall mortality rate was 1⋅6 per cent at 24 h (high 1⋅1 per cent, middle 1⋅9 per cent, low 3⋅4 per cent; P < 0⋅001), increasing to 5⋅4 per cent by 30 days (high 4⋅5 per cent, middle 6⋅0 per cent, low 8⋅6 per cent; P < 0⋅001). Of the 578 patients who died, 404 (69⋅9 per cent) did so between 24 h and 30 days following surgery (high 74⋅2 per cent, middle 68⋅8 per cent, low 60⋅5 per cent). After adjustment, 30-day mortality remained higher in middle-income (odds ratio (OR) 2⋅78, 95 per cent c.i. 1⋅84 to 4⋅20) and low-income (OR 2⋅97, 1⋅84 to 4⋅81) countries. Surgical safety checklist use was less frequent in low- and middle-income countries, but when used was associated with reduced mortality at 30 days.
Conclusion: Mortality is three times higher in low- compared with high-HDI countries even when adjusted for prognostic factors. Patient safety factors may have an important role. Registration number: NCT02179112 (http://www.clinicaltrials.gov)
Global variation in anastomosis and end colostomy formation following left-sided colorectal resection
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- Elshaar M
- Elshaer K
- Elshaer M
- Elshaer M
- Elshafay Ae
- Elshami M
- Elshanwany S
- Elsharkawy Aa
- Elsheikh S
- Elsherbiney S
- Elsherbiny As
- Elsherif Fa
- Elshobary M
- Elsiddig M
- Elsobky S
- Elsorogy Deaa
- Elwaey A
- Elwakil H
- Elwan A
- Elwan A
- Elwy E
- Elzahed N
- Elzayat I
- Elzayat M
- Elzayyat I
- Elzowawi F
- Emadeldin D
- Emadeldin H
- Emara E
- Emile S
- Eng C
- English W
- Esam A
- Escobar Eg.
- Espin-Basany E
- Espinoza F
- Espinoza Kt
- Espinoza Kt
- Essam A
- Essam Aa
- Essam M
- Essoun S
- Esteban E
- Estee Mm
- Estupinian S
- Etchill E
- Etchill E
- Etienne S
- Etman M
- Etwire V
- Evajelista Cv
- Evans D
- Evans E
- Eysa A
- Eyssartier E
- Ezzat E
- Ezzat T
- Faboya O
- Faccincani R
- Fadel A
- Fahiem A
- Fahim M
- Fahy C
- Fairfield C
- Fairfield C
- Fairfield C
- Fakher R
- Falaschi F
- Falco N
- Falzon M
- Farag A
- Farag S
- Farah A
- Farahat Mm
- Faraz A
- Fares M
- Farfan Esf
- Farhad M
- Farhan-Alanie Mmh
- Farhangmehr N
- Farinella E
- Farmakis K
- Farooq T
- Farouk Sam
- Farquharson A
- Farrugia A
- Farrugia A
- Faruq A
- Fathy Am
- Fattah Aa
- Fatuga A
- Faturoti O
- Faturoti O
- Faure A
- Fautz T
- Favero A
- Fawzy A
- Feidantsis T
- Felipe Co
- Fergany A
- Fergusson Sj
- Fergusson Sj
- Fergusson Sj
- Fermani C
- Fermani Cg
- Ferná
- Fernandes C
- Fernandez-Bueno F
- Fernandez-Vega L
- Ferousis C
- Ferreira Sak
- Ferrero E
- Fievet L
- Filatau A
- Findlay-Cooper K
- Firdouse M
- Firdouse M
- Firdouse M
- Firwana A
- Fitsum A
- Fitzgerald Je
- Florez Ljg
- Foco M
- Fok Cyj
- Fontana T
- Foo Cc
- Forlin L
- Forno W
- Fouad A
- Fouad D
- Fouad D
- Fourcade L
- Fowler Aj
- Fozard T
- Fozard T
- Frade F
- Fraga Gp
- Franco H
- Francois P
- Francois-Coridon H
- Francone E
- Freitas Av
- Frey D
- Frisk B
- Fuentes-Rivera L
- Fujii F
- Furqan Mm
- Gü
- Gü
- Gaafar S
- Gaarder T
- Gad A
- Gad Mo
- Gadelkarim M
- Gadhvi V
- Gado A
- Gaiž
- Gaignard E
- Gaignard E
- Gala T
- Gala T
- Galiqi G
- Galleano R
- Gallo G
- Galloway S
- Galvez Cp
- Gamal D
- Gamal E
- Gamal H
- Gamal S
- Gamaly E
- Gamil D
- Gan C
- Gan Yy
- Gani Ma
- Garaycochea O
- Garcí
