Traffic flow prediction model based on neighbouring roads using neural network and multiple regression

Monitoring and understanding traffic congestion seems difficult due to its complex nature. This is because the occurrence of traffic congestion is dynamic and interrelated and it depends on many factors. Traffic congestion can also propagate from one road to neighbouring roads. Recent research shows that there is a spatial correlation between neighbouring roads with different traffic flow pattern on weekdays and on weekends. Previously, prediction of traffic flow propagation was based on day and time during weekdays and on weekends. Results obtained from past studies show that further investigation is needed to reduce errors using a more efficient method. We observed from previous research that similarity of traffic condition on weekdays and weekends was not taken into account in predicting traffic flow propagation. Hence, our study is to create and evaluate a new prediction model for traffic flow propagation at neighbouring roads using similarity of traffic flow pattern on weekdays and weekends to achieve more accurate results. We exploit similarity of traffic flow pattern on weekdays and weekends by adding time cluster in our proposed model. Thus, our neural network model proposed high correlation road, time and day clusters as input factors in neural network model prediction. Our initial phase of the methodology involves investigation on correlation between neighbouring roads. This paper discusses the results of experiments we have conducted to determine relationship between roads in a neighbouring area and to determine input factors for our neural network traffic flow prediction model. To choose a particular road as a predicting factor, we calculated the distance between roads in neighbouring area to identify the nearest road. Then, we calculated correlation based on traffic condition (congestion) between roads in neighbouring area. The results were then used as input factors for prediction of traffic flow. We compared the results of the experiment using neural network without cluster parameters and multiple regression methods. We observed that neural network with time cluster parameter produced better results compared to neural network without parameter and multiple regression method in predicting average speed of vehicles on neighbouring roads

Koneoppimiskehys petrokemianteollisuuden sovelluksille

Machine learning has many potentially useful applications in process industry, for example in process monitoring and control. Continuously accumulating process data and the recent development in software and hardware that enable more advanced machine learning, are fulfilling the prerequisites of developing and deploying process automation integrated machine learning applications which improve existing functionalities or even implement artificial intelligence. In this master's thesis, a framework is designed and implemented on a proof-of-concept level, to enable easy acquisition of process data to be used with modern machine learning libraries, and to also enable scalable online deployment of the trained models. The literature part of the thesis concentrates on studying the current state and approaches for digital advisory systems for process operators, as a potential application to be developed on the machine learning framework. The literature study shows that the approaches for process operators' decision support tools have shifted from rule-based and knowledge-based methods to machine learning. However, no standard methods can be concluded, and most of the use cases are quite application-specific. In the developed machine learning framework, both commercial software and open source components with permissive licenses are used. Data is acquired over OPC UA and then processed in Python, which is currently almost the de facto standard language in data analytics. Microservice architecture with containerization is used in the online deployment, and in a qualitative evaluation, it proved to be a versatile and functional solution.Koneoppimisella voidaan osoittaa olevan useita hyödyllisiä käyttökohteita prosessiteollisuudessa, esimerkiksi prosessinohjaukseen liittyvissä sovelluksissa. Jatkuvasti kerääntyvä prosessidata ja toisaalta koneoppimiseen soveltuvien ohjelmistojen sekä myös laitteistojen viimeaikainen kehitys johtavat tilanteeseen, jossa prosessiautomaatioon liitettyjen koneoppimissovellusten avulla on mahdollista parantaa nykyisiä toiminnallisuuksia tai jopa toteuttaa tekoälysovelluksia. Tässä diplomityössä suunniteltiin ja toteutettiin prototyypin tasolla koneoppimiskehys, jonka avulla on helppo käyttää prosessidataa yhdessä nykyaikaisten koneoppimiskirjastojen kanssa. Kehys mahdollistaa myös koneopittujen mallien skaalautuvan käyttöönoton. Diplomityön kirjallisuusosa keskittyy prosessioperaattoreille tarkoitettujen digitaalisten avustajajärjestelmien nykytilaan ja toteutustapoihin, avustajajärjestelmän tai sen päätöstukijärjestelmän ollessa yksi mahdollinen koneoppimiskehyksen päälle rakennettava ohjelma. Kirjallisuustutkimuksen mukaan prosessioperaattorin päätöstukijärjestelmien taustalla olevat menetelmät ovat yhä useammin koneoppimiseen perustuvia, aiempien sääntö- ja tietämyskantoihin perustuvien menetelmien sijasta. Selkeitä yhdenmukaisia lähestymistapoja ei kuitenkaan ole helposti pääteltävissä kirjallisuuden perusteella. Lisäksi useimmat tapausesimerkit ovat sovellettavissa vain kyseisissä erikoistapauksissa. Kehitetyssä koneoppimiskehyksessä on käytetty sekä kaupallisia että avoimen lähdekoodin komponentteja. Prosessidata haetaan OPC UA -protokollan avulla, ja sitä on mahdollista käsitellä Python-kielellä, josta on muodostunut lähes de facto -standardi data-analytiikassa. Kehyksen käyttöönottokomponentit perustuvat mikropalveluarkkitehtuuriin ja konttiteknologiaan, jotka osoittautuivat laadullisessa testauksessa monipuoliseksi ja toimivaksi toteutustavaksi

