22,966 research outputs found
A Threshold Regularization Method for Inverse Problems
A number of regularization methods for discrete inverse problems consist in
considering weighted versions of the usual least square solution. However,
these so-called filter methods are generally restricted to monotonic
transformations, e.g. the Tikhonov regularization or the spectral cut-off. In
this paper, we point out that in several cases, non-monotonic sequences of
filters are more efficient. We study a regularization method that naturally
extends the spectral cut-off procedure to non-monotonic sequences and provide
several oracle inequalities, showing the method to be nearly optimal under mild
assumptions. Then, we extend the method to inverse problems with noisy operator
and provide efficiency results in a newly introduced conditional framework
A Hedged Monte Carlo Approach to Real Option Pricing
In this work we are concerned with valuing optionalities associated to invest
or to delay investment in a project when the available information provided to
the manager comes from simulated data of cash flows under historical (or
subjective) measure in a possibly incomplete market. Our approach is suitable
also to incorporating subjective views from management or market experts and to
stochastic investment costs. It is based on the Hedged Monte Carlo strategy
proposed by Potters et al (2001) where options are priced simultaneously with
the determination of the corresponding hedging. The approach is particularly
well-suited to the evaluation of commodity related projects whereby the
availability of pricing formulae is very rare, the scenario simulations are
usually available only in the historical measure, and the cash flows can be
highly nonlinear functions of the prices.Comment: 25 pages, 14 figure
Distributed Stochastic Market Clearing with High-Penetration Wind Power
Integrating renewable energy into the modern power grid requires
risk-cognizant dispatch of resources to account for the stochastic availability
of renewables. Toward this goal, day-ahead stochastic market clearing with
high-penetration wind energy is pursued in this paper based on the DC optimal
power flow (OPF). The objective is to minimize the social cost which consists
of conventional generation costs, end-user disutility, as well as a risk
measure of the system re-dispatching cost. Capitalizing on the conditional
value-at-risk (CVaR), the novel model is able to mitigate the potentially high
risk of the recourse actions to compensate wind forecast errors. The resulting
convex optimization task is tackled via a distribution-free sample average
based approximation to bypass the prohibitively complex high-dimensional
integration. Furthermore, to cope with possibly large-scale dispatchable loads,
a fast distributed solver is developed with guaranteed convergence using the
alternating direction method of multipliers (ADMM). Numerical results tested on
a modified benchmark system are reported to corroborate the merits of the novel
framework and proposed approaches.Comment: To appear in IEEE Transactions on Power Systems; 12 pages and 9
figure
Regularizing Portfolio Optimization
The optimization of large portfolios displays an inherent instability to
estimation error. This poses a fundamental problem, because solutions that are
not stable under sample fluctuations may look optimal for a given sample, but
are, in effect, very far from optimal with respect to the average risk. In this
paper, we approach the problem from the point of view of statistical learning
theory. The occurrence of the instability is intimately related to over-fitting
which can be avoided using known regularization methods. We show how
regularized portfolio optimization with the expected shortfall as a risk
measure is related to support vector regression. The budget constraint dictates
a modification. We present the resulting optimization problem and discuss the
solution. The L2 norm of the weight vector is used as a regularizer, which
corresponds to a diversification "pressure". This means that diversification,
besides counteracting downward fluctuations in some assets by upward
fluctuations in others, is also crucial because it improves the stability of
the solution. The approach we provide here allows for the simultaneous
treatment of optimization and diversification in one framework that enables the
investor to trade-off between the two, depending on the size of the available
data set
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