- Garcí
- Garcí
- Garcia-Florez L
- Garcia-Marin Ja
- Garcia-Perez Jm
- Garland A
- Gash K
- Gash K
- Gash K
- Gastaldi P
- Gasteratos K
- Gaujoux S
- Gavagna L
- Gbessi Dg
- Gemeah M
- Gemenetzis G
- Gemenetzis G
- George R
- Germanos S
- Germanos S
- Gerosa A
- Gerosa A
- Geuoshy A
- Ghaben A
- Ghandora N
- Ghanem A
- Ghanem E
- Ghanem S
- Ghanem S
- Ghannam M
- Gharib A
- Gharib A
- Ghazy Aa
- Gheith A
- Ghetia M
- Ghetia M
- Ghonaim Ma
- Ghoneem M
- Ghoneim O
- Giacci L
- Giardino Fr
- Giavarini L
- Giglio Mc
- Gilbert R
- Gilbert Rw
- Giles J
- Gillespie M
- Gimzewska M
- Giraldo Rsr
- Giuliani S
- Giuliani S
- Giuriato Tf
- Gkiokas G
- Glasbey J
- Glasbey J
- Glasbey Jc
- Glasbey Jc
- Glover Te
- Glover-Addy H
- Glynn M
- Gobin N
- Gobin N
- Goh Cc
- Goh Cc
- Goh W
- Gohar Meam
- Gokani S
- Goldin E
- Golding D
- Gomaa A
- Gomah M
- Gonzalez M
- Gonzalez Sc
- Goodstein M
- Gosling S
- Gosling Sg
- Gouda A
- Gould L
- Gouldthorpe C
- Gouvas N
- Gouws J
- Graffeille V
- Graffieille V
- Gran M
- Grandinetti Pp
- Grant A
- Grasset E
- Grasset E
- Grassi V
- Gratton R
- Gravante G
- Gravante G
- Gray D
- Grech N
- Green N
- Grella Mg
- Gribauskaite J
- Griffiths E
- Griffiths E
- Griffiths M
- Grima T
- Grisin E
- Grizhja B
- Grobler Dc
- Grosos C
- Grossart C
- Guasti Bpsj
- Gudal A
- Gudal A
- Gudal A
- Gudlaugsdottir K
- Guevara R
- Guglielmo V
- Gui D
- Gulbinas A
- Gulcicek Ob
- Gulielmi A
- Gultom Pa
- Gumar M
- Gunaseelan K
- Gunawan R
- Guner A
- Gunnarsson U
- Guo W
- Gupta A
- Gustafsson U
- Gyamfi Fe
- Gyanchandani N
- Gyedu A
- Habeeb Ma
- Habeeb O
- Habeebullah A
- Hache-Marliere M
- Haddad N
- Hafez At
- Hafez M
- Hafez M
- Hafez S
- Haffreingue A
- Hafiz S
- Hagan R
- Hagar A
- Haines M
- Haines S
- Hajeh H
- Hakim H
- Halhouli O
- Halhouli O
- Halicioglu I
- Hall E
- Hall N
- Hall Nj
- Hall Tf
- Hallam S
- Haloho A
- Hamad Mgm
- Hamaguchi Jlh
- Hamarshi A
- Hamasaki J
- Hamdan A
- Hamdan M
- Hamed Mf
- Hamill D
- Hammad A
- Hammad A
- Hammad Am
- Hampton M
- Hampton Mi
- Hamsho W
- Hanafy M
- Hand C
- Hanks A
- Hanley I
- Hanoun S
- Hanrahan M
- Hanrahan M
- Hanrahan M
- Hanrahan M
- Hantour U
- Hantour U
- Hany E
- Haque M
- Har Pa
- Haraux E
- Harbord P
- Haroun A
- Harper E
- Harrison Em
- Harrison Em
- Harrison N
- Harrison P
- Harrison R
- Hartford L
- Harvey N
- Hasan A
- Hasan A
- Hasan D
- Hasanah A
- Hasanain D
- Hascoet J
- Hashad E
- Hasheminia A
- Hashim A
- Hashish A
- Hashish M
- Haslegrave A
- Hasnan Mb
- Hassaan A
- Hassaan A
- Hassan A
- Hassan A
- Hassan A
- Hassan Ata
- Hassan I
- Hassan M
- Hassan Omm
- Hassan S
- Hassan Z
- Hassanain M
- Hassanain M
- Hassanein Ab
- Havemann I
- Hawkins W
- Heard R
- Heath J
- Heffernan D
- Hegazy Em
- Hegazy Y
- Helene Fc
- Helguero-Santin Lm
- Hemeda D
- Hemingway D
- Hemmila M
- Hemmila M
- Henderson L
- Henderson L
- Heng He
- Henric N
- Henry F
- Henshall De
- Herebat A
- Herikstad R
- Herrera N
- Herrera-Matta J
- Herrod P
- Hervieux E
- Hervieux E
- Hesham O
- Hettiarachchi Ts
- Hewage K
- Heywood Eg
- Highcock S
- Hilal K
- Hinojosa C
- Hjertberg M
- Hjertberg M
- Hmila S
- Ho A
- Ho Cw
- Ho W
- Ho Wc
- Hodonou F
- Hogea M
- Holte S
- Holton P
- Homeida A
- Hoogakker E
- Horobjowsky A
- Hosein Sp
