Statistical Modeling of Spatial Extremes

The areal modeling of the extremes of a natural process such as rainfall or temperature is important in environmental statistics; for example, understanding extreme areal rainfall is crucial in flood protection. This article reviews recent progress in the statistical modeling of spatial extremes, starting with sketches of the necessary elements of extreme value statistics and geostatistics. The main types of statistical models thus far proposed, based on latent variables, on copulas and on spatial max-stable processes, are described and then are compared by application to a data set on rainfall in Switzerland. Whereas latent variable modeling allows a better fit to marginal distributions, it fits the joint distributions of extremes poorly, so appropriately-chosen copula or max-stable models seem essential for successful spatial modeling of extremes.Comment: Published in at http://dx.doi.org/10.1214/11-STS376 the Statistical Science (http://www.imstat.org/sts/) by the Institute of Mathematical Statistics (http://www.imstat.org

Data augmentation in Rician noise model and Bayesian Diffusion Tensor Imaging

Mapping white matter tracts is an essential step towards understanding brain function. Diffusion Magnetic Resonance Imaging (dMRI) is the only noninvasive technique which can detect in vivo anisotropies in the 3-dimensional diffusion of water molecules, which correspond to nervous fibers in the living brain. In this process, spectral data from the displacement distribution of water molecules is collected by a magnetic resonance scanner. From the statistical point of view, inverting the Fourier transform from such sparse and noisy spectral measurements leads to a non-linear regression problem. Diffusion tensor imaging (DTI) is the simplest modeling approach postulating a Gaussian displacement distribution at each volume element (voxel). Typically the inference is based on a linearized log-normal regression model that can fit the spectral data at low frequencies. However such approximation fails to fit the high frequency measurements which contain information about the details of the displacement distribution but have a low signal to noise ratio. In this paper, we directly work with the Rice noise model and cover the full range of $b$-values. Using data augmentation to represent the likelihood, we reduce the non-linear regression problem to the framework of generalized linear models. Then we construct a Bayesian hierarchical model in order to perform simultaneously estimation and regularization of the tensor field. Finally the Bayesian paradigm is implemented by using Markov chain Monte Carlo.Comment: 37 pages, 3 figure

Adaptive Langevin Sampler for Separation of t-Distribution Modelled Astrophysical Maps

We propose to model the image differentials of astrophysical source maps by Student's t-distribution and to use them in the Bayesian source separation method as priors. We introduce an efficient Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) sampling scheme to unmix the astrophysical sources and describe the derivation details. In this scheme, we use the Langevin stochastic equation for transitions, which enables parallel drawing of random samples from the posterior, and reduces the computation time significantly (by two orders of magnitude). In addition, Student's t-distribution parameters are updated throughout the iterations. The results on astrophysical source separation are assessed with two performance criteria defined in the pixel and the frequency domains.Comment: 12 pages, 6 figure