Rates of glycaemic deterioration in a real-world population with type 2 diabetes

Aims/hypothesis: There is considerable variability in how diabetes progresses after diagnosis. Progression modelling has largely focused on ‘time to failure’ methods, yet determining a ‘coefficient of failure’ has many advantages. We derived a rate of glycaemic deterioration in type 2 diabetes, using a large real-world cohort, and aimed to investigate the clinical, biochemical, pharmacological and immunological variables associated with fast and slow rates of glycaemic deterioration. Methods: An observational cohort study was performed using the electronic medical records from participants in the Genetics of Diabetes Audit and Research in Tayside Study (GoDARTS). A model was derived based on an individual’s observed HbA1c measures from the first eligible HbA1c after the diagnosis of diabetes through to the study end (defined as insulin initiation, death, leaving the area or end of follow-up). Each HbA1c measure was time-dependently adjusted for the effects of non-insulin glucose-lowering drugs, changes in BMI and corticosteroid use. GAD antibody (GADA) positivity was defined as GAD titres above the 97.5th centile of the population distribution. Results: The mean (95% CI) glycaemic deterioration for type 2 diabetes and GADA-positive individuals was 1.4 (1.3, 1.4) and 2.8 (2.4, 3.3) mmol/mol HbA1c per year, respectively. A younger age of diagnosis, lower HDL-cholesterol concentration, higher BMI and earlier calendar year of diabetes diagnosis were independently associated with higher rates of glycaemic deterioration in individuals with type 2 diabetes. The rate of deterioration in those diagnosed at over 70 years of age was very low, with 66% having a rate of deterioration of less than 1.1 mmol/mol HbA1c per year, and only 1.5% progressing more rapidly than 4.4 mmol/mol HbA1c per year. Conclusions/interpretation: We have developed a novel approach for modelling the progression of diabetes in observational data across multiple drug combinations. This approach highlights how glycaemic deterioration in those diagnosed at over 70 years of age is minimal, supporting a stratified approach to diabetes management.</p

Correction:Insights into the genetic epidemiology of Crohn's and rare diseases in the Ashkenazi Jewish population

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Insights into the genetic epidemiology of Crohn's and rare diseases in the Ashkenazi Jewish population

As part of a broader collaborative network of exome sequencing studies, we developed a jointly called data set of 5,685 Ashkenazi Jewish exomes. We make publicly available a resource of site and allele frequencies, which should serve as a reference for medical genetics in the Ashkenazim (hosted in part at https://ibd.broadinstitute.org, also available in gnomAD at http://gnomad.broadinstitute.org). We estimate that 34% of protein-coding alleles present in the Ashkenazi Jewish population at frequencies greater than 0.2% are significantly more frequent (mean 15-fold) than their maximum frequency observed in other reference populations. Arising via a well-described founder effect approximately 30 generations ago, this catalog of enriched alleles can contribute to differences in genetic risk and overall prevalence of diseases between populations. As validation we document 148 AJ enriched protein-altering alleles that overlap with "pathogenic" ClinVar alleles (table available at https://github.com/macarthur-lab/clinvar/blob/master/output/clinvar.tsv), including those that account for 10-100 fold differences in prevalence between AJ and non-AJ populations of some rare diseases, especially recessive conditions, including Gaucher disease (GBA, p.Asn409Ser, 8-fold enrichment); Canavan disease (ASPA, p.Glu285Ala, 12-fold enrichment); and Tay-Sachs disease (HEXA, c.1421+1G>C, 27-fold enrichment; p.Tyr427IlefsTer5, 12-fold enrichment). We next sought to use this catalog, of well-established relevance to Mendelian disease, to explore Crohn's disease, a common disease with an estimated two to four-fold excess prevalence in AJ. We specifically attempt to evaluate whether strong acting rare alleles, particularly protein-truncating or otherwise large effect-size alleles, enriched by the same founder-effect, contribute excess genetic risk to Crohn's disease in AJ, and find that ten rare genetic risk factors in NOD2 and LRRK2 are enriched in AJ (p < 0.005), including several novel contributing alleles, show evidence of association to CD. Independently, we find that genomewide common variant risk defined by GWAS shows a strong difference between AJ and non-AJ European control population samples (0.97 s.d. higher, p<10-16). Taken together, the results suggest coordinated selection in AJ population for higher CD risk alleles in general. The results and approach illustrate the value of exome sequencing data in case-control studies along with reference data sets like ExAC (sites VCF available via FTP at ftp.broadinstitute.org/pub/ExAC_release/release0.3/) to pinpoint genetic variation that contributes to variable disease predisposition across populations