- Hosh M
- Hossaini S
- Hossameldin A
- Houlden C
- Howells L
- Howie Ee
- Hrora A
- Huaman E
- Huaraya Rc
- Humm G
- Hunter K
- Hussain M
- Hussein A
- Hussein S
- Husseini M
- Husseiny R
- Hutch W
- Huwait A
- Iş
- Iacono C
- Iannone I
- Ibraheem Aa
- Ibraheem Hi
- Ibrahem Aa
- Ibrahem Aa
- Ibrahim A
- Ibrahim A
- Ibrahim A
- Ibrahim Am
- Ibrahim E
- Ibrahim Em
- Ibrahim I
- Ibrahim K
- Ibrahim M
- Ibrahim Mh
- Ibrahim Y
- Idress T
- Idris F
- Idris Sai
- Iftekhar F
- Iftikhar Z
- Iftikhar Z
- Ignatavicius P
- Ihediwa G
- Imoro O
- Ingabire Jca
- Ingabire Jca
- Ingabire Jca
- Ioannidis O
- Iordache Fm
- Iqbal Fm
- Iqbal Mr
- Ireland P
- Irtan S
- Irtan S
- Irwin G
- Irwin G
- Irwin G
- Irwin G
- Ishak N
- Iskandar F
- Ismaï
- Ismaï
- Ismaï
- Ismaï
- Ismail A
- Ismail M
- Ismail M
- Ismail Mjb
- Ismail Mk
- Ismail Sa
- Israelsson L
- Ivros N
- Iyer D
- Iyer D
- Iyer D
- Jabal Ms
- Jabbar A
- Jaber S
- Jackson P
- Jacobe M
- Jaffry Z
- Jaffry Z
- Jaich R
- Jain P
- Jama Gm
- Jamal L
- Janardha Kc
- Janik M
- Jankus T
- Jaradat D
- Jaramillo Ra
- Jarmin M
- Jasaitis K
- Javaid M
- Javed O
- Javed O
- Jawaid M
- Jayathilake Ab
- Jck Ng
- Jean-Francois C
- Jeffery A
- Jeffery A
- Jenner E
- Jennings L
- Jennings V
- Jennings V
- Jensen E
- Jenvey C
- Jeo Ws
- Jeon H
- Jeremic L
- Jethwani Dl
- Jeyakumar J
- Jeyakumar J
- Jha M
- Jimenez J
- Jimenez-Morillas P
- Joel Lwl
- Johanna N
- Johnson K
- Johnston R
- Jokubauskas M
- Jokubauskas M
- Jokubonis K
- Jones C
- Jones C
- Jones E
- Jones Tf
- Jonnalagadda R
- Joosten J
- Jordan H
- Jotautas V
- Jotautas V
- Jovine E
- Jovine E
- Jubran Af
- Juciute S
- Julaihi R
- Jurdell E
- Kaafarani H
- Kabariti R
- Kabariti R
- Kabba J
- Kabongo K
- Kache S
- Kaci Aa
- Kadiwar S
- Kalakouti E
- Kalles V
- Kalles V
- Kalles V
- Kamarajah Sk
- Kamarulzamil Sna
- Kamil R
- Kamya S
- Kanani A
- Kandil Am
- Kandil H
- Kang Mk
- Kanta Th
- Karabacak U
- Karabelias G
- Karabulut K
- Karahan Sr
- Karakahya M
- Karandikar S
- Karandikar S
- Kariem N
- Karim A
- Karim R
- Karim S
- Karismaningtyas H
- Karjiker P
- Karkeet M
- Karkeet M
- Karlo R
- Karlo R
- Karousos D
- Karumnas P
- Kaselis N
- Kaselis N
- Kasem E
- Kasem Ea
- Kasputyte S
- Kaul A
- Kazanavicius D
- Kedar A
- Kefalidi E
- Keke Kr
- Kelany M
- Kenibar A
- Kennedy Ed
- Kennedy M
- Kennedy R
- Keogh K
- Kerley R
- Kershaw S
- Kesinger M
- Khafagy T
- Khairy H
- Khairy H
- Khajanchi M
- Khaled H
- Khalifah E
- Khalili M
- Khalique A
- Khallaf S
- Khamajeet A
- Khan A
- Khan K
- Khan Ma
- Khan R
- Khan S
- Khan T
- Khan Za
- Kharsa S
- Khatri C
- Khatri C
- Khattab K
- Khedr Aeh
- Khg Li
- Khoja A
- Khoja A
- Khokha D
- Khokha V
- Khosla S
- Khreishi R
- Khreishi R
- Khulu Lb
- Khyrallh A
- Kiasat A
- Kidd T
- Kielty P
- Kim My
- Kim Sb
- Kim Sh
- Kimaro M
- Kinandu K
- King R
- King S
- King S
- Kinnera Sv
- Kiran Rp
- Kirby A
- Kirishnan A
- Kirupagaran A
- Kiudelis M
- Kjellin A
- Kkk Li
- Klappenbach R
- Knight S
- Koay Kl
- Kobal Bb
- Koh C
- Koh H
- Koh Py
- Koh S
- Koh S
- Kojo Att
- Kojo Att
- Kojo Att
- Kolosov A
- Komolafe O
- Kondrotas P
- Kong C
- Kong Sn
- Kong V
- Kong V
- Konstantina K
- Kontos M
- Kordorwu Hek
- Korkolis D
- Kosai Nr
- Kosai Nr
- Kose E
- Koskenvuo L
