8,848 research outputs found

    What are the true clusters?

    Get PDF
    Constructivist philosophy and Hasok Chang's active scientific realism are used to argue that the idea of "truth" in cluster analysis depends on the context and the clustering aims. Different characteristics of clusterings are required in different situations. Researchers should be explicit about on what requirements and what idea of "true clusters" their research is based, because clustering becomes scientific not through uniqueness but through transparent and open communication. The idea of "natural kinds" is a human construct, but it highlights the human experience that the reality outside the observer's control seems to make certain distinctions between categories inevitable. Various desirable characteristics of clusterings and various approaches to define a context-dependent truth are listed, and I discuss what impact these ideas can have on the comparison of clustering methods, and the choice of a clustering methods and related decisions in practice

    Strong validity, consonance, and conformal prediction

    Full text link
    Valid prediction of future observations is an important and challenging problem. The two general approaches for quantifying uncertainty about the future value employ prediction regions and predictive distribution, respectively, with the latter usually considered to be more informative because it performs other prediction-related tasks. Standard notions of validity focus on the former, i.e., coverage probability bounds for prediction regions, but a notion of validity relevant to the other prediction-related tasks performed by the latter is lacking. In this paper, we present a new notion---strong prediction validity---relevant to these more general prediction tasks. We show that strong validity is connected to more familiar notions of coherence, and argue that imprecise probability considerations are required in order to achieve it. We go on to show that strong prediction validity can be achieved by interpreting the conformal prediction output as the contour function of a consonant plausibility function. We also offer an alternative characterization, based on a new nonparametric inferential model construction, wherein the appearance of consonance is more natural, and prove strong prediction validity.Comment: 34 pages, 3 figures, 2 tables. Comments welcome at https://www.researchers.one/article/2020-01-1

    Stream network analysis and geomorphic flood plain mapping from orbital and suborbital remote sensing imagery application to flood hazard studies in central Texas

    Get PDF
    The author has identified the following significant results. Development of a quantitative hydrogeomorphic approach to flood hazard evaluation was hindered by (1) problems of resolution and definition of the morphometric parameters which have hydrologic significance, and (2) mechanical difficulties in creating the necessary volume of data for meaningful analysis. Measures of network resolution such as drainage density and basin Shreve magnitude indicated that large scale topographic maps offered greater resolution than small scale suborbital imagery and orbital imagery. The disparity in network resolution capabilities between orbital and suborbital imagery formats depends on factors such as rock type, vegetation, and land use. The problem of morphometric data analysis was approached by developing a computer-assisted method for network analysis. The system allows rapid identification of network properties which can then be related to measures of flood response
    • ā€¦
    corecore