The genetic architecture of type 2 diabetes

The genetic architecture of common traits, including the number, frequency, and effect sizes of inherited variants that contribute to individual risk, has been long debated. Genome-wide association studies have identified scores of common variants associated with type 2 diabetes, but in aggregate, these explain only a fraction of heritability. To test the hypothesis that lower-frequency variants explain much of the remainder, the GoT2D and T2D-GENES consortia performed whole genome sequencing in 2,657 Europeans with and without diabetes, and exome sequencing in a total of 12,940 subjects from five ancestral groups. To increase statistical power, we expanded sample size via genotyping and imputation in a further 111,548 subjects. Variants associated with type 2 diabetes after sequencing were overwhelmingly common and most fell within regions previously identified by genome-wide association studies. Comprehensive enumeration of sequence variation is necessary to identify functional alleles that provide important clues to disease pathophysiology, but large-scale sequencing does not support a major role for lower-frequency variants in predisposition to type 2 diabetes

Large-scale association analysis provides insights into the genetic architecture and pathophysiology of type 2 diabetes

To extend understanding of the genetic architecture and molecular basis of type 2 diabetes (T2D), we conducted a meta-analysis of genetic variants on the Metabochip involving 34,840 cases and 114,981 controls, overwhelmingly of European descent. We identified ten previously unreported T2D susceptibility loci, including two demonstrating sex-differentiated association. Genome-wide analyses of these data are consistent with a long tail of further common variant loci explaining much of the variation in susceptibility to T2D. Exploration of the enlarged set of susceptibility loci implicates several processes, including CREBBP-related transcription, adipocytokine signalling and cell cycle regulation, in diabetes pathogenesis

The FTO gene is associated with an atherogenic lipid profile and myocardial infarction in patients with type 2 diabetes:A genetics of diabetes audit and research study in Tayside Scotland (Go-DARTS) study

BACKGROUND: Common variation in the Fat Mass and Obesity related (FTO) gene is associated with increased body fat and susceptibility to type 2 diabetes (T2D). We hypothesized that this would also associate with metabolic phenotypes of insulin resistance, and increased risk of cardiovascular morbidity and mortality. METHODS AND RESULTS: FTO rs9939609 genotype was determined in 4897 patients with T2D in the prospective Genetics of Diabetes Audit and Research Study in Tayside Scotland (Go-DARTS) study. The A allele was associated with lower plasma HDL cholesterol (mean difference 0.03 mmol/L, p=0.008), higher triglycerides (0.1 mmol/L, p=0.007), higher atherogenic index of plasma (0.03, p=0.003) and, as expected, increased BMI (0.77 kg/m(2), p=8.8×10(−6)). During a mean follow up of 3.6 years the A allele was also associated with increased risk (HR 2.36, CI 1.49-3.74, p=0.0002) of fatal and non fatal myocardial infarction (total 324 events) in a model including baseline age, gender, prevalent myocardial infarction, smoking status, statin and insulin use. This association diminished but remained significant when obesity related traits such as BMI, glycated haemoglobin and lipid parameters were also included (HR 2.01 CI 1.18-3.45, p=0.011). There was a strong interaction of FTO genotype and statin use and cardiovascular outcome (p=0.001) such that cardiovascular morbidity and mortality was completely abrogated in individuals prescribed statins. CONCLUSION: The increased fat mass in carriers of the A allele of rs9939609 of FTO is associated not only with increased risk of T2D, but also with an increase in atherogenic lipid profile, and myocardial infarction in these patients. This variant may therefore in future contribute to more effective targeting of specific preventative therapy

Effect of Metformin on Mortality in Patients With Heart Failure and Type 2 Diabetes Mellitus

Type 2 diabetes mellitus (DM) plus chronic heart failure (CHF) is a common but lethal combination and therapeutic options are limited. Metformin is perceived as being relatively contraindicated in this context, although mounting evidence indicates that it may be beneficial. This study was carried out to investigate the use of metformin therapy for treating patients with DM and CHF in a large population-based cohort study. The Health Informatics Centre dispensed prescribing database for the population of Tayside, Scotland (population similar to 400,000) was linked to the Diabetes Audit and Research in Tayside Scotland (DARTS) information system. Patients with DM and incident CHF from 1994 to 2003 receiving oral hypoglycemic agents but not insulin were identified. Cox regression was used to assess differences in all-cause mortality rates between patients prescribed metformin and patients prescribed sulfonylureas with adjustment for co-morbidities and other therapies. Four hundred twenty-two study subjects (mean +/- SD 75.4 +/- 0.5 years of age, 46.2% women) were identified: metformin monotherapy (n = 68, mean age 75.5 +/- 1.1 years, 48.5% women), sulfonylurea monotherapy (n = 217, mean age 76.7 +/- 0.7 years, 45.2% women), and combination (n = 137, mean age, 73.4 +/- 0.7 years, 46.7% women). Fewer deaths occurred in metformin users, alone or in combination with sulfonylureas, compared to the sulfonylurea monotherapy cohort at 1 year (0.59, 95% confidence interval 0.36 to 0.96) and over long-term follow up (0.67, 95% confidence interval 0.51 to 0.88). In conclusion, this large observational data suggest that metformin may be beneficial in patients with CHF and DM. These findings need to be verified by a prospective clinical trial