- Kostov E
- Kotb Ahe
- Kotecha D
- Koto Mz
- Kotobi H
- Koumpa F
- Kouraklis G
- Kourdouli A
- Kourdouli A
- Kretzmann H
- Krishna K
- Kruspi S
- Kufeji D
- Kulasabanathan K
- Kuliavas J
- Kumar B
- Kumar B
- Kumar B
- Kumar Bs
- Kumar Mn
- Kumar S
- Kumar S
- Kumar S
- Kumar S
- Kumar T
- Kumwenda D
- Kushwaha S
- Kushwaha S
- Kusi K
- Kutkevicius J
- Kwakyeafriyie P
- Kwatiwani C
- Kwizera S
- Kwok Sh
- Kyereh M
- Kyriazanos I
- Kyrou G
- Kyziridis D
- Ló
- L&apos
- La Brocca A
- la Medina AR
- la Medina AR
- la Medina AR
- Labib P
- Ladukas A
- Lafferty K
- Lagunavicius K
- Lai Ac
- Lakhani Sm
- Lakshmi Hn
- Lam Fy
- Lam Jcy
- Lam Wh
- Lamanna Gl
- Lanau Miv
- Lando J
- Landolfo G
- Landolfo G
- Lap G
- Lapitan Mc
- Lapitan Mc
- Larsen Jw
- Lasek A
- Lasheen A
- Lasheen Kt
- Latif A
- Laufer Lav
- Laugzemys E
- Laugzemys E
- Laurie K
- Lauzikas G
- Law Jh
- Lawal A
- Lawal Ao
- Lawal T
- Lawal Ta
- Lawani I
- Lawther R
- Lazzari G
- Lazzari V
- Leal A
- Leal M
- Lecompte Jf
- Lee C
- Lee Ex
- Lee F
- Lee K
- Lee Kc
- Lee Ky
- Lee Tsb
- Lemaire Sb
- Leone N
- Leong Fqh
- Leppä
- Leppä
- Leroux J
- Leung Kw
- Leung Mf
- Leusink A
- Lewis J
- Li Ws
- Licari L
- Lieske B
- Lieske B
- Liew I
- Liew I
- Lilford R
- Lilford R
- Lilford Rj
- Lim G
- Lim H
- Lim J
- Lim Pj
- Lim Sj
- Lim Sj
- Lim Sy
- Limache S
- Limaye N
- Limoges B
- Lintin L
- Lipnickas V
- Litvin A
- Liu Q
- Liu Q
- Livesey A
- Livingston M
- Ljuhar D
- Lo Conte A
- Loaloa Mr
- Lockey J
- Lohse Has
- Lohse Has
- Loizides S
- Lokman Maa
- Longstaff L
- Lopez Ce
- Lopez Lip
- Lopez M
- Lopez M
- Lopez-Arevalo C
- Lorenzon L
- Lossius Wj
- Loughran D
- Low X
- Luc Ar
- Luck J
- Luck J
- Luck J
- Luglio G
- Lund J
- Lund J
- Lundgren Po
- Luque Gb
- Luque L
- Luque L
- Lytras D
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- Má
- Mé
- Mü
- Mañ
- Ma J
- Mabitsela Me
- Mabrouk M
- Macchiavello R
- Macchitella Y
- Macchitella Y
- Macdermid E
- Macdonald A
- Macdonald E
- Macdonald L
- Maceviciute K
- Macfarlane A
- Machaca M
- Maciejec L
- Madiba T
- Madkor Mh
- Maffioli A
- Maffioli A
- Magdy A
- Magdy B
- Magdy E
- Magdy H
- Magdy M
- Magdy S
- Magee C
- Maghrabi A
- Maghrabi Aa
- Magri D
- Mahamood Ab
- Mahanty S
- Maharaj G
- Mahdi A
- Mahdi S
- Mahdi S
- Maher Me
- Mahmoud B
- Mahmoud H
- Mahmoud M
- Mahmoud Ma
- Mahmoud Mi
- Mahmoud S
- Mahmoud Sme
- Mahmud K
- Maillot B
- Maimbo M
- Maimbo M
- Mairs Ng
- Maison K
- Maistry N
- Majauskyté
- Majbar A
- Majid Ahha
- Majid K
- Major Cp
- Major P
- Major P
- Mak T
- Mak T
- Makama J
- Makinde M
- Makupe A
- Malavenda M
- Malik K
- Malik P
- Malik Ta
- Mamdouh E
- Mamdouh R
- Manatakis Dk
- Manfreda S
- Mangan C
- Mangan C
- Mangiapane M
- Manipal Ce
- Maniscalco A
- Mann T
- Mannu Gs
- Manriquez-Reyes M
- Mansor Ey
- Mansour B
- Mansour S
- Mansuri A
- Mao P
- Mapasse D
- Maple N
- Maraie N
- Marey A
- Marey As
- Margaritis M
- Mariani A
- Marinkovic B
- Marinos C
- Marks E
- Marples L
- Marret Jb
- Marshall Dc
- Martian Bv
- Martin A
- Mas R
- Mason C
- Mata Lps
- Matheu A
- Mathew Sw
- Matos-Puig R
- Matta Jjh
- Mattar O
- Matter Sm
- Mauro L
- Mayasari M
- Mazelyte R
- Mazrimas P
- Mazzella A
- Mcaleer E
- Mcaleer S
- Mccarthy K
- Mccarthy M
