ECG based Prediction Model for Cardiac-Related Diseases using Machine Learning Techniques

This dissertation presents research on the construction of predictive models for health conditions through the application of Artificial Intelligence methods. The work is thus focused on the prediction, in the short and long term, of Atrial Fibrillation conditions through the analysis of Electrocardiography exams, with the use of several techniques to reduce noise and interference, as well as their representation through spectrograms and their application in Artificial Intelligence models, specifically Deep Learning. The training and testing processes of the models made use of a publicly available database. In its two approaches, predictive algorithms were obtained with an accuracy of 96.73% for a short horizon prediction and 96.52% for long Atrial Fibrillation prediction horizon. The main objectives of this dissertation are thus the study of works already carried out in the area during the last decade, to present a new methodology of prediction of the presented condition, as well as to present and discuss its results, including suggestions for improvement for future development.Esta dissertação descreve a construção de modelos preditivos de condições de saúde através de aplicação de métodos de Inteligência Artificial. O trabalho é assim focado na predição, a curto e longo prazo, de condições de Fibrilhação Auricular através da análise de exames de Eletrocardiografia, com a utilização de diversas técnicas de redução de ruído e de interferência, bem como a sua representação através de espectrogramas e sua aplicação em modelos de Inteligência Artificial, concretamente de Aprendizagem Profunda (Deep Learning na língua inglesa). Os processos de treino e teste dos modelos obtidos recorreram a uma base de dados publicamente disponível. Nas suas duas abordagens, foram obtidos algoritmos preditivos com uma precisão de 96.73% para uma predição de curto horizonte e 96.52% para longo horizonte de predição de Fibrilhação Auricular. Os objetivos principais da presente dissertação são assim o estudo de trabalhos já realizados na área durante a última década, apresentar uma nova metodologia de predição da condição apresentada, bem como apresentar e discutir os seus resultados, incluindo sugestões de melhoria para futuro desenvolvimento

Behavior patterns in hormonal treatments using fuzzy logic models

Assisted reproductive technologies are a combination of medical strategies designed to treat infertility patients. Ideal stimulation treatment has to be individualized, but one of the main challenges which clinicians face in the everyday clinic is how to select the best medical protocol for a patient. This work aims to look for behavior patterns in this kind of treatments, using fuzzy logic models with the objective of helping gynecologists and embryologists to make decisions that could improve the process of in vitro fertilization. For this purpose, a real-world dataset composed of one hundred and twenty-three (123) patients and five hundred and fifty-nine (559) treatments applied in relation to such patients provided by an assisted reproduction clinic, has been used to obtain the fuzzy models. As conclusion, this work corroborates some known clinic experiences, provides some new ones and proposes a set of questions to be solved in future experiments.Ministerio de Economía y Competitividad TIN2013-46928-C3-3-RMinisterio de Economía y Competitividad TIN2016-76956- C3-2-RMinisterio de Economía y Competitividad TIN2015-71938-RED

Abnormal ECG search in long-term electrocardiographic recordings from an animal model of heart failure

Heart failure is one of the leading causes of death in the United States. Five million Americans suffer from heart failure. Advances in portable electrocardiogram (ECG) monitoring systems and large data storage space allow the ECG to be recorded continuously for long periods. Long-term monitoring could potentially lead to better diagnosis and treatment if the progression of heart failure could be followed. The challenge is to analyze the sheer mass of data. Manual analysis using the classical methods is impossible. In this dissertation, a framework for analysis of long-term ECG recording and methods for searching an abnormal ECG are presented.;The data used in this research were collected from an animal model of heart failure. Chronic heart failure was gradually induced in rats by aldosterone infusion and a high Na and low Mg diet. The ECG was continuously recorded during the experimental period of 11-12 weeks through radiotelemetry. The ECG leads were placed subcutaneously in lead-II configuration. In the end, there were 80 GB of data from five animals. Besides the massive amount of data, noise and artifacts also caused problems in the analysis.;The framework includes data preparation, ECG beat detection, EMG noise detection, baseline fluctuation removal, ECG template generation, feature extraction, and abnormal ECG search. The raw data was converted from its original format and stored in a database for data retrieval. The beat detection technique was improved from the original algorithm so that it was less sensitive to signal baseline jump and more sensitive to beat size variation. A method for estimating a parameter required for baseline fluctuation removal is proposed. It provides a good result on test signals. A new algorithm for EMG noise detection was developed using morphological filters and moving variance. The resulting sensitivity and specificity are 94% and 100%, respectively. A procedure for ECG template generation was proposed to capture gradual change in ECG morphology and manage the matching process if numerous ECG templates are created. RR intervals and heart rate variability parameters are extracted and plotted to display progressive changes as heart failure develops. In the abnormal ECG search, premature ventricular complexes, elevated ST segment, and split-R-wave ECG are considered. New features are extracted from ECG morphology. The Fisher linear discriminant analysis is used to classify the normal and abnormal ECG. The results provide classification rate, sensitivity, and specificity of 97.35%, 96.02%, and 98.91%, respectively

Current and Future Use of Artificial Intelligence in Electrocardiography.

Artificial intelligence (AI) is increasingly used in electrocardiography (ECG) to assist in diagnosis, stratification, and management. AI algorithms can help clinicians in the following areas: (1) interpretation and detection of arrhythmias, ST-segment changes, QT prolongation, and other ECG abnormalities; (2) risk prediction integrated with or without clinical variables (to predict arrhythmias, sudden cardiac death, stroke, and other cardiovascular events); (3) monitoring ECG signals from cardiac implantable electronic devices and wearable devices in real time and alerting clinicians or patients when significant changes occur according to timing, duration, and situation; (4) signal processing, improving ECG quality and accuracy by removing noise/artifacts/interference, and extracting features not visible to the human eye (heart rate variability, beat-to-beat intervals, wavelet transforms, sample-level resolution, etc.); (5) therapy guidance, assisting in patient selection, optimizing treatments, improving symptom-to-treatment times, and cost effectiveness (earlier activation of code infarction in patients with ST-segment elevation, predicting the response to antiarrhythmic drugs or cardiac implantable devices therapies, reducing the risk of cardiac toxicity, etc.); (6) facilitating the integration of ECG data with other modalities (imaging, genomics, proteomics, biomarkers, etc.). In the future, AI is expected to play an increasingly important role in ECG diagnosis and management, as more data become available and more sophisticated algorithms are developed.Manuel Marina-Breysse has received funding from European Union’s Horizon 2020 research and innovation program under the grant agreement number 965286; Machine Learning and Artificial Intelligence for Early Detection of Stroke and Atrial Fibrillation, MAESTRIA Consortium; and EIT Health, a body of the European Union.S