Novel implementation technique for a wavelet-based broadband signal detection system

This thesis reports on the design, simulation and implementation of a novel Implementation for a Wavelet-based Broadband Signal Detection System. There is a strong interest in methods of increasing the resolution of sonar systems for the detection of targets at sea. A novel implementation of a wideband active sonar signal detection system is proposed in this project. In the system the Continuous Wavelet Transform is used for target motion estimation and an Adaptive-Network-based Fuzzy inference System (ANFIS) is adopted to minimize the noise effect on target detection. A local optimum search algorithm is introduced in this project to reduce the computation load of the Continuous Wavelet Transform and make it suitable for practical applications. The proposed system is realized on a Xilinx University Program Virtex-II Pro Development System which contains a Virtex II pro XC2VP30 FPGA chip with 2 powerPC 405 cores. Testing for single target detection and multiple target detection shows the proposed system is able to accurately locate targets under reverberation-limited underwater environment with a Signal-Noise-Ratio of up to -30db, with location error less than 10 meters and velocity estimation error less than 1 knot. In the proposed system the combination of CWT and local optimum search algorithm significantly saves the computation time for CWT and make it more practical to real applications. Also the implementation of ANFIS on the FPGA board indicates in the future a real-time ANFIS operation with VLSI implementation would be possible

Розробка алгоритму навчання штучних нейронних мереж для інтелектуальних систем підтримки прийняття рішень

