23,504 research outputs found
Exploring the potential for cross-nesting structures in airport-choice analysis: A case-study of the Greater London area
The analysis of air-passengers’ choices of departure airport in multi-airport regions is a crucial component of transportation planning in many large metropolitan areas, and has been the topic of an increasing number of studies over recent years. In this paper, we advance the state of the art of modelling in this area of research by making use of a Cross-Nested Logit (CNL) structure that allows for the joint representation of inter-alternative correlation along the three choice dimensions of airport, airline and access-mode. The analysis uses data collected in the Greater London area, which arguably has the highest levels of inter-airport competition of any multi-airport region; the authors of this paper are not aware of any previous effort to jointly analyse the choice of airport, airline and access-mode in this area. The results of the analysis reveal significant influences on passenger behaviour by access-time, access-cost, flight-frequency and flight-time. A structural comparison of the different models shows that the cross-nested structure offers significant improvements over simple Nested Logit (NL) models, which in turn outperform the Multinomial Logit (MNL) model used as the base model
Analysing air-travel choice behaviour in the Greater London area
The analysis of air-passengers’ choices of departure airport in multi-airport regions is a crucial component of transportation planning in many large metropolitan areas, and has been the topic of an increasing number of studies over recent years. In this paper, we advance the state of the art of modelling in this area of research by making use of a Cross-Nested Logit (CNL) structure that allows for the joint representation of inter-alternative correlation along the three choice dimensions of airport, airline and access-mode. The analysis uses data collected in the greater London area, which arguably has the highest levels of inter-airport competition of any multi-airport region; the authors of this paper are not aware of any previous effort to jointly analyse the choice of airport, airline and access-mode in this area. The results of the analysis reveal significant influences on passenger behaviour by access-time, access-cost, flight-frequency and flight-time. A structural comparison of the different models shows that the cross-nested structure offers significant improvements over simple Nested Logit (NL) models, which in turn outperform the Multinomial Logit (MNL) model used as the base model.
Generalized Multivariate Extreme Value Models for Explicit Route Choice Sets
This paper analyses a class of route choice models with closed-form
probability expressions, namely, Generalized Multivariate Extreme Value (GMEV)
models. A large group of these models emerge from different utility formulas
that combine systematic utility and random error terms. Twelve models are
captured in a single discrete choice framework. The additive utility formula
leads to the known logit family, being multinomial, path-size, paired
combinatorial and link-nested. For the multiplicative formulation only the
multinomial and path-size weibit models have been identified; this study also
identifies the paired combinatorial and link-nested variations, and generalizes
the path-size variant. Furthermore, a new traveller's decision rule based on
the multiplicative utility formula with a reference route is presented. Here
the traveller chooses exclusively based on the differences between routes. This
leads to four new GMEV models. We assess the models qualitatively based on a
generic structure of route utility with random foreseen travel times, for which
we empirically identify that the variance of utility should be different from
thus far assumed for multinomial probit and logit-kernel models. The expected
travellers' behaviour and model-behaviour under simple network changes are
analysed. Furthermore, all models are estimated and validated on an
illustrative network example with long distance and short distance
origin-destination pairs. The new multiplicative models based on differences
outperform the additive models in both tests
Progress in information technology and tourism management: 20 years on and 10 years after the Internet—The state of eTourism research
This paper reviews the published articles on eTourism in the past 20 years. Using a wide variety of sources, mainly in the tourism literature, this paper comprehensively reviews and analyzes prior studies in the context of Internet applications to Tourism. The paper also projects future developments in eTourism and demonstrates critical changes that will influence the tourism industry structure. A major contribution of this paper is its overview of the research and development efforts that have been endeavoured in the field, and the challenges that tourism researchers are, and will be, facing
Use of Structural Equation Modelling and Neural Network to Analyse Shared Parking Choice Behaviour
The shared parking mode represents a feasible solution to the persistent problem of parking scarcity in urban areas. This paper aims to examine the shared parking choice behaviours using a combination of structural equation modelling (SEM) and neural network, taking into account both the parking location characteristics and the travellers’ characteristics. Data were collected from a commercial district in Nanjing, China, through an online questionnaire survey covering 11 factors affecting shared parking choice. The method involved two steps: firstly, SEM was applied to examine the influence of these factors on shared parking choice. Following this, the seven factors with the strongest correlation to shared parking choice were used to train a neural network model for shared parking prediction. This SEM-informed model was found to outperform a neural network model trained on all eleven factors across precision, recall, accuracy, F1 and AUC metrics. The research concluded that the selected factors significantly influence shared parking choice, reinforcing the hypothesis regarding the importance of parking location and traveller characteristics. These findings provide valuable insights to support the effective implementation and promotion of shared parking
Assessing the Value of Time Travel Savings – A Feasibility Study on Humberside.
It is expected that the opening of the Humber Bridge
will cause major changes to travel patterns around Humberside;
given the level of tolls as currently stated, many travellers
will face decisions involving a trade-off between travel time,
money outlay on tolls or fares and money outlay on private
vehicle running costs; this either in the context of
destination choice, mode choice or route choice.
This report sets out the conclusions of a preliminary
study of the feasibility of inferring values of travel time
savings from observations made on the outcomes of these
decisions. Methods based on aggregate data of destination
choice are found t o be inefficient; a disaggregate mode
choice study i s recommended, subject to caveats on sample size
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