- Mccarthy M
- McCullagh D
- Mcdonald R
- McGarvie S
- Mcguigan A
- McIntosh K
- Mcintosh R
- Mcintyre Cj
- Mcintyre N
- Mcintyre R
- Mckechnie D
- Mclachlan G
- Mclean Al
- Mclean K
- McMorran D
- Mcnish D
- Mcphee A
- Mealy K
- Mehdi A
- Mehrez S
- Mejia Agv
- Melo R
- Melo R
- Mendel H
- Mendez M
- Mendez N
- Mendizabal Caa
- Mendoza I
- Menegussi J
- Mensah E
- Menshawy A
- Mentula P
- Meqbil J
- Mericliler M
- Merlini D
- Merlini D
- Merlo Ms
- Mesbah N
- Meshref A
- Metwally Mm
- Migliore M
- Miguel Gps
- Mihaljevic Al
- Mihanovic J
- Mihanovic J
- Mijuskovic B
- Mikalauskas S
- Mikalauskas S
- Mikuckyte D
- Mikwar Z
- Milligan W
- Milligan W
- Mingrone P
- Minguez G
- Minocha A
- Minocha A
- Miranda C
- Mircea H
- Mirghani D
- Mironescu A
- Mironescu A
- Mironescu As
- Mironescu As
- Mirza A
- Mirza S
- Mistry A
- Mitrasinovic S
- Mitroudi M
- Mitroudis N
- Mittal A
- Mitul Ar
- Mitul Ar
- Miyasato Hs
- Mizzi C
- Mizzi S
- Mlotshwa M
- Moaty M
- Mochet S
- Modolo Mm
- Modolo Mm
- Modolo Mm
- Moe Tt
- Mogan Yp
- Moghazy Me
- Mohamed A
- Mohamed A
- Mohamed Am
- Mohamed Ar
- Mohamed B
- Mohamed F
- Mohamed I
- Mohamed M
- Mohamed Ma
- Mohamed Maeh
- Mohamed Mm
- Mohamed O
- Mohamed Sr
- Mohameden A
- Mohammad A
- Mohammad A
- Mohammed A
- Mohammed A
- Mohammed Ae
- Mohammed Ar
- Mohammed H
- Mohammed Mm
- Mohammed Mmh
- Mohammed S
- Mohan H
- Mohan M
- Mohan M
- Mok Yt
- Mokhtar A
- Molina G
- Mollo Mc
- Monaghan E
- Monaghan E
- Monrad-Hansen Pw
- Montejo Msg
- Monteleone M
- Monteleone M
- Montes I
- Montes I
- Montrimaite M
- Montrimaite M
- Moodley Y
- Moore R
- Moore R
- Mora Jjv
- Morais Pab
- Morales C
- Moran Aer
- Morandi E
- Moreira G
- Moreno Sc
- Morgan C
- Morgan C
- Morshedy Em
- Morsi A
- Morsi M
- Morton D
- Morton D
- Morton R
- Mosad A
- Mosalum O
- Mostafa Ha
- Mostafa M
- Mostafa M
- Mousa M
- Moussa O
- Moustafa A
- Mouttalib S
- Mowafy B
- Mphatsoe Am
- Mshelbwala P
- Msiska N
- Msosa V
- Msosa V
- Muddebihal U
- Mukin Adf
- Muktar U
- Mukuzunga C
- Muller C
- Muller C
- Munera A
- Munhoz Mm
- Munipalle Pc
- Muntean L
- Muntean Li
- Muralha N
- Murphy J
- Murray A
- Murutoglu B
- Musa Aek
- Musleh A
- Musowoya J
- Mussad A
- Mustafa M
- Mustafa M
- Mustafa Ma
- Musyoka Ck
- Mutabazi Az
- Mutabazi Az
- Mutlu D
- Mutlu V
- Muzio E
- Myers J
- Mykoniatis I
- Næ
- Nabawi A
- Nada F
- Nadeem N
- Nadkarni S
- Nagy Gs
- Nahar Sn
- Nair H
- Nanthakumaran S
- Napolitano L
- Napolitano L
- Naqvi Sa
- Naqvi T
- Naranjo Aristizã
- Narayanan R
- Narayanan R
- Narvestad Jk
- Nashaat A
- Nashat M
- Nasher O
- Nashidengo P
- Nasir A
- Nasir Aa
- Nasr A
- Nasr M
- Nasr M
- Nassif D
- Nastri G
- Natalie H
- Nataraja R
- Natili A
- Navarro A
- Nawara C
- Nawawi A
- Nawawi A
- Nayel Ar
- Nazir M
- Ndajiwo A
- Ndajiwo A
- Ndegwa W
- Ndlovu Sr
- Ndwambi P
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- Publication venue
- 'Wiley'
- Publication date
- 27/11/2018
- Field of study
Background
End colostomy rates following colorectal resection vary across institutions in high-income settings, being influenced by patient, disease, surgeon and system factors. This study aimed to assess global variation in end colostomy rates after left-sided colorectal resection.