The algorithm to train artificial neural networks for intelligent decision support systems has been constructed. A distinctive feature of the proposed algorithm is that it conducts training not only for synaptic weights of an artificial neural network, but also for the type and parameters of membership function. In case of inability to ensure the assigned quality of functioning of artificial neural networks due to training of parameters of artificial neural network, the architecture of artificial neural networks is trained. The choice of the architecture, type and parameters of membership function occurs taking into consideration the computation resources of the facility and taking into consideration the type and the amount of information entering the input of an artificial neural network. In addition, when using the proposed algorithm, there is no accumulation of an error of artificial neural networks training as a result of processing the information entering the input of artificial neural networks.Development of the proposed algorithm was predetermined by the need to train artificial neural networks for intelligent decision support systems in order to process more information given the unambiguity of decisions being made. The research results revealed that the specified training algorithm provides on average 16–23 % higher the efficiency of training artificial neural networks training that is on average by 16–23 % higher and does not accumulate errors in the course of training. The specified algorithm will make it possible to conduct training of artificial neural networks; to determine effective measures to enhance the efficiency of functioning of artificial neural networks. The developed algorithm will also enable the improvement of the efficiency of functioning of artificial neural networks due to training the parameters and the architecture of artificial neural networks. The proposed algorithm reduces the use of computational resources of decision support systems. The application of the developed algorithm makes it possible to work out the measures aimed at improving the effectiveness of training artificial neural networks and to increase the efficiency of information processingРазработан алгоритм обучения искусственных нейронных сетей для интеллектуальных систем поддержки принятия решений. Отличительная особенность предлагаемого алгоритма заключается в том, что он проводит обучение не только синаптических весов искусственной нейронной сети, но и вида и параметров функции принадлежности. В случае невозможности обеспечить заданное качество функционирования искусственных нейронных сетей за счет обучения параметров искусственной нейронной сети происходит обучение архитектуры искусственных нейронных сетей. Выбор архитектуры, вида и параметров функции принадлежности происходит с учетом вычислительных ресурсов средства и с учетом типа и количества информации, поступающей на вход искусственной нейронной сети. Также при использовании предложенного алгоритма не происходит накопления ошибки обучения искусственных нейронных сетей в результате обработки информации, поступающей на вход искусственных нейронных сетей. Разработка предложенного алгоритма обусловлена необходимостью проведения обучения искусственных нейронных сетей для интеллектуальных систем поддержки принятия решений, с целью обработки большего количества информации, при однозначности решений, которые принимаются. По результатам исследования установлено, что указанный алгоритм обучения обеспечивает в среднем на 16–23 % больше высокую эффективность обучения искусственных нейронных сетей и не накапливает ошибок в ходе обучения. Указанный алгоритм позволит проводить обучение искусственных нейронных сетей; определить эффективные меры для повышения эффективности функционирования искусственных нейронных сетей. Также разработанный алгоритм позволит повысить эффективность функционирования искусственных нейронных сетей за счет обучения параметров и архитектуры искусственных нейронных сетей. Предложенный алгоритм уменьшает использование вычислительных ресурсов систем поддержки и принятия решений. Использование разработанного алгоритма позволит выработать меры, направленные на повышение эффективности обучения искусственных нейронных сетей, и повысить оперативность обработки информацииРозроблено алгоритм навчання штучних нейронних мереж для інтелектуальних систем підтримки прийняття рішень. Відмінна особливість запропонованого алгоритму полягає в тому, що він проводить навчання не тільки синаптичних ваг штучної нейронної мережі, але й виду та параметрів функції належності. В разі неможливості забезпечити задану якість функціонування штучних нейронних мереж за рахунок навчання параметрів штучної нейронної мережі відбувається навчання архітектури штучних нейронних мереж. Вибір архітектури, виду та параметрів функції належності відбувається з врахуванням обчислювальних ресурсів засобу та з врахуванням типу та кількості інформації, що надходить на вхід штучної нейронної мережі. Також при використанні запропонованого алгоритму не відбувається накопичення помилки навчання штучних нейронних мереж в результаті обробки інформації, що надходить на вхід штучних нейронних мереж. Розробка запропонованого алгоритму обумовлена необхідністю проведення навчання штучних нейронних мереж для інтелектуальних систем підтримки прийняття рішень, з метою обробки більшої кількості інформації, при однозначності рішень, що приймаються. За результатами дослідження встановлено, що зазначений алгоритм навчання забезпечує в середньому на 16–23 % більшу високу ефективність навчання штучних нейронних мереж та не накопичує помилок в ході навчання. Зазначений алгоритм дозволить проводити навчання штучних нейронних мереж; визначити ефективні заходи для підвищення ефективності функціонування штучних нейронних мереж. Також розроблений алгоритм дозволить підвищити ефективність функціонування штучних нейронних мереж за рахунок навчання параметрів та архітектури штучних нейронних мереж. Запропонований алгоритм зменшує використання обчислювальних ресурсів систем підтримки та прийняття рішень. Використання розробленого алгоритму дозволить виробити заходи, що спрямовані на підвищення ефективності навчання штучних нейронних мереж, та підвищити оперативність обробки інформаці

Optimized state feedback regulation of 3DOF helicopter system via extremum seeking

