53,148 research outputs found
Geometry and Expressive Power of Conditional Restricted Boltzmann Machines
Conditional restricted Boltzmann machines are undirected stochastic neural
networks with a layer of input and output units connected bipartitely to a
layer of hidden units. These networks define models of conditional probability
distributions on the states of the output units given the states of the input
units, parametrized by interaction weights and biases. We address the
representational power of these models, proving results their ability to
represent conditional Markov random fields and conditional distributions with
restricted supports, the minimal size of universal approximators, the maximal
model approximation errors, and on the dimension of the set of representable
conditional distributions. We contribute new tools for investigating
conditional probability models, which allow us to improve the results that can
be derived from existing work on restricted Boltzmann machine probability
models.Comment: 30 pages, 5 figures, 1 algorith
Bad Universal Priors and Notions of Optimality
A big open question of algorithmic information theory is the choice of the
universal Turing machine (UTM). For Kolmogorov complexity and Solomonoff
induction we have invariance theorems: the choice of the UTM changes bounds
only by a constant. For the universally intelligent agent AIXI (Hutter, 2005)
no invariance theorem is known. Our results are entirely negative: we discuss
cases in which unlucky or adversarial choices of the UTM cause AIXI to
misbehave drastically. We show that Legg-Hutter intelligence and thus balanced
Pareto optimality is entirely subjective, and that every policy is Pareto
optimal in the class of all computable environments. This undermines all
existing optimality properties for AIXI. While it may still serve as a gold
standard for AI, our results imply that AIXI is a relative theory, dependent on
the choice of the UTM.Comment: COLT 201
Algorithmic Complexity Bounds on Future Prediction Errors
We bound the future loss when predicting any (computably) stochastic sequence
online. Solomonoff finitely bounded the total deviation of his universal
predictor from the true distribution by the algorithmic complexity of
. Here we assume we are at a time and already observed .
We bound the future prediction performance on by a new
variant of algorithmic complexity of given , plus the complexity of the
randomness deficiency of . The new complexity is monotone in its condition
in the sense that this complexity can only decrease if the condition is
prolonged. We also briefly discuss potential generalizations to Bayesian model
classes and to classification problems.Comment: 21 page
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