Methods
This study comprised an analysis of GlobalSurg-1 and -2 international, prospective, observational cohort studies (2014, 2016), including consecutive adult patients undergoing elective or emergency left-sided colorectal resection within discrete 2-week windows. Countries were grouped into high-, middle- and low-income tertiles according to the United Nations Human Development Index (HDI). Factors associated with colostomy formation versus primary anastomosis were explored using a multilevel, multivariable logistic regression model.
Results
In total, 1635 patients from 242 hospitals in 57 countries undergoing left-sided colorectal resection were included: 113 (6·9 per cent) from low-HDI, 254 (15·5 per cent) from middle-HDI and 1268 (77·6 per cent) from high-HDI countries. There was a higher proportion of patients with perforated disease (57·5, 40·9 and 35·4 per cent; P < 0·001) and subsequent use of end colostomy (52·2, 24·8 and 18·9 per cent; P < 0·001) in low- compared with middle- and high-HDI settings. The association with colostomy use in low-HDI settings persisted (odds ratio (OR) 3·20, 95 per cent c.i. 1·35 to 7·57; P = 0·008) after risk adjustment for malignant disease (OR 2·34, 1·65 to 3·32; P < 0·001), emergency surgery (OR 4·08, 2·73 to 6·10; P < 0·001), time to operation at least 48 h (OR 1·99, 1·28 to 3·09; P = 0·002) and disease perforation (OR 4·00, 2·81 to 5·69; P < 0·001).
Conclusion
Global differences existed in the proportion of patients receiving end stomas after left-sided colorectal resection based on income, which went beyond case mix alone
Global age-sex-specific mortality, life expectancy, and population estimates in 204 countries and territories and 811 subnational locations, 1950–2021, and the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic: a comprehensive demographic analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2021
- Author
- Aali A.
- Abbafati C.
- Abbas J.
- Abbasgholizadeh R.
- Abbasi M.A.
- Abbasian M.
- Abd ElHafeez S.
- Abd-Elsalam S.
- Abdelmasseh M.
- Abdelwahab A.
- Abdollahi M.
- Abdoun M.
- Abdullahi A.
- Abdurehman A.M.
- Abebe M.
- Abedi A.
- Abedi A.
- Abegaz T.M.
- Abeldaño Zuñiga R.A.
- Abhilash E.S.
- Abiodun O.O.
- Aboagye R.G.
- Abolhassani H.
- Abouzid M.
- Abreu L.G.
- Abrha W.A.
- Abrigo M.R.M.
- Abtahi D.
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- Zyoud S.H.
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- Publication venue
- Elsevier BV
- Publication date
- 18/05/2024
- Field of study
Background: Estimates of demographic metrics are crucial to assess levels and trends of population health outcomes. The profound impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on populations worldwide has underscored the need for timely estimates to understand this unprecedented event within the context of long-term population health trends. The Global Burden of Diseases, Injuries, and Risk Factors Study (GBD) 2021 provides new demographic estimates for 204 countries and territories and 811 additional subnational locations from 1950 to 2021, with a particular emphasis on changes in mortality and life expectancy that occurred during the 2020–21 COVID-19 pandemic period.