In this paper, an optimized state feedback regulation of a 3 degree of freedom (DOF) helicopter is designed via extremum seeking (ES) technique. Multi-parameter ES is applied to optimize the tracking performance via tuning State Vector Feedback with Integration of the Control Error (SVFBICE). Discrete multivariable version of ES is developed to minimize a cost function that measures the performance of the controller. The cost function is a function of the error between the actual and desired axis positions. The controller parameters are updated online as the optimization takes place. This method significantly decreases the time in obtaining optimal controller parameters. Simulations were conducted for the online optimization under both fixed and varying operating conditions. The results demonstrate the usefulness of using ES for preserving the maximum attainable performance

Measurements, Models, Systems and Design

531 s.

Proceedings - 30. Workshop Computational Intelligence : Berlin, 26. - 27. November 2020

Dieser Tagungsband enthält die Beiträge des 30. Workshops Computational Intelligence. Die Schwerpunkte sind Methoden, Anwendungen und Tools für Fuzzy-Systeme, Künstliche Neuronale Netze, Evolutionäre Algorithmen und Data-Mining-Verfahren sowie der Methodenvergleich anhand von industriellen und Benchmark-Problemen

Novel implementation technique for a wavelet-based broadband signal detection system

This thesis reports on the design, simulation and implementation of a novel Implementation for a Wavelet-based Broadband Signal Detection System. There is a strong interest in methods of increasing the resolution of sonar systems for the detection of targets at sea. A novel implementation of a wideband active sonar signal detection system is proposed in this project. In the system the Continuous Wavelet Transform is used for target motion estimation and an Adaptive-Network-based Fuzzy inference System (ANFIS) is adopted to minimize the noise effect on target detection. A local optimum search algorithm is introduced in this project to reduce the computation load of the Continuous Wavelet Transform and make it suitable for practical applications. The proposed system is realized on a Xilinx University Program Virtex-II Pro Development System which contains a Virtex II pro XC2VP30 FPGA chip with 2 powerPC 405 cores. Testing for single target detection and multiple target detection shows the proposed system is able to accurately locate targets under reverberation-limited underwater environment with a Signal-Noise-Ratio of up to -30db, with location error less than 10 meters and velocity estimation error less than 1 knot. In the proposed system the combination of CWT and local optimum search algorithm significantly saves the computation time for CWT and make it more practical to real applications. Also the implementation of ANFIS on the FPGA board indicates in the future a real-time ANFIS operation with VLSI implementation would be possible.EThOS - Electronic Theses Online ServiceGBUnited Kingdo

Locating and extracting acoustic and neural signals

This dissertation presents innovate methodologies for locating, extracting, and separating multiple incoherent sound sources in three-dimensional (3D) space; and applications of the time reversal (TR) algorithm to pinpoint the hyper active neural activities inside the brain auditory structure that are correlated to the tinnitus pathology. Specifically, an acoustic modeling based method is developed for locating arbitrary and incoherent sound sources in 3D space in real time by using a minimal number of microphones, and the Point Source Separation (PSS) method is developed for extracting target signals from directly measured mixed signals. Combining these two approaches leads to a novel technology known as Blind Sources Localization and Separation (BSLS) that enables one to locate multiple incoherent sound signals in 3D space and separate original individual sources simultaneously, based on the directly measured mixed signals. These technologies have been validated through numerical simulations and experiments conducted in various non-ideal environments where there are non-negligible, unspecified sound reflections and reverberation as well as interferences from random background noise. Another innovation presented in this dissertation is concerned with applications of the TR algorithm to pinpoint the exact locations of hyper-active neurons in the brain auditory structure that are directly correlated to the tinnitus perception. Benchmark tests conducted on normal rats have confirmed the localization results provided by the TR algorithm. Results demonstrate that the spatial resolution of this source localization can be as high as the micrometer level. This high precision localization may lead to a paradigm shift in tinnitus diagnosis, which may in turn produce a more cost-effective treatment for tinnitus than any of the existing ones