25,629 research outputs found
Sequential Prediction of Social Media Popularity with Deep Temporal Context Networks
Prediction of popularity has profound impact for social media, since it
offers opportunities to reveal individual preference and public attention from
evolutionary social systems. Previous research, although achieves promising
results, neglects one distinctive characteristic of social data, i.e.,
sequentiality. For example, the popularity of online content is generated over
time with sequential post streams of social media. To investigate the
sequential prediction of popularity, we propose a novel prediction framework
called Deep Temporal Context Networks (DTCN) by incorporating both temporal
context and temporal attention into account. Our DTCN contains three main
components, from embedding, learning to predicting. With a joint embedding
network, we obtain a unified deep representation of multi-modal user-post data
in a common embedding space. Then, based on the embedded data sequence over
time, temporal context learning attempts to recurrently learn two adaptive
temporal contexts for sequential popularity. Finally, a novel temporal
attention is designed to predict new popularity (the popularity of a new
user-post pair) with temporal coherence across multiple time-scales.
Experiments on our released image dataset with about 600K Flickr photos
demonstrate that DTCN outperforms state-of-the-art deep prediction algorithms,
with an average of 21.51% relative performance improvement in the popularity
prediction (Spearman Ranking Correlation).Comment: accepted in IJCAI-1
Current Challenges and Visions in Music Recommender Systems Research
Music recommender systems (MRS) have experienced a boom in recent years,
thanks to the emergence and success of online streaming services, which
nowadays make available almost all music in the world at the user's fingertip.
While today's MRS considerably help users to find interesting music in these
huge catalogs, MRS research is still facing substantial challenges. In
particular when it comes to build, incorporate, and evaluate recommendation
strategies that integrate information beyond simple user--item interactions or
content-based descriptors, but dig deep into the very essence of listener
needs, preferences, and intentions, MRS research becomes a big endeavor and
related publications quite sparse.
The purpose of this trends and survey article is twofold. We first identify
and shed light on what we believe are the most pressing challenges MRS research
is facing, from both academic and industry perspectives. We review the state of
the art towards solving these challenges and discuss its limitations. Second,
we detail possible future directions and visions we contemplate for the further
evolution of the field. The article should therefore serve two purposes: giving
the interested reader an overview of current challenges in MRS research and
providing guidance for young researchers by identifying interesting, yet
under-researched, directions in the field
Beautiful and damned. Combined effect of content quality and social ties on user engagement
User participation in online communities is driven by the intertwinement of
the social network structure with the crowd-generated content that flows along
its links. These aspects are rarely explored jointly and at scale. By looking
at how users generate and access pictures of varying beauty on Flickr, we
investigate how the production of quality impacts the dynamics of online social
systems. We develop a deep learning computer vision model to score images
according to their aesthetic value and we validate its output through
crowdsourcing. By applying it to over 15B Flickr photos, we study for the first
time how image beauty is distributed over a large-scale social system.
Beautiful images are evenly distributed in the network, although only a small
core of people get social recognition for them. To study the impact of exposure
to quality on user engagement, we set up matching experiments aimed at
detecting causality from observational data. Exposure to beauty is
double-edged: following people who produce high-quality content increases one's
probability of uploading better photos; however, an excessive imbalance between
the quality generated by a user and the user's neighbors leads to a decline in
engagement. Our analysis has practical implications for improving link
recommender systems.Comment: 13 pages, 12 figures, final version published in IEEE Transactions on
Knowledge and Data Engineering (Volume: PP, Issue: 99
Analysis and Forecasting of Trending Topics in Online Media Streams
Among the vast information available on the web, social media streams capture
what people currently pay attention to and how they feel about certain topics.
Awareness of such trending topics plays a crucial role in multimedia systems
such as trend aware recommendation and automatic vocabulary selection for video
concept detection systems.
Correctly utilizing trending topics requires a better understanding of their
various characteristics in different social media streams. To this end, we
present the first comprehensive study across three major online and social
media streams, Twitter, Google, and Wikipedia, covering thousands of trending
topics during an observation period of an entire year. Our results indicate
that depending on one's requirements one does not necessarily have to turn to
Twitter for information about current events and that some media streams
strongly emphasize content of specific categories. As our second key
contribution, we further present a novel approach for the challenging task of
forecasting the life cycle of trending topics in the very moment they emerge.
Our fully automated approach is based on a nearest neighbor forecasting
technique exploiting our assumption that semantically similar topics exhibit
similar behavior.
We demonstrate on a large-scale dataset of Wikipedia page view statistics
that forecasts by the proposed approach are about 9-48k views closer to the
actual viewing statistics compared to baseline methods and achieve a mean
average percentage error of 45-19% for time periods of up to 14 days.Comment: ACM Multimedia 201
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