Methods: 22 223 data sources from vital registration, sample registration, surveys, censuses, and other sources were used to estimate mortality, with a subset of these sources used exclusively to estimate excess mortality due to the COVID-19 pandemic. 2026 data sources were used for population estimation. Additional sources were used to estimate migration; the effects of the HIV epidemic; and demographic discontinuities due to conflicts, famines, natural disasters, and pandemics, which are used as inputs for estimating mortality and population. Spatiotemporal Gaussian process regression (ST-GPR) was used to generate under-5 mortality rates, which synthesised 30 763 location-years of vital registration and sample registration data, 1365 surveys and censuses, and 80 other sources. ST-GPR was also used to estimate adult mortality (between ages 15 and 59 years) based on information from 31 642 location-years of vital registration and sample registration data, 355 surveys and censuses, and 24 other sources. Estimates of child and adult mortality rates were then used to generate life tables with a relational model life table system. For countries with large HIV epidemics, life tables were adjusted using independent estimates of HIV-specific mortality generated via an epidemiological analysis of HIV prevalence surveys, antenatal clinic serosurveillance, and other data sources. Excess mortality due to the COVID-19 pandemic in 2020 and 2021 was determined by subtracting observed all-cause mortality (adjusted for late registration and mortality anomalies) from the mortality expected in the absence of the pandemic. Expected mortality was calculated based on historical trends using an ensemble of models. In location-years where all-cause mortality data were unavailable, we estimated excess mortality rates using a regression model with covariates pertaining to the pandemic. Population size was computed using a Bayesian hierarchical cohort component model. Life expectancy was calculated using age-specific mortality rates and standard demographic methods. Uncertainty intervals (UIs) were calculated for every metric using the 25th and 975th ordered values from a 1000-draw posterior distribution.
Findings: Global all-cause mortality followed two distinct patterns over the study period: age-standardised mortality rates declined between 1950 and 2019 (a 62·8% [95% UI 60·5–65·1] decline), and increased during the COVID-19 pandemic period (2020–21; 5·1% [0·9–9·6] increase). In contrast with the overall reverse in mortality trends during the pandemic period, child mortality continued to decline, with 4·66 million (3·98–5·50) global deaths in children younger than 5 years in 2021 compared with 5·21 million (4·50–6·01) in 2019. An estimated 131 million (126–137) people died globally from all causes in 2020 and 2021 combined, of which 15·9 million (14·7–17·2) were due to the COVID-19 pandemic (measured by excess mortality, which includes deaths directly due to SARS-CoV-2 infection and those indirectly due to other social, economic, or behavioural changes associated with the pandemic). Excess mortality rates exceeded 150 deaths per 100 000 population during at least one year of the pandemic in 80 countries and territories, whereas 20 nations had a negative excess mortality rate in 2020 or 2021, indicating that all-cause mortality in these countries was lower during the pandemic than expected based on historical trends. Between 1950 and 2021, global life expectancy at birth increased by 22·7 years (20·8–24·8), from 49·0 years (46·7–51·3) to 71·7 years (70·9–72·5). Global life expectancy at birth declined by 1·6 years (1·0–2·2) between 2019 and 2021, reversing historical trends. An increase in life expectancy was only observed in 32 (15·7%) of 204 countries and territories between 2019 and 2021. The global population reached 7·89 billion (7·67–8·13) people in 2021, by which time 56 of 204 countries and territories had peaked and subsequently populations have declined. The largest proportion of population growth between 2020 and 2021 was in sub-Saharan Africa (39·5% [28·4–52·7]) and south Asia (26·3% [9·0–44·7]). From 2000 to 2021, the ratio of the population aged 65 years and older to the population aged younger than 15 years increased in 188 (92·2%) of 204 nations.
Interpretation: Global adult mortality rates markedly increased during the COVID-19 pandemic in 2020 and 2021, reversing past decreasing trends, while child mortality rates continued to decline, albeit more slowly than in earlier years. Although COVID-19 had a substantial impact on many demographic indicators during the first 2 years of the pandemic, overall global health progress over the 72 years evaluated has been profound, with considerable improvements in mortality and life expectancy. Additionally, we observed a deceleration of global population growth since 2017, despite steady or increasing growth in lower-income countries, combined with a continued global shift of population age structures towards older ages. These demographic changes will likely present future challenges to health systems, economies, and societies. The comprehensive demographic estimates reported here will enable researchers, policy makers, health practitioners, and other key stakeholders to better understand and address the profound changes that have occurred in the global health landscape following the first 2 years of the COVID-19 pandemic, and longer-term trends beyond the pandemic.
Funding: Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation
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Global age-sex-specific mortality, life expectancy, and population estimates in 204 countries and territories and 811 subnational locations, 1950–2021, and the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic: a comprehensive demographic analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2021
- Author
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- Wickramasinghe D. P.
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- Publication venue
- Elsevier BV
- Publication date
- 11/03/2024
- Field of study
Background
Estimates of demographic metrics are crucial to assess levels and trends of population health outcomes. The profound impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on populations worldwide has underscored the need for timely estimates to understand this unprecedented event within the context of long-term population health trends. The Global Burden of Diseases, Injuries, and Risk Factors Study (GBD) 2021 provides new demographic estimates for 204 countries and territories and 811 additional subnational locations from 1950 to 2021, with a particular emphasis on changes in mortality and life expectancy that occurred during the 2020–21 COVID-19 pandemic period.
