Impact of disease progression on individual IPSS trajectories and consequences of immediate versus delayed start of treatment in patients with moderate or severe LUTS associated with BPH

PURPOSE: Despite superiority of tamsulosin-dutasteride combination therapy versus monotherapy for lower urinary tract symptoms due to benign prostatic hyperplasia (LUTS/BPH), patients at risk of disease progression are often initiated on α-blockers. This study evaluated the impact of initiating tamsulosin monotherapy prior to switching to tamsulosin-dutasteride combination therapy versus immediate combination therapy using a longitudinal model describing International Prostate Symptom Score (IPSS) trajectories in moderate/severe LUTS/BPH patients at risk of disease progression. METHODS: Clinical trial simulations (CTS) were performed using data from 10,238 patients from Phase III/IV dutasteride trials. The effect of varying disease progression rates was explored by comparing profiles on- and off-treatment. CTS scenarios were investigated, including a reference (immediate combination therapy) and six alternative virtual treatment arms (delayed combination therapy of 1-24 months). Clinical response (≥ 25% IPSS reduction relative to baseline) was analysed using log-rank test. Differences in IPSS relative to baseline at various on-treatment time points were assessed by t tests. RESULTS: Delayed combination therapy initiation led to significant (p < 0.01) decreases in clinical response. At month 48, clinical response rate was 79.7% versus 74.1%, 70.3% and 71.0% and IPSS was 6.3 versus 7.6, 8.1 and 8.0 (switchers from tamsulosin monotherapy after 6, 12 and 24 months, respectively) with immediate combination therapy. More patients transitioned from severe/moderate to mild severity scores by month 48. CONCLUSIONS: CTS allows systematic evaluation of immediate versus delayed combination therapy. Immediate response to α-blockers is not predictive of long-term symptom improvement. Observed IPSS differences between immediate and delayed combination therapy (6-24 months) are statistically significant

Model-based meta-analysis of individual IPSS trajectories in patients with benign prostatic hyperplasia with moderate or severe symptoms

Aims: International Prostate Symptom Score (IPSS) is a marker of lower urinary tract symptoms (LUTS) deterioration or improvement in benign prostate hyperplasia (BPH). Whereas changes in IPSS relative to baseline have been used as endpoints in clinical trials, little attention has been given to the time course of symptoms. The current investigation aimed to develop a drug‐disease model to describe individual IPSS trajectories in moderate and severe BPH patients. Methods: A model‐based meta‐analytical approach was used including data from 10 238 patients enrolled into Phase III and IV studies receiving placebo, tamsulosin, dutasteride or combination therapy over a period of up to 4 years. Model predictive performance was assessed using statistical and graphical criteria. Subsequently, simulations were performed to illustrate the implications of treatment with drugs showing symptomatic and disease‐modifying properties in patients with varying disease progression rates. Results: Improvement and worsening of IPSS could be characterized by a model including a sigmoid function which disentangles drug effects from placebo and varying disease progression rates on IPSS. Mean estimate (95% confidence intervals) for the disease progression rate was 0.319 (0.271–0.411) month−1. Treatment effect on IPSS (DELTA) was found to be 0.0605, 0.0139 and 0.0310 month−1 for placebo, tamsulosin and combination therapy, respectively. In addition, it appears that individual trajectories can be clustered together into different phenotypes describing the underlying disease progression rate (i.e. slow, moderate and fast progressors). Conclusions: The availability of a drug‐disease model enables the evaluation of interindividual differences in disease progression rate, deterioration of symptoms and treatment effects on LUTS/BPH