Analyzing Granger causality in climate data with time series classification methods

Attribution studies in climate science aim for scientifically ascertaining the influence of climatic variations on natural or anthropogenic factors. Many of those studies adopt the concept of Granger causality to infer statistical cause-effect relationships, while utilizing traditional autoregressive models. In this article, we investigate the potential of state-of-the-art time series classification techniques to enhance causal inference in climate science. We conduct a comparative experimental study of different types of algorithms on a large test suite that comprises a unique collection of datasets from the area of climate-vegetation dynamics. The results indicate that specialized time series classification methods are able to improve existing inference procedures. Substantial differences are observed among the methods that were tested

Learning Neural Graph Representations in Non-Euclidean Geometries

The success of Deep Learning methods is heavily dependent on the choice of the data representation. For that reason, much of the actual effort goes into Representation Learning, which seeks to design preprocessing pipelines and data transformations that can support effective learning algorithms. The aim of Representation Learning is to facilitate the task of extracting useful information for classifiers and other predictor models. In this regard, graphs arise as a convenient data structure that serves as an intermediary representation in a wide range of problems. The predominant approach to work with graphs has been to embed them in an Euclidean space, due to the power and simplicity of this geometry. Nevertheless, data in many domains exhibit non-Euclidean features, making embeddings into Riemannian manifolds with a richer structure necessary. The choice of a metric space where to embed the data imposes a geometric inductive bias, with a direct impact on the performance of the models. This thesis is about learning neural graph representations in non-Euclidean geometries and showcasing their applicability in different downstream tasks. We introduce a toolkit formed by different graph metrics with the goal of characterizing the topology of the data. In that way, we can choose a suitable target embedding space aligned to the shape of the dataset. By virtue of the geometric inductive bias provided by the structure of the non-Euclidean manifolds, neural models can achieve higher performances with a reduced parameter footprint. As a first step, we study graphs with hierarchical structures. We develop different techniques to derive hierarchical graphs from large label inventories. Noticing the capacity of hyperbolic spaces to represent tree-like arrangements, we incorporate this information into an NLP model through hyperbolic graph embeddings and showcase the higher performance that they enable. Second, we tackle the question of how to learn hierarchical representations suited for different downstream tasks. We introduce a model that jointly learns task-specific graph embeddings from a label inventory and performs classification in hyperbolic space. The model achieves state-of-the-art results on very fine-grained labels, with a remarkable reduction of the parameter size. Next, we move to matrix manifolds to work on graphs with diverse structures and properties. We propose a general framework to implement the mathematical tools required to learn graph embeddings on symmetric spaces. These spaces are of particular interest given that they have a compound geometry that simultaneously contains Euclidean as well as hyperbolic subspaces, allowing them to automatically adapt to dissimilar features in the graph. We demonstrate a concrete implementation of the framework on Siegel spaces, showcasing their versatility on different tasks. Finally, we focus on multi-relational graphs. We devise the means to translate Euclidean and hyperbolic multi-relational graph embedding models into the space of symmetric positive definite (SPD) matrices. To do so we develop gyrocalculus in this geometry and integrate it with the aforementioned framework

Bioinspired metaheuristic algorithms for global optimization

This paper presents concise comparison study of newly developed bioinspired algorithms for global optimization problems. Three different metaheuristic techniques, namely Accelerated Particle Swarm Optimization (APSO), Firefly Algorithm (FA), and Grey Wolf Optimizer (GWO) are investigated and implemented in Matlab environment. These methods are compared on four unimodal and multimodal nonlinear functions in order to find global optimum values. Computational results indicate that GWO outperforms other intelligent techniques, and that all aforementioned algorithms can be successfully used for optimization of continuous functions

Experimental Evaluation of Growing and Pruning Hyper Basis Function Neural Networks Trained with Extended Information Filter

In this paper we test Extended Information Filter (EIF) for sequential training of Hyper Basis Function Neural Networks with growing and pruning ability (HBF-GP). The HBF neuron allows different scaling of input dimensions to provide better generalization property when dealing with complex nonlinear problems in engineering practice. The main intuition behind HBF is in generalization of Gaussian type of neuron that applies Mahalanobis-like distance as a distance metrics between input training sample and prototype vector. We exploit concept of neuron’s significance and allow growing and pruning of HBF neurons during sequential learning process. From engineer’s perspective, EIF is attractive for training of neural networks because it allows a designer to have scarce initial knowledge of the system/problem. Extensive experimental study shows that HBF neural network trained with EIF achieves same prediction error and compactness of network topology when compared to EKF, but without the need to know initial state uncertainty, which is its main advantage over EKF

Gaze-Based Human-Robot Interaction by the Brunswick Model

We present a new paradigm for human-robot interaction based on social signal processing, and in particular on the Brunswick model. Originally, the Brunswick model copes with face-to-face dyadic interaction, assuming that the interactants are communicating through a continuous exchange of non verbal social signals, in addition to the spoken messages. Social signals have to be interpreted, thanks to a proper recognition phase that considers visual and audio information. The Brunswick model allows to quantitatively evaluate the quality of the interaction using statistical tools which measure how effective is the recognition phase. In this paper we cast this theory when one of the interactants is a robot; in this case, the recognition phase performed by the robot and the human have to be revised w.r.t. the original model. The model is applied to Berrick, a recent open-source low-cost robotic head platform, where the gazing is the social signal to be considered