Methods
22 223 data sources from vital registration, sample registration, surveys, censuses, and other sources were used to estimate mortality, with a subset of these sources used exclusively to estimate excess mortality due to the COVID-19 pandemic. 2026 data sources were used for population estimation. Additional sources were used to estimate migration; the effects of the HIV epidemic; and demographic discontinuities due to conflicts, famines, natural disasters, and pandemics, which are used as inputs for estimating mortality and population. Spatiotemporal Gaussian process regression (ST-GPR) was used to generate under-5 mortality rates, which synthesised 30 763 location-years of vital registration and sample registration data, 1365 surveys and censuses, and 80 other sources. ST-GPR was also used to estimate adult mortality (between ages 15 and 59 years) based on information from 31 642 location-years of vital registration and sample registration data, 355 surveys and censuses, and 24 other sources. Estimates of child and adult mortality rates were then used to generate life tables with a relational model life table system. For countries with large HIV epidemics, life tables were adjusted using independent estimates of HIV-specific mortality generated via an epidemiological analysis of HIV prevalence surveys, antenatal clinic serosurveillance, and other data sources. Excess mortality due to the COVID-19 pandemic in 2020 and 2021 was determined by subtracting observed all-cause mortality (adjusted for late registration and mortality anomalies) from the mortality expected in the absence of the pandemic. Expected mortality was calculated based on historical trends using an ensemble of models. In location-years where all-cause mortality data were unavailable, we estimated excess mortality rates using a regression model with covariates pertaining to the pandemic. Population size was computed using a Bayesian hierarchical cohort component model. Life expectancy was calculated using age-specific mortality rates and standard demographic methods. Uncertainty intervals (UIs) were calculated for every metric using the 25th and 975th ordered values from a 1000-draw posterior distribution.
Findings
Global all-cause mortality followed two distinct patterns over the study period: age-standardised mortality rates declined between 1950 and 2019 (a 62·8% [95% UI 60·5–65·1] decline), and increased during the COVID-19 pandemic period (2020–21; 5·1% [0·9–9·6] increase). In contrast with the overall reverse in mortality trends during the pandemic period, child mortality continued to decline, with 4·66 million (3·98–5·50) global deaths in children younger than 5 years in 2021 compared with 5·21 million (4·50–6·01) in 2019. An estimated 131 million (126–137) people died globally from all causes in 2020 and 2021 combined, of which 15·9 million (14·7–17·2) were due to the COVID-19 pandemic (measured by excess mortality, which includes deaths directly due to SARS-CoV-2 infection and those indirectly due to other social, economic, or behavioural changes associated with the pandemic). Excess mortality rates exceeded 150 deaths per 100 000 population during at least one year of the pandemic in 80 countries and territories, whereas 20 nations had a negative excess mortality rate in 2020 or 2021, indicating that all-cause mortality in these countries was lower during the pandemic than expected based on historical trends. Between 1950 and 2021, global life expectancy at birth increased by 22·7 years (20·8–24·8), from 49·0 years (46·7–51·3) to 71·7 years (70·9–72·5). Global life expectancy at birth declined by 1·6 years (1·0–2·2) between 2019 and 2021, reversing historical trends. An increase in life expectancy was only observed in 32 (15·7%) of 204 countries and territories between 2019 and 2021. The global population reached 7·89 billion (7·67–8·13) people in 2021, by which time 56 of 204 countries and territories had peaked and subsequently populations have declined. The largest proportion of population growth between 2020 and 2021 was in sub-Saharan Africa (39·5% [28·4–52·7]) and south Asia (26·3% [9·0–44·7]). From 2000 to 2021, the ratio of the population aged 65 years and older to the population aged younger than 15 years increased in 188 (92·2%) of 204 nations.
Interpretation
Global adult mortality rates markedly increased during the COVID-19 pandemic in 2020 and 2021, reversing past decreasing trends, while child mortality rates continued to decline, albeit more slowly than in earlier years. Although COVID-19 had a substantial impact on many demographic indicators during the first 2 years of the pandemic, overall global health progress over the 72 years evaluated has been profound, with considerable improvements in mortality and life expectancy. Additionally, we observed a deceleration of global population growth since 2017, despite steady or increasing growth in lower-income countries, combined with a continued global shift of population age structures towards older ages. These demographic changes will likely present future challenges to health systems, economies, and societies. The comprehensive demographic estimates reported here will enable researchers, policy makers, health practitioners, and other key stakeholders to better understand and address the profound changes that have occurred in the global health landscape following the first 2 years of the COVID-19 pandemic, and longer-term trends beyond the pandemic
Mortality, cardiovascular risk and androgen deprivation therapy for prostate cancer. A systematic review with direct and network meta-analyses of randomized controlled trials and observational studies
- Publication venue
- 'Royal College of Obstetricians & Gynaecologists (RCOG)'
- Publication date
- 01/04/2016
- Field of study
International audienc
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